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DISTRICT UPDATES:

SPORTS PAGE: Giants beat the Dodgers yesterday 4-2, taking the series two games to one. Sacramento Comcast/xfinity subscribers weren't able to watch it, as NBCSN Bay Area had a "this program is not currently available" message. Today, the Padres head to AT&T Park (7:15pm), and the Dodgers head to Arizona. Sharks play Vegas in game 3 of the second round in San Jose.

Happy Monday! It'll warmer here in Sac today, with a very pleasant high of 72. We should be in the mid-80s by the weekend. A bit cooler in San Diego, and 57 and breezy at game time at AT&T Park. Bring those San Francisco layers.

BALLOTS: Vote-by-mail ballots start going out a week from today. In Madera, Napa, Nevada, Sacramento, San Mateo counties, all registered voters will receive a ballot in the mail, which can be returned by mail or dropped off at voter centers or at the county registrar.

MONEY MATTERS: On the final day of April, the month's personal income taxes (payments, refunds, and withholding) stand at $13 billion, $500 million above projections through Thursday. Today, we should get an update that accounts for Friday and the weekend.

US SENATE: The Bee's Taryn Luna looks at who James P. Bradley is. The Laguna Beach Republican and first-time candidate has closed in to be one point behind Kevin de León in the race for the second spot to join Senator Dianne Feinstein in November, according to the Berkeley IGS Poll released Thursday. Paul Mitchell notes, however, that the candidate names didn't rotate. In June, they will rotate to a different order by county.

Senate:

  • Dianne Feinstein (D), U.S. Senator: 28%
  • Kevin de León (D), California Senator: 11%
  • James P. Bradley, Chief Financial Officer: 10%
  • Other Republican candidates: 8%
  • All other candidates: 6%
  • Undecided: 37%

Governor:

  • Gavin Newsom (D): 30%
  • John Cox (R): 18%
  • Travis Allen (R): 16%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa (D): 9%
  • John Chiang (D): 7%
  • Delaine Eastin (D): 4%
  • Others: 3%
  • Undecided: 13%

Calbuzz looks at whether the Survey USA and Berkeley IGS properly reflect actual changes or if they are just outliers. As we've talked about in this space, there are many factors that could influence the polling. On the Villaraigosa number, they write:

“It might be a low-side estimate,” [respected poll director, formerly of the Field Poll, Mark] DiCamillo told us. But their latest sampling suggests fewer younger, down-scale and Los Angeles Latinos will participate in the June election so “Many of the Latinos who would be Villaraigosa supporters will likely not be participating in the primary.” (Hmm, does that mean their earlier polling was wrong? Did something happen to all those Latino likely voters?)

. . .

Bottom line: Public polling on California politics – once the envy of the country – now is a muddle. We’re actual fans of well-run public opinion surveys and we’re aware that DiCamillo is trying to find a methodology that is both affordable and deals with declining response rates in phone polling.

But right now, we’re not sure what anyone can trust. We’d love to see the Public Policy Institute of California start using the voter rolls for its otherwise excellent surveys and we’d like the Los Angeles Times/USC to do more live interview polling. Until then, caveat emptor.

The biggest questions in the weighting of Asian and Latino voters, which serious candidates of both demographics are in statewide primaries. Berkeley IGS weights at 66% non-Hispanic whites, 20% Latino, and 14% other races and the in effectiveness of online/auto-call responses. 

GOV: Assembly Elections and Redistricting chair Marc Berman tweeted that Allen didn't show up for the committee hearing on Allen's Voter ID bill last Wednesday. The bill had no chance of passage, but Allen has campaigned on it on the road for his gubernatorial bid.

For CALmatters, Laurel Rosenhall looks at the use of questionnaires by interest groups of gubernatorial candidates used in decisions on endorsements and campaign contributions. The non-public answers frequently appear to extract promises from the eventually successful candidate. 

The California Politico Playbook reports on a new ad by the "Restore Our Values" independent expenditure committee formed to benefit John Cox that goes personal against Newsom and Villaraigosa about past sexual transgressions. [ad] The committee only had about $65,000 on hand on April 21 and has reported a $9,999 contribution since. Don't expect this ad to be in prolific teevee rotation, but rather online, although the committee says that it will on in five media markets. That doesn't necessarily mean broadcast.

VR: For the Press-Enterprise, Jeff Horseman asks whether the large numbers of  as 16- and 17-year olds "pre-registering" to vote will actually do so when they turn 18.

 

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Bail Reform California

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FREQUENT FLYERS: For the Times, Sarah D. Wire looks at the burden of travel for California congressional members. While not all go home every weekend, those in competitive districts and those with young children often do. Of course, constituents place demands on their time back in the district, so it doesn’t necessarily mean more family  time. 

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Education: Capitol Seminars - learn how to lobby effectively
  • Job: Aaron Read and Associates - Legislative Assistant
  • Job: Cargill Director of Governmental Relations (Newark-Bay Area)
  • Job: Randle Communications 
  • Job: The California Dental Association seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate
  • Job: Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
  • Job: Save the Bay Political Director
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Healthcare Justice Phone & Digital Campaign Coordinator (Oakland, Los Angeles or Sacramento)
  • Job: CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representatives (Bay Area, LA North East, Orange, San Bernardino, San Joaquin North)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels   

 

THE CARAVAN: The old five school buses of Central American refugees (mostly from Honduras) to the United States arrived in Tijuana as expected yesterday, but Customs and Border Patrol told them that the San Ysidro border checkpoint is already overcrowded and they would be processed as space becomes available, reports the SDUT's Sandra Dibble.

The asylum seekers are now camping out on the Tijuana side and others are on the pedestrian border crossing bridge. President Trump has said that he would stop them from entering, although they are making claims under international and federal immigration law. In 2017, of the 110,000 ceiling for asylum grants, 53,716 were admitted, mostly from Africa and near east and South Asia.

 

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Irvine Foundation Leadership Awards

 

Probolsky Research

 

UNEMPLOYMENT: In the Register, Jonathan Lansner looks at California's unemployment rate and, while at a record low, that doesn't mean that everything is peachy. "[D]on’t get me wrong. California continues to generate numerous grand employment opportunities. But that doesn’t mean every worker is getting what they need."

 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

#CAKEDAY!: Happy birthday to Geoff Kors and Renee Sanchez!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.
 

  

  • Please join the Women’s Foundation of California for the 2018 Legislative Reception, celebrating the Women’s Policy Institute State and Local classes. We will honor the accomplishments of U.S. Congresswoman Jackie Speier, Senate President pro Tempore Toni Atkins, the co-founders of the We Said Enough campaign, and co-founder of Líderes Campesinas and Alianza Nacional de Campesinas Mily Treviño-Sauceda. Join us in recognizing the leaders of California’s gender justice movement. Tue, May 8, 5–7PM (program begins promptly at 5:30) at the Sacramento Meeting Place, Adelante Room, 1414 K Street, first floor. Refreshments will be served. RSVP here!

  • Imprenta Communications Group Seeks Account Coordinator to Join Our Sacramento Office. Successful candidate will have 1-3 years previous experience working at a public relations agency, on political campaigns, political staff, or corporate marketing. The ideal candidate is a hard-working, professional, and dedicated individual seeking to empower communities of color. Spanish or Asian language fluency preferred. Full job description can be viewed here. Submit resume and cover letter to Ken Tiratira at ktiratira@icgworldwide.com for consideration.

  • Randle Communications is seeking a highly-motivated communications professional to support the firm’s growing public affairs practice. Ideal candidate has three – five years legislative/campaign experience, strong communication skills, is detail-oriented and a self-starter. Salary BOE.  E-mail resume, references, cover letter: info@randlecommunications.com
  • Save The Bay seeks a Political Director to lead strategic advocacy campaigns that protect and restore San Francisco Bay. Supervise policy team, mobilize our grassroots network, build partnerships with diverse interests and communities, and integrate advocacy objectives throughout the organization. Save The Bay is the largest organization working to protect and restore the Bay for people and wildlife, with more than 50 years of accomplishments. Our downtown Oakland office is a great work environment with excellent transit access. This position reports to the Executive Director and serves on the senior management team. Full description at www.saveSFbay.org/jobs.
  • Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator – The Council of State Governments, West (Sacramento, CA)
    The Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator contributes to the organization's policy objectives and engagement with regional policy-makers and other stakeholders. This includes coordinating and providing policy committee and program support, as well as providing support of the organization's international engagement efforts, particularly between CSG West members and policy stakeholders in Mexico and Canada. Individual must be bilingual (English/Spanish), with a high proficiency to read, write and speak in both languages. CSG is an Equal Opportunity Employer (Minorities/Females/Veterans/Disabled) csg.applicantpro.com/jobs/765554.html

  • LOBBYING SUCCESS IS JUST A COUPLE OF CLICKS AWAY. Capitol Seminars offers you a cost-effective, comprehensive overview of what it takes to be more successful at lobbying in California. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, these invaluable seminars cover the processes, touch points and best practices of Legislative, Budget and Regulatory advocacy, Lobbying the Administration and Media Strategies. You'll learn how state government "really works" from an insider's perspective. Next dates are June 7-8 and July 26-27 at McGeorge School of Law and Policy. Information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009. Note: If you tried to register between March 24-30 and could not access our site, please try again. The bug has been squashed.

  • The California Attractions and Parks Association (CAPA) is seeking a qualified Executive Director. CAPA was founded in 2004 as a trade organization representing California's theme, amusement and water park industry. The Executive Director is CAPA's sole employee, whose efforts are focused on forming political coalitions, leveraging the legal, political and operational talent of its members, and supporting/opposing relevant legislation and regulation. Minimum 8 years serving on legislative staff, as a Capitol lobbyist, in-house government relations or equivalent experience. Please submit resumes to CAPA Chairperson Kris Reyes at pr@beachboardwalk.com no later than Friday, April 27. View full job description here.
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
  • The California Attractions and Parks Association (CAPA), was founded in 2004 as a trade organization representing the theme, amusement and water park industry in California. The sole CAPA employee is the Executive Director, whose efforts are focused on forming political coalitions, leveraging the legal, political and operational talent of its members, and supporting or opposing relevant legislation and regulation. Minimum 8 years serving on legislative staff, as a Capitol lobbyist, in-house government relations professional or equivalent experience. Resumes must be submitted to CAPA Chairperson Kris Reyes at pr@beachboardwalk.com no later than Friday, April 27. View full job description here.

  • BREATHE LA is seeking a dynamic, creative and organized Manager of Public Policy and Advocacy to manage the organization’s legislative and government affairs, as well as advocacy campaigns and community outreach.  This position is full-time and based in Los Angeles. Salary DOE. Details here: breathela.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Mgr-of-Pub-Pol-Advocacy-Job-Description.pdf
  • SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a broad range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box. Proven track record is a must. Competitive salary and excellent benefits. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.
  • SEIU-UHW – Healthcare Justice Phone & Digital Campaign Coordinator (Oakland or Sacramento)
    This position will develop the union’s technological and human capacity to use the phone bank to contact and build relationships with hundreds of thousands of voters, healthcare workers and patients to win 2018 candidate races, ballot initiatives, political pressure, organizing and bargaining campaigns. Your work will contribute to the growth of our member leadership, our union, and the labor movement. It will transform the resistance into the revolution. The Healthcare Justice Phone and Digital Campaign Coordinator works closely with the political, data, technology and field teams but reports directly to the Healthcare Justice Campaign Director. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.

  • Aaron Read and Associates
    2+ years of experience working in governmental affairs office; outstanding communication skills, working knowledge of legislative process, calendaring/arranging tra

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Silicon Valley Water Agency May Help Fund California Tunnels | The Sacramento Bee
sacbee.com
Silicon Valley's largest water district is showing renewed interest in California Gov. Jerry Brown's plan to build two massive tunnels to ferry water to the southern part of the state.

Three Decades Before The #metoo Movement, UC San Diego Led The Way Against Sexual Assault
Teresa Watanabe @
latimes.com
Three decades before the #MeToo movement, UC San Diego led the way in fighting campus sexual assault by launching the University of California's first center to support survivors. Center director Nancy Wahlig talks about the progress made over 30 years.

Caravan Supporters Rally On Both Sides Of The International Border - The San Diego Union-tribune
Carl Prine @
sandiegouniontribune.com
The restored B-17 Flying Fortress was a tough act for anyone to follow but Donald Foulks was up to the task. As a 22-year-old bombardier, he was imprisoned in Nazi Germany's infamous Stalag Luft III, site of "The Great Escape."

Mma Fighter With Links To Trump, Cohen Is Questioned By FBI | The Sacramento Bee
PATRICK ROSE @
sacbee.com
A Russian mixed martial arts fighter who has connections with President Donald Trump, the president's personal attorney Michael Cohen and Russian President Vladimir Putin was questioned this week by the FBI, his manager confirmed Saturday.

What Happens When Someone Asks For Asylum At The Border - The San Diego Union-tribune
Kate Morrissey @
sandiegouniontribune.com
Credible fear

L.A. County Officials Considering Property Tax For Stormwater Measures
Nina Agrawal @
latimes.com
The measure, a 3- or 4-cent per-square-foot parcel tax, would raise revenue to pay for the technology and infrastructure needed to capture more stormwater.

Who’s On Second? Ca Polling Is A Muddled Mess « Calbuzz
calbuzz.com
Not according to Survey USA. Their online poll had Villaraigosa at 37% among Latinos, followed by Newsom at 16% and Allen at 6%.

Caltrans Workers Seek Protections Clearing Homeless Camps | The Sacramento Bee
Marjie Lundstrom @
sacbee.com
By Marjie Lundstrom

New Illinois News Site Designed To Counter Breitbart, Ipi - Politico

Ameya Pawar, a onetime progressive Illinois gubernatorial candidate, serves as president and executive director of One Illinois. | G-Jun-Yam/AP Photo

Migrants From Central American Caravan Face A Long Road To Asylum In U.s.
Kate Morrissey @
latimes.com
A caravan of asylum seekers from Central America made it to the California border Sunday. Here's a look at what's ahead for them.

South Korean President: Trump 'should Win The Nobel Peace Prize' - Politico

President Donald Trump and South Korean President Moon Jae-in have heaped praise on one another over the ongoing discussions with North Korea. | Kim Hong-Ji/AFP/Getty Images

Part I: The Ghost Ship Videos
David DeBolt and Matthias Gafni @
extras.mercurynews.com
Top Oakland police officials have defended the officers, saying they are not trained to identify fire hazards. Before the Ghost Ship fire, police were not required to report illegal parties or unpermitted events, but the department has since changed policy to require it. The department did not respond when asked whether it also now requires officers to report obvious unsafe buildings such as the warehouse, or where referrals would go. Nor would it comment on the frequency of visits by officers inside the warehouse.