If you don't see images in this message, click "Display Images" or the equivalent.

Having trouble viewing this email? Click here

Receive this as a forward? Get the Nooner in your e-mail box

THE Nooner for October 8, 2017

 

Subscribe to The Nooner to access exclusive election analysis. | Follow @scottlay

Advertise in The Nooner to reach over 8,000 readers

If the subscription price is a bit steep for you and you don't need the election analysis, help support independent coverage of California politics and policy by chipping in whatever you can afford. Thank you for your support!

 

advertisement


Upward Mobility at Cal State LA

 

DISTRICT UPDATES

  • CA36 (Coachella Valley): added businessswoman/actress Kimberlin Brown (R)

AURAL PLEASURE: The team is together for the California Politics Podcast. The LAT's John Myers and Melanie Mason and KQED's Marisa Lagos discuss the what the governor's signature on the "sanctuary state" bill and Republican efforts to repeal the gas tax for transportation projects. 

I WON'T BACK DOWN: The LAT's Julie Westfall writes that Dianne Feinstein hinted on Meet the Press that she will indeed run for reelection, writes the LAT's Julie Westfall. Feinstein was on both Meet the Press and Face the Nation, and she seemed as sharp as a tack. On MTP, she responded to  Chuck Todd's question about the recent PPIC poll that found that a plurality of voters thought she shouldn't run again:

"There are polls and then there are polls. I'm ready for a good fight. I've got things to fight for. I'm in a position where I can be effective, and hopefully that means something to California," she said. 

Clearly, she's not ready to call it a day. From what I get from knowledgable sources is her concern about what happens if she is unavailable to serve a full six-year term, which would have her in office until the age of 93. If she decided to step down mid-term, the vacancy would be filled by whoever is elected governor in 2018. 

While Gavin Newsom is clearly more liberal than Feinstein (can you imagine her doing this?), they have many of the San Francisco elite. She endorsed Newsom for lieutenant governor in the 2010 primary, when his biggest challenger was Janice Hahn, then a member of the Los Angeles City Council. 

She would probably be comfortable if, a vacancy occured by an early retirement or otherwise in the Senate, Feinstein would be okay letting Newsom make that decision. 

The thoughts in the 202 are that Congressman Adam Schiff would be DiFi's preference to take over the seat. He's the ranking member on the House Select Committee on Intelligence, the same role Feinstein has on the Senate side.

Even if Feinstein bowed out of next year's race, if her preference is indeed Schiff, he could transfer his House reelection money to a Senate campaign and hit the ground running on some of the biggest issues before Congress. This is something that others looking at the seat don't have.

As of June 30, Schiff has $2.6 million on hand, a number that will very likely go up when the 09/30 reports are filed by a week from today. This is not easy with individual contribution limits of $2.700. That money could be transferred to a committee for Senate--either a reelect after appointment or for an election should Feinstein decide not to run.

Both John Chiang and Antonio Villaraigosa--the other prominent Democrats in the hunt for the corner office occupied by the governor--also would likely be okay with Schiff, as he is easily qualified, has passed the strictest background check to be on Intelligence, and has social views that match their own.

If there is a vacancy appointment, there is going to be a lot of pressure to appoint the first Latino to a California Senate seat. Barbara Boxer and Feinstein were the first women elected from California and, until the election of Kamala Harris in 2016, the only previous non-white senator was conservative Republican S.I. Hayakawa of Marin County, who beat incumbent Democrat John Tunney, who was pushed to the left by Tom Hayden's candidacy. Hayakawa didn't run for reelection in 1982 and Pete Wilson was elected to fill the seat. 

Senate President Pro Tem Kevin de León, who is sitting on a war chest of over $3.7 million ostensibly for lieutenant governor (although he has endorsed colleague Dr. Ed Hernandez), has yet to decide on what he will do. If Feinstein decides not to run, he likely would run for Senate, although little of the money he is sitting on could be transferred to an account for the Senate. de León is somewhat stuck. He is termed out in the Legislature, has a new congressman in Jimmy Gomez

If Feinstein doesn't run, I would expect that he does. I don't see him as a likely candidate for appointment by next likely governor, unless it's late in that governor's term. The statewide offices are already very busy and, other than governor, none offer the opportunity for him to focus on his passion of the rights of immigrants. 

What could he do? I don't see him following some former legislators jumping into lobbying, as it would diminish the voice he treasures so much. 

However, I could easily see him being a "shadow voice." Former U.S. attorney general Eric Holder has been doing this on both the legal and media (traditional and social) on behalf of the State Assembly. While I don't see the State Senate hiring de León in a similar manner, I could see a network of immigrant advocacy groups pooling resources. It wouldn't be difficult for these groups, which also could include progressive businesses and chambers of commerce interested in immigration issues, to pool the $119,734 he currently makes, plus benefits. He would have access to money in his "ballot measure" account and would, as expected, move his LG money into a new account for--pick your 2022 ballot position.

Or, he could create his own organization. Lots of groups feel like they owe him for carrying the water on sanctuary state and his work on behalf of the bill for drivers' licenses for undocumented Californians.

He could continue to be California's leading voice on immigration as he arguably already is, albeit from a non-elected position. That would be a good position for him to be in to gain more of a statewide and national profile.

He would be the Howard Jarvis of immigration and issues affecting low-income.

Meanwhile, even with pressure within the state for any particular candidate, a governor would likely go to the "safe choice" of Schiff, who has been almost solely been focused on intelligence. No firebrand speeches on the Senate floor. Rather, he's seen as calm and collected in his familiar appearences on Sunday morning and other news shows. 

DISCLOSE: The governor signed AB 249 yesterday, which revamps the required disclosures on political advertisements, reports the Bee's Taryn Luna. The most significant change is that advertisements will be required to list the top three donors to the committee over $50,000. 

BABY, YOU CAN DRIVE MY CAR: Among other bills, the governor vetoed AB 63 (Frazier), which would have extended requirements to gain a provisional driver's license from age 18 to age 21, unless the drive is a active duty member of the military over 18.

The governor has until midnight next Sunday to act on the bills remaining on his desk.

Anyway, we'll call it a Nooner day for now as I need to get over to farmers' market. Have a great Sunday. Broncos have a bye week, which after the disappointing results for my college teams yesterday, I am okay with that.

It's of course a Sunday street tacos at day, although a tamale from the lady on 8th and T sounds good on this chilly fall morning. As I gobble down the delicious goodness, if I run across anything really interesting that can't wait until tomorrow, I'll send it out. 

Have a great day and off to farmers' market!

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Syrus Devers, Michael Kapp, Josh Kurpies, Rachael O'Brien, and Tammy Paster!

 

CLASSIFIEDS

Add your classified of up to 100 words by emailing scott@scottlay.com for $40/week.
  
  • For 30 Years PDI has been the California’s premier data vendor.  Now, you can get an introductory live online training on the newest PDI software is every week at 4pm on Tuesdays and 10am on Thursdays A deeper training on field & phone canvassing is held every Thursday at 4pm and advanced training on a variety of topics every Wednesday at 10am. Just click on a date/time to RSVP.<
  • DOWNTOWN OFFICE SPACE FOR LEASE AVAILABLE NOVEMBER 1ST. Historic building located just steps from the Capitol! Approximately 1700 square feet on the 8th Floor, West side, of the Eleventh and L Building. Suite details: open reception area, 4 private offices, large conference room, work room for copier & supplies, kitchen. For further information, please contact Eleventh and L Properties at (916)443-2496 or 1elprops@gmail.com.

  • The McGeorge School of Law, University of the Pacific, in Sacramento offers the Master of Public Administration (MPA) and the Master of Public Policy (MPP) degrees to both full-time students and those earning a professional degree while working. Our focus on the interconnections of law, policy, management, and leadership provides unique competencies for your success. Students gain a deep understanding of statutory interpretation and regulatory processes critical to modern governance. Learn more at go.mcgeorge.edu/publicpolicy, and sign-up for an information session or webinar or contact us at publicpolicy@pacific.edu.

  • OUR GOVERNMENTAL ADVOCACY TRAINING CAN MAKE YOUR LOBBYING EFFORTS MORE EFFECTIVE. Numerous lobbying firms, government entities, trade associations, nonprofits and private sector organizations consider Capitol Seminars their No.1 training resource -- for new lobbyists, support staff, and executives who hire and manage in-house or contract lobbyists. Conducted by 42-year Capitol veteran Ray LeBov, our Lobbying 101 & 201 seminars provide comprehensive coverage of the Legislative process, plus best practices for Legislative, Budget, and Regulatory Agency advocacy, Lobbying the Administration, and Media Strategies. Extensive curriculum materials support participants long after the seminars are over. Next dates are October 12-13. More information / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916-442-5009.
  • The Sacramento LGBT Community Center seeks a Community Resources & Respite Coordinator that will have overall strategic and operational responsibility for the development, maintenance, evaluation and delivery of community resources and respite-based drop-in center, a vital component in our ability to provide mental health support to the region’s LGBTQ community.

    This position reports to the Director of Programs and works in partnership with other programming staff and stakeholders as well as directly with community members of diverse backgrounds. This is a full-time, non-exempt position at $15 per hour. A full job description and application information is at saccenter.org/careers.

  • With more than 2,000 bills introduced and hundreds of committee hearings held each year, navigating the legislative and political process can be a painstakingly difficult task. Pelote Strategic Consulting and Advocacy aims to simplify this process by helping clients develop effective strategies to accomplish their legislative and electoral goals.  Let our four decades of experience building relationships in the halls of the State Capitol and running successful candidate and initiative campaigns work for you. For more information, visit our website here or email us at info@pelotestrategic.com.

  •  

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Feinstein 'close' To Announcing Reelection Bid - Politico
DAVID SIDERS @
politico.com
Some long-shot candidates have announced challenges to Feinstein, including a progressive lawyer, Pat Harris. But no prominent Democrat is yet in the race. State Senate President Pro Tem Kevin de León and Joseph Sanberg, a wealthy Orange County progressive activist, are both potential candidates.

Feinstein Hints At Senate Re-election Run - San Francisco Chronicle
sfchronicle.com
California Sen. Dianne Feinstein hinted strongly on Sunday that she will seek re-election for a fifth term as U.S. senator in 2018.

Feinstein: 'we Need A Law' On Bump Stocks | Thehill
Julia Manchester @
thehill.com
Feinstein addressed calls from California Republicans to donate campaign contributions given to her from film producer Harvey Weinstein in the wake of the sexual abuse allegations against him on NBC's "Meet the Press with Chuck Todd."

Political Road Map: How California Went From Worst To First In Drawing Fair Political Maps
John Myers @
latimes.com
As the U.S. Supreme Court weighs its role in ensuring the fair drawing of political districts, California's own history on the issue suggests change is hard, but possible.

Brown Signs Ca Bill Requiring More Campaign Disclosure | The Sacramento Bee
Taryn Luna @
sacbee.com
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics

A Prison Newsroom Mourns Its Former Editor In Chief, Recently Released And Then Killed In A Crash
latimes.com
Arnulfo Garcia, prisoner who brought great change at San Quentin State Prison, dies in car crash two months after his release

No Law Would Have Stopped Las Vegas Shooter, Feinstein Says - Politico
politico.com
No law would have prevented last week's Las Vegas shooting, Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein said Sunday.

Gov. Brown Vetoes Bill That Would Have Established A Curfew For California Drivers Under 21
Liam Dillon @
latimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown vetoed a measure Saturday that would have forced tougher restrictions on young California drivers.Assembly Bill 63 fro...

Vice President Mike Pence Plans California Fundraising Visit
mercurynews.com
GOP, Politics, Republicans, Trump Administration

Pence To Campaign For Gillespie In Virginia - Politico
politico.com
Vice President Mike Pence appearance with Virginia Republican gubernatorial nominee Ed Gillespie comes after President Donald Trump weighed in on the race earlier this week. | Darron Cummings/AP

San Diego May Soften Park Construction Requirements To Spur More Housing - The San Diego Union-tribune
David Garrick @
sandiegouniontribune.com


Bay Area political events: Haiti, civil discourse
sfgate.com
Political events in the Bay Area Wednesday Haiti: A screening of the new documentary “Serenade for Haiti” with a question-and-answer session afterward. The show will benefit Engineers Without Borders working in Haiti. 7 p.m. Wednesday. Roxie Theater, 3117 16th St., San Francisco. http://bit.ly/2hSWieo Thursday Democracy, explained: Learn how to run a campaign and get appointed to a commission from the Lamorinda Democratic Club. Features elected officials, campaign managers and consultants. 7 to 9 p.m. Thursday.

Time To Roll Back Some Of Our Gun Rights - San Francisco Chronicle
sfchronicle.com


What Jobs Will And Won’t Be Needed In California’s Future – Orange County Register
ocregister.com
The job market in Southern California could look very different by 2021 and beyond. Here’s where the jobs will and  won’t be.

Domestic Violence, Guns A Lethal Combination In 2 Recent Sf Cases - San Francisco Chronicle
sfchronicle.com
Susana Robles Desgarennes spent the last weeks of her young life at her happiest, singing and dancing every morning, her friends said. The 20-year-old mother had finally gathered the courage to leave her controlling boyfriend and embrace her future, they said.

At Reno Gun Show, Firearm Fans Support Bump Stock Ban
mercurynews.com
No one interviewed at the show said they remembered seeing Paddock before, but the Vegas shooting was one of the biggest discussion topics.

New Child Welfare Head Well-regarded By Some Georgia Advocates, Despite Mixed Successes
Nina Agrawal @
latimes.com
The Board of Supervisors this week appointed Bobby Cagle as the next director of Children and Family Services.

Where Did Las Vegas Shooter Stephen Paddock Buy His Guns?
mercurynews.com
Authorities are having more difficulty tracking guns that may have been purchased at gun shows where one private citizen sells a weapon to another person, often without a background check, the source said.

Trump Goes After Senator Bob Corker, Who Bites Back
NOAH WEILAND and THOMAS KAPLAN @

Senator Corker, who decided not to run for re-election, tweeted that the White House had become “an adult day care center,” and said, “Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.”

Trump Tells Wealthy Donors He’s Committed To Restarting Obamacare Repeal Talks - Politico
politico.com
President Donald Trump who spoke at a closed-press fundraiser in Greensboro did not pinpoint any specific lawmakers for criticism. | Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

Erik Prince, Blackwater Founder, Weighs Primary Challenge to Wyoming Republican
JEREMY W. PETERS, MAGGIE HABERMAN and GLENN THRUSH @

If Mr. Prince runs, he would be a high-profile contender in a fledgling drive to oust establishment lawmakers with insurgents in the mold of President Trump.

Congresswoman slams Trump for a deaf ear to black communityâ
sfgate.com
Nearly five months to the day of his inauguration, then-Republican nominee Donald Trump tried to pitch his campaign to black voters with a single question: “What do you have to lose?” Three months after his inauguration, the Congressional Black Caucus eagerly responded with a 130-page policy document entitled “We have a Lot to Lose,” outlining legislation they say would help African Americans and similarly marginalized communities. That ask fell on deaf ears, Rep. Barbara Lee, D-Oakland, said Saturday at an annual “State of Black America” panel at Laney College.