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REMINDER: My scott@scottlay.com email address is still in DNS hell. scottlay@gmail.com (where that other email usually goes anyway) is working just fine. 

Happy Thursday to you! You're almost to Friday, although I'm guessing many of you will be doing political work this weekend. In addition to candidate campaigns, I saw somewhere that there are organized phone banks in favor of Medicare for All/SB 562.

MONEY MATTERS: Unfortunately, the Cal-Access database wasn't pulling down the full information from yesterday's filings, so I can't provide the same top 5 daily contributions as I did yesterday. However, the big ones are being tweeted as they come in by me @scottlay and Rob Pyers @rpyers of the Target Book. 

Speaking of contributions, "Chan Zuckerberg Advocacy" gave $500,000 to two committees supporting the initiative to create a split roll property tax, which would remove commercial property from the reassessment limitations of Proposition in favor increased K-14 and local government funding. Of course, that's Mark Zuckerberg, the founder of Facebook and his physician wife, Priscilla Chan

GOV: For CALmatters, Laurel Rosenhall looks at the fight between wealthy charter supporters, who support Antonio Villaraigosa, and education unions, who support Gavin Newsom

FROM THE DESK OF THE DEAN: George Skelton writes that the hyperpolarization of the electorate may render the top-two primary system useless in the governor's race.

THE PRIMARY BUFFET: Dan Walters writes that, since top-two puts candidates of all parties on the primary ballot, it creates a very long ballot and uncertainty.

It’s completely changed the dynamics of primary elections, creating battles for second place and therefore a second chance to win. But with so many candidates, each of whom will garner at least a few votes, with mail voting already underway and with the prospect of a low turnout primary, pre-election handicapping is imprecise at best.

Fortunately, we can narrow the constitutional offices to "major" candidates and handicap those, but some others are much more difficult. For example, AD15 (Berkeley). I've privately responded to Nooner Premium subscribers who have emailed me, but with twelve candidates and uncertain turnout, I haven't done a full analysis on it, and there are several more.

I will have analyses on all of the 166 races shortly after the final primary results. Sounds like a bowl of cherries, doesn't it? Fortunately, June is cherry season. I like to buy all my produce from the farmers' markets, and we now have four throughout the week in midtown/downtown. However, for cherries, I turn to Eugene, Oregon-based Harry and David. I order some for Father's Day and some for me.

Thank you for your patience. The landscape out there is crazy with this primary and the last thing I want to do is provide inaccurate analysis, whether I love or despise a candidate. I look at name recognition, background, money, and endorsements. This primary, there are an unbelievable number of candidates that, in a spreadsheet, match up on those metrics. One of the most promising I thought this cycle fell flat the usually unconsidered factors of issue knowledge and connection in public forums. All other metrics looked pretty good, particularly when we thought this was going to be a "year of the woman" with a focus on health care.

As we say in politics, everything can change every three months (or less), and they have.  

THE PROPS: John Myers gives us a rundown of what the five ballot measures on the June 5 ballot would do. Only the Legislature can place measures on the primary ballot. 

Speaking of ballot measures, the measure to allow homeowners to transfer their property tax assessment from one property to another has qualified for the November ballot. It is sponsored by the California Association of Realtors and, according to the Legislative Analyst's Office, would reduce revenues to schools and local governments of $300 million in the short-term growing to $2 billion or more in the long-term.

 

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Bail Reform California

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SANCTUARY: In the Times, Cathleen Decker and Noah Bierman report on the roundtable President Trump had yesterday with California local officials that oppose the sanctuary state law, SB 54 (de León)

In the meeting, President Trump asked Attorney General Jeff Sessions to investigate Oakland Mayor Libby Schaaf for obstruction of justice.

Those around the table included:

  • Mayor Sam Abed (Escondido)
  • Sheriff Adam Christianson (Stanislaus County)
  • Sheriff John D’Agostini. (El Dorado County)
  • Mayor Troy Edgar (Los Alamitos)
  • Supervisor Kristin Gaspar (San Diego County)
  • Deputy Sheriff Ray Grangoff (Orange County) 
  • Mayor Elaine Gennawey (Laguna Niguel)
  • Mayor Julie Hackbarth-McIntyre (Barstow)
  • Immigration and Customs Enforcement Deputy Director Thomas Homan
  • Mayor Natasha Johnson (Lake Elsinore)
  • Mayor Pro Tem Warren Kusumoto (Los Alamitos)
  • House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Bakersfield)
  • Assemblywoman Melissa Melendez (R-Lake Elsinore) - who essentially severed as the facilitator, sitting next to the President.
  • Presidential advisor Stephen Miller
  • Sheriff Margaret Mims (Fresno County)
  • District Attorney Stacey Montgomery (Lassen County)
  • Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen 
  • Councilmember Pam Patterson (San Juan Capistrano)
  • Mayor Crystal Ruiz (San Jacinto)
  • Attorney General Jeff Sessions
  • Supervisor Michelle Park Steel (Orange County)

The transcript is certainly worth a read, whatever your position on SB 54. 

 

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Education: Capitol Seminars - learn how to lobby effectively
  • Event: California Council on Science and Technology policy briefing
  • Job: Attorney General's Office is seeking a subject matter expert (advocate)
  • Job: Cargill Director of Governmental Relations (Newark-Bay Area)
  • Job: Local Health Plans of California seeks a Program Manager
  • Job: Randle Communications 
  • Job: The California Dental Association seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate
  • Job: Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
  • Job: Save the Bay Political Director
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
  • Job: CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representatives (Bay Area, LA North East, Orange, San Bernardino, San Joaquin North)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels   

 

BAGHDAD BY THE BAY: For KQED, Scott Shafer reports that ranked choice voting will determine the mayoral race on June 5. The race is to fill the unexpired term of the deceased Mayor Ed Lee, and a regular election will be held next year.

For offices decided by RCV, voters rank their first, second and third choices. Through a complicated system of algorithms, if no candidate gets 50 percent-plus-one after counting all the first-place votes, the last-place candidates are eliminated one by one, and their voters' second-choice votes are redistributed.

Under RCV, there is no runoff.

There are eight candidates for mayor, four of which are of the highest profile: Former Supe Angela Alioto, Supe London Breed, Supe Jane Kim, and former State Senator Mark Leno. To make things complicated, there are lots of dual endorsements. 

And, candidates are even endorsing each other, such as Kim and Leno, in hopes that one of the two most progressive candidates comes out on top. It also combines the prominent gay candidate with the prominent Asian-American candidate. That's very different than the state's top-two primary, where similar-minded candidates are aiming to have the candidate the furthest from their views proceed to November.

I've written about the difficulty in polling in a time of changing technology and uncertain weighting. Try conducting a poll to account for ranked choice voting. 

 

Probolsky Research

 

DOING THE LAUNDRY: I've written in this space in the last couple of cycles about how money is contributed to county central committees and then given in amounts about the limits to candidates beyond the normal contribution limits. The other trick, that I keep seeing, is contributions to future elections of sitting members, which in turn are contributed to candidates. It's totally legal as long as it's not "coordinated" (prove it). 

Since I began writing, I stopped contributing to candidates at all levels. But, in theory, I could give to the max to three officeholders' 2020 committees, who in turn can contribute to their preferred candidates. Thus, I could give $4,400*3 to different candidates, which could end up $13,200 than being contributed to a single priority candidate. Of course, we all know caucus priorities, so while as long as I don't say "make sure this goes to Candidate X," a wink and a nod is legal.

It's all in the game, yo'.

 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Assemblymember Dr. Joaquin Arambula, John Hanna, David Kersten, and Anthony Wright!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.
   
  • Local Health Plans of California seeks a Program Manager to work across multiple teams providing management, coordination, and support needed to execute programs and initiatives. Ideal candidate is a self-starter, good writer, client service oriented, has an eye for detail, and believes in California’s local health plans’ mission. Salary BOE. Details.
  • CCST Expert Briefing: “From Drips of Data to Pools of Information: Designing an Open Water Data Platform That Works for California” Thursday, May 17th, 12:00pm-1:00pm in Capitol Room 115. Hosted by the California Council on Science and Technology (CCST). What is an open water data platform? How can it be used to inform California policy? Join us for a conversation with experts from UC Water, the Water Foundation, and the Dept. of Water Resources to discuss the implementation, use cases, and timeline of the Open and Transparent Water Data Act, AB 1755 (Dodd, 2016). Organized in partnership with the office of Senator Dodd and moderated by Dr. Susan Hubbard, CCST Council Member and Associate Laboratory Director at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. To receive a to-go lunch box following the briefing, RSVP by Noon on May 16th to Puneet at puneet@ccst.us.
  • Attorney General's Office is seeking a subject matter expert in areas such as civil law, criminal law, public rights and law enforcement. The Advocate represents the Department of Justice on legislative matters before the State Legislature. The job can be viewed here.
  • Imprenta Communications Group Seeks Account Coordinator to Join Our Sacramento Office. Successful candidate will have 1-3 years previous experience working at a public relations agency, on political campaigns, political staff, or corporate marketing. The ideal candidate is a hard-working, professional, and dedicated individual seeking to empower communities of color. Spanish or Asian language fluency preferred. Full job description can be viewed here. Submit resume and cover letter to Ken Tiratira at ktiratira@icgworldwide.com for consideration.

  • Randle Communications is seeking a highly-motivated communications professional to support the firm’s growing public affairs practice. Ideal candidate has three – five years legislative/campaign experience, strong communication skills, is detail-oriented and a self-starter. Salary BOE.  E-mail resume, references, cover letter: info@randlecommunications.com
  • Save The Bay seeks a Political Director to lead strategic advocacy campaigns that protect and restore San Francisco Bay. Supervise policy team, mobilize our grassroots network, build partnerships with diverse interests and communities, and integrate advocacy objectives throughout the organization. Save The Bay is the largest organization working to protect and restore the Bay for people and wildlife, with more than 50 years of accomplishments. Our downtown Oakland office is a great work environment with excellent transit access. This position reports to the Executive Director and serves on the senior management team. Full description at www.saveSFbay.org/jobs.
  • Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator – The Council of State Governments, West (Sacramento, CA)
    The Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator contributes to the organization's policy objectives and engagement with regional policy-makers and other stakeholders. This includes coordinating and providing policy committee and program support, as well as providing support of the organization's international engagement efforts, particularly between CSG West members and policy stakeholders in Mexico and Canada. Individual must be bilingual (English/Spanish), with a high proficiency to read, write and speak in both languages. CSG is an Equal Opportunity Employer (Minorities/Females/Veterans/Disabled) csg.applicantpro.com/jobs/765554.html

  • LOBBYING SUCCESS IS JUST A COUPLE OF CLICKS AWAY. Capitol Seminars offers you a cost-effective, comprehensive overview of what it takes to be more successful at lobbying in California. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, these invaluable seminars cover the processes, touch points and best practices of Legislative, Budget and Regulatory advocacy, Lobbying the Administration and Media Strategies. You'll learn how state government "really works" from an insider's perspective. Next dates are June 7-8 and July 26-27 at McGeorge School of Law and Policy. Information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009. Note: If you tried to register between March 24-30 and could not access our site, please try again. The bug has been squashed!

  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
  • The California Attractions and Parks Association (CAPA), was founded in 2004 as a trade organization representing the theme, amusement and water park industry in California. The sole CAPA employee is the Executive Director, whose efforts are focused on forming political coalitions, leveraging the legal, political and operational talent of its members, and supporting or opposing relevant legislation and regulation. Minimum 8 years serving on legislative staff, as a Capitol lobbyist, in-house government relations professional or equivalent experience. Resumes must be submitted to CAPA Chairperson Kris Reyes at pr@beachboardwalk.com no later than Friday, April 27. View full job description here.

  • BREATHE LA is seeking a dynamic, creative and organized Manager of Public Policy and Advocacy to manage the organization’s legislative and government affairs, as well as advocacy campaigns and community outreach.  This position is full-time and based in Los Angeles. Salary DOE. Details here: breathela.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Mgr-of-Pub-Pol-Advocacy-Job-Description.pdf
  • SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a broad range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box. Proven track record is a must. Competitive salary and excellent benefits. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.
  • SEIU-UHW – Political Capacity Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
    This position is responsible for working in close collaboration with multiple levels of staff and members to develop goals and execute plans for members participation in all areas of the political program and hard dollar fundraising.  Also provides staff support to our Political Action Advisory Committee, in collaboration with representational staff.  Candidate will train and mentor COPE chairs and member activists to help them achieve political goals.  Proven fundraising track record is a must.  Competitive salary and excellent benefits.  For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com.

     

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
LAPD Union Defends Villaraigosa Against Chiang Attack Ad, Donates $250,000 To Boost Former Mayor's Candidacy
Seema Mehta, Ryan Menezes @
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Law enforcement supporters of Antonio Villaraigosa called on gubernatorial race rival John Chiang to apologize for an attack ad and take it down, as an independent fact-checking organization said it contained falsehoods about Villaraigosa’s tenure as mayor of Los Angeles.

Ex-la Works Ceo Sues CalPERS To Keep His Pension | The Sacramento Bee
Adam Ashton @
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California Auditors Want Details On Local Jails' Partnerships With Federal Immigration Agencies
John Myers @
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State lawmakers approved an audit on Wednesday of local jails across California, to determine how much money is received for helping federal immigration efforts -- the latest salvo in the debate over illegal immigration.

Sheriff Tells Trump: California Sanctuary City Laws Are A "disgrace" | The Sacramento Bee
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In February, the Trump administration filed suit against a California law that restricts how and when state law enforcement can interact with federal immigration authorities. The administration has been highly critical of the state laws describing them as "radical" policies that endanger the lives of local law enforcement and the immigrant communities themselves.

California's Top-two Primary Could Be Rendered Useless Thanks To A Hyper-polarized Electorate
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Thanks to ultra-polarized politics Republicans won't support Democrats in the primary, at least according to polls.

Mugshots.com Hit With Criminal Charges In Ca By Becerra | The Sacramento Bee
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The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

Sen. Heller To Trump: Don't Shut The Government Down Before The Midterms - Politico

Picking that fight during an election season would hurt Republicans at the ballot box, Sen. Dean Heller told President Donald Trump. | Michael Reynolds/Getty Images

San Diego Requiring Greater Transparency On Campaign Ad Donors - The San Diego Union-tribune
David Garrick @
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Schools Have 'starved The Arts,' Sacramento Mayor Says | The Sacramento Bee
Ryan Lillis @
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Public schools in California have "largely starved the arts" for the past 40 years, Sacramento Mayor Darrell Steinberg said Wednesday. Now he's got a plan to change that situation.

Trump Rails Against Sanctuary City Policies; Abed, Gaspar Weigh In - The San Diego Union-tribune
J. Harry Jones @
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Investigators Seek Motive In Deadly California Explosion | The Sacramento Bee
MICHAEL BALSAMO and AMANDA LEE MYERS @
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Federal and state authorities are investigating whether a Southern California woman killed in an explosion that ripped through the day spa that she owned was targeted in the crime.

Business Hears From The Ag Candidates :: Fox&hounds
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King-chavez Student's Suicide Prompts Wrongful Death Lawsuit - The San Diego Union-tribune
Pauline Repard @
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California Assisted Death Law Overturned In Court | The Sacramento Bee
Alexei Koseff @
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The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

How educational programs in Africa can help counter violent extremism

Long-term peace and development may rely on more than just education.

The Human Catastrophe Of Homelessness Hits The Shores Of Malibu, And Some Try To Offer A Helping Hand
Steve Lopez @
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Awaiting homeless count, a visit to Malibu, which continues its struggle.

Giuliani Claims Mueller Team Won't Indict President - Politico

Mueller's office declined to comment on whether it could indict the president.

Two California Bills Attempt To Tackle Untested Rape Kit Backlog - Capradio.org
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Capital Public Radio, Inc.7055 Folsom BoulevardSacramento, CA 95826

Police Say Pot To Blame In Deadly Fremont Car Crash
Brittny Mejia @
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Five other people, four of whom are juveniles, were injured in the crash.