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REMINDER: My scott@scottlay.com email address is still in DNS hell. scottlay@gmail.com (where that other email usually goes anyway) is working just fine.

DISTRICT UPDATES:

SPORTS PAGE: I wonder how many Giants/Padres attendees left when the seagulls arrived in the 8th inning. Three runs in the bottom of the ninth. Game 2 tonight at 7:15. Pelicans @ Warriors for game 2 tonight at 7:10pm. Good hockey game in The Tank last night, even though the Sharks came out the short end of the hockey stick in overtime. A's will have a tough game tonight in Seattle, as will the Dodgers in Phoenix.

POLL POSITION: The releases from last week's Berkeley IGS poll continue, with today on President Donald Trump's job approval and positions on policy issues.

Trump job approval (registered voters):

  • Approve: 31% (18% strongly/13% somewhat
  • Disapprove: 67% (59% strongly/8% somewhat
    • Dems: 7% approve, 91% disapprove
    • Reps: 80% approve, 19% disapprove
    • NPP/other: 27% approve, 69% disapprove

 

IGS - Policy Issues

Partisan breakdown on the issues and more on Russia is available on pages 5-6 in the full poll.

[n=4,038 registered voters provided by Political Data Inc.; 4/16-4/22; online through invitation by email; in Spanish/English; MOE +/- 3%]

The methodology is imperfect, as it relies on voters who have email addresses in PDI's database. However, Capitol Weekly and PDI have been using this methodology the last couple of years, and it's proven no less reliable than other polls. Weighting methodology is what's important, and I've found no flaws in Berkeley IGS's methodology, but as I've written, predicting the demographic turnout on June 5 is very difficult.

We have a very polarized electorate--politically and racially. You can ask whether a respondent plans to vote, but many will lie because it's the civically responsible answer to give.  

GOV: The LAT's Javier Panzar writes that GOP candidate John Cox  is hitting the road to turn in petitions to qualify the repeal of the gas tax for the November election.

GOV: For Capital Public Radio, Ben Adler tries to dissect Gavin Newsom's position on single-payer health care. It's complicated. 

LITEGOV: The independent expenditure committee supporting Eleni Kounalakis received $1.6m from her fathera, Sacramento developer Angelo Tsakopolous, bringing his total to around $4.8 million. The committee's sponsor, the California Medical Association, is the only other donor--giving $100,000. A birdie tells me that Angelo is willing to spend up to $10 million for the effort.

CA48 (Huntington Beach): The narrowing of the Democratic field in the battle to take Congressman Dana Rohrabacher (R) continued yesterday, with technology CEO Rachel Payne ending her campaign. Unlike previous drop outs Michael Kotick and Laura Oatman, Payne did not offer an endorsement for another candidate. Kotick and Oatman endorsed technology entrepreneur Harley Rouda. The Democratic Party has has endorsed neuroscientist Hans Keirstead. Of course, Kotick, Oatman, and Payne will all be listed on the ballot.

This brings the number of active Democrats from 8 to 5. Republicans have narrowed their field from 6 to 5, and there is 1 Libertarian and 1 No Party Preference candidates. As of 3/31, Keirstead had $642k on hand, while Rouda had $1.1 million. Democrat FBI advisor/attorney Omar Siddiqui had $867k on hand, although most of that was in the form of a personal loan.

CA49 (Carlsbad): Democrats haven't had similar luck in narrowing the fields in the other competitive OC districts. Libby Denkmann reports for Southern California Public Radio.

SD32 (Whittier): In the Times, Patrick McGreevy reports that former state senator Tony Mendoza (D) has seen his fundraising dry up as he tries to regain the seat he resigned from on February 22 amid harassment allegations.

IE RACES: For the Press Enterprise, Jeff Horseman reports on two races where incumbents were outraised by challengers through the April 21 reports. He reports that Assemblywoman Sabrina Cervantes (D) was outraised by federal prosecutor Bill Essalyi (R) in AD60 and, in SD28, Joy Silver (D) outraised incumbent Jeff Stone (R).

Cervantes had $533,801 on hand to Essalyi's $133,668 as of April 21. Silver had $106,721 to Stone's $37,617.

THE FIGHT FOR THE HOUSE: Joel Fox writes up House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy's talk at the Milken Institute Global Conference held yesterday in Beverly Hills:

“I know what the odds say,” McCarthy acknowledged in an interview at the conference conducted by pollster Frank Luntz. McCarthy pointed out that since World War II only two midterm elections boosted the party that held the White House. One was in 2002 after the extraordinary events of 9/11; the other time was during Bill Clinton’s presidency in 1998 when he was able to boast of economic growth and use his “triangulation” strategy of presenting policy that fell between the left and right ideologies.

McCarthy thinks good economic news will lift the Republicans despite predictions by some that Democrats will take the House. McCarthy talked about growth possibly hitting 3%, tax cuts that saw five million Americans getting bonuses, 90% of Americans getting raises by having less money withheld from their paychecks; two-million new jobs and a 44-year low in unemployment, with record unemployment in both the African American and Hispanic communities.

CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA For Capiitol Weekly, Paul Mitchell looks at what the Cambridge Analytica scandal means for the use of digital ads for regular political campaigns. "The answer: Probably nothing."

 

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Bail Reform California

reserve this space

 

SB 174 (Sen. Lara and Asm. Carrillo): The LAT's Jazmine Ulloa reports on a bill (yet to be amended) that would allow all Californians, regardless of citizenship status, eligible for appointment to state boards and commissions.

SB 827 (Wiener): In the Times, Liam Dillon reports that Jerry Brown on Monday told Bay Area Council business leaders that he thought that Senator Scott Wiener's bill to encourage more housing development adjacent to transit stops wasn't a bad idea. 

I missed this one a couple of weeks ago, but Matt Levin's Gimme Shelter housing podcast offers a post-mortum on the failure of the bill.

SB 1250 (Bradford): Alexei Koseff reports in the Bee on a bill being heard today that would change to law in the determination of legal domicile for congressional or state officeholders to that stated on voter registration affidavits for the purposes of candidates and officeholders. Bradford represents the district formerly held by Rod Wright, who was prosecuted by the city attorney, sentenced to 90 days, and banned from office for life.

Of course, his time in the Legislature also led to the payment by Senate Rules to settle a $120,000 harassment claim in 2010, well before the #METOO movement.

  

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Education: Capitol Seminars - learn how to lobby effectively'
  • Job: Attorney General's Office is seeking a subject matter expert (advocate)
  • Job: Aaron Read and Associates - Legislative Assistant
  • Job: Cargill Director of Governmental Relations (Newark-Bay Area)
  • Job: Randle Communications 
  • Job: The California Dental Association seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate
  • Job: Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
  • Job: Save the Bay Political Director
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Healthcare Justice Phone & Digital Campaign Coordinator (Oakland, Los Angeles or Sacramento)
  • Job: CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representatives (Bay Area, LA North East, Orange, San Bernardino, San Joaquin North)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels   

 

THE OC: The LAT's Hugo Martin reports "A coalition of unions representing Disneyland workers say they have collected enough signatures to put a ballot measure before Anaheim voters that would require Walt Disney Co. to pay the resort workers a "living wage." The measure would raise the minimum wage at employers that receive city subsidies by $1/year until it reaches 18, and then tie is to increases annual cost-of-living.

 

Probolsky Research

 

 

SANCTUARY: For Capitol Weekly, Lisa Renner reports on the controversy surrounding the new "sanctuary state" law, which has led to many local governments joining the federal governments legal side against the law.

 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

#CAKEDAY!: Happy birthday to Jenny Bach, Assemblywoman Catharine Baker, Nate Ballard, Mario Beltran, Kit Cole, and Derek Humphrey!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.
   
  • Attorney General's Office is seeking a subject matter expert in areas such as civil law, criminal law, public rights and law enforcement. The Advocate represents the Department of Justice on legislative matters before the State Legislature. The job can be viewed here.
  • Please join the Women’s Foundation of California for the 2018 Legislative Reception, celebrating the Women’s Policy Institute State and Local classes. We will honor the accomplishments of U.S. Congresswoman Jackie Speier, Senate President pro Tempore Toni Atkins, the co-founders of the We Said Enough campaign, and co-founder of Líderes Campesinas and Alianza Nacional de Campesinas Mily Treviño-Sauceda. Join us in recognizing the leaders of California’s gender justice movement. Tue, May 8, 5–7PM (program begins promptly at 5:30) at the Sacramento Meeting Place, Adelante Room, 1414 K Street, first floor. Refreshments will be served. RSVP here!

  • Imprenta Communications Group Seeks Account Coordinator to Join Our Sacramento Office. Successful candidate will have 1-3 years previous experience working at a public relations agency, on political campaigns, political staff, or corporate marketing. The ideal candidate is a hard-working, professional, and dedicated individual seeking to empower communities of color. Spanish or Asian language fluency preferred. Full job description can be viewed here. Submit resume and cover letter to Ken Tiratira at ktiratira@icgworldwide.com for consideration.

  • Randle Communications is seeking a highly-motivated communications professional to support the firm’s growing public affairs practice. Ideal candidate has three – five years legislative/campaign experience, strong communication skills, is detail-oriented and a self-starter. Salary BOE.  E-mail resume, references, cover letter: info@randlecommunications.com
  • Save The Bay seeks a Political Director to lead strategic advocacy campaigns that protect and restore San Francisco Bay. Supervise policy team, mobilize our grassroots network, build partnerships with diverse interests and communities, and integrate advocacy objectives throughout the organization. Save The Bay is the largest organization working to protect and restore the Bay for people and wildlife, with more than 50 years of accomplishments. Our downtown Oakland office is a great work environment with excellent transit access. This position reports to the Executive Director and serves on the senior management team. Full description at www.saveSFbay.org/jobs.
  • Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator – The Council of State Governments, West (Sacramento, CA)
    The Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator contributes to the organization's policy objectives and engagement with regional policy-makers and other stakeholders. This includes coordinating and providing policy committee and program support, as well as providing support of the organization's international engagement efforts, particularly between CSG West members and policy stakeholders in Mexico and Canada. Individual must be bilingual (English/Spanish), with a high proficiency to read, write and speak in both languages. CSG is an Equal Opportunity Employer (Minorities/Females/Veterans/Disabled) csg.applicantpro.com/jobs/765554.html

  • LOBBYING SUCCESS IS JUST A COUPLE OF CLICKS AWAY. Capitol Seminars offers you a cost-effective, comprehensive overview of what it takes to be more successful at lobbying in California. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, these invaluable seminars cover the processes, touch points and best practices of Legislative, Budget and Regulatory advocacy, Lobbying the Administration and Media Strategies. You'll learn how state government "really works" from an insider's perspective. Next dates are June 7-8 and July 26-27 at McGeorge School of Law and Policy. Information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009. Note: If you tried to register between March 24-30 and could not access our site, please try again. The bug has been squashed.

  • The California Attractions and Parks Association (CAPA) is seeking a qualified Executive Director. CAPA was founded in 2004 as a trade organization representing California's theme, amusement and water park industry. The Executive Director is CAPA's sole employee, whose efforts are focused on forming political coalitions, leveraging the legal, political and operational talent of its members, and supporting/opposing relevant legislation and regulation. Minimum 8 years serving on legislative staff, as a Capitol lobbyist, in-house government relations or equivalent experience. Please submit resumes to CAPA Chairperson Kris Reyes at pr@beachboardwalk.com no later than Friday, April 27. View full job description here.
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
  • The California Attractions and Parks Association (CAPA), was founded in 2004 as a trade organization representing the theme, amusement and water park industry in California. The sole CAPA employee is the Executive Director, whose efforts are focused on forming political coalitions, leveraging the legal, political and operational talent of its members, and supporting or opposing relevant legislation and regulation. Minimum 8 years serving on legislative staff, as a Capitol lobbyist, in-house government relations professional or equivalent experience. Resumes must be submitted to CAPA Chairperson Kris Reyes at pr@beachboardwalk.com no later than Friday, April 27. View full job description here.

  • BREATHE LA is seeking a dynamic, creative and organized Manager of Public Policy and Advocacy to manage the organization’s legislative and government affairs, as well as advocacy campaigns and community outreach.  This position is full-time and based in Los Angeles. Salary DOE. Details here: breathela.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Mgr-of-Pub-Pol-Advocacy-Job-Description.pdf
  • SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a broad range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box. Proven track record is a must. Competitive salary and excellent benefits. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.
  • SEIU-UHW – Healthcare Justice Phone & Digital Campaign Coordinator (Oakland or Sacramento)
    This position will develop the union’s technological and human capacity to use the phone bank to contact and build relationships with hundreds of thousands of voters, healthcare workers and patients to win 2018 candidate races, ballot initiatives, political pressure, organizing and bargaining campaigns. Your work will contribute to the growth of our member leadership, our union, and the labor movement. It will transform the resistance into the revolution. The Healthcare Justice Phone and Digital Campaign Coordinator works closely with the political, data, technology and field teams but reports directly to the Healthcare Justice Campaign Director. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.

  • Aaron Read and Associates
    2+ years of experience working in governmental affairs office; outstanding communication skills, working knowledge of legislative process, calendaring/arranging tra

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
John Cox Begins California Barnstorm With The Delivery Of Gas Tax Repeal Signatures
Javier Panzar @
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GOP gubernatorial candidate John Cox strolled up to the stack of 12 boxes in front of the Los Angeles County registrar-recorder’s offices in Norwalk on Monday and placed his hands on top of his party’s hope for success in 2018.

Tale Of Two Different Gavin Newsom Tv Ads | Politifact California
subject @
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Some TV ad watchers might have been confused this weekend when they saw a Gavin Newsom for Governor advertisement.

L.A. Budgets $430 Million To Help Homeless, Most Of It Long-term Debt
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Mayor Eric Garcetti's new budget proposes a 141% increase its spending on homelessness.But the $491 million in the budget isn't all hard cash. Here's a breakdown of where the money comes from and how much will go directly to homeless services.

California Voters Give Trump Low Approval Rating In New Poll | The Sacramento Bee
Taryn Luna @
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The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

Gavin Newsom Releases Ad That Highlights His Push To Allow Same-sex Couples To Marry
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Phyllis and Del had been together for over 50 YEARS but were never given the right to marry. One of the greatest moments...

Congressional District 50: Rep. Duncan Hunter's Campaign Finance Issues Have Drawn Plenty Of Challengers - The San Diego Union-tribune
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How Mike Pence Is Trying To Save California Republicans | The Sacramento Bee
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The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

Tony Mendoza's Fundraising Dries Up After Resignation Amid Harassment Inquiry
Patrick McGreevy @
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Political contributions to Tony Mendoza, who resigned from the state Senate under pressure amid sexual harassment allegations, have nearly dried up. New documents he filed with the state in his bid to reclaim the seat he once held show that his support has eroded.

This Supermarket Was Stymied By A Legal Fight. Here's Why It's Now Moving Forward, Developer Says | The Sacramento Bee
Tony Bizjak @
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By Tony Bizjak

Teacher Strikes Roil States That Limit Tax Increases - Politico

Arizona teachers on Tuesday are expected to continue their walkout for the fourth day, as they demand better pay and additional education funding. | Getty

Enjoy Lauryn Hill, Because Sacramento's Marijuana Music Festival May Not Have Marijuana | The Sacramento Bee
Ryan Lillis @
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A

Trump’s Looming Tariff Deadline Puts U.S. Allies On Edge - Politico

Workers assemble Audi sedans on an assembly line at the Audi automobile plant in Germany. President Donald Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on German-made cars should the European Union impose counter tariffs on U.S. products following the announcement by Trump to hit imported steel and aluminum with tariffs. | Andreas Gebert/Getty Images

Sacramento Police Want Ballistic Door Panels After September Shootout With Homicide Suspect | The Sacramento Bee
Nashelly Chavez @
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Covering crime, police and courts in the Sacramento region

Trump Campaign Pays Russia-related Legal Bills For Michael Cohen - Politico

The official said the payments were for legal costs Cohen incurred before the U.S. attorney's office for the Southern District of New York began investigating the lawyer for a variety of issues, including a 2016 payment to adult film star Stormy Daniels.

Migrant Caravan Turned Away At U.S. Border, Likely Faces Long Wait In Mexico
Sandra Dibble @
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Migrant caravan turned away at U.S. border, likely will face long wait in Mexico

Condoleezza Rice's Advice To Trump: Leave The Details Of Kim Negotiations 'to People Who Understand All The Nuance' - Politico

Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice urged President Donald Trump to consider the interests of Asian allies when he arrives at the negotiating table with Kim Jong Un. | Rob Kim/Getty Images