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THE Nooner for October 28, 2016
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I told you race ratings would change. Earlier this week, I moved AD60 to Toss-Up based on VBM returns. With updated returns and some independent reports of ground games, it's back to Leans Republican.
Good morning and Happy Friday! You made it. Bad news to those walking precincts this weekend, as rain is forecast throughout much of the state through the weekend. Good news for our water situation, though. Campaigns are clearing out the umbrella supplies at stores everywhere.
BOMBSHELL: FBI director James Comey is reopening the investigation as to whether newly discovered Hillary Clinton emails contain classified information. Does this affect the presidential and, if so, down ballot races? Reportedly, it is not tied to the WikiLeaks.
HOLY COW! The Spirit of Democracy PAC, mostly funded by billionaire Stanford physicist Charles Munger, Jr. reported a $965,455 independent expenditure yesterday of $965,455 against teacher Cheryl Cook-Kallio (D) in the AD16 race. The expenditures are coded as "telephone." That's over $3.00 per registered voter in the East Bay district. Something fishy...
Overall, Spirit of Democracy has spent a cumulative $1.1 million against Cook-Kallio, who is challenging incumbent Catharine Baker (R).
The ElectionTrack.com hamsters are running the wheel processing all of last night's campaign finance data (the last reports before the election), and I'll get them to you ASAP.
THE AG LIST: The list of possible candidates for attorney general has many changes today, with several names removed and two added. Nooner paid supporters received an exclusive detailed summary of each of the changes and the pros and cons of the remaining names, but here's a top line summary:
There are three major factors: 1) the governor wants to appoint someone who will run and win in 2018; 2) the governor likely won't appoint a sitting legislator, which would reduce the majorities (and possible Senate supermajority) and trigger a costly special election; and, 3) the fact that both he and his father moved from AG to governor and that an appointee, if elected twice, would line up perfectly for the 2026 gubernatorial election. Thus, he wants someone who would he likes personally, and would govern in a manner he would like.
Here's the current list based on conversations with many insiders:
Here are the newspaper endorsements in competitive races:
DOWN-BALLOT: Barack Obama endorses in three California Assembly races [Christopher Cadelago @ SacBee] - “Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon, in a congratulatory message posted on social media, said Obama is backing former Assemblyman Al Muratsuchi, D-Torrance, and fellow Democratic challengers Abigail Medina, a school board member in San Bernardino, and ex-Pleasanton Councilwoman Cheryl Cook-Kallio.”
PROP 53: Jerry Brown stepping up campaign against measure on Delta water tunnels [Christopher Cadelago @ SacBee] - “Gov. Jerry Brown, keeping a somewhat low profile throughout the fall campaign, stars in a new TV ad debuting Thursday in which he urges Californians to oppose Proposition 53, arguing it will constrict local control, increase the cost of critical infrastructure and is brainchild of a single wealthy farmer.”
PROP 64: Much is revealed when sorting through the haze of 62-page marijuana initiative [Brooke Edwards Stagg @ PE] - “Should people be free to smoke pot in California? But the 62-page initiative on the Nov. 8 ballot asks voters to determine much more than that. It asks them to decide how much cannabis Californians should be allowed to carry, whether they should be able to grow it in their homes and what, if any, penalties consumers should face going forward.”
COOKIE CUTTER: Voters in two different congressional districts get very similar letters from the wives of the GOP candidates [Sarah D. Wire @ LAT] - “Voters in the 7th and 10th congressional districts might have gotten similar letters in the last few days from the wives of their Republican congressional candidates. The personal appeals to Northern California voters have matching stationery with font that mimics handwriting and use similar language, including language on college affordability, hard work and the integrity of their husbands. The letters are each dated Oct. 22.”
CA10 (Stanislaus): House speaker rallies Denham backers in Modesto [John Holland @ ModBee] - “House Speaker Paul Ryan came to Modesto on Thursday to cheer on supporters of Rep. Jeff Denham, R-Turlock. Ryan paid an afternoon visit to the McHenry Avenue headquarters for Denham’s tight re-election bid, where volunteers and local Republican leaders were gathered. “This man is a workhorse,” Ryan said. “This man is a doer. Jeff Denham is already one of our quarterbacks on fixing some of your biggest problems here.””
CA17 (Milpitas-San Jose): With today's endorsement of the San Francisco Chronicle, Ro Khanna (D) has earned the hat trick of endorsements of the three mmajor newspapers covering the district--East Bay Times, San Francisco Chronicle and San Jose Mercury-News--in his challenge of incumbent Mike Honda (D).
CA21 (Kings): Speaker Paul Ryan calls Valadao model for GOP future [James Burger @ BakCal] - “Speaker of the House Paul Ryan parachuted into the small Fresno County town of Fowler Thursday to raise cash for embattled Republican Congressman David Valadao. Ryan talked to The Californian by phone as his team drove back into Fresno, explaining why he made Fowler a stop on a barnstorming three-day, 14-event tour of contested California congressional districts.”
SD11 (San Francisco): Joe Montana, MC Hammer star in cringe-worthy Scott Wiener endorsement music video [Katie Dowd @ SFChron] - “You might think a project combining Joe Montana, Ronnie Lott, MC Hammer and a Huey Lewis classic would be fun. You would be wrong in thinking that. Despite the presence of Bay Area superstars, nothing can save the cringe-worthy potency of a new advertisement/music video endorsing San Francisco supervisor Scott Wiener for state Senate. The endorsement, paid for by the Robert F. Kennedy Democratic Club, features Jaleel White introducing Wiener as the nerdy-but-cool candidate for senate. They all sing a horrible parody of 'Hip to be Square', the lyrics of which are as follows…” [video]
SD29 (Fullerton-Diamond Bar): Orange County state senate race could decide balance of power in Sacramento [Jordan Graham @ OCR] - “Sitting at the crossroads of three Southern California counties, one blue, one historically red and one that has seesawed back and forth in recent presidential elections, the 29th State Senate District could play an outsize role next month in recalibrating the balance of political power in Sacramento.”
AD31 (Redlands): Everything you need to know about the 31st Congressional District race [Beau Yarbrough @ SBSun]
AD35 (San Luis Obispo): 35th Assembly District candidates battle for your vote [Dan Shadwell @ KSBY] - “Dawn Ortiz-Legg says Jordan Cunningham is a selfish opportunist, who's willing to let criminals out of jail, while Cunningham's ads have portrayed Dawn Ortiz-Legg as an anti-war radical who says we're all guilty of war crimes.”
AD72 (Seal Beach): California State Bar disciplines attorney candidate for Assembly District 72 [Kelly Puente @ OCR] - “The State Bar of California has decided to suspend for 30 days the law license of a Huntington Beach attorney and candidate for California’s 72nd Assembly District. In a ruling filed on Oct. 19, the State Bar Court found Lenore Albert-Sheridan, a consumer-advocate attorney, culpable of three counts of misconduct for failing to cooperate with a disciplinary investigation and not obeying court orders to pay more than $7,000 in sanctions.”
DOUBLE-X FACTOR: In California state government, women earn 80 cents on the dollar compared to men [Adam Ashton @ SacBee] - “California’s path-breaking bid to end workplace pay disparities faces one of its widest gender wage gaps among the state’s own employees. A new report from the California Department of Human Resources shows that women in the state workforce earn about 79.5 cents on the dollar compared to men. That’s a greater disparity than the gender pay gap in both California’s private sector and in the federal workforce, according to the report.”
$$$: Jerry Brown touted his pension reforms as a game-changer. But they’ve done little to rein in costs [Judy Lin @ CALmatters/LAT/CPR] - “State lawmakers eventually passed many of Brown’s proposals, including a higher retirement age for new employees. But they rejected those with the biggest dollar savings — notably his plan for a hybrid retirement system combining smaller pensions with 401k-style savings plans. Instead, legislators chose to tinker at the margins of pension reform. Although Brown touted it as the “biggest rollback to public pension benefits in the history of California,” the package of modest changes he signed into law in 20”
REBOOT: DMV offices, idled for days by hardware issues, back in action [Alma Fausto @ SCNG] - “Days of frustration and no services at Department of Motor Vehicle branches in California came to an end Thursday – for the most part – following what the agency called a “catastrophic” hardware failure that has lingered throughout the week.”
HOLLYWOOD: California’s revised film incentive program generates $1.5B in spending [Bob Strauss @ LADN] - “Results from the first year of the state’s new, more generous Film and Television Tax Credit Program were released Thursday by the California Film Commission. Overall, the first fiscal year (July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2016) of the new 2.0 system generated $1.5 billion in in-state spending, $600 million of which went to below-the-line wages. (Salaries of highly paid above-the-liners such as A-list actors, directors and producers do not qualify for California tax credits). That spending was from only $230 million in tax credits; the full $330 million annual allocation didn’t kick in until July 1 of this year, according to the Film Commission, which administers the plan designed to keep productions, along with the middle class jobs they generate, from leaving the state.”
#TheyServedYouLied: A wounded California Guard soldier served four combat tours. Now he's fighting the Pentagon [David S. Cloud @ SacBee] - “For the last three years, retired California National Guard Master Sgt. Bill McLain’s wife, Terese, has repaid a bit of his enlistment bonuses to the Pentagon with a caustic note. Each month, she writes “blood money” on the $100 check — the token amount the McLains pay on the $30,000 debt they deny owing — that she sends to the Pentagon. “Shame on you. Extortion,” she writes on the envelope.”
#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Senator Richard Pan and Yong Salas!
Orange County State Senate Race Could Decide Balance Of Power In Sacramento - The Orange County Register
JORDAN GRAHAM @ ocregister.com
Sitting at the crossroads of three Southern California counties, one blue, one historically red and one that has seesawed back and forth in recent presidential elections, the 29th State Senate District could play an outsize role next month in recalibrating the balance of political power in Sacramento.
The Politics Of Tax Reform :: Fox&hounds
This situation is brought into clear relief with Proposition 55, the income tax extension on the November ballot.
Voters In Two Different Congressional Districts Get Very Similar Letters From The Wives Of The GOP Candidates
Update on 'Essential Politics: President Obama backs California Assembly candidates, Kathy Griffin pokes fun at the tobacco industry'
Cities Pass Emergency Laws Against Recreational Pot - The San Diego Union-tribune
With a state proposition looming that could legalize the sale of recreational marijuana across California, several San Diego County cities have been scrambling to pass emergency ordinances that would temporarily prohibit the cultivation and use of the drug within their borders.
Jerry Brown's Tv Ad On Sacramento Delta Water Tunnels Measure | The Sacramento Bee
Christopher Cadelago @ sacbee.com
The go-to source for news on California policy and politics
California State Bar Disciplines Attorney Candidate For Assembly District 72 - The Orange County Register
KELLY PUENTE @ ocregister.com
The State Bar of California has decided to suspend for 30 days the law license of a Huntington Beach attorney and candidate for California’s 72nd Assembly District.
Dccc Makes False Claim About Denham's Role In Trump Hotel Deal | Politifact California
subject @ politifact.com
A new TV ad by a Democratic campaign committee describes Rep. Jeff Denham, R-Turlock, as Donald Trump’s ‘Man in Washington DC.’
Ca State Government Gender Pay Gap: Women Make 20 Percent Less | The Sacramento Bee
Adam Ashton @ sacbee.com
Chronicling civil-service life for California state workers
Election could dramatically change BART board
Strike or not, BART labor negotiations typically end with a vocal group of angry riders and taxpayers demanding the transit systemâÂÂs directors be tossed out of office. âÂÂItâÂÂs been a long time since weâÂÂve seen an election that had the possibility of this much change for BART,âÂÂ said Gabriel Metcalf, executive director of SPUR, a Bay Area urban planning think tank. The issue that seems to come up most frequently in the races is the state of BARTâÂÂs labor relations, which led to two strikes in 2013; the systemâÂÂs increasing delays and unreliability; and plans to fix the 44-year infrastructure whether or not Measure RR, a $3.5 billion bond measure to rebuild BART on the same Nov. 8 ballot, passes or fails. Three candidates âÂÂ Bevan Dufty, a former San Francisco supervisor and homeless czar; Gwyneth Borden, a Municipal Transportation Agency board member and head of the Golden Gate Restaurant Association; and political activist Michael Petrelis âÂÂ are seeking to replace Radulovich. In District Seven, which includes western Contra Costa County, parts of Berkeley and Oakland, and the northern and western reaches of San Francisco, one-term incumbent Zahkhary Mallett faces challenges from Lateefah Simon, a nonprofit foundation director; Will Roscoe, an engineer and entrepreneur; and Roland Emerson, an office services supervisor. Gail Murray, who has represented central Contra Costa on the board since 2004 in the District One seat, faces a single challenger, Debora Allen, a chief financial officer.
Los Angeles County Bar Association Says Expediting The Death Penalty System Will 'compromise Justice'
Update on 'Essential Politics: President Obama backs California Assembly candidates, Kathy Griffin pokes fun at the tobacco industry'
Donald Trump Immigration View Misportrays What's Known About Immigrant Crime | The Sacramento Bee
Sean Cockerham @ sacbee.com
By Sean Cockerham
Oakland Police Union Goes After 2 Councilmen Who Favor Commission - San Francisco Chronicle
With roughly a week to go before the November election, the Oakland Police Officers Association is taking swipes at two City Council members who backed a ballot measure for a citizen-led police commission.
Trump: 'we Should Just Cancel The Election And Just Give It To Trump'
Update on 'Campaign 2016 updates: Donald Trump supporters lack confidence the election will be fair'
Audit: Dede Wilsey payout to ex-staffer improper but not illegal
Cutting a $450,000 check without formal approval to an ailing former employee of the San Francisco Fine Arts Museums was improper under federal guidelines, but not illegal, according to a city audit released Thursday. The audit was done in response to a complaint that former Fine Arts Museums chief executive Dede Wilsey gave the payout in 2014 to the former stationary engineer, on top of his $56,000 annual pension, without approval from the museumsâÂÂ Board of Directors. U.S. Government Accountability Office guidelines, which apply to nonprofit agencies, state that such payments are improper if âÂÂinsufficient or no documentation (is) found,âÂÂ according to the city audit. [...] last month, both the private, nonprofit board and the public board that oversee the museums voted to keep Wilsey in her leadership roles, though she lost her title as president and chief executive. The audit, which investigated museum records from 2013 to 2015, also found multiple minor inconsistencies in payroll and employee reimbursement systems. In a written response to the report, the Fine Arts Museums largely agreed with the auditorsâÂÂ findings and stated it would âÂÂbe working towards improving our policies and procedures.âÂÂ
Election Could Dramatically Change Bart Board - San Francisco Chronicle
Strike or not, BART labor negotiations typically end with a vocal group of angry riders and taxpayers demanding the transit system’s directors be tossed out of office. When the next election comes around, however, few, if any, challengers step forward to take on the incumbents.
Strange bedfellows unite to oppose California pot legalization
A joint news conference Thursday at the Hilton in San FranciscoâÂÂs Financial District brought together two groups that disagree on most everything when it comes to marijuana âÂÂ save their joint opposition to Proposition 64, which would legalize retail sale and adult use of recreational pot if passed by California voters Nov. 8. On the left: pro-cannabis advocates who warn that Prop. 64 will allow corporate interests to crush mom-and-pop players in the current medical marijuana industry. A demilitarized zone was marked by a âÂÂNo On 64âÂÂ sign, a nod to the sponsor of the event, Public and Mental Health Advocates Against 64. Kevin Sabet, the founder of the anti-legalization group Smart Approaches to Marijuana, broke the uneasy ice, saying he would have âÂÂthought you were smoking somethingâÂÂ to suggest the two groups would share the same stage as recently as a year ago. [...] together, Sabet and the members of the medical marijuana industry he often butts heads with outlined their case that Prop. 64 would allow big business to monopolize profits, while pervading California with reefer billboards and other marketing pitches. âÂÂThe scare tactics ... are distortions of potential truths, and thereâÂÂs a lot we donâÂÂt know about commercial cannabis regulation, and making these huge claims is oversimplifying what is a very unknown and nuanced situation,âÂÂ said Lynne Lyman, state director for the Drug Policy Alliance, which supports Prop. 64. Opponents argued that Prop. 64 will allow one individual to pursue multiple licenses, such as a cultivation site, a production facility and a storefront, and will thus create âÂÂWalmarts of weed,âÂÂ as Sabet put it. Prop. 64 does include a five-year restriction limiting the size of cultivation sites âÂÂ an attempt to appease current growers âÂÂ and leaves a good deal of discretion to state regulators when it comes to issuing licenses.
Airtalk | 3 Things To Know About Prop 61, California's Complex Prescription Drug Initiative | 89.3 Kpcc
Southern California Public Radio @ scpr.org
Lively and in-depth discussions of city news, politics, science, entertainment, the arts, and more. Hosted by Larry Mantle
Judge Kreep Says Judicial Watchdog Agency Targeted Him, Wants Him To Quit - The San Diego Union-tribune
San Diego Superior Court Judge Gary Kreep says the state’s judicial discipline agency has been on a “campaign of harassment and intimidation” against him in hopes he will quit the bench.
The Future Of The GOP Is Already Here: A Female Millennial Techie - San Francisco Chronicle
Evan McMullin of Utah, an independent candidate for president of...
Democrats Eye Post-election Transportation Session
A gift from the people of France, it sits on what is now known as Liberty Island in New York Harbor.