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DISTRICT UPDATES:

  • SD34 (Huntington Beach): from Leans Republican to Toss-Up - Former Assemblymember Tom Umberg joins the race.

Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Event: California’s Fiscal Outlook - Jerry Brown’s Final Budget and the Challenges Ahead
  • The California Dental Association seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate
  • Job: SAC LGBT COMMUNITY CENTER - Resident house manager (Sacramento)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representatives (Bay Area, LA North East, Orange, San Bernardino, San Joaquin North)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels  

 

 

First, let me say "thank you." From the currently active, 8.653 readers, I get lots of tips. I dream of a staff to split the stories up, but y'all just have me. I work everything I can to deliver while apologizing that a one-person shop can't cover everything.

Anyway, we have the s*hole today with uncensored language. You have been warned!

We now have the Mendoza report. It's pretty scathing, although I can think of more than a dozen members over my 23 years around this Capitol 'hood whose letter from an independent law firm's investigation would be much worse. That doesn't excuse his behavior or any of ours as, mostly, men. What will bring him down is fighting back with arrogance, including the lawsuit against the State Senate. 

We are a society that allows comebacks and recovery from behavior and addictions. If he were to admit that he was inappropriate in the cited circumstances and sought counseling, he could survive politically and be re-elected this year. However, it is too late. 

Like Assemblymember Cristina Garcia (D-Bell Gardens) who is on a voluntary unpaid leave of absence for an investigation, Mendoza is from one of the most politically divisive and unforgiving regions of the state. For those of us who aren't new to the "game, yo," local politics are important.

I love Bill Clinton, but he was a sexual slime-ball. In college, I had a framed Time magazine cover of him above my bed. Yeah, that required explaining to people I dated, but I stood by him. Paul Tsongas was no longer available.

State legislators are different. In particular, in the era of term limits, we no longer have "lions" who are protected because we accept inexcusable behavior for policy leadership. Members of Congress have a bit more latitude. Twelve years doesn't create someone who is not replaceable. 

Members of the State Senate now have the opinion from a well respected law firm. They need to get this over this to focus on the business of the state, and they know it. I would bet that, in the next 24 hours, Senator Mendoza willingly walks away and remakes his image or goes down in the history books of being expelled for sexual misconduct. 

Is it unfair? Is it disproportionate to what others currently serving have through whispers been accused of? 

Yes. Sometimes, shit just happens and you have to play the hand that you were dealt, particularly when you were the dealer, which is what faces Mendoza.

If you want "fairness," you don't belong in politics.

Anyway, that's what will be in front of senators tomorrow. Some, if forced to vote, will be completely hypocritical because they know they are guilty too and others will just be disgusted to having to play the role of jury. 

It sucks, but it's what the electeds signed up for. 

Of course, more below, but let's look at a message from Cal State LA, which is doing a great job lifting people up. Yesterday, I sat through Assembly Budget Sub 2 and was heartened by the committee's continuing concerns about my higher education trifecta--access, success, and equity. I spent a year writing "A 2020 Vision for Student Success," using amazing discussions of a diverse commission and equity was what kept my heart beating.

It's no longer my livelihood, but it remains my passion and I dream of advocates making the case. For now, good job, @KevinMcCartyCA, who happens to be my Assemblymember and who I've known from his days on the Assembly budget staff.

 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

I hate nagging you and love you for reading. That said, you are a livelihood and I hope you because a subscriber so we can this can keep going. It's essentially $4 per year, and I pay more for each of the papers I read each morning. 

AD58 (Downey): The Cristina Garcia situation continues with five allegations (4 anonymous through a lawyer, one publicly, and one anonymous lobbyist). As mentioned above, the Assemblymember from Bell Gardens continues her voluntary unpaid leave of absence. Yesterday, after the long weekend, the Los Angeles County elections office was open but didn't get a visit from Garcia to pull nomination papers. As mentioned before, she filed her signatures in lieu of a filing fee before the allegations came out. 

Garcia claims that the the allegations "are part of a concerted effort to discredit my person and record as a legislator," reports the APs Kathleen Ronayne.

I've had people both who I trust confirm AND dispute the allegation from the lobbyist that there was a "kegerator" in her office and her interactions with staff generally. She has both longtime staffers (if we can say that in the era of term limits), while also churning through many others. All of the allegations we have heard from are "former" staffers. 

Churn is not unusual. Senator Henry Stern (D-Malibu) has essentially replaced his entire staff over the last year, including well respected senior staffers. This has raised a lot of eyebrows about his office, but I frankly haven't had time to look in to it and talk to people involved.

Other staffers in Capitol and district offices often are frequently youngins who routinely move on. Junior legislative staff positions are part of a "big sort," with some going to higher staff positions, some picked off by lobbying firms and organizations, and others just sort of disappearing for greener personal pastures.

Four candidates have pulled nomination papers for Garcia's district. They include Commerce councilmember Ivan Altamirano, who has been fined by the FPPC for voting to appoint his sister to the city's planning commission. Oh, and his sister paid "rent" to him, meaning his three votes to appoint her were a conflict of interest. The other candidates also have political conflicts with in their backgrounds. 

The last clean-up in the area was by the FBI in the Calderatti convictions. It's now happening through #METOO. It sucks as the current resettlement is not in the court of law, but is fueled by political camps and the need to address the issue head-on. As U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand said on Colbert last night, "It's not okay to not say something because it's your friend."

I'm sorry about using Bil Maher-style language in The Nooner, but frankly I have no other words.

THE DEMOCRATIC SHITSTORM: The party convenes for its annual convention this weekend, in San Diego. At the convention, they will consider primary endorsements. Most are pro-forma adoption of a consent calendar created in January pre-endorsement caucuses of activists by region. For Tony Mendoza, he is up for endorsement at a caucus at the convention for state central committees who can afford to attend. Cristina Garcia is on the consent calendar for an AD58 endorsement, as the caucuses were help before the stories broke about her.

The California Nurses Association wants to be the headline at the convention, but the region southeast of downtown LA are providing the political eclipse.

 

 

Probolsky Research

 

 

SD34 (Huntington Beach): Former Assemblymember Tom Umberg intends to run against incumbent Janet Nguyen (R). This makes this a vary interesting race. Hillary won the district by 22.55% over Trump and I now categorize the district as a toss-up. I talked to both Republican and Democratic consultants on the issue this morning.

The Trump/Clinton numbers are not just a separation of presidential vs. mid-term elections. Dems now have a 9.4% advantage over Republicans there. Vietnamese-Americans in the second generation are not sticking overwhelmingly with their parents' anti-communist affiliation with Richard Nixon. We see the same move from conservative ideals in the Garden Grove Korean-American second generation. The 24.6 of voters choosing "no party preference" are strongly leaning blue.

In politics, we like to say "this ain't your daddy's old district." Now, as an older guy, I have to say that it's my old region that has changed. Umberg via Nguyen, both of whom I like personally, will be a hot race in November. (Apologies to Janet, as I am sure diacritical marks should be applied, particularly in the week of Tet, but I couldn't find them at press time!)

#CAKEDAY: Light those candles for Ruben Gonzalez, Lexi Howard, Silvia Flores, Juliet Lucero, and Trisha Tahmasbi!

 

 


 

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scott@scottlay.com for $40/week.
 
  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Just three miles from the Capitol, our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation knowledge of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy and sign-up for an information session or webinar, or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu.
  • The California Dental Association, an innovative membership-based organization that’s committed to the success of dental professionals, seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate to work in Sacramento office. To learn more about working at CDA, visit www.cda.org/careers

    This position: www.cda.org/AboutCDA/CareersatCDA/tabid/99/uc/info/ItemID/4803/Default.aspx

  • Event: California’s Fiscal Outlook - Jerry Brown’s Final Budget and the Challenges Ahead - 02/21/18
    The Goldman School of Public Policy at UC Berkeley and the Volcker Alliance invite you to join a half-day discussion February 21st, featuring three panels on California’s budgeting and transparency practices, the state’s unique fiscal landscape, and the fiscal challenges it will face this year and in years to come. For a list of speakers and to register, please visit www.eventbrite.com/e/californias-fiscal-outlook-jerry-browns-final-budget-and-the-challenges-ahead-tickets-42882928995

  • SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a broad range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box. Proven track record is a must. Competitive salary and excellent benefits. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/r.html?s=n&l=http://seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.

  • See Your Future Differently from Here with a Master of Public Policy degree from the Pepperdine School of Public Policy. Overlooking panoramic views of the Pacific Ocean from Malibu, our unique policy graduate program melds quantitative analysis with political philosophy, applied history, constitutional law, and strategy to prepare policy leaders for an impactful and successful career in the private sector, non-profit arena, and government service. Standardized test admission requirement is waived for legislative staffers. Learn more at publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6/.

  • SAC LGBT COMMUNITY CENTER - Resident house manager (Sacramento)
    The Resident House Manager is responsible for all aspects of resident supervision in the transitional living program for LGBTQ youth (18- 24) victims of crime. This includes supervising resident activities, maintaining a safe and supportive atmosphere, ensuring residents adhere to programs rules, and complete their chores. The Resident House Manager lives on site at the house with residents and will be provided with a private room. This position reports to the Youth Programs Manager and works in partnership with other programming staff and stakeholders as well as directly with community members of diverse backgrounds. This position is a live-in position. The working hours will be 6 days a week generally from 6 to 10 p.m with limited on-call status. This is a part-time, non-exempt position.
    [More info]
  • SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box.  Proven track record is a must.  Competitive salary and excellent benefits.  For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com.
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Bay Area)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_BayArea.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (LA-North East) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_LANorthEast.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Orange) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE.

    Details:www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_Orange.aspx 
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Bernardino) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_SanBernardino.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Joaquin North) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    https://www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_SanJoaquinNorth.aspx

 

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
After Sputtering Out Of The Gate, Amanda Renteria Launches Bid For California Governor
Phil Willon, Seema Mehta @
latimes.com
Longtime political insider Amanda Renteria, Hillary Clinton's political director in the 2016 presidential campaign officially announced her campaign for California governor on Tuesday, ending days of rumors, speculations and puzzlement over whether and why she was going to run.

With New Elections Near, Us Strains To Curb Russia Meddling | The Sacramento Bee
MARY CLARE JALONICK @
sacbee.com
The Russians are going to try it again. Even President Donald Trump's intelligence chiefs say so. But with congressional primaries just two weeks away, the U.S. has done little to aggressively combat the kinds of Russian election meddling that was recently unmasked in federal court.

Treasury's Malpass Says He's 'troubled' By National Debt - Politico

President Donald Trump proposed a $4.4 trillion budget last week that called for more military spending and cuts to domestic programs such as Medicare and food stamps. But it projects the government will bring in much less than it spends, in large part because of a $1.5 trillion tax cut Trump signed into law last year.

Feinstein Urges Trump To Back Her 'bump Stock' Ban: 'we Need Meaningful Action'
Sarah D. Wire @
latimes.com
Sen. Dianne Feinstein is urging President Trump to back her gun-control legislation rather than have the administration try to do it alone.

Trump Infrastructure Plan Is Center Of California Sb1 Gas Pump Tax Debate | The Sacramento Bee
Tony Bizjak @
sacbee.com
Tony Bizjak writes about traffic and travel in the Sacramento region

Ex-clinton Aide Reveals Why She Made Mystery Bid For California Governor - Politico
DAVID SIDERS @

In her last bid for elected office, in a Central Valley House contest in 2014, Renteria was defeated by incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao by more than 15 percentage points. Renteria said the political landscape has changed since then, with voters becoming more engaged.

Sexual Misconduct Allegations Leave A Swath Of Los Angeles County Without Representation In The Capitol
Melanie Mason, Javier Panzar @
latimes.com
"It was super disappointing," Camacho-Rodriguez said. "At the roundtable she puts out information, direct contacts, things coming up for scholarships and internships. For a lot of our youth, that is super important."

Mcclatchy High Open For Classes Tuesday After Gun Violence Threats | The Sacramento Bee
Benjy Egel @
sacbee.com
Covering crime, police and courts in the Sacramento region

Orange County's Riverside Homeless Begin Trading Tents For Motel Vouchers, Other Aid As Camp Is Cleared
Anh Do @
latimes.com
As they inched forward to an area manned by county officials, workers tried to answer questions and took notes to steer people like Michael Parenteau, 67, who has lived on the streets for 15 years, to services including housing, healthcare and transportation.

El Cajon Mayor Announces He Will Challenge Rep. Duncan Hunter For Congress - The San Diego Union-tribune
Lauryn Schroeder, Karen Pearlman @
sandiegouniontribune.com
Jaywalking infractions in San Diego has lowered in the last 5 years

California Farmers Told To Expect Little Water From Federal Project This Year | The Sacramento Bee
Dale Kasler @
sacbee.com
By Dale Kasler

California Can't Force Imdb To Stop Publishing Actors' Ages, Judge Rules
David Ng @
latimes.com
Judge Vince Chhabria of the Northern District of California ruled in his decision Tuesday that California cannot enforce a law that would compel IMDb to remove the age of an actor upon request, saying that the law is "clearly unconstitutional."