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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

Happy Thursday! You're almost there! Saturday is forecasted to be the last 100+ degree in town in Sac before returning to the high 90s. 

The fires continue, with the scariest one being the Cranston Fire in Riverside County. Idyllwild has been evacuated--2,174 homes and 3,200 people. While Ferguson around Yosemite has burned far more acreage, there are far more homes near the Cranston Fire, which is only 5% contained. Five structures had been destroyed as of last night, according to San Bernardino National Forest staff. Like CAL FIRE, the US Forest Service does not distinguish what kind of structures were involved until disaster assessment teams can gain entry. 

Yesterday, CAL FIRE authorities arrested a 32-year-old Temecula man for arson related to the Cranston Fire.

Meanwhile, opponents of the proposal(s) to limit liability of electric utilities for wildfire damage have accelerated their campaigns with digital advertising. 

POLL POSITION: Last night, I sent out some of the results of the PPIC poll. Here are some of the stories on the poll:

  • Gavin Newsom holds huge lead over John Cox in California governor’s race, poll finds [Alexei Koseff] - “In a new poll released Wednesday, 55 percent of likely voters favored [Gavin] Newsom, compared to 31 percent who would pick [John] Cox. More than three months before the November election, only 9 percent of respondents were still undecided.”

    “The electorate is so polarized,” [PPIC President and CEO Mark] Baldassare said. “Cox has equally solid support among Republicans, but there are many more Democrats than Republicans in the electorate these days.”

  • Feinstein maintains lead in Senate race as Republicans signal they'll stay home, poll finds [Sarah D. Wire @ LAT] - “Sen. Dianne Feinstein leads fellow Democrat and state Sen. Kevin de León by 46% to 24% among likely voters in the race for the seat she’s held since 1992, according to a new poll by the Public Policy Institute of California.”

(Top line): share of voters by party supporting each candidate:

Governor:

  • John Cox (31%): Dem: 3%, Rep: 84%, Ind/Other: 33%
  • Gavin Newsom (55%): Dem: 86%, Rep: 10%, Ind./Other: 41%
  • Neither/would not vote for governor (5%): Dem: 4%, Rep: 1%, Ind./Other: 12%
  • Don't know (9%): Dem: 7%, Rep: 5%, Ind./Other: 15%

Newsom edges Cox in all regions, including Orange/San Diego, where he edges Cox by 13%. Cox lives in Rancho Santa Fe in northern San Diego County.

U.S. Senate:

  • Kevin de León (24%): Dem: 22%, Rep: 25%, Ind./Other: 24%
  • Dianne Feinstein (46%): Dem: 66%, Rep: 22%, Ind./Other: 38%
  • Neither/would not vote for U.S. Senator (20%): Dem: 3%, Rep: 47%, Ind./Other: 24%
  • Don't know (9%): Dem: 9%, Rep: 5%, Ind./Other: 15%

Among Latino likely voters, Dianne Feinstein leads Kevin de León 52%-27%, the largest margin of the three demographic groups (Latino/White/Other). Feinstein runs strongest in the Los Angeles region, not the SF Bay Area where she served as mayor.

Note that shortly after de León won the Democratic Party's endorsement, Feinstein dominates 3:1 under her Democratic opponent. Big disconnect between the party's executive board and its vendors.

Big question is whether GOP voters, who are energized behind John Cox but dispirited by the Senate race will turn out. I think they will, but it could certainly affect the competitive congressional races.

Should candidates work with the Trump Administration or push back against it?

  • Work with (39%): Dem: 12%, Rep: 84%, Ind./Other: 4%
  • Push back (55%): Dem: 81%, Rep: 31%, Ind./Other: 51%
  • Both (3%): Dem: 3%, Rep: 2%, Ind./Other: 4%
  • Don't know (3%): Dem: 4%, Rep: 1%, Ind./Other: 5%  

Job approvals (approve/disapprove/don't know):

  • Jerry Brown: (54%/37%/8%)
    • Dems (77%/12%/10%)
    • Reps (15%/82%/3%)
    • Ind/other (46/41/13)
  • Legislature: (46%/46%/8%)
    • Dems: (65%/23%/12%)
    • Reps: (12%/83%/4%)
    • Ind/other: (44%/51%/5%)
  • Donald Trump: (34%/64%/2%)
    • Dems: (5%/92%/2%)
    • Reps: (81%/18%/1%)
    • Ind/other: (38%/59%/3%)
  • U.S. Congress (14%/83%/3%)
    • Dems: (6%/90%/4%)
    • Reps: (23%/75%/2%)
    • Ind/other: (21%/75%/5%)
    • Among competitive congressional districts: (21%/79%/1%)

Top 5 most important environmental issues (one volunteered):

  1. water supply, drought, reservoirs (24%)
  2. air pollution, vehicle emissions, smog (15%)
  3. global warming, climate change, greenhouse gases (12%)
  4. water pollution of ocean, rivers, lakes, streams, beach pollution (8%)
  5. loss of forests, forest fires, wildfires (3%)

Proposition 3: the $8.9 billion water bond

  • Yes: 58% (Dem: 72%, Rep: 42%, Ind/Other: 48%)
  • No: 25% (Dem: 16%, Rep: 38%, Ind/Oth: 25%)
  • Don't know: 17% (Dem: 12%, Rep: 19%, Ind/Oth: 26%)

HOUSE MINORITY LEADER NANCY PELOSI raised $20.7 million for Democrats in the second quarter, including $19.9 million to the DCCC. The California Democrat has raised $87.4 million for Democrats in the 2018 cycle reports the team at Politico Playbook.

In August, Pelosi is going to Texas, Arizona and New Mexico for public events and private fundraisers with Deb Haaland in New Mexico (running for Michelle Lujan Grisham’s seat); Veronica Escobar, who is running for Beto O’Rourke’s seat in Texas; and Greg Stanton, the former mayor of Phoenix who is running for Kyrsten Sinema’s seat. She has already held 84 fundraising events going to 24 cities.

Pelosi is headlining a DCCC fundraiser hosted by Rep. Betty McCollum in Minneapolis. She’ll also stop in Boston, New York, Chicago, Houston, Las Vegas, San Diego, Indianapolis and San Francisco.

People often ask how Pelosi has held on to the Minority Leader and Speaker roles since 2002 even as the party only reached the high of the majority from 2007-2011. This is why. She is absolutely tireless on the fundraising circuit and lots of people owe her for her work.

CA50 (East SD County): Politico wrote about this before and concerns of his Republican colleagues who don't want to lose the seat and the SDUT has mapped out the typical hangouts, but his June 30 campaign finance report continues to show lots of food and beverage spending by Duncan Hunter at the Capitol Hill watering holes. There's nothing illegal about this as long as there can be some tie to the campaign, which could be as simple as buying a round for lobbyists. Here's the interesting ones on the latest report (04/01-06/30), all of which were after the Politico story:

  • Bullfeathers (Washington, DC): $77.80 (04/18/18)
  • Capitol Hill Club (Washington, DC): $601.28 (04/18/18)
  • Pechanga Hotel and Casino (Temecula, CA): $49.08 (05/03/18)
  • Sheerwater Restaurant (Coronado, CA): $604.00 (04/09/18)
  • Sycuan Golf & Tennis Resort (El Cajon, CA): $37.00 (04/25/18)

The suspicious ones are the low-dollar ones, as they clearly aren't for fundraising events. Capitol Hill Club is a noted private club watering hole for Republicans, and that could be tab payment including dues, which would replicate previous large expenditures there since he's been in Congress.

I don't write this as a take-down of Hunter. However, a federal grand jury has looked at his reports covering years (although I don't know if it's ongoing since it is confidential), he has reimbursed a lot and sold his house to fund the reimbursements and all candidates should know that lots of us spend a lot of time looking at these reports.

There certainly have been similar cases among Democrats in the past and I'm sure I'll run across them. I just happened be looking at CA50 this morning.

CLARIFICATION: Yesterday, I had the story about the California Democratic Party accepting money from contractors doing business with Immigrations and Customs Enforcement. Earlier this month, the party said it would no longer be accepting contributions from the contractors and would be donating the previous contributions over the last year to nonprofits.

 

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Who’s Who of LA’s Political Movers and Shakers Honor Freshman Policymakers: Los Angeles County Business Federation (BizFed) together with the BizFed PAC will host its 4th annual Freshman Policymakers Reception on Thursday, August 2 at the Avalon in Hollywood from 5pm – 8pm. Meet more than 100 government officials shaping the future of business in LA County. Tickets available at bizfed.org/freshman

As these policymakers begin their new roles, BizFed must help them keep a clear focus on policies and projects that create economic prosperity and job growth in LA County. Elected officials must keep the local economy top of mind while making good policy decisions. At this event, Policymakers will network with 300+ business leaders, community leaders, and speakers on stage at an amazing Hollywood nightclub venue.

 

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Event: Capitol Seminars lobbying workshop
  • Job: California Welfare Directors Association
  • Job: Cargill Director of Governmental Relations (Newark-Bay Area)
  • Job: Local Health Plans of California seeks a Program Manager
  • Job: Serna Center @ Sac City Unified: Chief Business Officer
  • Job: The California Dental Association seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate
  • Job: Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels   

 

PENSIONS: For CapPubRad's Insight, Beth Ruyak looks at the contradiction in Jerry Brown asking the California Supreme Court to take quick action on ruling on the government's authority to adjust pensions of vested employees and his delay in appointing a replacement for Kathryn Werdegar, who retired in October 2017. Why the delay? If the appointment is made in late August, the appointee wouldn't have to run for confirmation by the voters until 2022, instead of this November.

With the vacancy, the court is left with six justices, thus creating the possibility of a deadlock. The case is Alameda County Deputy Sheriff’s Assn. v. Alameda County Employees’ Retirement Assn, which was filed on 1/8/18 by the First District Court of Appeal and the Supreme Court of California agreed to review the case in March.

FPPC: For CALmatters, Laurel Rosenhall and Robby Short look into the effectiveness of the Fair Political Practices Commission and the California Political Reform Act, which Jerry Brown campaign for as Secretary of State during his campaign for governor in 1974.

Now, as the balding octogenarian nears the end of his political career, Brown is making his final marks on the watchdog panel that is one piece of the legacy he’ll leave after 16 years as California governor. He recently tapped an old friend—a woman who raised money for his 1976 presidential campaign—to lead the commission as it recovers from a spate of tumult and infighting. And he could fill one more vacancy on the five-person panel before his term is up in January. 

REACTION: Former congressman Doug Ose (R-Fair Oaks) has proposed an amendment to the state Elections Code that would prohibit noncitizens voting at the state and local level, reports John Myers in the Times. This follows San Francisco allowing non-citizens of legal voting age who are parents or legal guardians of public school students to vote in County Board of Education races. The provision was added in 2016 to the city and county's charter.

BRAVO: The California Community Colleges and 36 California nonprofit private universities signed agreements yesterday for guaranteed transfer for eligible students, paralleling agreements with the California State University and University of California. The nonprofits are all members of the Association of Independent California Colleges and Universities, but do not include the highest demand institutions such as Stanford, USC and the Claremont Colleges.

JUMP! Uber-owned Jump electric-hybrid bike share will be adding 200 of its cherry-red bikes to the Sacramento area starting as early as tomorrow, report Tony Bizjak and Kellen Browning for the Bee.

That will increase the total fleet to 500 in the Sacramento area. The first 300 were introduced in mid-May.

Uber plans to add another 400 bikes later this year, bringing the Sacramento total to 900, and making it one of the largest electric rental bike fleets in the country.

 

Probolsky Research

  

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Assemblyman Tom DalyEric Stein, Seth Stodder, and Erik Taylor!  

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.
  • ASSEMBLYMEMBER AUTUMN BURKE (D-Marina del Rey) discusses chairing the powerful Revenue and Taxation committee, and lawmaking in Sacramento, in this exclusive interview: vimeo.com/281300045
  • Attorney General's Office is seeking a Legislative Advocate with subject matter expertise in areas such as civil law, criminal law, public rights and law enforcement. The Advocate represents the Department of Justice on legislative matters before the State Legislature. The job can be viewed here.   
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Bay Area)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:
  • https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407117 
  • CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Orange County)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407120
  •  CA School Boards Assn- Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Joaquin North)

    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends.  Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    https://onepoint.employernet.net/ta/CSBA.jobs?ShowJob=134407122

  • WE CAN HELP MAKE YOUR LOBBYING EFFORTS MORE EFFECTIVE. Numerous nonprofits and private sector organizations, lobbying firms, trade associations and government entities use Capitol Seminars as their No.1 training resource -- for new lobbyists, support staff, executives who hire and manage lobbyists. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, our Lobbying 101 & 201 seminars offer you comprehensive coverage of the Legislative process, along with best practices for Legislative, Budget, and Regulatory Agency advocacy, Lobbying the Administration, and Media Strategies. You’ll refer to the extensive curriculum materials long after the seminars are over. Next dates: August 2-3, October 4-5, December 13-24. More information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916-442-5009.
  • The County Welfare Directors Association is hiring a Human Services Policy Analyst focusing on county-run programs serving children and adults. The Analyst supports the advocacy work CWDA is engaged in, at the direction of senior staff, including but not limited to legislative and budget efforts and implementation of policy changes enacted at the state and federal level. Competitive salary, excellent benefit package. Open until 8/1. Details: www.cwda.org/job-opportunities
  • CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER (CBO)
    SERNA CENTER Sacramento City USD 5735 47th Ave. Sac, CA 95824
    Salary Range: $157,252 – $197,031 yrly. Medical, Dental and Vision; $4,800 annual travel stipend
    CBO’s role is to create a structure incorporating the District’s annual budget process with the Local Control Accountability Plan (LCAP) and Single Plan for Student Achievement (SPSA) using the SCUSD Guiding Principle and Core Value Statement. The ability to incorporate them into one seamless process could lead to more equitable outcomes for all students.
    Apply: www.edjoin.org/Home/Jobs?stateID=24&countyID=34&districtID=583
    Contact: Monica Garland monicaga@scusd.edu
  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu
  • Cal State Student Association seeks Legislative Policy Analyst
    The position is responsible for researching and analyzing legislative policy issues. Additionally, the position will be responsible for externally representing the organization in legislative meetings and committees. Lastly, the position will be responsible for advising our board of directors and legislative affairs committee. For more information and to apply, visit apptrkr.com/1226018

  • Finance & Operations Manager
    California YIMBY is looking for an innovative, resourceful, inspired individual to serve as the Finance & Operations Manager to manage day-to-day finances and operations, act as internal authority on grant requirements, and create and track annual budget. Reports directly to the CEO. $65,000-$85,000/year DOE + benefits. cayim.by/finopsmanager for details.

  • Digital Director
    California YIMBY is seeking an innovative, resourceful, inspired individual to serve as the Digital Director to create digital program to tell story of CA's housing crisis. Reports directly to the Chief Advocacy Officer. $75,000-$90,000/year DOE + benefits. cayim.by/digdirector for details.
  • Organizing Director
    California YIMBY is seeking a motivated, tenacious, creative individual to serve as the Organizing Director to conceive large scale organizing strategy and develop, write and implement a comprehensive strategic organizing plan. Reports directly to the Chief Advocacy Officer. $75,000-$90,000/year DOE + benefits. cayim.by/orgdirector for details.
  • Local Health Plans of California seeks a Program Manager to work across multiple teams providing management, coordination, and support needed to execute programs and initiatives. Ideal candidate is a self-starter, good writer, client service oriented, has an eye for detail, and believes in California’s local health plans’ mission. Salary BOE. Details.
  • Imprenta Communications Group Seeks Account Coordinator to Join Our Sacramento Office. Successful candidate will have 1-3 years previous experience working at a public relations agency, on political campaigns, political staff, or corporate marketing. The ideal candidate is a hard-working, professional, and dedicated individual seeking to empower communities of color. Spanish or Asian language fluency preferred. Full job description can be viewed here. Submit resume and cover letter to Ken Tiratira at ktiratira@icgworldwide.com for consideration
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
  • SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a broad range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box. Proven track record is a must. Competitive salary and excellent benefits. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.
  • SEIU-UHW – Political Capacity Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
    This position is responsible for working in close collaboration with multiple levels of staff and members to develop goals and execute plans for members participation in all areas of the political program and hard dollar fundraising.  Also provides staff support to our Political Action Advisory Committee, in collaboration with representational staff.  Candidate will train and mentor COPE chairs and member activists to help them achieve political goals.  Proven fundraising track record is a must.  Competitive salary and excellent benefits.  For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com.

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Top Trump Health Official Takes Swipes At Aca, Single-payer In Enemy Territory
Chad Terhune @
latimes.com
Speaking Wednesday at the Commonwealth Club here, the administrator of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services said she supports granting states flexibility on healthcare but indicated she would not give California the leeway it would need to spend federal money on a single-payer system.

The Health 202: Some experts think McConnell is playing politics with the opioid crisis

The Senate leader rejects that argument.

With The Release Of A Recording, Michael Cohen Makes Clear He's Flipping On President Trump
Chris Megerian @
latimes.com
For months, people have wondered whether Michael Cohen would flip on President Trump. It became clear this week that he already has, at least in the public sense, which for Trump may count almost as much as the legal aspect.

Pompeo: Russia Should End Annexation Of Crimea - Politico

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo called on Russia to end its annexation of Crimea in a declaration Wednesday, reaffirming a long-held U.S. position a week after President Donald Trump met with Russian President Vladimir Putin.