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THE NOONER for August 24, 2015
REMINDER: For a limited time (before 10/1/2015), if you become a paid subscription now, you get a four-month extension to extend through election year 2016. Existing subscribers will also be getting a four-month extension. By becoming a subscriber, you get access to the exclusive election analysis on AroundTheCapitol.com, as well as back-end data (voter reg, candidate lists, and spreadsheets of state and federal campaign finance reports).
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Happy Monday! Only three weeks left of the legislative year. We can get through this.
JERRY, THE PUNDIT: Meet the Press took a break from the all The Donald, all the time on the Sunday morning shows to bring an adult into the room -- Jerry Brown.
Jerry Brown plays presidential commentator -- but not candidate -- on 'Meet the Press' [Chris Megerian @ LAT] - "Gov. Jerry Brown talked presidential politics on NBC's “Meet the Press” on Sunday, sounding off on Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders' candidacy, Hillary Rodham Clinton's emails and the odds that Vice President Joe Biden will enter the race." [transcript]
Let's go to the other candidates potentially in this race. Would you like to see Vice President Biden jump in?
GOVERNOR JERRY BROWN:
Well, again, you're asking me presidential advice. All I can say is, if I were Hillary, I would say, "Don't jump in." If I were Joe Biden, I'd probably give it very serious consideration.
Bernie Sanders, getting crowds everywhere, running a very progressive campaign. Reminds me a lot of Jerry Brown, 1992. Do you see the similarities?
GOVERNOR JERRY BROWN:
Well, I see the similarity in that he's running as the critic of the status quo. And given the general discontent, and if you look at surveys, you know, less than 20% have confidence in Congress, and only a third thinks the country's going in the right direction. So that means there's always an opening for the critic, for the outsider. And that's certainly what Sanders is doing.
DOUBLE-X FACTOR: Democratic women seek to regain lost ground in Sacramento [Cathleen Decker @ LAT] - "California in 2003 was fifth among states ranked by the percentage of its Legislators who were women, according to the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. But the state now finds itself mired in a surprising 20th place."
And, the number of women likely won't improve after next year's election, based on the current candidates. Todd Gloria will take over AD78, currently represented by Speaker Toni Atkins. Kristen Olsen's AD12 is likely to be filled by one of the three Republican men running. Nora Campos's AD27 is a toss-up in a crowded Democratic field. Fran Pavley's SD27 has only men running on the Democratic side. Beth Gaines has endorsed realtor Clay Siggs for her AD06, and he can be considered the frontrunner.
However, Karina Cervantez Alejo is the favorite to succeed her husband Luis Alejo in AD30, and Monique Limón will likely take over Das Williams's AD37. Blanca Rubio could pick up Roger Hernández's AD48 (she is his sister-in-law). SD03, currently held by Lois Wolk, has Assemblymember Bill Dodd facing former Assemblymember Mariko Yamada, and Dodd has a huge financial advantage. The crowded race for Carol Liu's SD25 makes it difficult to predict, although Mike Gatto and Anthony Portantino are currently leading the pack, but there are two strong women candidates. Ling-Ling Chang will likely take over Bob Huff's SD29, although her AD55 seat will likely be taken over by a male candidate.
SD25 (Pasadena): State GOP can gain if 'old dog' learns new trick [John Phillips @ OCR] - "If Antonovich prevails, don’t be surprised if you see Republicans across the state recruiting more seasoned candidates, people you might normally expect to see roaming a golf course, rather than the halls of the state Capitol, or maybe even the aisle of a Sacramento-bound Southwest Airlines 737 with a 64-year-old at the controls."
SOAKED: Broken water pipe soaks office of assemblyman, appropriations committee [Jeremy B. White and Richard Chang @ SacBee] - "A water pipe broke at the office of Assemblyman Jimmy Gomez, D-Los Angeles, in the state Capitol early Sunday, leaving the space unusable for at least a month."
ON THE MIC: On talk radio, recovering politicians seek second act [Christopher Cadelago @ SacBee] - "[DeMaio] joined a long list of current and former officeholders to land positions on radio, a once-ailing medium with historic roots in activating marginalized constituencies. In California, [Roger] Hedgecock, Gov. Jerry Brown, Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom, former Assembly Speaker Willie Brown, former Treasurer Phil Angelides, former Rep. Dan Lungren and ex-Sacramento County Sheriff John McGinness all have sat behind a radio microphone for hours at a time."
$$$: Brown aides urge CalPERS to speed up rate hike [Ed Mendel @ CalPensions] - "Brown aides urged the CalPERS board to consider using its existing policy to speed up the lowering of the earnings forecast. The rate increase resulting from a lower forecast would be phased in over five years and amortized or paid off over 20 years."
ABSURD: Rand Paul will be allowed to run for president and Senate at same time [Christi Parsons @ LAT] - "Sen. Rand Paul got a vote of confidence from his fellow Kentucky Republicans on Saturday when the state party leadership agreed to let him run both for reelection to his Senate seat and for the GOP nomination for president in the 2016 election cycle."
ROLLER COASTER: The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down over 1,000 points at the open, and now it's down only 260. Wild, and one Californian can be credited with the rebound. [disclosure: I have stock in AAPL]
BEAR-AL ROLL: Natural awesomeness.
#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Adrian Lopez, governmental relations director at UC Davis!
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Broken Water Pipe Soaks Office Of Assemblyman, Appropriations Committee
Jeremy B. White and Richard Chang @ sacbee.com
A water pipe broke at the office of Assemblyman Jimmy Gomez, D-Los Angeles, in the state Capitol early Sunday, leaving the space unusable for at least a month.
San Jose Mayor, Council Members Violate Law They Voted For
An analysis by this newspaper found that Mayor Sam Liccardo, Vice Mayor Rose Herrera and Councilmen Don Rocha and Pierluigi Oliverio have failed to report a combined $90,000 in contributions before Election Day as required under the stricter rule -- even though all of them voted for the tougher reporting law in 2011.
Jerry Brown Plays Presidential Commentator -- But Not Candidate -- On 'meet The Press'
Gov. Jerry Brown talked presidential politics on NBC's "Meet the Press," sounding off on Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders' candidacy, Hillary Rodham Clinton's email and the chance that Vice President Joe Biden would enter the race.
On Talk Radio, Recovering Politicians Seek Second Act
Christopher Cadelago @ sacbee.com
He joined a long list of current and former officeholders to land positions on radio, a once-ailing medium with historic roots in activating marginalized constituencies. In California, Hedgecock, Gov. Jerry Brown, Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom, former Assembly Speaker Willie Brown, former Treasurer Phil Angelides, former Rep. Dan Lungren and ex-Sacramento County Sheriff John McGinness all have sat behind a radio microphone for hours at a time.
Nearly 700 Presidential Candidates Include Dozens From California
As of Friday, 673 people across the nation had filed statements of candidacy with the Federal Election Commission.
Brown Aides Urge CalPERS To Speed Up Rate Hike
Ed Mendel @ calpensions.com
CalPERS took another step last week toward a gradual long-term rate hike, a move to lower the risk of big investment losses as the maturing pension system enters a new era.
Legislature's Action On 'Right To Die' Bill Is Fair And Square
George Skelton @ latimes.com
Can't win by the current rules? Change them. The opposing team is too tough? Bench its troublesome players.
Lawmakers Hope To Hash Out Differences At Lake Tahoe Summit
Michael Doyle @ sacbee.com
The lawmakers convening Monday for a major Lake Tahoe conference confront a Capitol Hill conflict over how best to protect the beloved mountain region.
Assembly Speaker Wants 'Better Communication' About Immigrants Accused Of Serious Crimes
The leader of the California State Assembly says that there needs to be "better communication" between federal and state officials over undocumented immigrants who have been accused of serious crimes.
Union Jack Flies In Tehran As Britain Reopens Iran Embassy
With police sealing off the site for safety, Britain on Sunday reopened its embassy in the Iranian capital, raising the Union Jack for the first time since the landmark diplomatic compound was stormed in 2011 by Iranian hardliners.
Americans, Briton Who Subdued Gunman On Train Receive France's Highest Honor
France said a big "merci" to three Americans and a Briton who overpowered a gunman on a high-speed train, giving the four men the country's highest honor in a ceremony at the presidential palace Monday.
First Draft: As Rivals Snipe, Trump Dodges Questions on Details of Immigration Plan
Scott Walker, Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina each took shots at Mr. Trump on the Sunday morning news shows over his immigration proposals.
American Hero: French Train Attacker Was Ready To 'fight To The End'
Elaine Ganley and Maggy Donaldson @ mercurynews.com
U.S. Airman Spencer Stone, recounting for the first time on Sunday how a likely catastrophe was averted two days earlier, said the gunman, an assault rifle strapped to his bare chest, seemed like he was "ready to fight to the end." But he added, "So were we."
Trump attended big-donor fundraiser last month
JEFF GREENFIELD @ politico.com
Despite his prior pledge to self-fund his campaign, the billionaire businessman now appears to be embracing big donors.
Long Beach Faults Southern California Edison Power Outage Responses
Southern California Public Radio @ scpr.org
Southern California Edison executives assured state lawmakers and Long Beach city officials on Saturday that it would respond to future power outages with greater competence and speed than it did during two protracted blackouts in July.
Al Sharpton, Still Polarizing But No Longer A Political Outlier
Years after his most controversial days, Al Sharpton is no longer a political outlier but is now a powerful insider with access to the president and other top officials.
Obama Will Leave Legacy With Bay Area Federal Court Appointees
Howard Mintz @ mercurynews.com
Over the past six years, Obama has overhauled the Bay Area's roster of federal judges in unprecedented numbers, appointing 11 of the 14 full-time judges -- the most dramatic transformation of a federal district court bench in the nation during his administration.
'Send Them All Back': Layoffs Provoke H-1b Visa Blowback
Dan McSwain @ sandiegouniontribune.com
San Diegans already know full well that foreigners are competing for their jobs. They donât need national politicians from Donald Trump to Bernie Sanders telling them to worry.
First Draft: Today in Politics: A New Character Joins a Rapidly Expanding Storyline
Donald J. Trump continues to drive the discussion on the trail and on the Sunday talk shows. But, as the August lull winds down, the intentions of Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. are creating political intrigue.
Democrats Defend Hillary Clinton's Use Of Private Email Server
Several prominent Democrats hit the TV airwaves Sunday to defend Hillary Rodham Clinton's use of a private server for work-related emails while she was secretary of State, batting down claims that her presidential campaign has been damaged by the controversy.
Donald Trump's Immigration Comments Don't Seem To Be Hurting Republicans -- Yet
Philip Bump @ washingtonpost.com
But the worst fears of the Republican establishment, that Trump's unapologetic condemnations of immigrants will scuttle their shot at retaking the White House, so far aren't revealing themselves in polling.
California Limits Hybrid Rebates To Households Earning Less Than $500,000
Patrick McGreevy @ latimes.com
Hundreds of Californians with household incomes of $500,000 or more have collected state subsidies for buying electric and hybrid cars under a program that is criticized as a taxpayer handout to the wealthy.
Stephen Colbert's First-week Guest List Includes George Clooney, Jeb Bush, Amy Schumer
Stephen Colbert has lined up an eclectic mix of guests for his first week as host of "Late Show," with A-list movie stars, musicians, tech entrepreneurs and at least one presidential candidate.