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THE Nooner for December 16, 2017

 

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Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

DISTRICT UPDATES

  • CA47 (Long Beach): added small businessman David Clifford (R)
  • AD45 (West San Fernando Valley): removed attorney Janice Kamenir-Reznick (D)

 

Whoa! I woke up at 7:30 this morning, which reflects on how crazy yesterday was. Fortunately, we have the Oregon Ducks on at 12:30 against Boise State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Perfect for a windy and chilly day. @JimBattin

Believe it or not, I have been focusing on issues other than SD32, AD39, and AD45, albeit difficult.

QUACK ATTACK: My friend former Senator Jim Battin and I can't wait until 12:30 when the Oregon Ducks face off against the Boise State blue fielders. Fortunately, the game is the Las Vegas Bowl, which should have green turf.

SD32 (Whittier): Possible candidates in Tony Mendoza's senate district are saying WTF today after Mendoza rebuffed his friend Kevin de León's request to take a paid leave of absence during an outside investigation of sexual harassment in his office. It was an olive branch that could yield him $104,000 and health benefits over the next year for doing nothing as his successor is chosen, but he is challenging it to portend a political future.

The Senate is ready to expel him (two-thirds vote) after the reconvening on January 3. I've talked to several likely candidates for SD32 over the last 24, and they are waiting to hear the next move--by Mendoza or the full Senate.

POLL POSITION: I only point this out because of its implication on congressional races, particularly in SoCal. Have we ever seen a president -27 in approval in Gallup polling? That's a 26 point decline in net approval from January.

Granted, it's likely voters, but vulnerable GOP incumbents need to be wary and differentiate from the president. Most of the seven are likely to vote for the very unpopular tax bill. Whether it's good policy or not, no voter in 2018 will really recognize the implications by the elections. Indeed, withholding will decline in February as folks prepare their 2017 tax returns, but polling shows that doesn't translate to the feelings of voters.

Of couse, Gallup polls residents and not just likely voters, but if I'm a consultant, I don't highlight that. The national mood extends beyond a pollster's projection of likely voters.

There's plenty of trouble on Democrats' hands in California given sexual misconduct. However, that doesn't translate to congressional races, except perhaps in Brad Sherman's CD30 (his district director was Matt Debabneh). Currently, one Democrat has filed against Sherman, but if a woman--particularly Jewish--joined the race, Sherman would be unexcusably sweating. 

FIRES: The Thomas Fire has now burned 259,000 acres in Santa Barbara and Ventura Counties, including 746 destroyed single-family homes, 186 damaged single-family homes, and 2 multi-family homes (apartment structures). One firefighter has died in the fight. The cost of fighting the fire is now at $104 million. [CalFire]  

The winds have been very bad this morning in Santa Barbara County. While yesterday's winds came off the ocean, today they are blowing back toward the coast. The mandatory evacuation area has been expanded to Summerland, Montecito and Santa Barbara north of 101 and with downtown under a voluntary evacuation order (meaning "get your sh** together").

I've been following this closely for my mom, as one of her closest friends lives in the middle of this. I just talked to her and fortunately the staging area for firefighters is at the polo grounds in Toro Canyon, which is one of the only areas not subject to a mandatory evacuation. Of course, it's minute-by-minute.

 

 

Probolsky Research

 

 

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Emilio Arellano, Shelley Henderson, and Brandon Roberts!

 

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scott@scottlay.com for $40/week.
 
  • Small, downtown Los Angeles boutique law firm is looking for a political, election and nonprofit organization attorney. Research and draft memoranda regarding federal, state and local political and election law and nonprofit organization issues; assist in preparation and review of campaign finance and lobbying reports; provide verbal and written advice to clients; prepare tax-exempt organization applications, tax returns and provide advice regarding structure of nonprofit organizations; assist with litigation in election and campaign matters; assist with enforcement actions and complaints; serve as counsel in ballot measure and independent expenditure campaigns; provide advice regarding campaign communications and all other legal compliance issues.

    Two to five years of relevant experience; demonstrated interest in political and election law as well as nonprofit organizations; strong writing skills, flexibility, attention to detail; excellent academic credentials; law review or journal experience preferred. Email resumes to Ana Simeonova, Office Manager, ana@politicallaw.com

  • For 30 Years PDI has been the California’s premier data vendor. Now, you can get live online trainings on the newest PDI software every week :

    - Tuesday 4PM Intro Training https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/7974123804544951041
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    - Thursday 4PM Field Canvassing Training https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/2643687035041950723

  • California YIMBY is a new statewide advocacy organization working to pass legislation to end California’s housing shortage by empowering and growing the YIMBY movement.

    California YIMBY is seeking a Finance and Operations Director to join our leadership team.  Reporting to the CEO, the Finance and Operations Director will build the internal organization processes and infrastructure that will allow California YIMBY to grow and fulfill its mission.  

    Go to http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/r.html?s=n&l=http://www.cayimby.org/job to read full job description. Apply by sending resume and cover letter in pdf format to jobs@cayimby.org.
  • Internship: Paid internship involving campaigns for Republican candidates, statewide initiatives and issue advocacy. Those who have previously held a job/internship and exemplify strong writing, research and communications skills will be given preference. Compensation is hourly and DOE. Job to begin in January 2018.  Please send cover letter and resume to: justin@meridianhq.com
  • The Coro Fellowship in Public Affairs is a prestigious, graduate-level program that equips early career professionals with tools and training to be effective leaders able to work across differences, solve complex problems, and create positive impact. The Fellowship is offered at five centers across the country and it’s open to anyone who has completed a Bachelor’s Degree. There is no GPA requirement and diversity across all measures is highly valued. The application deadline is January 17, 2018.

    For more information, contact Shana Love, National Recruitment Manager at: slove@coronorcal.org and fill out our online Interest Form
  • Space Available on L Street, across from Capitol.  One well-furnished executive office & assistant station.  Great views of Capitol.  Use of in-suite 10-person conference room, kitchen & color printer/copier.  $2,500/mo.  Contact Michael Daft @ 916.448.3075 or mdaft@apreamicheli.com 

  • California State Student Association seeks Government Relations Associate
    The position is responsible for identifying and tracking legislation relevant to the organization. Additionally, the position will be responsible for externally representing the organization in legislative meetings and committees. Lastly, the position will be responsible for advising our board of directors and legislative affairs committee. For more information and to apply, visit http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/r.html?s=n&l=http://apptrkr.com/1126853
  • See Your Future Differently from Here with a Master of Public Policy degree from the Pepperdine School of Public Policy. Overlooking panoramic views of the Pacific Ocean from Malibu, our unique policy graduate program melds quantitative analysis with political philosophy, applied history, constitutional law, and strategy to prepare policy leaders for an impactful and successful career in the private sector, non-profit arena, and government service. Standardized test admission requirement is waived for legislative staffers. Learn more at publicpolicy.pepperdine.edu/masters-6/

  • DOWNTOWN OFFICE SPACE FOR LEASE AVAILABLE NOVEMBER 1ST. Historic building located just steps from the Capitol! Approximately 1700 square feet on the 8th Floor, West side, of the Eleventh and L Building. Suite details: open reception area, 4 private offices, large conference room, work room for copier & supplies, kitchen. For further information, please contact Eleventh and L Properties at (916)443-2496 or 1elprops@gmail.com.

  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy, and sign-up for an information session or webinar or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu.

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Drug Industry Lawsuit Shows It Wants To Keep Patients In Dark On Pricing
David Lazarus @
latimes.com
In their suit, which names California Gov. Jerry Brown as a defendant, drug companies argue that the state is attempting to dictate national healthcare policy.

Who Else Might Jump Into Big Statewide Races? :: Fox&hounds
ron de Arakal @
foxandhoundsdaily.com


GOP Tax Bill Could Trigger $25 Billion In Cuts To Medicare - San Francisco Chronicle
sfchronicle.com
The GOP tax bill, finalized Friday, could lead to large cuts in Medicare spending starting in 2018 — prompting concern among consumer groups and policy experts that the health insurance program for seniors may be weakened as a result of Republicans’ push to lower corporate tax rates.

Ca Firefighter Death Underscores Year-round Wildfire Risk | The Sacramento Bee
Adam Ashton @
sacbee.com
Chronicling civil-service life for California state workers

From Hillary Clinton And Kamala Harris To 10,000 Teenage Girls: 'speak Up'
Sonali Kohli @
latimes.com
At the annual Girls Build L.A. leadership summit, two of the nation's most prominent political women offered advice to young girls: Be more prepared than everyone else, and take on tough challenges.

Historic Tax Reform Vote Lined Up With GOP Bill Finalized - Politico

The agreement came after last-minute haggling by Republican leaders, especially with holdout GOP senators. Speaker Paul Ryan said the House will vote Tuesday. | Mark Wilson/Getty Images

Power Pylon Seen Sparking At Start Of Creek Fire Is Owned By L.A. Department Of Water And Power
Paige St. John, Brittny Mejia @
latimes.com
The L.A. Department of Water and Power confirms that one of its power pylons experienced problems during the Creek fire, but denies that there was a break in the line. Residents affected by the Sylmar-area blaze had reported sparks flying off the steel power structure as flames broke out.

Trump Protester Files Lawsuit Saying Police Violated His Civil Rights At San Diego Rally - The San Diego Union-tribune
Morgan Cook @
sandiegouniontribune.com
After about 90 minutes, an ambulance arrived and took him to a hospital, where he was treated for injuries including a concussion, broken collar bone and bruised ribs, the lawsuit said.

Sacramento International Airport Installs Solar Farm | The Sacramento Bee
Tony Bizjak @
sacbee.com
By Tony Bizjak

Judge's Ruling Backs Laguna Beach Student Suspended Over Watermelon Thrown At Black Classmate's Home
Hannah Fry @
latimes.com
Laguna Beach high school student threw a watermelon at home of black classmate, sparking debate over punishment

New Sandag Board Chairman On Climate Change: 'it's A Debatable Issue' | Kpbs
Andrew Bowen @
kpbs.org
Del Mar Mayor City Councilmember Terry Sinnott was unanimously elected the new board chairman of the San Diego Association of Governments on Friday, taking the helm of the county's lead agency in charge of meeting state climate goals.

Thomas Fire Rages Amid Longest Red Flag Warning On Record
Joseph Serna, Brittny Mejia @
latimes.com
A procession carries the body of fallen firefighter Cory Iverson, 32, a member of Cal Fire's San Diego unit who died battling the Thomas fire as it spread toward Santa Barbara.

Concerns Raised Over Breed Serving As Both Sf Mayor, Supervisor - San Francisco Chronicle
sfchronicle.com
Days after London Breed took over as San Francisco’s acting mayor, her colleagues on the Board of Supervisors were already talking about appointing someone else to the position.

San Diego To Get New Firehawk Helicopter To Fight Future Wildfires | Kpbs
City News Service @
kpbs.org
The City Council voted unanimously this week to spend $19.8 million to buy a firefighting helicopter, which will increase the San Diego Fire-Rescue Department's aerial fleet from two to three.

California Has Only 30 Percent Chance Of Normal Winter Rainfall, Scientist Says | The Sacramento Bee
Dale Kasler @
sacbee.com
By Dale Kasler

Kirsten Gillibrand, Long a Champion of Women, Finds the Nation Joining Her
SHANE GOLDMACHER and MATT FLEGENHEIMER @

Ms. Gillibrand, a senator from New York, has seen her rising star lifted higher by her run-ins with President Trump over his treatment of women.

San Diego Unified Faces $47 Million In Cuts In Coming Year - The San Diego Union-tribune
Lauryn Schroeder @
sandiegouniontribune.com


Trump Takes Early Victory Lap On Tax Bill - Politico

President Donald Trump downplayed the extra debt by noting the broader state of the U.S. economy and growth projections that he said will come from other administration policies. | Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

San Diego Shifting Enforcement From Illegal Pot Shops To Delivery Services - The San Diego Union-tribune
David Garrick @
sandiegouniontribune.com


Uber Spied On Rivals, Stole Trade Secrets, Letter Alleges - San Francisco Chronicle
sfchronicle.com
A damning letter written by the lawyer for a former Uber security manager claims that the ride-hailing company secretly spied on rivals; destroyed, concealed and falsified evidence; and engaged in other illegal behaviors like wiretapping. The letter, which put the brakes on a trial scheduled to begin this month in a case in which a sister company of Google alleged that Uber stole its self-driving car secrets, was made public Friday.

With The Rise Of Spacex And Rams Stadium, Hawthorne's Industrial Areas Are Becoming Hip
Samantha Masunaga @
latimes.com
Hawthorne real estate has changed dramatically since SpaceX came to town.

As a Must-Pass Republican Tax Bill Headed for the Finish Line, Rubio Saw an Opening
SHERYL GAY STOLBERG @

On Thursday, Marco Rubio took a stand: He threatened to vote no unless House and Senate negotiators expanded the child tax credit.