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REMINDER: My firstname.lastname@example.org email address is still in DNS hell. email@example.com (where that other email usually goes anyway) is working just fine.
Happy Thursday to you! You're almost to Friday, although I'm guessing many of you will be doing political work this weekend. In addition to candidate campaigns, I saw somewhere that there are organized phone banks in favor of Medicare for All/SB 562.
MONEY MATTERS: Unfortunately, the Cal-Access database wasn't pulling down the full information from yesterday's filings, so I can't provide the same top 5 daily contributions as I did yesterday. However, the big ones are being tweeted as they come in by me @scottlay and Rob Pyers @rpyers of the Target Book.
Speaking of contributions, "Chan Zuckerberg Advocacy" gave $500,000 to two committees supporting the initiative to create a split roll property tax, which would remove commercial property from the reassessment limitations of Proposition in favor increased K-14 and local government funding. Of course, that's Mark Zuckerberg, the founder of Facebook and his physician wife, Priscilla Chan.
GOV: For CALmatters, Laurel Rosenhall looks at the fight between wealthy charter supporters, who support Antonio Villaraigosa, and education unions, who support Gavin Newsom.
FROM THE DESK OF THE DEAN: George Skelton writes that the hyperpolarization of the electorate may render the top-two primary system useless in the governor's race.
THE PRIMARY BUFFET: Dan Walters writes that, since top-two puts candidates of all parties on the primary ballot, it creates a very long ballot and uncertainty.
It’s completely changed the dynamics of primary elections, creating battles for second place and therefore a second chance to win. But with so many candidates, each of whom will garner at least a few votes, with mail voting already underway and with the prospect of a low turnout primary, pre-election handicapping is imprecise at best.
Fortunately, we can narrow the constitutional offices to "major" candidates and handicap those, but some others are much more difficult. For example, AD15 (Berkeley). I've privately responded to Nooner Premium subscribers who have emailed me, but with twelve candidates and uncertain turnout, I haven't done a full analysis on it, and there are several more.
I will have analyses on all of the 166 races shortly after the final primary results. Sounds like a bowl of cherries, doesn't it? Fortunately, June is cherry season. I like to buy all my produce from the farmers' markets, and we now have four throughout the week in midtown/downtown. However, for cherries, I turn to Eugene, Oregon-based Harry and David. I order some for Father's Day and some for me.
Thank you for your patience. The landscape out there is crazy with this primary and the last thing I want to do is provide inaccurate analysis, whether I love or despise a candidate. I look at name recognition, background, money, and endorsements. This primary, there are an unbelievable number of candidates that, in a spreadsheet, match up on those metrics. One of the most promising I thought this cycle fell flat the usually unconsidered factors of issue knowledge and connection in public forums. All other metrics looked pretty good, particularly when we thought this was going to be a "year of the woman" with a focus on health care.
As we say in politics, everything can change every three months (or less), and they have.
THE PROPS: John Myers gives us a rundown of what the five ballot measures on the June 5 ballot would do. Only the Legislature can place measures on the primary ballot.
Speaking of ballot measures, the measure to allow homeowners to transfer their property tax assessment from one property to another has qualified for the November ballot. It is sponsored by the California Association of Realtors and, according to the Legislative Analyst's Office, would reduce revenues to schools and local governments of $300 million in the short-term growing to $2 billion or more in the long-term.
In the meeting, President Trump asked Attorney General Jeff Sessions to investigate Oakland Mayor Libby Schaaf for obstruction of justice.
Those around the table included:
The transcript is certainly worth a read, whatever your position on SB 54.
BAGHDAD BY THE BAY: For KQED, Scott Shafer reports that ranked choice voting will determine the mayoral race on June 5. The race is to fill the unexpired term of the deceased Mayor Ed Lee, and a regular election will be held next year.
For offices decided by RCV, voters rank their first, second and third choices. Through a complicated system of algorithms, if no candidate gets 50 percent-plus-one after counting all the first-place votes, the last-place candidates are eliminated one by one, and their voters' second-choice votes are redistributed.
Under RCV, there is no runoff.
There are eight candidates for mayor, four of which are of the highest profile: Former Supe Angela Alioto, Supe London Breed, Supe Jane Kim, and former State Senator Mark Leno. To make things complicated, there are lots of dual endorsements.
And, candidates are even endorsing each other, such as Kim and Leno, in hopes that one of the two most progressive candidates comes out on top. It also combines the prominent gay candidate with the prominent Asian-American candidate. That's very different than the state's top-two primary, where similar-minded candidates are aiming to have the candidate the furthest from their views proceed to November.
I've written about the difficulty in polling in a time of changing technology and uncertain weighting. Try conducting a poll to account for ranked choice voting.
DOING THE LAUNDRY: I've written in this space in the last couple of cycles about how money is contributed to county central committees and then given in amounts about the limits to candidates beyond the normal contribution limits. The other trick, that I keep seeing, is contributions to future elections of sitting members, which in turn are contributed to candidates. It's totally legal as long as it's not "coordinated" (prove it).
Since I began writing, I stopped contributing to candidates at all levels. But, in theory, I could give to the max to three officeholders' 2020 committees, who in turn can contribute to their preferred candidates. Thus, I could give $4,400*3 to different candidates, which could end up $13,200 than being contributed to a single priority candidate. Of course, we all know caucus priorities, so while as long as I don't say "make sure this goes to Candidate X," a wink and a nod is legal.
It's all in the game, yo'.
#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Assemblymember Dr. Joaquin Arambula, John Hanna, David Kersten, and Anthony Wright!
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LAPD Union Defends Villaraigosa Against Chiang Attack Ad, Donates $250,000 To Boost Former Mayor's Candidacy
Seema Mehta, Ryan Menezes @ latimes.com
Law enforcement supporters of Antonio Villaraigosa called on gubernatorial race rival John Chiang to apologize for an attack ad and take it down, as an independent fact-checking organization said it contained falsehoods about Villaraigosa’s tenure as mayor of Los Angeles.
Ex-la Works Ceo Sues CalPERS To Keep His Pension | The Sacramento Bee
Adam Ashton @ sacbee.com
Chronicling civil-service life for California state workers
California Auditors Want Details On Local Jails' Partnerships With Federal Immigration Agencies
John Myers @ latimes.com
State lawmakers approved an audit on Wednesday of local jails across California, to determine how much money is received for helping federal immigration efforts -- the latest salvo in the debate over illegal immigration.
Sheriff Tells Trump: California Sanctuary City Laws Are A "disgrace" | The Sacramento Bee
In February, the Trump administration filed suit against a California law that restricts how and when state law enforcement can interact with federal immigration authorities. The administration has been highly critical of the state laws describing them as "radical" policies that endanger the lives of local law enforcement and the immigrant communities themselves.
California's Top-two Primary Could Be Rendered Useless Thanks To A Hyper-polarized Electorate
George Skelton @ latimes.com
Thanks to ultra-polarized politics Republicans won't support Democrats in the primary, at least according to polls.
Mugshots.com Hit With Criminal Charges In Ca By Becerra | The Sacramento Bee
Adam Ashton @ sacbee.com
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics
Sen. Heller To Trump: Don't Shut The Government Down Before The Midterms - Politico
Picking that fight during an election season would hurt Republicans at the ballot box, Sen. Dean Heller told President Donald Trump. | Michael Reynolds/Getty Images
San Diego Requiring Greater Transparency On Campaign Ad Donors - The San Diego Union-tribune
David Garrick @ sandiegouniontribune.com
Schools Have 'starved The Arts,' Sacramento Mayor Says | The Sacramento Bee
Ryan Lillis @ sacbee.com
Public schools in California have "largely starved the arts" for the past 40 years, Sacramento Mayor Darrell Steinberg said Wednesday. Now he's got a plan to change that situation.
Trump Rails Against Sanctuary City Policies; Abed, Gaspar Weigh In - The San Diego Union-tribune
J. Harry Jones @ sandiegouniontribune.com
Investigators Seek Motive In Deadly California Explosion | The Sacramento Bee
MICHAEL BALSAMO and AMANDA LEE MYERS @ sacbee.com
Federal and state authorities are investigating whether a Southern California woman killed in an explosion that ripped through the day spa that she owned was targeted in the crime.
Business Hears From The Ag Candidates :: Fox&hounds
rhonda Lyons @ foxandhoundsdaily.com
King-chavez Student's Suicide Prompts Wrongful Death Lawsuit - The San Diego Union-tribune
Pauline Repard @ sandiegouniontribune.com
California Assisted Death Law Overturned In Court | The Sacramento Bee
Alexei Koseff @ sacbee.com
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics
How educational programs in Africa can help counter violent extremism
Long-term peace and development may rely on more than just education.
The Human Catastrophe Of Homelessness Hits The Shores Of Malibu, And Some Try To Offer A Helping Hand
Steve Lopez @ latimes.com
Awaiting homeless count, a visit to Malibu, which continues its struggle.
Giuliani Claims Mueller Team Won't Indict President - Politico
Mueller's office declined to comment on whether it could indict the president.
Two California Bills Attempt To Tackle Untested Rape Kit Backlog - Capradio.org
Adhiti Bandlamudi @ capradio.org
Capital Public Radio, Inc.7055 Folsom BoulevardSacramento, CA 95826
Police Say Pot To Blame In Deadly Fremont Car Crash
Brittny Mejia @ latimes.com
Five other people, four of whom are juveniles, were injured in the crash.