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THE Nooner for August 7, 2016

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Do the right thing and pass SB 32!

 

Good Sunday morning to you! It's pretty quiet on the California politics front as the presidential campaign and Olympics are sucking the air out of the newsroom. 

DOUBLE-X FACTOR: Where Are All the Republican Women? [David S. Bernstein @ Politico]:

Candice Miller, a seven-term congresswoman from Michigan’s 10th Congressional District who endorsed Donald Trump for president, is the kind of woman the Republican Party needs to be part of its future. Instead, she’s about to become part of its past. She’s one of just 22 women in the Republican caucus of the U.S. House of Representatives. But she’s not seeking reelection this year. And when her eastern Michigan district held the primary to choose a successor earlier this week, all five candidates in the GOP primary were men.

The same day, all three of the party’s candidates in the primary to replace Dan Benishek, a Republican representing the northernmost part of the state, were men. And on Thursday, in northwest Tennessee, a whopping 13 names appeared on the GOP primary ballot in the district where Stephen Lee Fincher is leaving his solid-red seat. All of them belong to men. All 13 of them.

These are not anomalies. So far this year, Republicans have nominated women in just 26 of the 308 congressional districts that have held primaries. That’s a mere 8 percent—and it’s in line with the current makeup of the House Republican Conference, which is 91 percent male and 9 percent female.

The California delegation has 19 women, although only 1 of the 14 Republican members from the Golden State is a woman (Mimi Walters). Democrats will decline at least one woman this cycle (Lois Capps's seat). In the Assembly, of the 28 Republicans, 8 are women; among Democrats, 11 of the 52 in the Assembly are women. In the Senate, 8 of the 26 Democrats are women, while 3 of the 12 Republicans are women (there were four before the recent death of Sharon Runner).

THE TRUMP EFFECT: People frequently ask me about the Trump effect on down-ballot races. If the election were held today, I would say significant. Besides losing black and Latino voters overwhelmingly, he is also trailing white college graduates, something we have never seen a Republican do in modern history. While California is different than national polls, when you have Republican disitricts with a 5-point margin, it doesn't take much to have a party change.

That being said, voters in California frequently cast ballots for a Democratic president based on national issues, and then vote more conservatively for elections to the state Legislature. For example, in 2012, in CA21 (Kings), David Valadao (R) easilly won, as did Jeff Denham (R), albeit narrowly. Both districts were won by Obama.

Clinton is up 16 points in the last California poll among liikely voters (PPIC), including a 13% lead among independents and a 20-point lead among women.

Advice to candidates of both parties if Trump's polling continues to show 8-9% deficits: stick to local issues. Stay away from the fray.

There are 92 days until the election, and voting starts in some states in 46 days. In California, voting starts in 64 days.

BACA IS DOWN WITH NPP: Party politics aren't working for Democrat-turned-Republican Joe Baca, so he goes independent [Beau Yarbrough @ PE] - ““After some careful consideration I have decided to register as a No Party Preference/independent,” the former congressman [Joe Baca] announced in a statement emailed Friday morning.”

Baca ran as a Democrat in 2010 (old CA43--successfully), 2012 (CA35) and 2014 in CA31, as a Republican in the CA31 primary this year, and is now a NPP. The latter three elections he lost.

GASSY: Climate retreat? Legislature could ditch plan to radically cut emissions [Laurel Rosenhall @ OCR] - “Gov. Jerry Brown has taken the national stage to tout California’s fight against global warming, telling cheering throngs at the Democratic National Convention that the state has “the toughest climate laws in the country.” Yet inside the state Capitol, the fate of the policy’s centerpiece—legislation to drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions—is in peril.”

 

CLASSIFIEDS 

  • Meridian Pacific, Inc. Paid internship involving campaigns for Republican candidates, statewide initiatives and issue advocacy. Those who exemplify strong writing, research, and communications skills will be given preference.  Salary is DOE. Please send cover letter and resume to: aaron@meridianhq.com.
     
  • The Women's Foundation of California is seeking a five-star writer, experienced project manager and proud feminist to lead our storytelling and digital communications work (email marketing, list building, social media, website, blog, advertising and online engagement). This is an exciting opportunity for a self-starter and digital media expert who is looking to flex their exceptional skills as a writer in the service of positioning the Women’s Foundation of California as a thought leader in women’s economic security and a critical catalyst of social change in our communities. Click here to learn more and apply.
  • Introducing Jacobson & Zilber Strategies. Dave Jacobson and Maclen Zilber just launched a new communications and political consulting firm. For more information, visit www.JacobsonZilber.com.
  • The Sierra Club-San Francisco Bay Chapter is currently seeking candidates for the position of Chapter Director. (www.SFBay.sierraclub.org) This position oversees conservation, fundraising, and political program work of 12 Chapter staff, including development, conservation, communications, and administrative staff; hires and trains staff; develops and manages Chapter budget and finances; acts as the voice of the Chapter in local advocacy work; and is regularly involved with major donor and fundraising campaign work. The Chapter Director works closely with a volunteer executive committee. For job details, please apply at Sierra Club Careers webpage.
  • TBW Media/TBWB Strategies is interviewing experienced campaign managers and campaign staffers at all levels for potential campaign positions with our client campaigns this year throughout California. If interested please send a cover letter, resume, salary history, writing sample and 3 references to Barry Barnes (bbarnes@tbwb.com). No phone calls.
  • We are currently seeking experienced candidates for the position of Assistant Director of Government Relations for the California State Student Association (CSSA). This position informs and advises the Executive Director and Board of Directors on state and federal public policy matters that affect CSU students and public postsecondary education. The position is based in the CSSA Office in downtown Sacramento. This position works directly for CSSA but enjoys the full benefits of state employment through the California State University Chancellor's Office. For more job details, please apply at:apptrkr.com/826285
  • Chariot LLC, GOP campaign firm, seeks experienced account support for campaigns in CA, NV through election day. Excellent writing and data skills. $6k to $10k/mo. San Francisco. Resume and cover to: info@chariotcampaigns.com.
  • Sales and Administrative Positions for the General Election Cycle. Applicants should be reliable and have experience in political campaigns. Familiarity or experience with slate cards is helpful.  We are looking for self-starters who are able to work independently and as part of a team in our Long Beach office. Ability to demonstrate a positive attitude, attention to detail, and meeting deadlines is a must! Sales position requires some previous sales experience within the field of politics. Competitive salary, commensurate with experience. Email cover letter and resume to info@vgsc.org.
  • SEIU United Healthcare Workers-West Regional Political Organizers (Inland Empire and Silicon Valley). 85,000 member California healthcare union seeks strategic, progressive, motivated political organizers, 3-5 yrs political/union experience. Competitive salary and benefits package. Resume, letter, 3 references: recruiter@seiu-uhw.org

  • Subscribe to the Capitol Morning Report and closely follow who’s doing what each day in California government and politics. We list news conferences, legislative hearings, state board meetings and other events. Plus we add in community news and announcements from political campaigns. More info at www.capitolmr.com

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Loretta Sanchez Endorses In Race To Replace Her In Congress
latimes.com
Update on 'Essential Politics: California could implement lane-sharing guidelines for motorcyclists, suit filed against opponents of po...

Stadium, Convention Tax Measures Need Two-thirds Vote, Says San Diego City Attorney | Sandiegouniontribune.com
sandiegouniontribune.com
The Chargers are seeking voter approval of an initiative that would help fund a $1.8 billion stadium and convention center east of Petco Park.

Trump Loses Ground Among Key Voter Groups, Tracking Poll Finds
latimes.com
Essential Politics

Water District Managers Get Pay Hikes As Rates Increase, Revenue Drops | The Sacramento Bee
Brad Branan @
sacbee.com
By Brad Branan

Not Your Parent's Pot: Today's Marijuana Strains Are Much Stronger - The Orange County Register
BROOKE EDWARDS STAGGS @
ocregister.com
To read the first article in this series on the health effects of marijuana – which covers whether it's addictive, whether it causes brain damage and whether people can overdose on it – visit ocregister.com.

California Voters Rejected A Madera County Tribal Casino, But Federal Officials Have Approved It Anyway
latimes.com
Update on 'Essential Politics: California could implement lane-sharing guidelines for motorcyclists, suit filed against opponents of po...

2 Die In Sky-diving Accident Near Lodi | The Sacramento Bee
Sammy Caiola and Brad Branan @
sacbee.com
Covering crime, police and courts in the Sacramento region

The Life Of Homeless Murders Suspect David Guerrero | Sandiegouniontribune.com
sandiegouniontribune.com
It was early July and a serial killer was attacking homeless men in their sleep.

The Five Election Numbers That Matter -- Playbook Interview: Savannah Guthrie -- Dueling In Detroit -- Gabe Sherman On Ailes’ Secret Budget - Politico
politico.com
"She lied last week when she said the FBI found that she'd hadn't lied."

Congressman Backs Libertarian Presidential Candidate in Campaign First
nytimes.com
Representative Scott Rigell, a Republican who opposes Donald J. Trump, is the first member of Congress to throw his support to Gary Johnson.

Mycapture | The Union Democrat
customwire.ap.org


This Law Could Make Testifying In Court Easier For Young Victims Of Human Trafficking
latimes.com
California lawmakers, prosecutors, and advocates aim to pass legislation allowing minors to testify at trial outside the presence of their traffickers. But they have one major opponent: the ACLU.

Trump’s Bad Week Worries Some Southern California Supporters
dailynews.com
Today's high

The Super Scoopers Are Back! Powerful Firefighting Planes Land In Van Nuys
latimes.com
Canadian super scoopers return to Southern California for the 2016-17 fire season

Slingbox's Blake Krikorian Found Dead In Parking Lot - Mercury News
Jay Cohen, Associated Press @
mercurynews.com
His brother, U.S. women's water polo coach Adam Krikorian, has left the Olympic team to be with his family.

This Tv Producer And Coastal Commissioner Thinks The Columnist Is A Conspiracy Theorist
latimes.com
Lopez, on another leg of his coastal road trip, meets with Dayna Bochco, the TV producer and coastal commissioner who disagrees with much that he's written.

New Courthouse Is Ground Zero In Santa Clara County Court Strike - Eastbaytimes.com
eastbaytimes.com
As the walkout ended its third day Friday, the striking employees contended that the Family Justice Center with ornamental stone cladding imported from Italy is just another Taj Mahal by an administration that could afford to pay them more.

Long Beach Airport Gets More Routes As Competition Heats Up
latimes.com
JetBlue, the dominant airline at Long Beach, is adding new routes now that Southwest is serving Long Beach, too.

Why Port Of Los Angeles Spent A Quarter-million Dollars To Bring In A Megaship
dailybulletin.com
Today's high

Clinton leads Trump by 8 points in latest poll

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leads her Republican opponent Donald Trump by 8 points in a new Washington Post/ABC News poll. The poll also found a majority of voters see both candidates as dishonest.