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SPORTS PAGE: I wonder how many Giants/Padres attendees left when the seagulls arrived in the 8th inning. Three runs in the bottom of the ninth. Game 2 tonight at 7:15. Pelicans @ Warriors for game 2 tonight at 7:10pm. Good hockey game in The Tank last night, even though the Sharks came out the short end of the hockey stick in overtime. A's will have a tough game tonight in Seattle, as will the Dodgers in Phoenix.
POLL POSITION: The releases from last week's Berkeley IGS poll continue, with today on President Donald Trump's job approval and positions on policy issues.
Trump job approval (registered voters):
Partisan breakdown on the issues and more on Russia is available on pages 5-6 in the full poll.
[n=4,038 registered voters provided by Political Data Inc.; 4/16-4/22; online through invitation by email; in Spanish/English; MOE +/- 3%]
The methodology is imperfect, as it relies on voters who have email addresses in PDI's database. However, Capitol Weekly and PDI have been using this methodology the last couple of years, and it's proven no less reliable than other polls. Weighting methodology is what's important, and I've found no flaws in Berkeley IGS's methodology, but as I've written, predicting the demographic turnout on June 5 is very difficult.
We have a very polarized electorate--politically and racially. You can ask whether a respondent plans to vote, but many will lie because it's the civically responsible answer to give.
LITEGOV: The independent expenditure committee supporting Eleni Kounalakis received $1.6m from her fathera, Sacramento developer Angelo Tsakopolous, bringing his total to around $4.8 million. The committee's sponsor, the California Medical Association, is the only other donor--giving $100,000. A birdie tells me that Angelo is willing to spend up to $10 million for the effort.
CA48 (Huntington Beach): The narrowing of the Democratic field in the battle to take Congressman Dana Rohrabacher (R) continued yesterday, with technology CEO Rachel Payne ending her campaign. Unlike previous drop outs Michael Kotick and Laura Oatman, Payne did not offer an endorsement for another candidate. Kotick and Oatman endorsed technology entrepreneur Harley Rouda. The Democratic Party has has endorsed neuroscientist Hans Keirstead. Of course, Kotick, Oatman, and Payne will all be listed on the ballot.
This brings the number of active Democrats from 8 to 5. Republicans have narrowed their field from 6 to 5, and there is 1 Libertarian and 1 No Party Preference candidates. As of 3/31, Keirstead had $642k on hand, while Rouda had $1.1 million. Democrat FBI advisor/attorney Omar Siddiqui had $867k on hand, although most of that was in the form of a personal loan.
SD32 (Whittier): In the Times, Patrick McGreevy reports that former state senator Tony Mendoza (D) has seen his fundraising dry up as he tries to regain the seat he resigned from on February 22 amid harassment allegations.
IE RACES: For the Press Enterprise, Jeff Horseman reports on two races where incumbents were outraised by challengers through the April 21 reports. He reports that Assemblywoman Sabrina Cervantes (D) was outraised by federal prosecutor Bill Essalyi (R) in AD60 and, in SD28, Joy Silver (D) outraised incumbent Jeff Stone (R).
Cervantes had $533,801 on hand to Essalyi's $133,668 as of April 21. Silver had $106,721 to Stone's $37,617.
THE FIGHT FOR THE HOUSE: Joel Fox writes up House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy's talk at the Milken Institute Global Conference held yesterday in Beverly Hills:
“I know what the odds say,” McCarthy acknowledged in an interview at the conference conducted by pollster Frank Luntz. McCarthy pointed out that since World War II only two midterm elections boosted the party that held the White House. One was in 2002 after the extraordinary events of 9/11; the other time was during Bill Clinton’s presidency in 1998 when he was able to boast of economic growth and use his “triangulation” strategy of presenting policy that fell between the left and right ideologies.
McCarthy thinks good economic news will lift the Republicans despite predictions by some that Democrats will take the House. McCarthy talked about growth possibly hitting 3%, tax cuts that saw five million Americans getting bonuses, 90% of Americans getting raises by having less money withheld from their paychecks; two-million new jobs and a 44-year low in unemployment, with record unemployment in both the African American and Hispanic communities.
CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA For Capiitol Weekly, Paul Mitchell looks at what the Cambridge Analytica scandal means for the use of digital ads for regular political campaigns. "The answer: Probably nothing."
SB 174 (Sen. Lara and Asm. Carrillo): The LAT's Jazmine Ulloa reports on a bill (yet to be amended) that would allow all Californians, regardless of citizenship status, eligible for appointment to state boards and commissions.
SB 827 (Wiener): In the Times, Liam Dillon reports that Jerry Brown on Monday told Bay Area Council business leaders that he thought that Senator Scott Wiener's bill to encourage more housing development adjacent to transit stops wasn't a bad idea.
I missed this one a couple of weeks ago, but Matt Levin's Gimme Shelter housing podcast offers a post-mortum on the failure of the bill.
SB 1250 (Bradford): Alexei Koseff reports in the Bee on a bill being heard today that would change to law in the determination of legal domicile for congressional or state officeholders to that stated on voter registration affidavits for the purposes of candidates and officeholders. Bradford represents the district formerly held by Rod Wright, who was prosecuted by the city attorney, sentenced to 90 days, and banned from office for life.
Of course, his time in the Legislature also led to the payment by Senate Rules to settle a $120,000 harassment claim in 2010, well before the #METOO movement.
THE OC: The LAT's Hugo Martin reports "A coalition of unions representing Disneyland workers say they have collected enough signatures to put a ballot measure before Anaheim voters that would require Walt Disney Co. to pay the resort workers a "living wage." The measure would raise the minimum wage at employers that receive city subsidies by $1/year until it reaches 18, and then tie is to increases annual cost-of-living.
SANCTUARY: For Capitol Weekly, Lisa Renner reports on the controversy surrounding the new "sanctuary state" law, which has led to many local governments joining the federal governments legal side against the law.
#CAKEDAY!: Happy birthday to Jenny Bach, Assemblywoman Catharine Baker, Nate Ballard, Mario Beltran, Kit Cole, and Derek Humphrey!
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John Cox Begins California Barnstorm With The Delivery Of Gas Tax Repeal Signatures
Javier Panzar @ latimes.com
GOP gubernatorial candidate John Cox strolled up to the stack of 12 boxes in front of the Los Angeles County registrar-recorder’s offices in Norwalk on Monday and placed his hands on top of his party’s hope for success in 2018.
Tale Of Two Different Gavin Newsom Tv Ads | Politifact California
subject @ politifact.com
Some TV ad watchers might have been confused this weekend when they saw a Gavin Newsom for Governor advertisement.
L.A. Budgets $430 Million To Help Homeless, Most Of It Long-term Debt
Doug Smith @ latimes.com
Mayor Eric Garcetti's new budget proposes a 141% increase its spending on homelessness.But the $491 million in the budget isn't all hard cash. Here's a breakdown of where the money comes from and how much will go directly to homeless services.
California Voters Give Trump Low Approval Rating In New Poll | The Sacramento Bee
Taryn Luna @ sacbee.com
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics
Gavin Newsom Releases Ad That Highlights His Push To Allow Same-sex Couples To Marry
Phil Willon @ latimes.com
Phyllis and Del had been together for over 50 YEARS but were never given the right to marry. One of the greatest moments...
Congressional District 50: Rep. Duncan Hunter's Campaign Finance Issues Have Drawn Plenty Of Challengers - The San Diego Union-tribune
Joshua Stewart @ sandiegouniontribune.com
How Mike Pence Is Trying To Save California Republicans | The Sacramento Bee
Emily Cadei @ sacbee.com
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics
Tony Mendoza's Fundraising Dries Up After Resignation Amid Harassment Inquiry
Patrick McGreevy @ latimes.com
Political contributions to Tony Mendoza, who resigned from the state Senate under pressure amid sexual harassment allegations, have nearly dried up. New documents he filed with the state in his bid to reclaim the seat he once held show that his support has eroded.
This Supermarket Was Stymied By A Legal Fight. Here's Why It's Now Moving Forward, Developer Says | The Sacramento Bee
Tony Bizjak @ sacbee.com
By Tony Bizjak
Teacher Strikes Roil States That Limit Tax Increases - Politico
Arizona teachers on Tuesday are expected to continue their walkout for the fourth day, as they demand better pay and additional education funding. | Getty
Enjoy Lauryn Hill, Because Sacramento's Marijuana Music Festival May Not Have Marijuana | The Sacramento Bee
Ryan Lillis @ sacbee.com
Trump’s Looming Tariff Deadline Puts U.S. Allies On Edge - Politico
Workers assemble Audi sedans on an assembly line at the Audi automobile plant in Germany. President Donald Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on German-made cars should the European Union impose counter tariffs on U.S. products following the announcement by Trump to hit imported steel and aluminum with tariffs. | Andreas Gebert/Getty Images
Sacramento Police Want Ballistic Door Panels After September Shootout With Homicide Suspect | The Sacramento Bee
Nashelly Chavez @ sacbee.com
Covering crime, police and courts in the Sacramento region
Trump Campaign Pays Russia-related Legal Bills For Michael Cohen - Politico
The official said the payments were for legal costs Cohen incurred before the U.S. attorney's office for the Southern District of New York began investigating the lawyer for a variety of issues, including a 2016 payment to adult film star Stormy Daniels.
Migrant Caravan Turned Away At U.S. Border, Likely Faces Long Wait In Mexico
Sandra Dibble @ latimes.com
Migrant caravan turned away at U.S. border, likely will face long wait in Mexico
Condoleezza Rice's Advice To Trump: Leave The Details Of Kim Negotiations 'to People Who Understand All The Nuance' - Politico
Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice urged President Donald Trump to consider the interests of Asian allies when he arrives at the negotiating table with Kim Jong Un. | Rob Kim/Getty Images