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THE Nooner for December 21, 2017





  • GOV: added Shear Avory (D) 
  • AD42 (Yucaipa): added family therapist Carol Bouldin (G)


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Good morning. We're now 36 hours from a federal government shutdown. Merry Christmas.

It's unclear if the interweb is back up in many state offices in Sacramento. Yesterday certainly impeded that last minute holiday shopping. 

POLL POSITION: Berkeley IGS is out with their numbers for governor and Senate this morning. 


Likely voters/Registered voters

  • Gavin Newsom (D): 26% / 23%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa (D): 17% / 19%
  • John Cox (R): 9% / 9%
  • Travis Allen (R): 9% / 7%
  • John Chiang (D): 5% / 5%
  • Delaine Eastin (D): 5% /4%
  • Others: 1% / 1%
  • Undecided: 28% / 32%

I very much love personally John Chiang and Delaine Eastin. At a certain point, when do they read the tea leaves. We're looking at a race where Newsom and Villaraigosa wonder if they can be in the top two. Republicans have fielded two very weak candidates in Cox and Allen. I adore many Republican lawmakers, but none were willing to make the plunge. I've talked to them and they saw it as futile. 

Chiang can run for re-election to state treasurer, but it would screw his (and my) friend Fiona Ma, who is running for the seat. John's a great lawyer, of course, and could do that for a few years.

I hate to say it, as the hate will fill my inbox, but it's also time for Delaine to exit. A foundation should endow her with a position. Particularly with what's happening in Washington, California needs a strong education voice, and that's Delaine.

U.S. Senate

Likely voters

  • Kevin de León: 27%
  • Dianne Feinstein: 41%
  • Undecided: 32%

BLACK BART: Joel Fox doles out the annual Fox & Hounds "black bart" award to Kevin de León. (origin of "Black Bart")

UNHEALTHY: The Bee's Angela Hart looks at the impact on health insurance premiums expected in California because of the repeal of the individual mandate included in the tax bill.


Probolsky Research


#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Matt Gray, Senator John Moorlock, and Alfonso Sanchez!




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Barbara Boxer Works To Defeat California Republicans In 2018 | The Sacramento Bee
Angela Hart @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

Gov. Jerry Brown Requests A Major Disaster Declaration For Socal Wildfires
Alene Tchekmedyian @
Gov. Jerry Brown requested a major disaster declaration from President Trump on Wednesday to assist with the response to the devastating wildfires that raged across Southern California this month.

Ca Health Insurance Costs Expected To Rise Under GOP Tax Plan | The Sacramento Bee
Angela Hart @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

Homeownership Will Get More Expensive For Some Californians Under The GOP Tax Bill
Andrew Khouri @
The Republican tax bill that passed the House of Representatives on Tuesday reduces the ability of home buyers to deduct mortgage interest, a hit to California, where housing costs are sky-high.

Trump Praises Tax-related At&t Bonuses Amid Merger Dispute - Politico

AT&T chairman and CEO Randall Stephenson announced Wednesday that the company would increase its capital expenditures budget in the U.S. by $1 billion once the bill is approved by the president. Stephenson added that their employees would also receive a $1,000 individual bonus, which be awarded over the holidays if the law were signed by Christmas.

12 California Republicans Vote To Support Tax Overhaul For A Second Time; Rohrabacher And Issa Say No
Sarah D. Wire @
Share this update

Poll Results For Ca Governor, Senate Races | The Sacramento Bee
Christopher Cadelago @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

How The Tax Bill Could Impact San Diego Schools | Kpbs
Megan Burks @
There were a couple of major scares for educators as the tax bill took shape. The first, that teachers would no longer be able to deduct up to the personal income they spend on classroom supplies. The second, that student loan borrowers would no longer be able to deduct loan interest payments. Both of those provisions did not make it into the final bill, which is now awaiting President Donald Trump's signature.

How The Final Tax Bill Will Affect Four Tax Returns. The Highest Earners Get The Biggest Break
James Rufus Koren @
The Times ran the numbers again on four California households eager to see how the final GOP tax plan would affect them.

Students Defrauded By For-profits May Not Get Full Relief | The Sacramento Bee
Students who were defrauded by the for-profit Corinthian Colleges may not get their loans forgiven entirely, the Education Department announced Wednesday, in a reversal of the Obama administration policy of wiping out the debt.

Education Department Scraps Policy Of Fully Forgiving All Defrauded Corinthian Students' Loans
Associated Press @
Students who were defrauded by the for-profit Corinthian Colleges may not get their loans forgiven entirely, the Education Department announced Wednesday, in a reversal of the Obama administration policy of wiping out the debt.

Ca Bill Expands Wildfire Insurance For Homeowners | The Sacramento Bee
Alexei Koseff @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

The GOP Tax Plan Passed. Now Democrats Have Another Big Issue To Use In The Midterms
Democrats were already attacking California Republicans over last spring's healthcare vote. Now, they've got the tax bill.

Strategies Emerge In 24 State Lawsuits Against Trump Administration -
Ben Bradford @
Capital Public Radio, Inc.7055 Folsom BoulevardSacramento, CA 95826

California Businesses Embrace GOP Tax Plan | The Sacramento Bee
Dale Kasler @
By Dale Kasler

Ted Cruz On Tax Overhaul: Everyone's Taxes Going Down Except Some 'rich People In Manhattan And Sf' - Sfgate
GOP Sen. Ted Cruz said the newly passed Republican tax bill will make everyone's taxes go down with the exception of "rich people in Manhattan and San Francisco."

House To Vote On Government Funding Thursday - Politico

If the House passes the funding patch Thursday, the Senate will move on it as quickly as possible, GOP aides said.

Fresno Businesses React To Tax Bill | The Fresno Bee
Lewis Griswold And BoNhia Lee @
Breaking news, insight on the Valley's political movers and shakers

Risk For Middle Class: That GOP Tax Cuts Could Fade Away - San Francisco Chronicle
When it comes to sex harassers in government, peer pressure...

Obamacare Insurance Mandate Repeal Threatens Sonoma County, State Health Care Expansion

Fact Check: Trump Falsely Claims to Have â

The repeal of the individual mandate in the tax bill, despite President Trump’s claim, does not amount to a repeal of the entire health care law.