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THE Nooner for January 6, 2018


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  • CA01 (Northeast): added Lewis Elbinger (G) 

GOV: As expected, former congressman Doug Ose yesterday joined the race for governor. He is a wealthy businessman who served as a relative moderate in the House. We now have four significant Democrats and three significant Republicans. The odds of two Democrats proceeding to the general just increased. 

A big question is whether Travis Allen stays in the race or runs for re-election to AD72, where he has three more possible terms. The leading candidate in that district is Westminster councilmember Tyler Diep, who Allen has endorsed, would step aside if Allen decides to stay put.

The entrance of Ose likely doesn't affect the race among Democrats, except it could hurt Antonio Villaraigosa, who has been doing well with the business community. Yesterday, Villaraigosa reported $58,400 from Mordecai Notis, a regular donor to conservative Republicans. Villaraigosa is seen as the most friendly to business among the Democrats in the race. 

BAGHDAD BY THE BAY: Mark Leno will announce Monday his candidacy for mayor of San Francisco. Also in the race are supervisors London Breed and Jane Kim. Leno is a former supervisor, assemblymember and state senator. He has championed liberal causes while also stewarded the state budget in a moderate way. While Breed and Kim are strong, they've been in district offices, while Leno has won across the city and thus has to be deemed the favorite. 

Kim is termed out this year. Running against Leno won't be easy but, even if not successful, expect more from this progressive firebrand. Breed is in office until 2021.  


Probolsky Research

 #CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Keil Brunner, Matthew Del Carlo, and Dale Shimasaki!



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In About-face After Legal Threats, California's Legislature Will Grant New Access To Sexual Misconduct Allegation Records
John Myers , Melanie Mason @
Leaders of the California Senate and Assembly unveiled new rules on Friday regarding the release of information about sexual misconduct investigations. The decision comes some two months after legislative lawyers refused requests for similar transparency.

California Moves To Protect Legal Weed | The Sacramento Bee
Angela Hart @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

Trump At Camp David: 'everything I’ve Done Is 100 Percent Proper' - Politico

President Donald Trump on Saturday again denied that his campaign colluded with Russia during the 2016 election and said he had not done anything improper amid allegations he tried to stop Attorney General Jeff Sessions from recusing himself from the ongoing special counsel investigation.

Becerra Vows To Fight Pot Crackdown: 'they Have Tripped Over Themselves And Given Us Opportunities To Legally Stop Them'
Patrick McGreevy @
California Atty. Gen. Xavier Becerra said Thursday that if a new federal policy results in prosecutors charging marijuana growers and s...

Sign Here: 'tis Initiative Season :: Fox&hounds
ron de Arakal @

First phase of Trump border wall gets $18 billion price tag, in new request to lawmakers

Democrats blast request, which arrived in the middle of budget negotiations that include the risk of a government shutdown if no deal is reached.

Sf Retailers Hope To Sell Recreational Marijuana As Early As This Weekend - Sfgate
The party scene in San Francisco could get a stimulating boost as early as this weekend after recreational sales of marijuana were approved at seven retail stores, marking the first time city retailers will be able to legally sell the drug to customers without doctors' prescriptions. The San Francisco Department of Public Health gave the go-ahead to the California Bureau of Cannabis Control to issue licenses to the mostly downtown medical dispensaries, four of which are on Mission Street. Local approval is a prerequisite for state licensing, which the proprietors of at least two shops were expecting to receive before midnight Friday, allowing retail sales to begin to adults 21 or older as early as 9 a.

Durbin Warns Of Shutdown Over Trump’s Immigration Demands - Politico

A top Senate Democrat trying to hammer out a deal to protect hundreds of thousands of Dreamers trashed a White House border security plan on Friday, while warning that Washington is headed toward a government shutdown over the issue.

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Cummings Hospitalized As Wife Suspends Campaign For Governor - Politico

Maya Rockeymoore Cummings, a Democratic policy consultant, suspended her bid for governor of Maryland on Friday shortly before news surfaced that her husband was in the hospital.

John Birch Society Leader To Speak At L.A.-area GOP Meeting
Seema Mehta and Phil Willon @
A Los Angeles-area Republican group is kicking off the new year with a breakfast gathering Saturday headlined by a local leader of the ...

San Francisco Will Beat Los Angeles To Adult Use Cannabis Sales - Greenstate
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Many H-1b Holders Could Be Denied Certain Extensions Under Draft White House Plan - San Francisco Chronicle
The Trump administration is working on plans to limit extensions of H-1B visas, a move that would affect hundreds of thousands of foreigners working in the United States, a source briefed on the plans told The Chronicle.

Judge Rules Northern California Wildfire Suits To Be Overseen In San Francisco
christi warren @

Trump explains what he wants for immigration reform

At a Camp David news conference Jan. 6, President Trump walked through his priorities on immigration, including ending the practice of giving priority to immigrants' relatives and the lottery system.

Cal student arrested at border checkpoint for allegedly overstaying visa
A UC Berkeley student was arrested by Customs and Border Protection agents at an immigration checkpoint in San Diego County while driving home from a Christmas party east of Chula Vista with his girlfriend over the holidays, a move that drew rebuke and calls for his release in a fast-growing social media campaign. Luis Mora, a 20-year-old junior who had just completed his first semester as a transfer student at Berkeley, ended up at the checkpoint near Jamul, about 20 miles north of the border, when he and his girlfriend made a wrong turn on Dec. 30. Mora was arrested for overstaying a six-month visitor visa issued to him in 2009, Immigration and Customs Enforcement spokeswoman Lauren Mack said.

Roy Moore Accuser's Home Burns Down In Possible Arson - Politico

The home of a woman who had accused Senate candidate Roy Moore of groping her burned down in a case that is being investigated as possible arson, local media reported Friday.