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THE Nooner for October 23, 2016

 

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E-16

DISTRICT UPDATES

  • SD21 (Santa Clarita-Palmdale): moved from Leans Republican to Toss-Up

Happy Sunday! It's a beautiful morning for farmers' market and street tacos. I love the new arena, but I was betting myself how long it would take for rent to go up. Yesterday, I got a notice that its going up $55/month. It only took 18 days. 

Some of you may be wondering about the district ratings changes I've made this weekend. It's coattails, financial advantage of the Democratic operations, the perception of a discouraged California Republiican electorate and field reports of superior GOTV efforts among Democrats. That said, modeling turnout this year is the most difficult year since I've been following politics. 

Last night was the close of the last fundraising period for state candidates before the election, and we'll see those numbers by midnight Thursday. Of course, contributions greater than $1,000 must continue to be reported within 24 hours of receipt.

THE AG LIST: The list of possible candidates for attorney general:

  • Rob Bonta, Assemblymember
  • Mike Feuer, LA City Attorney
  • Dario Frommer, former assemblymember and my fellow UCD law grad
  • George Gascon, San Francisco DA
  • Mike Gatto, Assemblymember
  • Lorena Gonzalez, Assemblymember
  • Joshua Groban, UCLA law lecturer and senior advisor to Jerry Bown, covering legal and judiciary issues
  • Clark Kelso, professor of law at McGeorge and a Republican nominee appointed to insurance commish in 2000 when the vacancy arose after Chuck Quackenbush was compelled to resign and moved to serve as the state's chief information officer under both Davis and Schwarenegger. Easy confirmation. 
  • Jackie Lacey, Los Angeles DA
  • Nancy McFadden, executive secretary to Jerry Brown, and a key part of his inner circle
  • Bill Monning, State Senator
  • Nancy O'Malley, Alameda County DA
  • Jeff Rosen, Santa Clara County DA
  • Adam Schiff, member of Congress and a former prosecutor. Generally lliked by both sides in DC, which is a feat
  • Phillip A. Talbert, US attorney for the Eastern District of California

Here are the newspaper endorsements in competitive races:

  • CA07 (East Sacto County): Sacramento Bee: Ami Bera (incumbent D over R)
  • CA10 (Modesto): Modesto Bee: Michael Eggman (D over incumbent R)
  • CA17 (Milpitas-San Joss): East Bay Times: Ro Khanna (D over incumbent D)
  • CA17 (Milpitas-San Jose): San Jose Mercury News: Ro Khanna (D over incumbent D)
  • CA24 (Santa Barbara): San Luis Obispo Tribune: Salud Carbajal (D over R)
  • CA24 (Santa Barbara): Santa Barbara News Press: Justin Fareed (R over D)
  • CA24 (Santa Barbara): Ventura County Star: Salud Carbajal (D over R)
  • CA25 (Santa Clarita): LA Daily News: Steve Knight  (R incumbent over D)
  • CA25 (Santa Clarita): San Bernardino Sun: Steve Knight (R incumbent over D)
  • CA25 (Santa Clarita): Santa Clarita Signal: Steve Knight (R incumbent over D)
  • CA31 (San Bernardino): LA Daily News: Pete Aguilar (D incumbent over R)
  • CA31 (San Bernardino): San Bernardino Sun: Pete Aguilar (D incumbent over R)
  • CA35 (South Bay): Daily Breeze: Steven Bradford (D over D)
  • CA36 (Coachella): Deserytt Sun: Raul Ruiz (incumbent D over R)
  • CA44 (Carson): Los Angeles Times: Nanette Barragan (D over D)
  • CA44 (Carson): Daily Breeze: Nanette Barragan (D over D)
  • CA46 (Santa Ana): Orange County Register: Lou Correa (D over D)
  • CA49 (Carlsbad): Orange County Register: Darrell Issa (R incumbent over D)
  • SD03 (Yolo-Solano-Napa): Daily Democrat: Bill Dodd (D over D)
  • SD03 (Yolo-Solano-Napa): East Bay Times: Bill Dodd (D over D)
  • SD03 (Yolo-Solano-Napa): Sacramento Bee: Bill Dodd (D over D)
  • SD03 (Yolo-Solano-Napa): Santa Rosa Press Democrat: Bill Dodd (D over D)
  • SD09 (East Bay): East Bay Times: Nancy Skinner (D over D)
  • SD09 (East Bay): San Francisco Chronicle: Nancy Skinner (D) (pver D)
  • SD11 (San Francisco): San Francisco Chronicle: Scott Wiener (D over (D)
  • SD25: (Pasadena): LA Daily News: Michael Antonovich (R over D)
  • SD27 (Ventura): Ventura County Star: Henry Sterm (D over R)
  • SD27 (Ventura): LA Daily News: Steve Fazio (R over D)
  • SD27 (Ventura): San Bernardino Sun: Steve Fazio (R over D)
  • SD29 (Fullerton-Diamond Bar): San Gabriel Valley Tribune: Ling Ling Chang (R over D)
  • AD14 (Concord): East Bay Times: Mae Torlakson (D over (D)
  • AD14 (Concord): San Francisco Chronicle: Tim Grayson (D over D)
  • AD16 (Tri-Valley): East Bay Times: Catharine Baker (R incumbent over D)
  • AD16 (Tri-Valley): San Francisco Chronicle: Catharine Baker (R incumbent over D)
  • AD31 (Fresno): Fresno Bee: Joaquin Arambula (D over D)
  • AD39 (East San Fernando): San Bernardino Sun: Patty Lopez (incumbent D over D)
  • AD27 (San Jose): San Jose Mercury news: Madison Nguyen (D over D)
  • AD35 (San Luis Obispo): San Luis Obispo Tribune: Dawn Ortiz-Legg (D over R)
  • AD38 (Santa Clarita): Ventura County Star: Christy Smith (D over R)
  • AD40 (Redlands): Riverside Press-Enterprise: Marc Steinorth (incumbent R over D)
  • AD43 (Glendale): LA Daily News: Laura Friedman (D over D)
  • AD47 (Rialto): Riverside Press Enterprise: Cheryl Brown (incumbent D over D)
  • AD47 (Rialto): San Bernardino Sun: Cheryl Brown (incumbent D over D)
  • AD66 (Torrance): Daily Breeze: David Hadley (incumbent R over D)

DOING THE LAUNDRY: How unlimited cash gets funneled into legislative campaigns [John Myers @ LAT] - "Donations made to a candidate for the state Assembly or Senate are usually a small part of California’s political money machine, a function of the relatively low limits on the size of contributions. Except when the money comes from a political party. That cash can flow into the campaigns in unlimited amounts. And it’s completely legal."

Well, let's look at state and local party totals for ballot measures and candidates since January 1. This data, from ElectionTrack includes direct contributions and in-kind contributions.

Yes On Prop. 57, Californians And Governor Brown For Public Safety And Rehabilitation CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $2,153,197.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $1,458,034.00
Medina For Assembly 2016; Abigail CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $1,387,302.00
No On Prop 53 - Californians To Protect Local Control, A Coalition Of Public Safety, Local Government, Business And Labor Organizations, Governor Brown And Taxpayers CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $1,277,076.00
Cook-Kallio For Assembly 2016 CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $1,258,563.00
Quirk-sSlva For Assembly 2016; Sharon CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $1,218,940.00
Newsom Ballot Measure Committee; Safety For All, Yes On Prop. 63, CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $1,129,786.00
Portantino For Senate 2016, Anthony CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $1,031,333.00
Ortiz Legg For Assembly 2016; Dawn CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $986,997.00
Steinorth For Assembly 2016; Marc CA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $918,508.00
Baker For Assembly 2016; Catharine CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $865,528.00
Chang For Senate 2016 CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $801,566.00
Cervantes For State Assembly 2016; Sabrina CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $787,474.00
Smith For Assembly 2016; Christy CA DEMOCRATIC PARTY (CDP)  $772,839.00
Wilk For Senate 2016 CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $734,292.00
Kim For State Assembly 2016; Young CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $716,325.00
Ervin For State Senate 2016 CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $633,176.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $551,496.00
Antonovich For Senate 2016 CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $545,811.00
Stern For Senate 2016 CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $490,934.00
Chang For Senate 2016 REPUBLICAN PARTY OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY  $400,000.00
Hadley For Assembly 2016; David CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $364,254.00
Arambula For Assembly 2016 Special Election; Dr. Joaquin CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $267,799.00
Cunningham For Assembly 2016; Jordan REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY  $265,000.00
Linder For Assembly 2016; Eric CA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $236,816.00
Acosta For Assembly 2016; Dante CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $198,666.00
Fazio For Senate 2016; Steve CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $175,400.00
Quirk-Silva For Assembly 2016; Sharon DEL NORTE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $160,000.00
Beall For Senate 2016, Jim CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $156,452.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 SACRAMENTO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $145,000.00
Quirk-silva For Assembly 2016; Sharon SACRAMENTO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $145,000.00
Irwin For Assembly 2016; Jacqui CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $135,885.00
Quirk-silva For Assembly 2016; Sharon DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF MARIN  $135,000.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 SAN DIEGO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $125,000.00
Lackey For Assembly 2016 CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $108,400.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 LOS ANGELES COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY - STATE CANDIDATE COMMITTE  $100,000.00
Wilk For Senate 2016 REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY  $100,000.00
Wilk For Senate 2016 TULARE COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY  $100,000.00
Portantino For Senate 2016, Anthony NAPA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE  $90,000.00
Steinorth For Assembly 2016; Marc REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY  $90,000.00
Cunningham For Assembly 2016; Jordan CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY  $89,700.00
Brown For Assembly 2016, Cheryl R. CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $87,500.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 DEL NORTE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $80,000.00
Stern For Senate 2016 TEHAMA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $80,000.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 SANTA CLARA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE UNITED DEMOCRATIC CAMPAIGN  $80,000.00
Yes On 55 - Californians For Budget Stability, Sponsored By Teachers, Health Care Providers, Doctors And Labor Organizations CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $78,588.00
Cervantes For State Assembly 2016; Sabrina SAN DIEGO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $75,000.00
Ortiz Legg For Assembly 2016; Dawn DEL NORTE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $75,000.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 SAN LUIS OBISPO DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $75,000.00
Beall For Senate 2016, Jim SAN MATEO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $75,000.00
Smith For Assembly 2016; Christy LA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY-STATE CANDIDATE COMMITTEE  $70,000.00
Ervin For State Senate 2016 FRESNO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $65,000.00
Ortiz Legg For Assembly 2016; Dawn SAN DIEGO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $65,000.00
Ervin For State Senate 2016 NAPA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $65,000.00
Stern For Senate 2016 SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE (SBCDCC)  $65,000.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 FRESNO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $65,000.00
Portantino For Senate 2016, Anthony HUMBOLDT COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $65,000.00
Portantino For Senate 2016, Anthony SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $65,000.00
Smith For Assembly 2016; Christy YOLO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $64,000.00
Galgiani For Senate 2016 CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $60,991.00
Quirk-silva For Assembly 2016; Sharon LOS ANGELES COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY - STATE CANDIDATE COMMITTEE  $60,000.00
Ortiz Legg For Assembly 2016; Dawn DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF MARIN  $60,000.00
Quirk-silva For Assembly 2016; Sharon YOLO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $60,000.00
Medina For Assembly 2016; Abigail SACRAMENTO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE (SCDCC)  $60,000.00
Cervantes For State Assembly 2016; Sabrina SACRAMENTO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $60,000.00
Hadley For Assembly 2016; David SACRAMENTO COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY  $60,000.00
Smith For Assembly 2016; Christy MENDOCINO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL CMTE.  $60,000.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 MENDOCINO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $60,000.00
Roth Usaf (ret.) For Senate 2016, Major General Richard D. CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $58,063.00
Republican Party Of Orange County (state Account) CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY STATE ACCOUNT  $57,500.00
Acosta For Assembly 2016; Dante CALIFORNIA REPUBLICAN PARTY (NON-MONETARY)  $57,289.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 TEHAMA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $55,000.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 STANISLAUS COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE  $50,000.00
Yes On Proposition 51 - Californians For Quality Schools, Sponsored And Funded By Coalition For Adequate School Housing Issues Committee And California Building Industry Association Issues Committee CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $48,660.00
Hadley For Assembly 2016; David REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF SAN LUIS COUNTY  $47,000.00
Stern For Senate 2016 NAPA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE  $45,000.00
Galgiani For Senate 2016 NAPA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE  $45,000.00
Quirk-silva For Assembly 2016; Sharon MENDOCINO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $45,000.00
Ervin For State Senate 2016 HUMBOLDT COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $45,000.00
Cook-kallio For Assembly 2016 MENDOCINO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $45,000.00
Galgiani For Senate 2016 HUMBOLDT COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Portantino For Senate 2016, Anthony SAN MATEO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Galgiani For Senate 2016 SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Galgiani For Senate 2016 SAN MATEO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Cook-kallio For Assembly 2016 SANTA CLARA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE UNITED DEMOCRATIC CAMPAIGN PAC  $40,000.00
Cervantes For State Assembly 2016; Sabrina STANISLAUS COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Galgiani For Senate 2016 FRESNO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Cook-kallio For Assembly 2016 DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF MARIN  $40,000.00
Galgiani For Senate 2016 SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 NAPA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Medina For Assembly 2016; Abigail YOLO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Stern For Senate 2016 SAN MATEO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $40,000.00
Medina For Assembly 2016; Abigail STANISLAUS COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE- STATE  $40,000.00
Kang For State Senate 2016 CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $39,515.00
Salas For Assembly 2016; Rudy CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $37,900.00
Quirk-silva For Assembly 2016; Sharon SAN DIEGO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $30,000.00
Muratsuchi For Assembly 2016 DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF MARIN COUNTY  $30,000.00
Quirk-silva For Assembly 2016; Sharon SANTA CLARA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE UNITED DEMOCRATIC CAMPAIGN  $30,000.00
Yes On Proposition 52 - A Coalition Of California Association Of Hospitals And Health Systems And Non-profit Health Care Organizations CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $27,651.00
Yes On 56 - Saves Lives California, A Coalition Of Doctors, Dentists, Health Plans, Labor, Hospitals, Law Enforcement, And Non-profit Health Advocate Organizations CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $27,076.00
Aguiar-curry For Assembly 2016; Cecilia CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $27,024.00
Yes On 58, Californians For English Proficiency Sponsored By Teachers And Service Employees Organizations CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $26,074.00
Yes On 67 - Protect The Plastic Bag Ban, Sponsored By Environmental And Ocean Protection Organizations, Businesses Including Grocers And Reusable Bag Makers, And Other Nonprofit Organizations CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $26,074.00
Yes On 62, No On 66. Replace The Costly, Failed Death Penalty System. Sponsored By Taxpayers For Sentencing Reform CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $26,074.00
Yes On 64, Californians To Control, Regulate And Tax Adult Use Of Marijuana While Protecting Children, Sponsored By Business, Physicians, Environmental And Social-justice Advocate Organizations CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $26,074.00
Stern For Senate 2016 HUMBOLDT COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Ortiz Legg For Assembly 2016; Dawn MENDOCINO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Ervin For State Senate 2016 SAN MATEO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Los Angeles County Democratic Party - State Candidate Committee D.R.I.V.E - DEMOCRAT, REPUBLICAN, INDEPENDENT VOTER EDUCATION (THE PAC OF THE INTERNATIONAL BROTHERH  $25,000.00
Portantino For Senate 2016, Anthony FRESNO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 SAN MATEO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Chang For Senate 2016 REPUBLICAN PARTY OF ORANGE COUNTY  $25,000.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Stern For Senate 2016 SLO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $25,000.00
Portantino For Senate 2016, Anthony SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Ervin For State Senate 2016 SANTA BARBARA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Stern For Senate 2016 FRESNO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $25,000.00
Baker For Assembly 2016; Catharine TULARE COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $24,400.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 HUMBOLDT COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $20,000.00
Galgiani For Senate 2016 TEHAMA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $20,000.00
Democratic Party Of Orange County DEMOCRATIC FOUNDATION OF ORANGE COUNTY  $20,000.00
Portantino For Senate 2016, Anthony TEHAMA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $20,000.00
Californians For An Effective Legislature CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $16,454.00
No On Prop 66, Californians For Fair Justice, Sponsored By Social Justice Organizations CA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $15,845.00
Newman For State Senate 2016 SAN LUIE OBISPO DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $15,000.00
Ervin For State Senate 2016 SAN LUIE OBISPO DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $15,000.00
Fazio For Senate 2016; Steve REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY  $15,000.00
Steinorth For Assembly 2016; Marc TULARE COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $14,100.00
Kim For State Assembly 2016; Young ORANGE COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY  $12,500.00
Acosta For Assembly 2016; Dante REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY  $11,024.00
Overturn Citizens United, Yes On 59 CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $11,003.00
Ortiz Legg For Assembly 2016; Dawn CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY (CADEM)  $11,000.00
Hadley For Assembly 2016; David TULARE COUNTY REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $10,100.00
Ervin For State Senate 2016 TEHAMA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE  $10,000.00
Calderon For Assembly 2016; Ian CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY  $8,750.00

 

POTUS: President Obama to visit LA Monday for fundraisers, Jimmy Kimmel Live appearance [City News Service]:

President Barack Obama is scheduled to fly to Los Angeles Monday for a 23-hour visit that will include appearances at a pair of fundraisers, an appearance on “Jimmy Kimmel Live” and the usual traffic headaches for motorists on the westside.

Obama is scheduled to speak at a $100,000-per-person evening fundraiser in Beverly Hills on behalf of Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign, at the home of DreamWorks Animation CEO Jeffrey Katzenberg and his wife Marilyn, according to an invitation obtained by City News Service.

He is scheduled to attend a fundraising roundtable discussion Tuesday on behalf of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee before flying back to Washington, D.C., according to the White House.

US SENATE: Loretta Sanchez: Congresswoman hoping for a surprise win Nov. 8 [Martin Wisckol @ OCR] - "[T]he biggest surprise of her career could come if she upsets fellow Democrat Harris, the state’s attorney general, on Nov. 8. Harris finished the primary with a 21 percentage point lead over Sanchez. Some polls show that advantage shrinking, but Harris continues to lead by double digits in most surveys."

CA17 (Milpitas-San Jose): The nasty shots of Election 2016 [Scott Herhold @ MercNews] - "A recent 30-second television ad from U.S. Rep. Mike Honda against challenger Ro Khanna was classic misdirection. Using charges from his own lawsuit against Khanna, the Honda ad selectively edited excerpts from television reports to accuse Khanna of breaking federal law."

CA21 (Kings): Valadao and Huerta face off in 21st District debate [James Burger @ Bakersfield Californian] - "Rep. David Valadao, R-Hanford, and Democratic challenger Emilio Huerta clashed sharply over water, air quality, immigration and political attack ads during their Thursday evening debate hosted by KGET-TV 17."

CA49 (Carlsbad): Democratic group spending $660K on anti-Issa, pro-Applegate ad [Joshua Stewart @ SDUT] - "The ad, “Country First,” comes from the House Majority PAC, an organization that says it’s dedicated to “holding Republicans accountable and helping Democrats win seats in the House.”"

SD11 (San Francisco): Scott Wiener gets Kamala Harris nod in battle with Jane Kim [Aaron Kinney @ MercNews] - "San Francisco Supervisor Scott Wiener scored a big endorsement Thursday, and a nice photo opp, when Attorney General Kamala Harris paid a visit to announce her support for his state Senate candidacy."

The endorsement comes a week after Bernie Sanders endorsed and made an appearance with fellow supervisor Jane Kim.

COATTAILS: Clinton turns focus to down-ballot candidates in final days [Catherine Lacey @ AP] - "Hillary Clinton is expanding her focus in the final days of the presidential race, seeking to help down-ballot congressional candidates."

Don't expect to see Hillary in California in the last 16 days, unless the ATM starts rejecting her withdrawals.

Our friend Shane Goldmacher at Politico also has a story on this.

REVERSE COATTAILS: The cruelest campaign: Republicans in Hispanic districts [Rachel Blade @ Politico] - "When it comes to House Democrats’ ongoing quest to hitch Trump’s offensive comments to vulnerable GOP incumbents, Republicans representing districts with large Latino populations are feeling the most heat. Their nominee has called illegal immigrants “rapists," “criminals” — and, at the last debate, “bad hombres." Not to mention Trump's calls for forced deportation and a towering border wall."

Californians cited in the article include Jeff Denham (CA07) and David Valadao (CA21). I still have Valadao as aa "Leans Republican" despite Democrats having a 17-point advantage. In this region, Latino voters had 49.3% citizen voting-age population (CVAP) after the 2011 census, but apparently a large share of the Latinos vote Republican, but Democrats have regularly tried targeted the congressional, Senate and Assembly seats and have been routinely let down.

The speculation is that much of the CVAP are farm managers and not what we normally thing of as "farm workers." Labor, which Democrats have relied on for funding and GOTV efforts, may turn off these voters because as managers, they have to implement the Legislature's actions on farm labor. However, the national motivation for Latinos to reject Republicans because of Trump's comments may motivate these voters to vote Democratic from the top to down ballots.

The Senate seat in the district held by Andy Vidak howeverr is even-numbered, which makes it much harder to capture in the mid-term election when the seat is up.

SPEAKING OF: ‘Trump factor’ inspires Latino, Asian voters, but will they vote in local races? [Andrea Castillo @ Fresno Bee] - "With just a couple of weeks before the Nov. 8 balloting, it’s clear that the contentious presidential race has spurred members of underrepresented groups to register to vote. Statewide, significantly more Latinos, Asian Americans and young people – groups with historically low turnout rates – voted in the June primary than in 2012.'

CH-CH-CH-CHANGES: Younger, diverse voters are reshaping California politics [Michael Blood @ AP] - "Come Election Day, California could legalize pot. Its new U.S. senator will be black or Hispanic — a first for the state. And voters could end the death penalty and revive bilingual education in schools. The outcome of voting on Nov. 8 is likely to reflect long-term trends that have seen the nation's most populous state become increasingly diverse and firmly Democratic in its politics."

DC ANGST: Republicans fear Trump's woes will flip Senate control to the Democrats and erode the House GOP majority [Lisa Mascaro @ LAT]:

It’s not just Trump’s behavior — including allegations of past sexual assault and his refusal to say he would accept the Nov. 8 election outcome — that is making Republican candidates worry.

Democrats have seized the opening, so confident as Hillary Clinton widens her presidential lead that her super PAC has started spending campaign cash in key Senate battlegrounds, with more being considered for the House races.

Republican operatives in congressional races see no easy way to reverse the slide in the time remaining. Nonpartisan analysts agree.

The California question, beyond the three toss-up and one Leans Republican seat (Valadao), is whether that "drag" carrie to state legislative races. That's largely a function of turnout. It's harder to try to tie Assembly and Senate candidates to Trump, although some campaigns are trying. 

PROP 54: Charles Munger’s Prop. 54 would boost scrutiny of lawmakers [Melody Gutierrez @ SFChron] - "Wealthy Republican mega-donor Charles Munger continues to pour money into his ballot measure aimed at increasing public scrutiny of the state Legislature, even as his campaign is outspending its opposition nearly 400 to 1."

Was Steve Westly talked about for Energy Secretary, but shot down? [Christopher Cadelago @ SacBee]:

Tom Steyer, the billionaire environmental activist, may not be the only possible candidate for California governor to receive a mention for President Barack Obama’s first energy secretary, according to a hacked email posted by WikiLeaks.

Former State Controller Steve Westly, a venture capitalist, clean-tech investor and major fundraiser for Obama in his 2008 and 2012 campaigns, looks to have come up in an email from Sara Latham to John Podesta, an Obama transition adviser and chairman of Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign.

MUNICIPAL DISORDER: Born from scandal, state program tries to nip mismanagement and corruption in the bud [Ruben Vives @ LAT] - "The corruption scandal in Bell, which led to the conviction of seven city officials, had sweeping implications for governments in California. Scrutiny by state agencies increased for some cities, and legislators created bills to pump up accountability and transparency, and to curtail political malfeasance. It inspired a 2011 bill aimed at preventing a similar scandal.

 #CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Nathan AlonzoZulma Michaca, and Mariko Yamada

 

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CLASSIFIEDS 

  • The McGeorge Capital Center for Law & Policy presents “Executive Training on Persuading Legislative and Administrative Law Audiences” with Professor Jay Leach and Rex Frazier, ’00, on Friday, Oct. 28, 9 a.m. to Noon at McGeorge, 3200 Fifth Ave. MCLE. Register: bit.ly/2bPJNfZ.
  • SACRAMENTO-BASED THRILLER wins national honors for Best First Novel, Best Political Thriller & Best Female PI/Sleuth. "Entertaining whodunnit told with humor and intellect" ONE MURDER MORE by Kris Calvin features a woman lobbyist as the amateur sleuth, while the cast of suspects includes two CA Governors (one past, one present) & a Senate Fellow! Order now from Amazon or your favorite bookstore at www.kriscalvin.com  $13.99 trade paper $1.99 ebook! 
  •  Oakland based public relations, public affairs and Democratic political consulting firm, with a portfolio of high-profile clients seeks an experienced and talented communicator to join our team. Should have at least two years of experience. This is not a campaign job but campaign experience is valued. Resumes, .pdf preferred, to oaklandprsearch@gmail.com
  • Oakland based public relations, public affairs and Democratic political consulting firm, with a portfolio of high-profile clients seeks an experienced and talented communicator to join our team. Should have at least two years of experience. This is not a campaign job but campaign experience is valued. Resumes, .pdf preferred, to oaklandprsearch@gmail.com
  • Office Space for Rent: Quiet location two blocks away from Capitol.  Share space with a professional services firm.  Up to three offices in six-office suite (2,300 sqft).  Conference room, copy/printer room, reception, kitchenette, janitorial, parking.  Terms are negotiable. 1510 14th Street, Sacramento. (916) 444-7158.

 

Independent Expenditure Reports

Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee English Proficiency. Multilingual Education. Initi (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Legislature. Legislation And Proceedings. Initiati (Oppose) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Carryout Bags. Charges. Initiative Statute. (Oppose) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee State Prescription Drug Purchases. Pricing Standar (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee School Bonds. Funding For K12 School And Communit (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Tax Extension To Fund Education And Healthcare. In (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Death Penalty. Procedures. Initiative Statute. (Oppose) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Death Penalty. Initiative Statute. (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Medi-cal Hospital Fee Program. Initiative Constitu (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Cigarette Tax To Fund Healthcare Tobacco Use Prev (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Firearms. Ammunition Sales. Initiative Statute. (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Ban On Singleuse Plastic Bags. Referendum. (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Criminal Sentences. Parole. Juvenile Criminal Proc (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Revenue Bonds. Statewide Voter Approval. Initiativ (Oppose) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Marijuana Legalization. Initiative Statute. (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Asian Pacific Environmental Network (apen) Action Committee Corporations. Political Spending. Federal Constitu (Support) $1,983 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Building And Protecting A Strong California, A Coalition Of Firefighters, Building Trades, Realtors And Correctional Officers Marc Berman (Support) $8,697 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Californians For Jobs And A Strong Economy Cheryl Brown (Support) $8,860 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Californians For Jobs And A Strong Economy Tim Grayson (Support) $10,604 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Cooperative Of American Physicians Independent Expenditure Committee Raul Bocanegra (Support) $8,367 10/26/2016 10/22/2016
Dart Container Corporation Tim Grayson (Support) $15,926 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Dart Container Corporation Toni Atkins (Support) $7,906 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Dart Container Corporation Bill Dodd (Support) $58,450 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Edvoice Independent Expenditure Committee Mae Torlakson (Oppose) $58,816 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Sharon Quirk-Silva (Oppose) $31,250 10/19/2016 10/22/2016
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Young Kim (Support) $25,386 10/14/2016 10/22/2016
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Christy Smith (Oppose) $22,800 10/18/2016 10/22/2016
Keep California Golden Raul Bocanegra (Support) $19,063 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Keep California Golden Patty Lopez (Oppose) $14,500 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Keeping Californians Working, Dentists, Housing Providers, Energy, And Insurance Agents Eloise Gomez Reyes (Oppose) $32,480 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Million More Voters, Sponsored By The California Labor Federation, Afl-cio Mae Torlakson (Support) $17,180 10/22/2016 10/22/2016
Ohlone Area United Democratic Campaign-restricted Use Acct. Bill Harrison (Support) $14,501 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members, School Employees, And Public And Private Employee Associations Ash Kalra (Support) $32,787 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members, School Employees, And Public And Private Employee Associations Mae Torlakson (Support) $50,015 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
People For Better Government Committee Of The San Manuel Band Of Mission Indians Al Muratsuchi (Support) $19,123 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
People For Better Government Committee Of The San Manuel Band Of Mission Indians Sharon Quirk-silva (Support) $8,760 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Unite Here Tip State And Local Fund (ny Id# A01199) Young Kim (Oppose) $16,594 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
Unite Here Tip State And Local Fund (ny Id# A01199) David Hadley (Oppose) $19,924 10/21/2016 10/22/2016
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Prop. 54 Asks California Voters To Outlaw Practice Of Last-minute Deal-making – The Mercury News
mercurynews.com
California Ballot Measures, Elections

Political Road Map: How Unlimited Cash Gets Funneled Into Legislative Campaigns
latimes.com
California’s two major parties have funneled some $20 million into races for the Legislature — using a system where the money can flow in unlimited amounts.

Sales Tax Increases Head To Bay Area Ballots – The Mercury News
mercurynews.com
Economy, Elections, Retail

Kamala Harris Taking Quiet Path To California’s Us Senate Seat
dailynews.com
Today's high

Critics Question Whether Sacramento City Unified Crossed Line With Election Robocalls | The Sacramento Bee
Loretta Kalb @
sacbee.com
By Loretta Kalb

Local Voting In Historic Upheaval As Cities Change How Officials Are Elected - The Orange County Register
CHRIS HAIRE @
ocregister.com
A running list of Southern California cities that have faced challenges as a result of the state's Voting Rights Act and where they stand:

Deadly Toll From Marijuana Violence Grows In Sebastopol As Californians Face Vote | The Press Democrat
JULIE JOHNSON @
pressdemocrat.com
The specter of past violence continues to factor heavily in the debate.

Ap Interview: Kaine Already Reaching Out To GOP | The Sacramento Bee
KATHLEEN RONAYNE and ALAN SUDERMAN @
sacbee.com
Tim Kaine is sounding a hopeful note that a Democratic White House could work with Republicans to bridge deep divides laid bare by this bitter presidential campaign.

Loretta Sanchez Has Sparked Up California’s Sleepy Us Senate Race
dailynews.com
Today's high

Mook: Trump Accusers Not In Contact With Clinton Campaign - Politico
politico.com
"These accusations are not coming from our campaign," says Clinton's campaign manager.

When A Weed-friendly World Collides With Your Job Application | The Sacramento Bee
Kate Martin @
sacbee.com
By Kate Martin

Conway: 'this Election Doesn't Feel Over' - Politico
politico.com
She says assertions that Clinton is far ahead are unfair to voters.

South Bay Techie Says He Saved $100k While Living In His Truck For 16 Months - Sfgate
sfgate.com
Brandon S,. who made headlines after revealing he lived in a box truck on Google's campus back in 2015, is still truckin'. But this time, not on his employer's property. The 24-year-old from Massachusetts now parks on the streets of Mountain View in his 128-square foot truck, which he bought for $10,000 in 2015. He says a year and a half later, he's still going strong.

Officers Wrestle With Emotions After Fatal Shootings - The San Diego Union-tribune
San Diego Union Tribune @
sandiegouniontribune.com
Jim Cunningham remembers the tunnel vision, how his focus zeroed in on the eyes and the face of the man he was aiming at with his shotgun.

Democrats Aren't Inciting Violence At Trump Rallies, Clinton Strategist Says - Politico
politico.com
She says assertions that Clinton is far ahead are unfair to voters.

California House Republicans Facing Tougher Headwinds | Thehill
Mike Lillis @
thehill.com
View the discussion thread.

This Venice Councilman, Once On The Verge Of Homelessness, Is Trying To Help — But He's Getting Heat From All Sides
latimes.com
Lots of opposition to plan on Venice homeless, but councilman not backing down

Hillary Clinton Presses Her Advantage Over a Struggling Donald Trump
nytimes.com
With a strong lead in national polls, Mrs. Clinton is urging core Democratic constituencies to vote early in states where balloting has begun.

Water service restored to Oakland residents after aging main fixed
sfgate.com
Water service was restored to residents in Oakland’s Dimond district who were impacted by a water main break in the area, officials said Saturday. The 16-inch water main broke in the area of Montana Street and Dimond Avenue on Friday morning, said Nelsy Rodriguez, a spokeswoman for the East Bay Municipal Utility District. Crews were filling the hole and laying temporary asphalt but plan on returning to put in a more permanent concrete finish, she said.