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REMINDER: My regular email addresses are caught in DNS hell between my server and Google. Email me at scottlay@gmail.com instead of replying to this message.

Back to semi-normal today. I even got the day of the week correct in the subject line, albeit not in time to realize it's trash day. That said, after being gone essentially five days, it's not like I have much trash anyway. I can't believe I had Monday in my afterNooner yesterday. Days get lost in the hospital and, no, I wasn't on any narcotics! 

POLL POSITION: PPIC is out which its monthly poll, which focuses on education.  [Excerpts]
[n=1,704 Adult residents (MOE +/- 3.1%); 1,330 registered voters (MOE +/- 3.6%); 867 likely voters (MOE +/- 4.4%); Live calls landline (511) and cell (1,193); Engilsh/Spanish; 03/25-04/03/18]

In the race for governor, not much has changed.

Among likely voters:

  • 26% Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, Lieutenant Governor/ Businessman
  • 15 John Cox, a Republican, Businessman/Taxpayer Advocate
  • 13 Antonio Villaraigosa, a Democrat, Public Policy Advisor
  • 10 Travis Allen, a Republican, California Assemblyman/Businessman
  • 7 John Chiang, a Democrat, California State Treasurer
  • 6 Delaine Eastin, a Democrat, educator/Youth Advocate
  • 1 someone else (specify)
  • 22 don’t know

Superintendent of Public Instruction (likely voters):

  • 13% Tony Thurmond, Educator/State Legislator
  • 13 Marshall Tuck, Schools Improvement Director
  • – someone else (specify)
  • 74 don’t know

Reduce parcel tax requirement for schools from 2/3 to 55%?

  • 57% yes 
  • 34 no
  • 9 don’t know

"Split roll" property tax, with a portion to K-12 schools?

  • 61% yes
  • 33 no
  • 6 don’t know

Local school bond measure for construction?

  • 70% yes
  • 22 no
  • 8 don’t know

Local parcel tax for school programs?

  • 61% yes
  • 34 no
  • 6 don’t know

Biggest problems facing public schools in your community?

  • 24% lack of funding
  • 9 quality of teachers
  • 7 safety, bullying
  • 6 lack of parental involvement
  • 5 large class sizes
  • 4 low teacher pay
  • 3 mismanagement, poor leadership
  • 3 too much bureaucracy
  • 2 English learners / immigration
  • 2 limited/poor curriculum
  • 2 lack of discipline, student behavior
  • 1 high drop-out rates / low graduation
  • rates
  • 1 teacher shortage
  • 1 teacher unions, benefits
  • 16 other (specify)
  • 14 don’t know

SANCTUARY: Do you favor or oppose your public school district designating itself as a sanctuary “safe zone” to indicate it will protect its undocumented students and their families from federal immigration enforcement efforts?

  • 65% favor
  • 30 oppose
  • 5 don’t know

MASS SHOOTINGS: How concerned are you about the threat of a mass shooting in your local schools? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned?

  • 49% very concerned
  • 24 somewhat concerned
  • 14 not too concerned
  • 12 not at all concerned
  • 1 don’t know

TEACHERS WITH GUNS: Do you favor or oppose allowing more teachers and school officials to carry guns in schools?

  • 30% favor
  • 67 oppose
  • 3 don’t know

CA48 (Huntington Beach): ...and then there were six Democrats. Businessman Michael Kotick joins architect Laura Oatman in dropping out (names will still be on the ballot), and endorsing businessman Harley Rouda

This is what voters will see on the ballot (not in ballot order, as that's done locally through the complicated rotatating alphabet, particularly in a district that spans three counties, which will have a different order in each of the three counties):

  • Hans Keirstead (D) - Neuroscientist/Professor/Entrpreneur
  • Michaei Kotick (D) - Global Business Executive -- not actively running, has endorsed Rouda
  • Laura Oatman (D) - Architect/Business Owner -- not actively running, has endorsed Rouda
  • Rachel Payne (D) - Technology CEO/Entrepreneur
  • Harley Rouda (D) - Technology Entrepreneur
  • Deanie Schaarsmith (D) - Business Owner/CFO
  • Omar A. Siddiqui (D) - FBI Advisor/Attorney
  • Tony Zarkades (D) - Airline Pilot
  • Scott Baugh (R) - Orange County Business Owner
  • John Gabbard (R) - Small Business Owner
  • Paul Martin (R) - Businessman
  • Stelian Onufrei (R) - Business Owner
  • Dana Rohrabacher (R) - U.S. Representative, 45th District
  • Shastina Sandman (R) - CEO/Entrpreneur/Mother
  • Brandon Reiser (L) - Business Operations Manager
  • Kevin Kensinger (NPP) - Licensed Investment Professional

So, that's six Democrats actively campaigning, six Republicans actively campaigning, a Libertarian and an NPP candidate. Two of each of the major party candidates are well resourced--Baugh and Rohrabacher for the GOP and Keirstead and Roudy for the Dems). 

The district split 42.4% for Jerry Brown, with Neel Kashkari capturing 57.6% in 2014--the last midterm. Even if turnout surges toward the last statewide, Clinton edged Trump by only 1.7%.

There are now four active (and two inactive) Democratic candidates and six active Republican candidates. 

It boils down to Keirstead, Rouda and Siddiqui on the Democratic side and Baugh and Rohrabacher on the Republican side as the well resourced candidates. That said, with sixteen candidates on the ballot, it's anybody's guess. A few percent splittling to the other candidates--including to Kotick and Oatman who are not actively campaigning and have endorsed Rouda--could significantly affect which two candidates rank to make it to November. 

I don't know what will happen on the Republican side. Incumbent Rohrabacher has major liabilities following friendliness toward Russia, including participating in meetings. He also has a libertarian streak that, while I personally appreciate, turns off some base voters over his nearly thirty years in Congress. Baugh enters with little controversy, except election manipulation related to the Doris Allen recall. That was a long time ago and he earned a lot of chits during his term as chair of the Orange County Republican Party.

My bet right now is that it will be Baugh v. Rouda in November, but am also changing this race from Toss-up to Leans Republican.

Thanks for giving me some time to catch up following my unfortunate stint in the hospital. And, thanks to Covered California for a simple way to by invididual (unsubsidized) health insurance.

 

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Pepperdine University Leadership Awards

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Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Education: Capitol Seminars - learn how to lobby effectively
  • Event: Equality California’s 2018 Sacramento Equality Awards - April 10
  • Job: Aaron Read and Associates - Legislative Assistant
  • Job: Cargill Director of Governmental Relations (Newark-Bay Area)
  • Job: The California Dental Association seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate
  • Job: Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Oakland or Sacramento)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Healthcare Justice Phone & Digital Campaign Coordinator (Oakland, Los Angeles or Sacramento)
  • Job: CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representatives (Bay Area, LA North East, Orange, San Bernardino, San Joaquin North)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels   

 

Probolsky Research

 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Reed Galen, Senator Henry Stern, Amy Thoma Tan!

 

 

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scottlay@gmail.com for $40/week.
 

 

 

  • Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator – The Council of State Governments, West (Sacramento, CA)
    The Policy Committees and Programs Coordinator contributes to the organization's policy objectives and engagement with regional policy-makers and other stakeholders. This includes coordinating and providing policy committee and program support, as well as providing support of the organization's international engagement efforts, particularly between CSG West members and policy stakeholders in Mexico and Canada. Individual must be bilingual (English/Spanish), with a high proficiency to read, write and speak in both languages. CSG is an Equal Opportunity Employer (Minorities/Females/Veterans/Disabled) csg.applicantpro.com/jobs/765554.html

  • LOBBYING SUCCESS IS JUST A COUPLE OF CLICKS AWAY. Capitol Seminars offers you a cost-effective, comprehensive overview of what it takes to be more successful at lobbying in California. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, these invaluable seminars cover the processes, touch points and best practices of Legislative, Budget and Regulatory advocacy, Lobbying the Administration and Media Strategies. You'll learn how state government "really works" from an insider's perspective. Next dates are June 7-8 and July 26-27 at McGeorge School of Law and Policy. Information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009. Note: If you tried to register between March 24-30 and could not access our site, please try again. The bug has been squashed.

  • The California Attractions and Parks Association (CAPA) is seeking a qualified Executive Director. CAPA was founded in 2004 as a trade organization representing California's theme, amusement and water park industry. The Executive Director is CAPA's sole employee, whose efforts are focused on forming political coalitions, leveraging the legal, political and operational talent of its members, and supporting/opposing relevant legislation and regulation. Minimum 8 years serving on legislative staff, as a Capitol lobbyist, in-house government relations or equivalent experience. Please submit resumes to CAPA Chairperson Kris Reyes at pr@beachboardwalk.com no later than Friday, April 27. View full job description here.
  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6
  • The California Attractions and Parks Association (CAPA), was founded in 2004 as a trade organization representing the theme, amusement and water park industry in California. The sole CAPA employee is the Executive Director, whose efforts are focused on forming political coalitions, leveraging the legal, political and operational talent of its members, and supporting or opposing relevant legislation and regulation. Minimum 8 years serving on legislative staff, as a Capitol lobbyist, in-house government relations professional or equivalent experience. Resumes must be submitted to CAPA Chairperson Kris Reyes at pr@beachboardwalk.com no later than Friday, April 27. View full job description here.

  • BREATHE LA is seeking a dynamic, creative and organized Manager of Public Policy and Advocacy to manage the organization’s legislative and government affairs, as well as advocacy campaigns and community outreach.  This position is full-time and based in Los Angeles. Salary DOE. Details here: breathela.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Mgr-of-Pub-Pol-Advocacy-Job-Description.pdf
  • SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a broad range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box. Proven track record is a must. Competitive salary and excellent benefits. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.
  • SEIU-UHW – Healthcare Justice Phone & Digital Campaign Coordinator (Oakland or Sacramento)
    This position will develop the union’s technological and human capacity to use the phone bank to contact and build relationships with hundreds of thousands of voters, healthcare workers and patients to win 2018 candidate races, ballot initiatives, political pressure, organizing and bargaining campaigns. Your work will contribute to the growth of our member leadership, our union, and the labor movement. It will transform the resistance into the revolution. The Healthcare Justice Phone and Digital Campaign Coordinator works closely with the political, data, technology and field teams but reports directly to the Healthcare Justice Campaign Director. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.

  • Aaron Read and Associates
    2+ years of experience working in governmental affairs office; outstanding communication skills, working knowledge of legislative process, calendaring/arranging travel, proficient in Microsoft Outlook, Excel, Word. Capitol Track knowledge a plus. Salary based on experience. Send resume to: mshetler@aaronread.com

  • Director of Government Relations – Cargill (Newark – Bay Area)
    This position will develop and have primary responsibility for ensuring implementation for a government-relations, corporate responsibility, and communications strategy to support the Cargill Salt and Land Management businesses in the San Francisco Bay Area. The position will coordinate the businesses’ government relations, internal communications, external communications, corporate responsibility, and stakeholder outreach. Cargill has over 150 years of experience with 150,000 employees in 70 countries who are committed to feeding the world in a responsible way, reducing environmental impact and improving the communities where we live and work.

  • LEARN HOW TO LOBBY MORE EFFECTIVELY.  Capitol Seminars offers you a cost-effective, comprehensive overview of what it takes to be more successful at lobbying in California. Conducted by 43-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, these unique seminars cover the processes, touch points and best practices of Legislative, Budget and Regulatory advocacy, Lobbying the Administration and Media Strategies. Next dates are April 12-13, June 7-8, July 26-27 at McGeorge School of Law and Policy. Information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009.

  • Equality California’s 2018 Sacramento Equality Awards, Crest Theatre, Tuesday, April 10 5:30-7:30 PM: Awards ceremony and cocktail reception to recognize LGBTQ leaders and allies. Honorees include: California Attorney General Xavier Becerra, "We Said Enough" co-founder Adama Iwu, LGBTQ leader Cathy Schwamberger, and The Capitol LGBTQ Association. Event co-chairs include: EQCA Board President Mandy Lee, EQCAI Vice-President Joe Gregorich, Assemblymember Cecilia Aguiar-Curry, Assemblymember David Chiu and Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin. Sponsorships and tickets available: www.eqca.org/equality-awards/sacramento/. For more info, contact Naseam Alavi, naseam@eqca.org, 323-848-9801

  • SEIU-UHW – Healthcare Justice Phone & Digital Campaign Coordinator (Oakland or Sacramento)
    This position will develop the union’s technological and human capacity to use the phone bank to contact and build relationships with hundreds of thousands of voters, healthcare workers and patients to win 2018 candidate races, ballot initiatives, political pressure, organizing and bargaining campaigns. Your work will contribute to the growth of our member leadership, our union, and the labor movement. It will transform the resistance into the revolution. The Healthcare Justice Phone and Digital Campaign Coordinator works closely with the political, data, technology and field teams but reports directly to the Healthcare Justice Campaign Director. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.

  • Probolsky Research - Research Analyst - Public Opinion (Orange County)
    Can you research and write like a journalist and edit like an English teacher? Are you hyper-focused on the details? Do you have superpowers when using Microsoft Excel, Power Point and Word? The Research Analyst is responsible for facilitating market and opinion research projects (both qualitative and quantitative) from proposal development to project fulfillment, through to final research deliverables. About Probolsky Research: We are market and opinion researchers with corporate, election, government and non-profit clients. We are passionate about accuracy, data security and brining numbers alive through dynamic presentations and storytelling. Details at: www.ziprecruiter.com/jobs/probolsky-research-eeb2d5f1/research-analyst-public-opinion-f222e60c or email a cover letter and resume in one PDF document to jobs@probolskyresearch.com.

  • GRE waived for qualifying government & legislative staffers to apply to the Pepperdine School of Public Policy’s Master of Public Policy program, considered the most unique policy graduate program in the country. Specialization tracks, including State & Local Policy, allow students to personalize their policy studies. Current State & Local Policy courses include, “Advanced Topics in Politics and Budgeting,” “Public Policy for Criminal Justice, Cannabis, and other Drugs,” “Permissions Development and the Environment,” and “Leadership through Public Engagement.” Find out more about this Top 10 in the West/Top 5 in California MPP program located in Malibu: publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6/

  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Just three miles from the Capitol, our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation knowledge of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy and sign-up for an information session or webinar, or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu.
  • The California Dental Association, an innovative membership-based organization that’s committed to the success of dental professionals, seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate to work in Sacramento office. To learn more about working at CDA, visit www.cda.org/careers

    This position: www.cda.org/AboutCDA/CareersatCDA/tabid/99/uc/info/ItemID/4803/Default.aspx

  • See Your Future Differently from Here with a Master of Public Policy degree from the Pepperdine School of Public Policy. Overlooking panoramic views of the Pacific Ocean from Malibu, our unique policy graduate program melds quantitative analysis with political philosophy, applied history, constitutional law, and strategy to prepare policy leaders for an impactful and successful career in the private sector, non-profit arena, and government service. Standardized test admission requirement is waived for legislative staffers. Learn more at publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6/.

  • SAC LGBT COMMUNITY CENTER - Resident house manager (Sacramento)
    The Resident House Manager is responsible for all aspects of resident supervision in the transitional living program for LGBTQ youth (18- 24) victims of crime. This includes supervising resident activities, maintaining a safe and supportive atmosphere, ensuring residents adhere to programs rules, and complete their chores. The Resident House Manager lives on site at the house with residents and will be provided with a private room. This position reports to the Youth Programs Manager and works in partnership with other programming staff and stakeholders as well as directly with community members of diverse backgrounds. This position is a live-in position. The working hours will be 6 days a week generally from 6 to 10 p.m with limited on-call status. This is a part-time, non-exempt position.
    [More info]
  • SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box.  Proven track record is a must.  Competitive salary and excellent benefits.  For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com.
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Bay Area)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_BayArea.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (LA-North East) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_LANorthEast.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Orange) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE.

    Details:www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_Orange.aspx 
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Bernardino) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_SanBernardino.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Joaquin North) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE.

Details: www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_SanJoaquinNorth.aspx

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