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THE Nooner for December 6, 2017


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I have been longing for a quiet morning, but (as I write), 8 women in the Senate are now calling for Franken's resignation. This includes Senator Kamala Harris. Franken is expected to resign tomorrow. No big political shift, as his successor will be appointed by governor Mark Dayton, also a member of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party. If you don't know the DFL, you don't know the Land of 10,000 Lakes, or you just don't know your--okay, Californians, your places to pillage water.

The fires continue this morning, as Bel Air homes burn and the both sides of The 405 are currently closed. I know I'm not the first one to say it, but California particularly says F*** 2017. We have lost too much. Granted, our losses of thousands of homes are largely insured relative to Puerto Rico (kudos José Andrés), but today we're talking about displaced families for the holidays. 

Hanukkah begins the evening six days hence, and obviously the Christmas season is also upon us. It's a heartbreaking time, particularly in Ventura and Bel Air. 

We're living the Bad Religion song "Los Angeles is Burning."

LADY BIRD: Stephen Colbert, before an interview with star Saoirse Ronan, called Lady Bird "one of the best movies I've ever seen." 

#METOO: Congratulations to the Sacramento-based #wesaidenough movement. #metoo was named Time magazine's Person of the Year, and the Sacramento effort has been one of the best. Leader Adama Iwu, a Sacramento-based lobbyist, deservedly makes the cover.

Speaking of, for CALmatters, Laurel Rosenhall writes about the backlash women who are speaking out on sexual harassment are encountering:

[A]s women come forward with stories of being propositioned, groped and even assaulted by male colleagues in politics, an undercurrent of retaliation has begun rippling through the state. Men have threatened to sideline women from private meetings. Critics, hiding behind anonymous emails, are trying to shame some of the women speaking out.

One lobbyist already has lost her job.

I spent time yesterday around the Capitol and the conversations are about who is next, and four names have been mentioned by legit sources. We are experiencing the biggest shake-up of the legislative and political structure since at least Proposition 140 (term limits) or Proposition 9 (Political Reform Act), perhaps ever. 

Women have taken the lead, but there are a lot of men, particularly younger men, who are buoying their efforts. It goes beyond harassment, but into professional options. These include division of campaign funds, consultants, staffing, and other opportunities. This includes by organizations like political parties, labor and business organizations. Thankfully, organizations like Emerge California, She Should Run, and EMILY's List have been working on this. However, not until men stand with them will their efforts be transformatively successful. 

There are big races out there that would be perfect for women in 2018 but the field has been limited by the lack of promotion of women to the "bench." It's reportedly the first time that Time has had a black woman on the page for "Person of the Year" ever. 

The consensus is that, if Matt Dababneh stays in and no new facts proving his claim of innocence emerge, he will be challenged in a June primary and Los Angeles Community College District trustee Andra Hoffman has already gained significant traction. Dababneh's challenge is that he has only worked in politics, which is unlike most members in the Assembly. He graduated UCLA with a poly sci degree and began working immediately for Congressman Brad Sherman. Then he was elected to the Assembly.

He can't become a lobbyist at this point with these allegations. He could become a behind-the-scenes government relations strategist, but there are few other options. He's relatively young (36) and could go to law school. There could be a political future after some time away.  

I don't know Matt, nor does he look to me as his career advisor. However, leaving the Assembly to pursue justice for all Americans via a law degree is the only way out. 

Again, he is entitled to due process by the law or by the voters. But he is already looking at options for a way out.

AD51 (East Los Angeles): In the special general election to succeed now-Congressmember Jimmy Gomez, Carrillo appears to have prevailed. As of the latest report:

  • Wendy Carrillo (D): 8,811 (52.83%)
  • Luis López (D): 7,868 (47.17%) 




Probolsky Research


#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to John Connelly and Stuart Waldman!

DEPT OF CORRECTIONS: The mail piece accused of homophobia came from SEIU, not SEIU-UHW. 



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  • Hepatitis A: Expert Briefing hosted and moderated by the California Council on Science and Technology (CCST), Thursday, December 7th, 11:45am-1:15pm, Capitol Room 2040. Please join us for a conversation with experts in infectious disease, vaccination, and local public health efforts to learn how hepatitis A is spread, how at-risk populations are identified for vaccination, what local actions are being taken and can be taken to address or prevent outbreaks, and what policymakers can do to help. Organized in partnership with Senate Health Committee, Senator Hueso, Assemblymember Gloria, Assemblymember Maienschein, Assemblymember Wood, and the Health Officers Association of California. Please come with any questions you have. For a lunch box, reserve by Noon on December 6th by emailing
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Fourth Fire Breaks Out In San Bernardino, Injuring Two - Sfgate
Two people were hospitalized with burns from a fire Tuesday near the campus of California State University, San Bernardino - the fourth wildland blaze to break out Southern California in less than 24 hours. One patient was in critical condition, San Bernardino County Fire spokesman Eric Sherwin said. No other details about the patients were released. The fire, called the Little Mountain Fire, broke out about 12:28 p.m. just south of the university and burned about 30 acres in two hours, Sherwin said. "I expect that number to grow," he said. "We are at zero percent containment." The fire is threatening structures, forcing mandatory evacuations in San Bernardino.

GOP senators grumble over Trump, RNC backing Moore

'I don’t understand the move,' said Sen. John Thune, a member of Senate Republican leadership.

Conyers Resigns From Congress Amid Harassment Allegations | The Sacramento Bee
Democratic Rep. John Conyers resigned from Congress on Tuesday after a nearly 53-year career, becoming the first Capitol Hill politician to lose his job in the torrent of sexual misconduct allegations sweeping through the nation's workplaces.

Conservative Student Group Accuses UC Of Denying Free Speech - San Francisco Chronicle
A group of conservative students at UC Berkeley, frustrated that administrators have so far denied them the privileges of a recognized student organization, has asked a federal judge to intervene in the campus dispute.

Labor Activist Wendy Carrillo Will Be L.A.'s Newest Assembly Member
Javier Panzar, Ellis Simani, Michael Livingston @
Wendy Carrillo will serve out the term of former assemblyman Jimmy Gomez.

Sacramento Makes Its Case To Get A New Pro Soccer Franchise | The Sacramento Bee
Ryan Lillis @
By Ryan Lillis

Democrats Warn Tillerson To Loop Congress In Or Face Legislative Blowback - Politico

Senate Democrats are demanding that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson lift a hiring freeze, nominate more candidates for vacant diplomatic slots and share much more detail with Congress about his plan to restructure the State Department.

In Alabama, Bannon Decries GOP Leaders As Roy Moore Battles Rival Amid Molestation Allegations
Michael Finnegan @
Democratic Senate candidate Doug Jones of Alabama attacked GOP rival Roy Moore over sexual misconduct allegations as Moore surrogate Steve Bannon castigated Republican leaders for shunning their party's candidate.

Freedom Caucus And Ryan Near Truce To Avoid Friday Shutdown - Politico

House GOP leaders and conservatives, eager to avoid a "distraction" that might derail tax reform legislation, appear close to reaching a reluctant truce on an agreement to avoid a government shutdown on Friday.