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THE Nooner for December 11, 2017


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Happy Monday! Good job Niners and Broncos yesterday. It looks like the Niners finally have a quarterback just in time for the end of the season. The Houston Texans have a lot to answer to following letting quarterback Tom Savage to reenter the game after he clearly had a concussion and apparent seizure on the field. What a shame in the Coliseum.


FOR THE EARS: For the California Politics Podcast, John Myers and Melanie Mason tickle our ears, talking about the designation of Toni Atkins as the next Senate President Pro Tem and the ongoing news of sexual misconduct in the state's legislative and political scene.

And, KQED sits down with Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon to talk about what the Legislature is doing about the sexual harassment and abuse scandals and Rendon's perspective on the governor's race.

Finally, lobbyist Chris Michelo looks at the role of media in the California legislative process in his podcast.

FROM THE DESK OF THE DEAN: For the Times, George Skelton writes about five things we already know about California's 2018 races for governor and U.S. Senate.

  1. In this stormy, polarized political climate, Republicans aren’t likely to vote for a Democrat even if there isn’t a strong GOP candidate on the ballot.
  2. So the original theory behind Democratic state Treasurer John Chiang’s candidacy for governor that he could attract business-minded Republicans just isn’t working out.

  3. Democratic state Senate leader Kevin de León’s challenge of centrist U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein is drawing some GOP support, but that can’t last if Republicans ever learn about the tenacious liberal.

  4. Democratic Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom always has been the front-runner for governor and still is, but former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa is inching up and making the race competitive.

  5. Feinstein is running far ahead in her bid for a fifth full term as the relatively unknown, underfunded De León’s attempt to attract “Berniecrats” falls flat.

LG: This can't be good for Lt. Governor candidate Eleni Kounalakis, whose father Sacramento developer Angelo Tsakapolous  wants to go forward on a housing project on land environmentalists and neigbors believe was permanently protected from development, reports Hudson Sangree in the Bee. It's definitely not an infill project, as it proposes 48 houses on half-acre lots. Kounalakis was previously the president AKT Development, which is proposing the project.

CA48 (Huntington Beach): Congressman Dana Rohrabacher now has 12 opponents, reports Martin Wisckol in the OCR.

SD29 (Fullerton): The Bee's Taryn Luna looks at whether  Jerry Brown will set the recall election for Democratic senator Josh Newman for June 5 rather than an earlier date.

Since Secretary of State Alex Padilla did not certify the voter signatures collected to recall Newman 180 days before the June 5, 2018 primary, Gov. Jerry Brown can opt to add the recall to the primary ballot instead of establishing a special election. The 180-day deadline expired last week.

WHAT'S NEXT? Former Obama advisor David Axelrod took his "The Axe Files" podcast to Los Angeles last week to interview Mayor Eric Garcetti.

CLIMATE: As he heads to Paris for a climate change summit, Jerry Brown warned on 60 Minutes last night that "The truth of the case is that there's too much carbon being emitted, that heat trapping gases are building up, the planet is warming and all hell is breaking loose,” reports John Myers in the Times. 

Brown further said:

"I don't think — President Trump has a fear of the Lord, the fear of the wrath of God, which leads one to more humility," Brown said in an interview airing Sunday on "60 Minutes" on CBS. "And this is such a reckless disregard for the truth and for the existential consequences that can be unleashed." 

LAW AND ORDER: The Bee's Angela Hart looks at the 17 ways California has sued the Trump Administration in 2017. 

In some cases, California is leading the legal battle, taking on the Trump administration on immigration, health care and the environment. In others, it has joined other states such as Washington – the first to sue the Trump administration when President Donald Trump penned his first major executive order banning travel to the United States from Muslim-majority countries.



TAXING ISSUES: Joel Fox reports on Fox and Hounds that the resignations of Raul Bocanegra and Matt Dababneh could complicate any response the Legislature wants to take in response to the federal tax plan as the Democrats lose their supermajority in the Assembly.

POT:  Bay Area is divided on legal marijuana as Jan. 1 approaches [Lisa M. Krieger @ East Bay Times]:

On the eve of California’s big new experiment with legal marijuana sales, the Bay Area is dividing into a kaleidoscopic landscape as cities and counties race to enact laws by the start of the new year that reflect their hopes and fears.

Will there be a flood of tax revenue from cannabis to fix potholes and hire more cops? Or will pot sales trigger blight, violence and other ills?

Meanwhile, Secretary of State Alex Padilla has recruited Cheech Marin to get marijuana businesses to register with the state, reports Brad Branan in the Bee. "As Marin put it himself: 'Who better to spread the news than Cheech?'"

DISCONNECT: For CALmatters, Dan Walters writes about the state government's continued problems with information technology projects, even when the state is a national leader in IT. 

THE OC: For the Register, Martin Wisckol reports on the increase in liberal activism in Orange County.

VOTING RIGHTS ACT: In Kern County, the Mexican American Legal Defense and Education Fund is in federal court arguing that the county board of supervisors fiolated federal law by redistricting in a manner disadvantaging Latino voters. MALDEF is arguing that a second Latino district can and should be drawn, reports James Burger in the BakCal.


Probolsky Research


CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Tam Ma!

DEPT OF CORRECTIONS: The Lovett or Leave It show at the Crest Theatre on February 28 is not sold out. Tickets go on sale tomorrow.




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Five Things We Already Know About California's Races For Governor And U.S. Senate
George Skelton @
The June 5 primary election will select the top two vote getters in each race, regardless of party, and advance them to a Nov. 6 runoff. What we know now comes from public opinion polls. The most recent one was released Nov. 30 by the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California.

California Vs. Trump: All The Lawsuits The State Filed In 2017 | The Sacramento Bee
Angela Hart @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

As California Burns, Congress Plans To Slash Tax Write-offs For Fires And Other Disasters
Sarah D. Wire @
The final tax legislation is likely to allow people to claim uninsured fire damage on their taxes only if a federal disaster is declared. Only a small number of wildfires would qualify taxpayers for such relief.

Monmouth Poll: Close Alabama Senate Race Hinges On Turnout - Politico

Alabama's closely watched Senate special election could swing either way depending on who shows up to vote Tuesday, according to a new Monmouth University poll, which showed Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy Moore leading under different turnout models.

Slick Proposition 64 Is Not A Good For Public Health, And Its Timing Is Wrong | The Sacramento Bee
the Editorial Board @
By the Editorial Board

Oakland, Unions To Go Back To Bargaining As Strike Goes On - San Francisco Chronicle
Negotiators for Oakland’s largest union and the city will head back to the bargaining table Monday, but the strike that’s shut down major services for the past week will continue.

Bay Area Is Divided On Legal Marijuana As Jan. 1 Approaches - The Cannifornian
Will there be a flood of tax revenue from cannabis to fix potholes and hire more cops? Or will pot sales trigger blight, violence and other ills?

Smaller Growers Say Regulators Reneged On Pot Plot Ownership - San Francisco Chronicle
A new political battle over marijuana is exploding less than a month before California’s recreational cannabis market opens, as two legislators want state regulators to change a policy they worry “rolls out the red carpet for large corporations to crush the livelihood of small family farmers.”

Sacramento Cambodian Men Fear Imminent Deportation In Coming Days | The Sacramento Bee
Anita Chabria And Stephen Magagnini @
By Anita Chabria And Stephen Magagnini

UC Santa Barbara Postpones Final Exams Because Of Wildfires - Sfgate
The UC Santa Barbara chancellor postponed final exams Sunday evening, a day before they were scheduled to begin, because of the growing Thomas Fire that's sent smoke and false alarms into the university. Tests that were set to start Monday will instead take place the week of Jan. 8, Chancellor Henry Yang said in a letter to students. He cited an accidental late-night evacuation notice, poor air quality, concerns about power outages and jammed-up transportation in postponing the exams. "Continuation of scheduled exams has become untenable," Yang said. "Though there is no need to evacuate campus, again, we are recommending that students make arrangements to leave.

Local Palestinian Rights Groups Rally To Tell Trump: Hands Off Jerusalem
Andrea Castillo @
Hundreds of people protested in Los Angeles Sunday against Trump's move to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel while a smaller group rallied in favor of the president.

Lessons Learned? Lilac Fire Tested Strategies Drawn From '07 And '03 Fires - The San Diego Union-tribune
Peter Rowe @

Apple Hill Growers Sue Boa Vista Owners, Alleging Unfair Use Of The Name "apple Hill" And A "lack Of Loyalty" | The Sacramento Bee
Sam Stanton @
By Sam Stanton

Paris Climate Accord Articles, Photos, And Videos
California politics news feed Oct. 31, 2017, 2:10 p.m.

Southern California Fires Live Updates: New Evacuation Orders Issued For Carpinteria And Montecito As Thomas Fire Again Rages Out Of Control
Share this update

UC Santa Barbara Postpones Final Exams Because Of Wildfires - San Francisco Chronicle
The Thomas Fire flared up again Saturday evening and is now aggressively moving into Santa Barbara County.

Fox Poll: Jones Leads Moore By 10 In Alabama - Politico

Democratic senatorial candidate Doug Jones' supporters are also more enthusiastic than Roy Moore's backers. | Brynn Anderson/AP

Black Voters Are Key To Democratic Hopes In Alabama's Senate Race. Will They Turn Out?
Mark Z. Barabak, Michael Finnegan @
A backlash against Republican Roy Moore and President Trump could boost turnout in this GOP stronghold. But some say Democrat Doug Jones hasn't done enough to bring African Americans out to the polls.

Trump jumps into Alabama Senate race, but itâ

It was unclear how much impact the president would have. And his support has been qualified, with no in-person appearances or photo opportunities with the controversial candidate.