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Classifieds below:

  • Education: Pepperdine Masters of Public Policy (GRE waived for legislative staffers)
  • Education: UOP/McGeorge School of Law: MPP/MPA (full-time or part-time, 3 miles from the Capitol)
  • Event: California’s Fiscal Outlook - Jerry Brown’s Final Budget and the Challenges Ahead
  • The California Dental Association seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate
  • Job: SAC LGBT COMMUNITY CENTER - Resident house manager (Sacramento)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • Job: SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Los Angeles)
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representatives (Bay Area, LA North East, Orange, San Bernardino, San Joaquin North)
  • Training: PDI (Political Data Inc.): weekly online trainings of various skill levels  

 

Hello Noonerites! I hope you're enjoying a long weekend. It's going to be a wild short week in the Capitol beginning tomorrow, as the State Senate wrestles with the results of the Tony Mendoza (D-Artesia) and their peers in the Assembly contemplate the allegations against Assemblymember Cristina Garcia (D-Bell Gardens), which now includes a new public one that was released with a Right to Sue by the Department of Fair Employment and Housing on Saturday.

As Senate Rules gathers tomorrow (call of the chair--closed session) to decide how to move forward with a recommendation on Mendoza, the chatter has to be whether Mendoza will really name names if he is suspended without pay or expelled. His lawsuit calls out Senate President Pro Tem Kevin de León for bias in the involuntary extension of his paid leave of absence, but multiple sources tell me that he says he has been treated unfairly and Mendoza likes to say "What about so-and-so?," including his former housemate.

This has to be on the mind of Senate Rules Committee members. Rules is expected to finalize recommendations that will be presented to the Senate Democratic and Democratic caucuses before Thursday's floor session.

IT GET'S BETTER WORSEFor Politico, Carla Marinucci reports on the new complaint against Garcia.

New misconduct allegations have been leveled against California Assemblywoman Cristina Garcia — the high-profile #MeToo movement activist under investigation herself for alleged sexual harassment — including a claim that Garcia urged staffers to play “spin the bottle” after a political fundraiser.

David John Kernick has filed a formal complaint with the California Department of Fair Employment and Housing claiming he was dismissed from his job in Garcia’s district office for questioning the propriety of asking staffers to play the game.

Kernick, 38, who worked for the assemblywoman for five months in 2014, described to POLITICO an evening of heavy drinking in which Garcia ended up sitting on a hotel room floor with about half-dozen people — including her staffers and at least one male friend — and prompted them to play a game that results in participants kissing each other.

“It was definitely uncomfortable,’’ said Kernick, adding that the assemblywoman’s suggestion was met with discomfort and then ignored. “But I realized it’s different for a man than for a woman. … You know it’s inappropriate, but at the same time you may wonder, ‘How many women do you work for that act like that?’ You think … ’Maybe she’s just really cool.’’’

“It muddies the waters,” he said.

This is the first former staffer who has come forward publicly. Four others have done so, albeit anonymously through an attorney. The letter describing those allegations suggests the four would be willing to be named if a transparent independent investigation takes place. 

Marinucci continues:

A Sacramento-based lobbyist who spoke to POLITICO corroborated their accounts of a free-wheeling and alcohol-fueled workplace.

The industry lobbyist said he was surprised last year when, during a late-morning policy meeting in Garcia’s Capitol office, the assemblywoman poured beer from a kegerator — a refrigerator with a beer tap on top — located in her office.

She offered the brew in red Solo cups to the group of lobbyists, even though it was “sometime between 11 a.m. and noon ... a little early,’’ the lobbyist said.

While drinking is not uncommon during long days and nights of budget negotiations, he said, being offered alcohol by a legislator during morning business hours in her office was highly unusual, especially during “non-deadline” days.

I hate to draw conclusions based on allegations. That said, there has been enough corroboration in the Capitol community and in the district with alleged facts recounted by multiple people that it's nearly impossible to believe that they are all false. When alleged victims are willing to be named when they come forward, they know that they are at risk of defamation charges, either slander (oral) or libel (written). Sure, the threshold is higher for public officials, but allegations of sexual misconduct is different.

I doubt that voters in AD58 will see Cristina Garcia's name on the ballot on June 5.

She's a 39-year-old woman with a master's degree and has plenty of time to reshape herself, but it's a very volatile environment in which to do anything other than yield. Honestly, I don't know Garcia and don't think I've actually ever met her, either in my prior role leading the Community College League or in my recent role.

Garcia filed her signatures in lieu of filing feed documents on February 6, but as of Friday, had not pulled nomination papers, which are due March 9. One candidate filed nomination papers--Miguel Alvarado (D). Two Democrats (Ivan Altamirano and John Paul Drayer) and one Republican (Mike Simpfenderfer) have pulled nomination papers. If Garcia doesn't run, the filing deadline would be March 14. Vanessa Delgado and/or Vivian Romero--both Montebello councilmembers--could switch from Tony Mendoza's SD32 to Garcia's AD58.

Fortunately, for would-be candidates in both AD58 and SD32, the LA County Registrar's office is in Norwalk, just outside of AD58 and in the middle of SD32. Filing deadline is in 18 days if incumbent is running and 23 if the incumbent does not run.

I doubt it would happen, but it's a question out there. If Mendoza or Garcia were to resign or be expelled on or before March 9, there would be a special election--likely with a June 5 special primary and with a July 24 special general. After that date, or maybe after March 14, there would be no special election. Elections Code §10701(b) is a bit vague. "When a vacancy occurs in a legislative office after the close of the nomination period in the final year of the term of office, no special election shall be held."

Have I told you that this is a very strange year? It's only February, folks!

CORRECTED: In yesterday's fundraising numbers for the three April 3 special elections, I pulled Piquado's "regular" total rather than the total of contributions over $1,000 reported for the special. So, this is what we have. As with AD39 and AD45, this doesn't mean that others who qualified for the ballot have not raised money, it just means that electronic reporting hasn't been triggered (over $25,000 raised).

 

AD54 (Culver City)
Sydney Kamlager (D)  $85,900
Tepring Piquado (D)  $51,000

 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 


SHIFT HAPPENS:
 Over the past couple of Nooners, I've displayed pie charts of the latest voter registration the swing congressional and state legislative races. You can view these data for all on the district pages.

Let's look at the changes that we saw in the latest report compared with the comparable midterm (154 day) report on 12/31/2013.

Don't draw immediate conclusions from these numbers. These are registrations and not likely voters.

People that registered anew or changed their partisan affiliation would be included, although that doesn't mean that they will turn out to vote on June 5. They are more likely to vote in November, though, when the races displayed below (other than the SD29 recall) will be decided. Dead people generally are removed by registrars using other records, although that can be a bit inconsistent and varies with the proximity of the death to the data run.

Trends are, however important. 

As you can see from the first/last row in the table, we are generally seeing a shift in district composition from Republican registration to--in order--No Party Preference/other/unknown, the Democratic Party, and other qualified political parties (Amer. Ind., Green, Libertarian and Peace and Freedom).  

County data is imperfect. In a couple of counties, when the "No Party Preference" category, former "Decline to State" voters were moved to "Other," and in others were put in "No Party Preference." For that reason, I have grouped them.

And, we also know that the "American Independent Party" tally includes a lot of truly independents that checked a box and don't espouse the "fastest growing" party's far-right views. For these, it only matters in presidential primary elections, as the Democratic and American Independent Parties allowed "No Party Preference" voters to cast ballots in the 2016 presidential primary election, whereas registrants of other qualified parties could not. That decision did not affect the primary contest between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, as the 469 pledged delegates elected that day were won by Hillary Clinton with 269 and Bernie Sanders with 206.

Only in the competitive districts in the Central Valley (CA10, CA21, SD12, SD14) do we see a shift in share of voters from both the Democratic and Republican parties to NPP/Other/Unknown and other qualified parties. 

In all of these districts, the Democratic Party has increased "market share" over the Republican Party, although it would be better to own stock in "No Party Preference." Some argue that the Democratic and AIP parties' willingness to allow NPP voters to cast ballots in all primaries, including presidential, encourages non-affiliation. However, if that was the case, we would see Democratic registration dropping and Republican Party registration increasing, and that's simply not borne out by the data.

 

Change in party registration
between 12/31/2013 and 01/02/2018

District  Geography  Incumbent Change in Democratic Registration Change in Republican Registration Change in No Party Preference / Other / Unknown Share Change in Other Qualified Parties
Statewide     1.05% -3.29% 1.62% 0.62%
CD07 E. Sacto Cnty Bera (D) 0.00% -4.09% 3.45% 0.63%
CD10 Stanislaus Denham (R) 0.21% -3.37% 1.87% 1.29%
CD21 Kings Valadao (R) -0.36% -3.63% 3.16% 0.83%
CD24 Santa Barbara Carbajal (D) 1.78% -2.71% -0.06% 0.99%
CD25 Santa Clarita/Antelope Knight (R) 2.52% -4.52% 1.16% 0.84%
CD39 Fullerton Royce (R) - open 2.00% -3.39% 1.09% 0.30%
CD45 Irvine Walters (R) 2.18% -4.92% 2.43% 0.31%
CD48 Huntington Beach Rohrabacher (R) 1.38% -3.55% 1.87% 0.30%
CD49 Oceanside Issa (R) - open 2.12% -3.72% 1.14% 0.47%
CD50 E. San Diego Cnty Hunter (R) 1.39% -3.16% 1.18% 0.60%
SD12 Merced Cannella (R) - open -0.01% -4.09% 3.40% 0.70%
SD14 Fresno/Bakersfield Vidak (R) -0.18% -3.43% 2.90% 0.71%
SD29 Fullerton Newman (D) - recall 2.57% -3.90% 1.11% 0.22%
SD34 Huntington Beach Nguyen (R) 2.04% -4.42% 2.12% 0.26%
AD16 Tri-Valley Baker (R) 1.38% -3.94% 2.02% 0.54%
AD35 San Luis Obispo Cunningham (R) 1.47% -2.83% 0.16% 1.20%
AD36 Antelope Valley Lackey (R) 3.42% -4.96% 1.09% 0.44%
AD38 Santa Clarita Acosta (R) 1.17% -3.58% 1.34% 1.07%
AD40 Redlands Steinorth (R) 2.53% -3.44% 0.62% 0.30%
AD60 Corona Cervantes (D) 3.87% -7.04% 2.56% 0.61%
AD65 Fullerton Quirk-Silva (D) 4.06% -4.57% 0.57% -0.07%
AD66 Torrance Muratsuchi (D) 1.47% -3.18% 0.82% 0.89%
AD76 Oceanside Chavez (R) - open 2.51% -4.32% 1.22% 0.60%
Statewide     1.05% -3.29% 1.62% 0.62%

 

 

Probolsky Research

 

GOV: In a column certainly to draw email from other campaigns, Dan Walters writes for CALmatters that the race for governor has really boiled down to Gavin Newsom vs. Antonio Villaraigosa, and, using the PPIC poll, suggests that they will be the two who face off in November. 

 

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CCST Science and Technology Week

 

#GHOSTSOFCAKEDAYSPAST: Happy belated birthday to Congressman Jared Huffman, Assemblymember Jim Patterson and Assemblymember Bob Wieckowski! (yesterday)

 


 

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scott@scottlay.com for $40/week.
 
  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Just three miles from the Capitol, our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a foundation knowledge of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy and sign-up for an information session or webinar, or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu.
  • The California Dental Association, an innovative membership-based organization that’s committed to the success of dental professionals, seeks full-time Associate Legislative Advocate to work in Sacramento office. To learn more about working at CDA, visit www.cda.org/careers

    This position: www.cda.org/AboutCDA/CareersatCDA/tabid/99/uc/info/ItemID/4803/Default.aspx

  • Event: California’s Fiscal Outlook - Jerry Brown’s Final Budget and the Challenges Ahead - 02/21/18
    The Goldman School of Public Policy at UC Berkeley and the Volcker Alliance invite you to join a half-day discussion February 21st, featuring three panels on California’s budgeting and transparency practices, the state’s unique fiscal landscape, and the fiscal challenges it will face this year and in years to come. For a list of speakers and to register, please visit www.eventbrite.com/e/californias-fiscal-outlook-jerry-browns-final-budget-and-the-challenges-ahead-tickets-42882928995

  • SEIU-UHW – Regional Political Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a broad range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box. Proven track record is a must. Competitive salary and excellent benefits. For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/r.html?s=n&l=http://seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com/.

  • See Your Future Differently from Here with a Master of Public Policy degree from the Pepperdine School of Public Policy. Overlooking panoramic views of the Pacific Ocean from Malibu, our unique policy graduate program melds quantitative analysis with political philosophy, applied history, constitutional law, and strategy to prepare policy leaders for an impactful and successful career in the private sector, non-profit arena, and government service. Standardized test admission requirement is waived for legislative staffers. Learn more at publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6/.

  • SAC LGBT COMMUNITY CENTER - Resident house manager (Sacramento)
    The Resident House Manager is responsible for all aspects of resident supervision in the transitional living program for LGBTQ youth (18- 24) victims of crime. This includes supervising resident activities, maintaining a safe and supportive atmosphere, ensuring residents adhere to programs rules, and complete their chores. The Resident House Manager lives on site at the house with residents and will be provided with a private room. This position reports to the Youth Programs Manager and works in partnership with other programming staff and stakeholders as well as directly with community members of diverse backgrounds. This position is a live-in position. The working hours will be 6 days a week generally from 6 to 10 p.m with limited on-call status. This is a part-time, non-exempt position.
    [More info]
  • SEIU-UHW -- Political Capacity Organizer (Los Angeles)
    This position is responsible for a range of program objectives to build and strengthen our infrastructure and engage our members to be a powerful force at their worksites, in the legislative process, in the community and at the ballot box.  Proven track record is a must.  Competitive salary and excellent benefits.  For more information on the position and to apply please visit our candidate portal at seiuunitedhealthcareworkers.appone.com.
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Bay Area)
    This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_BayArea.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (LA-North East) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_LANorthEast.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (Orange) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE.

    Details:www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_Orange.aspx 
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Bernardino) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_SanBernardino.aspx
  • CA School Boards Association – Public Affairs and Community Engagement Representative (San Joaquin North) This position serves as CSBA’s liaison to local school and county boards of education, key decision-makers and the community-at-large, and is responsible for implementing CSBA’s grassroots program, establishing relationships, and facilitating local and regional outreach and activation efforts. Communicates about issues in education that require familiarity with educational laws, regulations and trends. Executes grassroots strategies designed to build relationships with, train, support and mobilize local school board members and communities to advance CSBA’s legislative and statewide ballot measure advocacy priorities. Coordinates and executes fundraising events. BOE. Details:

    https://www.csba.org/About/Careers/PublicAffairsCommunityEngagementRepresentative_SanJoaquinNorth.aspx

 

 

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Former Trump Aide Rick Gates To Plead Guilty; Agrees To Testify Against Manafort, Sources Say
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Cristina Garcia: More Accusations Amid Sex Harassment Probe | The Sacramento Bee
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Northern California Wildfire Victims Learn 'your Insurance Company Is Not Your Friend'
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People who lost their homes and possessions in the October firestorm that swept through the state's wine country tell of pitched battles with insurance companies.

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The legislation would give states financial incentives for reporting crimes to the national criminal background system.

Lack Of Rain Makes Desert Wildflower Super Blooms Unlikely This Year
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With so little rain, desert wildflower super blooms unlikely this year

Ash Carter: Full Transcript - Politico Magazine

Subscribe to The Global POLITICO on Apple Podcasts here. | Subscribe via Stitcher here.

Lynwood Mayor Pro Tem Steps Away From Duties Amid Workplace Sexual Harassment Probe
Carlos Lozano @
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Lynwood Mayor Pro Tem Edwin Hernandez has agreed to relinquish his position as the city investigates allegations of sexual harassment made against him by a female city employee, officials said.