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THE Nooner for January 6, 2017
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MONEY MATTERS: California voters just approved more taxes, but the new state budget could still be lean on cash [John Myers @ LAT] - "In the six years since Gov. Jerry Brown returned to the state Capitol, his relatively parsimonious approach to state budgets has been consistent enough to leave few watchers expecting major surprises. But recent events in California and the nation suggest the fiscal proposal Brown unveils next week could be his most circumspect to date, even after voters in November approved billions of dollars in additional taxes. . . In all, the [Medi-Cal] expansion is budgeted to cost $16.1 billion in the current budget year. All but $819 million of that money comes from the federal government, an enormous risk for the state in the years to come."
For the budget geeks out there like me, this is troubling. All outside signs demonstrate a robust California economy, and thus an expected bolus to state tax revenues. Honestly, from my contacts, the lackluster tax revenues in the current year are not understood. This is not Governor Brown low-balling revenue receipts. Rather, the receipts are relatively consistent between both the Controller's office and those of the Department of Finance. The two agencies use different mechanisms for calculating revenue, although the smooth out over the year. It has to do with "agency" cash--that received by the Franchise Tax Board, Board of Equalization, and other agencies vs. general fund cash, forwarded from the various tax-collecting agencies.
IMPACT: Trump's deportation vow spurs California farmers into action [AP] - "Trump's remarks were felt sharply in California, which produces nearly half the country's fruits, vegetables and nuts, valued at $47 billion annually. But his words resonate elsewhere too."
BACKFIRE? Why tariffs on Chinese imports could backfire in California [David Pierson @ LAT] - "Across California, companies reliant on Chinese factories and suppliers are mulling over what it means if the incoming Trump administration makes good on threats to slap new tariffs on Chinese goods. The president-elect and his surrogates have floated the idea of import taxes as high as 45% and as low as 5% to punish China for undervaluing its currency — a charge many economists say is outdated."
Well, this is going to be an interesting four years. The Legislature has hired Attorney General Eric Holder to defend the state's interests, with climate change, "repeal and replace ObamaCare," threats of tariffs that could clobber Silicon Valley, and, of course, immigration. 3.8 million Californians are enrolled in MediCal, with the vast majority is paid by the federal government. Farmers across the state--particularly the Central Valley, northern Sacramento Valley, and the nation's "salad bowl" are fearing for lack of farm labor.
All of this puts a lot of pressure on House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Bakersfield), whose district includes lots of agriculture, many folks on Medi-Cal, and large health problems associated with the environment (asthma, in particular). Frankly, the biggest beneficiary (albeit still a net 'contributor' to the feds) is facing the biggest costof the PEOTUS's suggestions.
Meanwhile, Congressman Darrell Issa (R-Carlsbad) is pushing for lifting the number of H1B visas in the country, mostly for high technology industries. That complicates the immigration debate. H1Bs and immigrant farm workers are very different populations, but advocates on either side need to build a coalition, which involves both.
Legislature doesn’t look like California, but in some ways it’s closer than before [Jim Miller @ SacBee] - "The California lawmakers who returned to the Capitol this week as a group are younger and much more reflective of California’s diverse racial and ethnic makeup than their counterparts about two decades ago. nIn all of those categories, though, the state’s residents continue to look a lot different than the 120 people who, for the next two years, will be crafting a state budget, voting on hundred of bills, and taking other actions affecting their constituents’ lives."
DISCLOSE: California police would have to disclose the use of more surveillance devices under this proposed law [Jazmine Ulloa @ LAT] - "The bill, introduced last month by state Sen. Jerry Hill (D-San Mateo), would require any local law enforcement agency in California that uses surveillance technology to submit a plan to local officials on how it uses the equipment and the information collected. Surveillance plans would have to be presented at an open hearing and would be required to include any facial recognition software, drones or even social media monitoring used by officers."
#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Kiel Brunner, Matthew Del Carlo, Sami Gallegos, Daniel Lopez, Assemblymember Kevin McCarty, and Dale Shimasaki!
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
California Voters Just Approved More Taxes, But The New State Budget Could Still Be Lean On Cash
John Myers @ latimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown's new state budget, which will be unveiled on Tuesday, could prove to be his most cautious spending plan to date
Early Califronia Presidential Primary Could Aid Kamala Harris | The Sacramento Bee
Christopher Cadelago @ sacbee.com
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics
Donald Solem had few peers as political organizer, adviser
Donald Solem, the political organizer and campaign quarterback who ran successful drives on behalf of countless civic issues from school bonds to parking garages, seemed to make friends with everyone who shook his sizable hand. Mr. Solem, a force in Bay Area and California politics for five decades, died Thursday of lung cancer in his Mill Valley home. Chronicle editorial page editor John Diaz said Mr. Solem was âÂÂa wealth of institutional knowledge about politics, an avid reader, and unfailingly gracious and good-humored even when you were on the other side of an issue from him.âÂÂ San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, who as a Coro Foundation intern was mentored by Mr. Solem, said his friend was a âÂÂpeople person and a true strategist who could figure out problems âÂÂ and he had more baseball cards than IâÂÂve ever seen.âÂÂ Friends and political opponents alike would often find themselves as Mr. SolemâÂÂs guests in box seats behind home plate at San Francisco Giants games. The coffee table in his office was a slab of glass covering an actual San Francisco Seals baseball uniform. A native of San Francisco and a graduate of Capuchino High School in San Bruno and of UC Berkeley, Mr. Solem worked on political campaigns directly after college. In 1976, he founded his public relations firm Solem and Associates, and became a master at using research data to keep track of voters and their preferences, long before such data became crunched by computers. [...] he was a firm believer that government and the political process could make life better.
Former L.A. Rams Star Rosey Grier Says He Plans To Run For Governor Of California
Phil Willon @ latimes.com
Update on 'Essential Politics: Details emerge on Legislature hiring Holder, new report on California's housing crisis'
Vp Biden To President-elect Trump: 'grow Up' | The Sacramento Bee
Vice President Joe Biden told President-elect Donald Trump Thursday to "grow up."
California Police Would Have To Disclose The Use Of More Surveillance Devices Under This Proposed Law
Jazmine Ulloa @ latimes.com
State Sen. Jerry Hill has filed legislation that would expand the variety of electronic surveillance devices that police agencies must disclose to the public under California law.
Final Jobs Report For Obama Presidency Expected To Be Solid | The Sacramento Bee
CHRISTOPHER S. RUGABER @ sacbee.com
The last major economic report card for President Barack Obama arrives Friday with the release of the December jobs figures. The report will cap a long record of robust hiring after the Great Recession, though one that left many people feeling left out.
Nws: Northern California Now On Pace For 'wettest Water Year On Record' - Sfgate
After many long years of waiting, California's drought relief may finally be here. Snow has piled up over five feet in some parts of the Sierra Nevada since the Sunday storm. And while the first snow survey of the year actually came in below average in terms of snow accumulation, there are reasons for optimism.
Michelle Obama Spreads Message Of Diversity In Her Last Speech As First Lady - Politico
Obama did not mention the election or Donald Trump in her remarks, but the speech was an implicit rebuke of the message that carried the president-elect to his surprise victory. Trump campaigned on a hardline promise to curtail immigration and at points disparaged minority groups, including Muslims and Mexicans.
UC Berkeley Researcher Debunks Global Warming Hiatus - San Francisco Chronicle
Suggestions by climate change skeptics that ocean cooling put global warming on hiatus more than a decade ago were based on faulty measurements of seawater temperatures, a new study led by a UC Berkeley researcher confirms.
California Senate Joins Anti-trump Fight With Holder Hire
Eric Holder | AP Photo/Seth Wenig
Keep Calm And Continue To Conserve Water, State Says
Uber-inspired Bill Would Crack Down On Illegal Self-driving Cars In California
Assemblymember Phil Ting, D-San Francisco, on Thursday introduced a bill that would allow the state to fine companies up to $25,000 per vehicle per day for operating unauthorized self-driving vehicles. If passed, the law also would prevent those companies from applying for an autonomous vehicle testing permit for two years.
Audio: Study Says Health Law Repeal Could Cost California 334,000 Jobs | 89.3 Kpcc
Southern California Public Radio @ scpr.org
Sherrod Brown Will Vote Against Sessions - Politico
Sen. Sherrod Brown is in a group of 10 Senate Democrats who are up for reelection this cycle in a state that Donald Trump won. | AP Photo
Activists Help Young Immigrants Plan For Trump's Administration | Kpbs
Jean Guerrero @ kpbs.org
Alliance San Diego launched a campaign, "Rising Together," to help young immigrants decide what to do before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20.