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SPORTS PAGE: Giants beat the Dodgers yesterday 4-2, taking the series two games to one. Sacramento Comcast/xfinity subscribers weren't able to watch it, as NBCSN Bay Area had a "this program is not currently available" message. Today, the Padres head to AT&T Park (7:15pm), and the Dodgers head to Arizona. Sharks play Vegas in game 3 of the second round in San Jose.
Happy Monday! It'll warmer here in Sac today, with a very pleasant high of 72. We should be in the mid-80s by the weekend. A bit cooler in San Diego, and 57 and breezy at game time at AT&T Park. Bring those San Francisco layers.
BALLOTS: Vote-by-mail ballots start going out a week from today. In Madera, Napa, Nevada, Sacramento, San Mateo counties, all registered voters will receive a ballot in the mail, which can be returned by mail or dropped off at voter centers or at the county registrar.
MONEY MATTERS: On the final day of April, the month's personal income taxes (payments, refunds, and withholding) stand at $13 billion, $500 million above projections through Thursday. Today, we should get an update that accounts for Friday and the weekend.
US SENATE: The Bee's Taryn Luna looks at who James P. Bradley is. The Laguna Beach Republican and first-time candidate has closed in to be one point behind Kevin de León in the race for the second spot to join Senator Dianne Feinstein in November, according to the Berkeley IGS Poll released Thursday. Paul Mitchell notes, however, that the candidate names didn't rotate. In June, they will rotate to a different order by county.
Calbuzz looks at whether the Survey USA and Berkeley IGS properly reflect actual changes or if they are just outliers. As we've talked about in this space, there are many factors that could influence the polling. On the Villaraigosa number, they write:
“It might be a low-side estimate,” [respected poll director, formerly of the Field Poll, Mark] DiCamillo told us. But their latest sampling suggests fewer younger, down-scale and Los Angeles Latinos will participate in the June election so “Many of the Latinos who would be Villaraigosa supporters will likely not be participating in the primary.” (Hmm, does that mean their earlier polling was wrong? Did something happen to all those Latino likely voters?)
. . .
Bottom line: Public polling on California politics – once the envy of the country – now is a muddle. We’re actual fans of well-run public opinion surveys and we’re aware that DiCamillo is trying to find a methodology that is both affordable and deals with declining response rates in phone polling.
But right now, we’re not sure what anyone can trust. We’d love to see the Public Policy Institute of California start using the voter rolls for its otherwise excellent surveys and we’d like the Los Angeles Times/USC to do more live interview polling. Until then, caveat emptor.
The biggest questions in the weighting of Asian and Latino voters, which serious candidates of both demographics are in statewide primaries. Berkeley IGS weights at 66% non-Hispanic whites, 20% Latino, and 14% other races and the in effectiveness of online/auto-call responses.
GOV: Assembly Elections and Redistricting chair Marc Berman tweeted that Allen didn't show up for the committee hearing on Allen's Voter ID bill last Wednesday. The bill had no chance of passage, but Allen has campaigned on it on the road for his gubernatorial bid.
For CALmatters, Laurel Rosenhall looks at the use of questionnaires by interest groups of gubernatorial candidates used in decisions on endorsements and campaign contributions. The non-public answers frequently appear to extract promises from the eventually successful candidate.
The California Politico Playbook reports on a new ad by the "Restore Our Values" independent expenditure committee formed to benefit John Cox that goes personal against Newsom and Villaraigosa about past sexual transgressions. [ad] The committee only had about $65,000 on hand on April 21 and has reported a $9,999 contribution since. Don't expect this ad to be in prolific teevee rotation, but rather online, although the committee says that it will on in five media markets. That doesn't necessarily mean broadcast.
VR: For the Press-Enterprise, Jeff Horseman asks whether the large numbers of as 16- and 17-year olds "pre-registering" to vote will actually do so when they turn 18.
FREQUENT FLYERS: For the Times, Sarah D. Wire looks at the burden of travel for California congressional members. While not all go home every weekend, those in competitive districts and those with young children often do. Of course, constituents place demands on their time back in the district, so it doesn’t necessarily mean more family time.
THE CARAVAN: The old five school buses of Central American refugees (mostly from Honduras) to the United States arrived in Tijuana as expected yesterday, but Customs and Border Patrol told them that the San Ysidro border checkpoint is already overcrowded and they would be processed as space becomes available, reports the SDUT's Sandra Dibble.
The asylum seekers are now camping out on the Tijuana side and others are on the pedestrian border crossing bridge. President Trump has said that he would stop them from entering, although they are making claims under international and federal immigration law. In 2017, of the 110,000 ceiling for asylum grants, 53,716 were admitted, mostly from Africa and near east and South Asia.
UNEMPLOYMENT: In the Register, Jonathan Lansner looks at California's unemployment rate and, while at a record low, that doesn't mean that everything is peachy. "[D]on’t get me wrong. California continues to generate numerous grand employment opportunities. But that doesn’t mean every worker is getting what they need."
#CAKEDAY!: Happy birthday to Geoff Kors and Renee Sanchez!
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Silicon Valley Water Agency May Help Fund California Tunnels | The Sacramento Bee
Silicon Valley's largest water district is showing renewed interest in California Gov. Jerry Brown's plan to build two massive tunnels to ferry water to the southern part of the state.
Three Decades Before The #metoo Movement, UC San Diego Led The Way Against Sexual Assault
Teresa Watanabe @ latimes.com
Three decades before the #MeToo movement, UC San Diego led the way in fighting campus sexual assault by launching the University of California's first center to support survivors. Center director Nancy Wahlig talks about the progress made over 30 years.
Caravan Supporters Rally On Both Sides Of The International Border - The San Diego Union-tribune
Carl Prine @ sandiegouniontribune.com
The restored B-17 Flying Fortress was a tough act for anyone to follow but Donald Foulks was up to the task. As a 22-year-old bombardier, he was imprisoned in Nazi Germany's infamous Stalag Luft III, site of "The Great Escape."
Mma Fighter With Links To Trump, Cohen Is Questioned By FBI | The Sacramento Bee
PATRICK ROSE @ sacbee.com
A Russian mixed martial arts fighter who has connections with President Donald Trump, the president's personal attorney Michael Cohen and Russian President Vladimir Putin was questioned this week by the FBI, his manager confirmed Saturday.
What Happens When Someone Asks For Asylum At The Border - The San Diego Union-tribune
Kate Morrissey @ sandiegouniontribune.com
L.A. County Officials Considering Property Tax For Stormwater Measures
Nina Agrawal @ latimes.com
The measure, a 3- or 4-cent per-square-foot parcel tax, would raise revenue to pay for the technology and infrastructure needed to capture more stormwater.
Who’s On Second? Ca Polling Is A Muddled Mess « Calbuzz
Not according to Survey USA. Their online poll had Villaraigosa at 37% among Latinos, followed by Newsom at 16% and Allen at 6%.
Caltrans Workers Seek Protections Clearing Homeless Camps | The Sacramento Bee
Marjie Lundstrom @ sacbee.com
By Marjie Lundstrom
New Illinois News Site Designed To Counter Breitbart, Ipi - Politico
Ameya Pawar, a onetime progressive Illinois gubernatorial candidate, serves as president and executive director of One Illinois. | G-Jun-Yam/AP Photo
Migrants From Central American Caravan Face A Long Road To Asylum In U.s.
Kate Morrissey @ latimes.com
A caravan of asylum seekers from Central America made it to the California border Sunday. Here's a look at what's ahead for them.
South Korean President: Trump 'should Win The Nobel Peace Prize' - Politico
President Donald Trump and South Korean President Moon Jae-in have heaped praise on one another over the ongoing discussions with North Korea. | Kim Hong-Ji/AFP/Getty Images
Part I: The Ghost Ship Videos
David DeBolt and Matthias Gafni @ extras.mercurynews.com
Top Oakland police officials have defended the officers, saying they are not trained to identify fire hazards. Before the Ghost Ship fire, police were not required to report illegal parties or unpermitted events, but the department has since changed policy to require it. The department did not respond when asked whether it also now requires officers to report obvious unsafe buildings such as the warehouse, or where referrals would go. Nor would it comment on the frequency of visits by officers inside the warehouse.
Legal Marijuana’s Big Moment - Politico Magazine
JAMES HIGDON @
Alex Brandon/AP Photo
East Area Rapist Stole Sacramento's Innocence In 1970s | The Sacramento Bee
Cynthia Hubert @ sacbee.com
Covering crime, police and courts in the Sacramento region
Trump for Nobel? His thirst for flattery feeds the nascent campaign.
South Korea's president says Trump should win it.