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THE Nooner for November 16, 2017


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Hello there my friends! Hopefully you're staying dry. Unfortunately for the ski bunnies, the storm isn't bringing snow to Tahoe, but Boreal is open and Squaw Valley/Alpine Meadows and Heavenly are scheduled to open tomorrow.

FROM THE DESK OF THE DEAN: In the Times, George Skelton looks at the impact on California's housing market under the GOP tax bill. The bill is up for a vote in the House today, and the story doesn't paint a good picture.

The real estate and home building lobbies have historically supported Republicans. But now they're hammering on the GOP about its tax proposals pending in Congress. And in California they're targeting seven Republican U.S. House members who face potentially tough reelection races next year.

Meanwhile, also at the Times, Sarah D. Wire writes up the latest on the tax bill among California Republican members of the House. Only Darrell Issa has said he is a "no"  vote. Cook, Knight, McClintock, Rohrabacher, Royce have not expressed a position.



AD26 (Tulare): The Tulare County Republican Central Committee adopted a resolution calling on Assemblyman Devon Mathis to "immediately resign."

David Pacheco, the director of the Senate fellows program, has been put on indefinite leave following the allegations of inappropriate behavior toward a fellow by Senator Tony Mendoza, reports Patrick McGreevy in the Times.

The LAT's Evan Halper looks at Trump's changes to environmental politicies and how California is handling them.


Probolsky Research


$$$: The Legislative Analyst's Office is out with its annual fiscal outlook, and it's darn good. John Myers writes "Gov. Jerry Brown and state lawmakers could have a net budget windfall of some $7.5 billion by the summer of 2019 under a new analysis that attributes most of the cash to capital gains income earned by California's most wealthy taxpayers." [report]

Near‑Term Outlook Positive. Under our current revenue and spending estimates, and assuming the Legislature makes no additional budget commitments, the state would end the 2018‑19 fiscal year with $19.3 billion in total reserves (including $7.5 billion in discretionary reserves), as we discuss in Chapter 1. In the budget process, the Legislature will face decisions about how to use discretionary state resources, including whether to build more budget reserves or make new one‑time and/or ongoing budget commitments. In addition, we estimate the Legislature will have $5.3 billion in uncommitted school and community college funds to allocate in 2018‑19. The state could use these resources to fully implement the Local Control Funding Formula and support a variety of other one‑time and ongoing activities.

That's a very big "if." 







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Ca Government To Run Budget Surplus In 2018 | The Sacramento Bee
Adam Ashton @
Chronicling civil-service life for California state workers

1.7 Million Fewer Californians Would Have Insurance If Health Mandate Is Repealed, UC Berkeley Labor Center Estimates - San Francisco Chronicle
Up to 1.7 million people in California would no longer have health insurance by 2027 if the requirement under the Affordable Care Act to buy insurance or pay a tax penalty is repealed, according to estimates released Wednesday by the UC Berkeley Labor Center.

UC Regents To Discuss Scathing Audit | The Sacramento Bee
Alexei Koseff And Angela Hart @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

How California's GOP House Members Plan To Vote On The Tax Bill
Sarah D. Wire @
California's 14 House Republicans are under intense pressure: Failure or success of the GOP tax bill in Thursday's scheduled vote may d...

Dems Seize On Gop’s Obamacare Attack To Awaken The Left On Taxes - Politico

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer addresses a rally against the proposed Republican tax reform legislation on the east side of the U.S. Capitol on Nov. 15. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

UC Students Demand Regent Resign Over Sexual Comments
UC Regent Norman Pattiz was recorded making inappropriate sexual comments about a woman's breasts.

UC President Janet Napolitano's Aides Interfered In Audit Of Her Office, Investigation Finds
Patrick McGreevy, Teresa Watanabe @
Top aides to University of California President Janet Napolitano interfered with a state audit of her office, actions that suppressed campus criticism of its services and operations, according to findings of an investigation ordered by the UC Board of Regents.

Ca Courts Created Money Bail Problems, Bond Agents Say | The Sacramento Bee
Alexei Koseff @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

Majority Of California House Republicans Support Tax Bill, But Passage Could Hinge On The Undecideds
Sarah D. Wire @
Failure or success for the GOP tax bill in Thursday's expected vote could hinge on a handful of undecided California House Republicans.

President Trump arrives on Capitol Hill

President Trump arrived on Capitol Hill on Nov. 16, for a meeting with House Republicans. He ignored shouted questions about Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) and Alabama U.S. Senate candidate Roy Moore as he entered the Capitol.

Sacramento State Places Director Of Fellows Program On Leave | The Sacramento Bee
Taryn Luna @
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

Appeals Court Weighs Whether To Reject Trump University Settlement So Former Student Can Take The President To Trial
Maura Dolan @
Judges on the 9th circuit appeals court seemed reluctant to scuttle Trump University settlement so that one former student can take the president to trial.

Leader of key GOP super PAC warns lawmakers: Oppose tax bill at your peril

Corry Bliss, who runs the Congressional Leadership Fund, said Republicans who choose to vote against the tax bill could not assume they would have the group's support going into a grueling midterm election year.

Investigation Finds Nepotism At Tax Board -
Ben Bradford @
Capital Public Radio, Inc.7055 Folsom BoulevardSacramento, CA 95826

Rep. Darrell Issa Pressured By Both Sides On Tax Bill - The San Diego Union-tribune
Joshua Stewart @

UC Students Demand Ouster Of Regent Accused Of Sex Harassment - San Francisco Chronicle
A band of UC Berkeley students showed up at the University of California regents meeting in San Francisco Wednesday to demand the resignation of Regent Norman Pattiz, a year after he was recorded asking an actress at his podcast company if he could hold her breasts.

State Inquiry Finds Widespread Nepotism In California Tax Agency
Patrick McGreevy @
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Many In Middle Class Will Eventually Pay Higher Taxes In New Senate Plan, Study Says - Politico

While everyone, on average, would initially see their taxes fall under the plan, the nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation said Thursday that by 2027, everyone earning less than $75,000 on average would face a tax increase. Those between $20,000 and $30,000 would see a 25 percent hike that year, the report found.

Doctor Sentenced For Sex Assault At Sacramento-area Clinic | The Sacramento Bee
Cathy Locke @
Covering crime, police and courts in the Sacramento region

UC Regents Seek Ways To Expand Financial Support And Speed Graduation
Teresa Watanabe @
University of California regents are seeking ways to expand financial support to students to make the cost of attendance more affordable, including grants for summer school and multiyear aid commitments.