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THE 3PMer for June 4, 2016

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Happy Saturday! Here is the current "wisdom of the crowd" in The Nooner Primary Election Contest. Yesterday was short and The Nooner hamsters weren't running, so today will be a bit long. Hopefully you can print it out and read it next to the pool as we have another 100 degree in Sacratomato. 

THE SURGE: CA120: The voter registration surge [Paul Mitchell @ CapWeekly] - "[T]he growth in the past five months has been record-breaking. With some counties still completing their 15-day close of registration, we have surpassed all prior registration records with more than 2.3 million voters registering for the first time or updating their registration."

While we know the number of new Democrats and Repubilcans, we have no idea how the 

U.S. SENATE: Exit poll: Harris dominates Senate rivals [Jonathan Brown @ CapWeekly]:

Even with 34 U.S. Senate candidates on the ballot, an exit poll of absentee voters shows that Kamala Harris is lapping the field.

Slightly more than half report having voted for Harris, more than three times the level of support for her closest rival in Tuesday’s top-two primary, fellow Democrat Loretta Sanchez. Republicans would need a strong late consolidation of support behind Duf Sundheim to have any hope of preventing an all-Democratic general election.

The online survey of 15,000 voters – they were polled as they returned their ballots — was conducted for Capitol Weekly over the past two weeks by Sextant Strategies and Research, with data and tools from Political Data Inc., a political information marketing company with Republican and Democratic candidates.

Here is the current online poll results.

INITIATIVES: With the latest update, the validity on the 601,239 signatures turned in for the initiative to repeal the death penalty is at 78.53%. Extrapolated to the remaining (large) counties, it's very likely the measure will qualify for November., as is an initiative to limit appeals in death penalty cases. On the initiative sponsored by Gavin Newsom to limit ammunition sales, the validity is 68.67% and also very likely to qualify. At 75.51% validity, the initiative to legalize marijuana is likely to qualify. Oh, and an extension of Prop. 30's income tax on high earners for education and health care is likely to qualify, as is a cigarette tax to fund health care.

With the exception of the death penalty expediency measure, it is a liberal pot pourri. Will these 2.3 million new (or re-registered) voters turn out, and how do they affect these measures?

POLL POSITION: The USC Dornsife Poll, in which Bernie Sanders takes the lead over Hillary Clinton in California 44-43%, has some interesting favorability numbers:

  • Hillary Clinton: 47% favorable, 50% unfavorable (-3 net favorable)
  • Bernie Sanders: 57% favorable, 33% unfavorable (24% net favorable)
  • Donald Trump: 25% favorable, 71% unfavorable (-46% net favorable)

Cue a statement of "California loves me!" from the Donald, like he has proclaimed of African-Americans, Latinos, and women.

As a law school friend (who is African-American) posted on Facebook "Can you imagine a world where a presidential candidate points at a Black man and says, "Look at MY African American over there?" Me either, until today."

If you missed the story

Gregory Cheadle took no offense when on Friday during a rally, Donald Trump singled him out and asked, "Look at my African-American over here!"

. . .

"Oh, look at my African-American over here," an excited Trump said, while pointing into the crowd. "Look at him. Are you the greatest? You know what I'm talking about? OK!"

Cheadle, a Republican from Happy Valley in the running for the 1st Congressional District, said he was beaming.

"That was me seriously. I got two autographs out of that," he said.

Yeah, this guy challenging Congressman Doug LaMalfa.

Yeah, that happened.

Among Republican and DTS voters, as to whether they would vote for Trump:

  • Enthusiastically vote for him: 28%
  • Reluctantly vote for him: 23%
  • Refuse to vote for him: 43%
  • Depends: 2%
  • Don't know/refused: 4%

Among characteristics of the Clinton and Trump:

  • Being a strong leader: +21% for Clinton
  • Americans safe from terrorism here at home: +17% Clinton
  • Improving the economy and creating jobs: +14% Clinton
  • Keeping taxes and spending in line: +11% Clinton

That's a ringing endorsement. Of those Reps and DTS who are not voting for Trump, 56% said they would vote for the Democratic nominee and 17% said they would vote for a 3rd party or independent. 

Anyway, I'm not dumping on Trump, but rather echoing my Republican friends who are pretty much universally in the "reluctantly vote for him" or "refuse to vote for him" camp. We'll see how many votes go to Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Jim Gilmore, and John Kasich--all of whom are on the California ballot. It won't matter, as Trump is almost certain to win the Republican nomination in California, while lose California in November.

Sanders is trouncing Clinton among 18-29 year olds, capturing 75% of the vote compared to 19% for Clinton. Sanders also leads among 30-39 and 40-49 year olds. Only 50-64 and 65+ voters provide a majority for Clinton.

THE "MEXICAN:" Judge attacked by Trump 'fair, open-minded' [Greg Moran @ SDUT]:

In a campaign appearance in San Diego on May 27, the candidate went on at length about the two federal lawsuits against Trump and his real estate investing program, saying Curiel was a "hater" and referring to the Indiana-born judge as a "Mexican."

"They ought to look into Judge Curiel," he said.

The attacks continued this past week, with Trump telling The Wall Street Journal that Curiel’s ethnic heritage — his parents were Mexican immigrants — biased him.

What is rarely mentioned is that Curiel a federal drug prosecutor before being appointed by Arnold Schwarzenegger to a judgeship in San Diego Superior Court. He was then appointed to the federal bench by Obama, and confirmed by a "voice vote" (read: unanimous) in the U.S. Senate.

"[H]e's a Mexican. We're building a wall between here and Mexico" was his comment on Friday to the Wall Street Journal and CNN.

If that's case, remind me to call Queen Elizabeth to ask for election recommendations. While one side of my family immigrated in the 17th Century, it's the same rationale as to why we should call Curiel a Mexican. 

Trying to influence a case from the presidential campaign trail for your own personal benefit is abhorrent to the legal system.

Anyway, the biggest faux pas committed by Trump this week was citing his great attendance in San Jose even while that basketball team from "San Francisco" was playing Game 1. Uh, I know he hates Oakland, but Oracle Arena is it OAK.

UNAPPEALING: Sanders' backers drop legal effort to change state voting plans [Bob Egelko @ SFChron] - "After a rebuff from a federal judge, backers of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders say they’ll drop their legal effort to require elections officials to give more help to nonaligned voters in casting ballots for president in Tuesday’s primary, and instead will take their message to local registrars’ offices."

U.S. SENATE: 

  • Kamala Harris: 28%
  • Tom Del Becarro: 6%
  • George 'Duf' Sundheim: 6% 
  • Loretta Sanchez: 20%
  • Ron Unz: 4%
  • Other: 3%
  • Undecided: 27%
  • Refused: 3%
  • Will not vote: 4% 

Republicans total 16%. Had the party prioritized Barbara Boxer's Senate seat, it would have gotten behind one candidate and, with undecideds, could have had a candidate in the top two. Now it's very likely to be embarrassed with only Democrats on the November ballot for one of the state's top offices. Of course, a GOP field of nobody who has run for office also is a bad sign for California Republicans. Look at these State Senators who would have had a free ride. Normally, they would be tapped as the party's nominee, as they can run but not forfeit their Senate seat, as their next election is in 2018.

  • Joel Anderson
  • Patricia Bates
  • Tom Berryhill
  • Anthony Cannella
  • Jean Fuller
  • Janet Nguyen
  • Jim Nielsen
  • Jeff Stone
  • Andy Vidack

AD26 (Tulare): Congressman Devin Nunes (CA22) is weighing on the Assembly race by supporting Rudy Mendoza in his rematch against first-term Assemblymember Devin Mathis. He has been the main funder of Republicans for Lower Taxes 2016, Supporting Rudy Mendoza for Assembly District 26, providing the committee with $300,000 from his federal campaign committee. The committee has sent several mailers and robocalls for Mendoza.

PLAYING BOTH SIDES: Why some campaign spenders back two candidates for same seat [Jim Miller @ SacBee]

"In the eight-candidate race to succeed Assemblyman Rich Gordon, D-San Mateo, the [Cooperative of American Physician's--a medical malpractice insurer] outside spending committee in recent weeks has spent $30,000 on mailers supporting Democrat Marc Berman. It also has spent $13,000 on mailers and phone banks to support one of his longshot opponents, Republican Peter Ohtaki – in a district where Republicans make up just one-fifth of the voters.

What’s the point? Neither the cooperative nor its campaign consultant were available for comment on Friday. But the spending in the 24th Assembly District has all the hallmarks of top-two primary tactics, 2016 edition, as special interests try to shape a favorable November ballot."

The cooperative is all about protecting MICRA caps. 

RUBBER-NECKING THE WRECK: Suspend probe of Katehi, UC Davis chancellor's reps demand [Diana Lambert @ SacBee] - "Representatives of suspended UC Davis Chancellor Linda P.B. Katehi called a news conference Friday to demand that the university system suspend its investigation into her conduct, calling the probe “hopelessly compromised” and lacking in due process. Katehi’s claims were promptly rejected by UC President Janet Napolitano’s office, which said Katehi is not cooperating with its investigators."

It's not good when your boss is saying you're not cooperating with investigators. 

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Frank Russo and Rebecca Suter!

 


 

CLASSIFIEDS

  • California Partnership to End Domestic Vioelence: Full-time Policy Coordinator on Public Policy Team: This Sacramento-based position coordinates public policy & systems change efforts with our statewide membership. Range: starting at $23/hour, DOE. Minimum qualifications: (A) Bachelor’s degree in Public Policy, Public Administration or related field (or equivalent experience); (B) Two years’ experience advocating for public policy and systems change; (C) Experience advancing policy with membership coalition or professional association desired. Click here for more information about the position and qualifications. Submit cover letter and resume to: jobs@cpedv.org. Position closes June 20, 2016.
  • Southern California Democratic Member of Congress seeking full-time finance director. Applicant should be self-starter, able to work independently as well as in consultation with senior staff. Responsibilities include planning fundraising events, organizing call time, pledge collection and compliance with campaign finance regulations. Must also be available to attend political events and assist local Party efforts. Finance director works out of Los Angeles-area political office. Candidate should have at least one year of campaign/government/fundraising experience. Salary commensurate with experience. Email resume to sapoliticsla@gmail.com
  • SEIU CA Job Announcement: Gov’t Relations Advocate (Lobbyist)
    The Gov’t Relations Advocate of SEIU CA is responsible for lobbying on legislative, budget and regulatory matters affecting SEIU Public Sector Locals and members. The position will work closely with the SEIU Local Union leaders and staff on legislative, budget and regulatory advocacy. BA and 2 years political or lobbying experience required.Competitive salary and excellent benefits are provided including comprehensive health insurance, defined benefit pension plan, and car allowance. How to Apply: Email a cover letter, resume and 3 references to Chris Hansen (chansen@seiucal.org) by Friday, May 27, 2016.
  • CA Charter Schools Association - Manager, Political Infrastructure Development (Los Angeles or Sacramento).Provides operational, management, and strategic support toward our effort to build out political infrastructure in communities throughout California. Works closely with charter leaders and directly manages local Political Action Committees (PACs) in regions all over the state. www.ccsa.org/about/careers/manager-political-infrastructure-development.html
  • NARAL is hiring in CA, NV and DC. The country's most innovative pro-choice advocacy organization is seeking creative, passionate, detail-oriented pro-choice folks to join our committed and talented team. Here are numerous opportunities to help bring true reproductive equality to America. Positions open until we find the right fit.  
  • Immediate Opening for Stellar Support Staff to act as "Assistant to CEO" & Leg Aide for small nonprofit. Reliable, smart, great communication/writing/computer & people skills! 35 hrs/week (Fridays off) $18/hr to start. Great benefits. Near the Capitol, parking paid. Send resume & letter of interest to office@aap-ca.org.

  • Finance Assistant for Frontline Congressional Democrat: The Finance Assistant will be responsible for managing low dollar events, staffing Sacramento call time and assisting with the implementation of the fundraising plan, both in district and nationwide, for a top-targeted Frontline Democrat. Send resume and cover letter to DemFrontlineJobs@gmail.com.
  • Consumer Watchdog is seeking an excellent writer and persuasive communicator to join our Santa Monica office as a Consumer Advocate. Comfort speaking to the public, opinion leaders, policymakers and the media required. Video and graphic skills a plus. Respond if you are passionate about working for justice. www.consumerwatchdog.org/job-opportunities.

  • Office Space for Rent
    Quiet location two blocks away from Capitol.  Share space with a professional services firm.  Up to three offices in six-office suite
    (2,300 sqft).  Conference room, copy/printer room, reception, kitchenette, janitorial, parking.  Terms are negotiable. 1510 14th Street, Sacramento. (916) 444-7158.

  • SEIU United Healthcare Workers-West Regional Political Organizers (Los Angeles and Bay Area). 85,000 member California healthcare union seeks strategic, progressive, motivated political organizers, 3-5 yrs political/union experience. Competitive salary and benefits package. Resume, letter, 3 references: recruiter@seiu-uhw.org

  • Resource Media is seeking a California Program Director*​ with background in communications plus political campaigns or grassroots organizing for our San Francisco office. Advance social justice and harness the power of communications to create change. Competitive salary/benefits. Get details and apply.
  • Subscribe to the Capitol Morning Report and closely follow who’s doing what each day in California government and politics. We list news conferences, legislative hearings, state board meetings and other events. Plus we add in community news and announcements from political campaigns. More info at www.capitolmr.com

 

Independent Expenditure Reports

Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
Alliance To Get California Working Political Action Committee Bill Dodd (Support) $37,519 05/31/2016 05/31/2016
Reyes For Assembly 2016, Sponsored By A Coalition Of Labor Unions And Environmental Justice Organizations; Neighbors United For A Stronger Middle Class To Support Eloise Eloise Reyes (Support) $34,059 05/26/2016 05/30/2016
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Why Some Campaign Spenders Back Two Candidates For Same Seat | The Sacramento Bee
Jim Miller @
sacbee.com
Outside spending group backs two candidates in Peninsula’s 24th Assembly District

Meet One Of The Biggest Clinton Donors In California. She's Also Hillary's Soul Mate
latimes.com
Essential Politics

Trump Praises "My African-American" Supporter At Rally
sfgate.com
At the Friday rally, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee was in the middle of describing a past campaign event, at which he said a black supporter "slugged" protesters who were dressed in a "Ku Klux Klan outfit." Polls have consistently shown that when it comes to support among African-American voters, Trump trails his likely general election opponent, Democrat Hillary Clinton. After pointing out the audience member, Trump then went on with his story, which appeared to match the events of a March rally that took place in Arizona. Trump said many people thought the black supporter at the earlier rally was an opponent of his campaign.

AQMD Board Opposes Bill To Add 'Environmental Justice'; Members And Urges Feds To Clean Up Truck Emissions
Tony Barboza @
latimes.com
Southern California’s air quality board has come under criticism for a political shift that critics say has made it too friendly to polluting industries. Earlier this week, the state Senate approved a bill aimed at changing the balance.

Kirk West, Longtime Business Advocate In The Capitol, Dies At 79 | The Sacramento Bee
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
West served in multiple public, private positions

California's Registered Voters Hit Record High Ahead Of Tuesday Presidential Primary
John Myers @
latimes.com
With one of the most closely watched presidential primary seasons in modern times , California's voter rolls grew by almost 650,000 in the final six weeks of registration. And three of every four new voters were Democrats.

Newly Released Trump Testimony On Trump University Could Trigger Video Deposition Battle - Politico
politico.com
Lawyers suing presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump for fraud over his Trump University real estate seminar program are making public...

Monsignor Eugene Boyle, maverick priest of â
sfgate.com
In his most controversial period, the 1960s and ’70s, he fought for social justice, marched with Cesar Chavez and allowed the Black Panthers to use his church basement in San Francisco for a breakfast program. [...] Pope John Paul II had honored the Rev. Boyle by making him monsignor, and he had retired from active ministry. “No priest fought harder against injustice in all its faces and all its institutional guises,” said Clinton Reilly, a San Francisco political consultant and real estate developer. Reilly, an old friend of Monsignor Boyle’s, ran his campaign when he challenged longtime Assemblyman John Foran, D-San Francisco, in the 1974 primary election. Eugene Boyle was born in San Francisco on July 28, 1921, attended local Catholic schools and went into the seminary to study for the priesthood. The Rev. Boyle was first assigned to various parishes in San Francisco and Livermore, and then served on the San Francisco archdiocese’s commission on social justice. In the late 1960s, he was appointed pastor of Sacred Heart Church, in San Francisco’s Western Addition. The FBI produced a fake children’s coloring book, which called police “pigs” and advocated shooting them. After his term at Sacred Heart, the Rev. Boyle’s outspoken views on social justice and his run for political office put him in disfavor with his superiors and he was in a kind of religious Siberia. [...] the archdiocese in San Francisco appointed him Catholic chaplain at Stanford University. Bishop Pierre Du Maine viewed the Rev. Boyle in a different light and made him vicar for inter-religious and public affairs, a high-profile post in the diocese.

California Voter Registration Surges Ahead Of Primary - Politico
politico.com
The board characterized Sanders' objectives as admirable but naïve, comparing and contrasting his campaign and political vision with President Barack...

Delta Tunnels Won't Take Northern California's Water, Say Officials
mercurynews.com
No, according to papers filed this week by state and federal officials -- an assertion challenged by environmentalists, who are filing their own paperwork.

Fear of Trump sparking a surge in citizenship, voter applications

The campaign of the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump, is sparking a surge in the number of citizenship applications and voter registrations among Hispanics fearful of his immigration policies. Since January, California alone has seen a boost of 218 percent in Democratic registration and among Hispanics, registration is up 123 percent.

Barack Obama Says He Has Debbie Wasserman Schultz's Back - Politico
politico.com
The board characterized Sanders' objectives as admirable but naïve, comparing and contrasting his campaign and political vision with President Barack...

Medical Technician Suspected Of Contaminating Instruments At Hospitals Tests Positive For Hiv
latimes.com
Rocky Elbert Allen, the medical technician suspected of contaminating surgical instruments at six western hospitals, has tested positive for HIV.

UCLA Shooting Prompts Concern For Faculty Training On Aggressive Students | 89.3 Kpcc
Southern California Public Radio @
scpr.org
Students emerge from Young Hall after a lockdown is lifted on Wednesday, June 1, 2016 following a murder-suicide on the University of California, Los Angeles campus. Maya Sugarman/KPCC