Around The Capitol

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THE NOONER for November 13, 2014

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  • the joy in supporting nonpartisan analysis of California politics and policy



CA07 (East Sacto): Ami Bera (D-inc) is now 711 votes ahead of Doug Ose (R).

CA16 (Fresno): Jim Costa (D-inc) is now 86 votes ahead of Johnny Tacherra (R).

AD39 (San Fernando Valley): No LA update, so Raul Bocanegra (D-inc) is still 7 votes behind Patty Lopez (D).

In all three cases, I predict the incumbents prevail. For Nancy Pelosi, the DCCC, and the House Majority PAC, that's great news. A few months ago, Democrats were worried about loss of 3-4 seats. In the end, it appears Democrats pick up one seat in California with Pete Aguilar's win in CA31. If the results hold, the California House delegation will be 39 Democrats and 14 Republicans. 

Wave? What Wave? An exclusive interview with an unbowed Nancy Pelosi. [Lauren French and John Bresnehan @ Politico] - "Quite frankly, if we would have won, I would have thought about leaving," Pelosi declared, a remark that will likely surprise both admirers and detractors."

Sorry about the lack of headlines and what may be an awkward collection today. It has to do with a server software update that screwed up some of the scripts. Darn hamsters.

So, my cut and paste yesterday wasn't perfect in listing the Top 25 participants in The Nooner election contest. Here is a revised list, and no, I am not doing it solely for the sake of having my name in the list! There's a legit debate about what "Top 25" 25 scores no matter how many people that yields or, just slice people off by alphabetical order. Anyway, I am just trying to give people their Nooner due.

1. Danny Friedman - 205
2. Paul Mitchell - 191
3. Derek Humphrey - 184
4. Mark Smith - 177
5. John Wenger - 177
6. Barry Brokaw - 177
7. Tom H. - 170
8. Jim Anderson - 170
9. Danny Fitzgerald - 170
10. Craig Cheslog - 170
11. Brian Brokaw - 170
12. Dave H - 167
13. NCB - 167
14. Pam Woudstra - 167
15. Unemployed Govt Grad - 163
16. Todd Roberson - 163
17. Jorrel V. - 163
18. smarchele - 163
19. Gary Rotto - 163
20. Parke - 163
21. JH - 163
22. DebbieJo - 163
23. KC - 163
25. Adam Francis - 160
25. Eric U - 160
25. Lisa Maas - 160
25. J - 160
25. Kirk Kimmelshue - 160
25. Kameron Snow - 160
25. victor arranaga - 160
25. Scott Lay - 160
25. - 160


#CAKEDAY: Light those candles for Sarah Couch, Robin Swanson, and Andy Vidak!






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  • The Future of California Elections seeks a strategic, collaborative leader to serve as Executive Director. The ideal candidate would have considerable experience achieving strategic goals from a policy and/or non-profit setting. Could be based in Sacramento, Los Angeles or elsewhere in CA. Competitive salary and benefits. Full details here: Deadline: November 14.
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California Legislators Flying To Maui To Meet With Special Interests
With the dust still settling from last week's election, two dozen state lawmakers are flying to luxury resorts in Hawaii for conferences subsidized and attended by interests that lobby the Legislature: oil companies, public employee unions, drug and tobacco firms, and others.

Airbnb backers invest big on Chiuâ
Phillip Matier and Andrew Ross @
A pair of tech investors who stand to gain from the Airbnb bill heading toward passage at the San Francisco Board of Supervisors have pumped nearly $550,000 into a committee helping the law’s author, board President David Chiu, in his state Assembly race by attacking opponent David Campos. Hoffman contributed $500,000 to an independent expenditure committee called San Franciscans to Hold Campos Accountable — Vote No for Campos for State Assembly 2014, campaign spending reports show. San Franciscans to Hold Campos Accountable sent out thousands of mailers before the June primary slamming Supervisor Campos for his vote to reinstate Ross Mirkarimi after the sheriff was convicted of misdemeanor false imprisonment of his wife for an incident on New Year’s Eve 2011. Chiu’s legislation, which passed the board on first reading last week by a 7-4 vote — with Campos in the minority — calls on Airbnb to pay taxes going forward, but not any back taxes. Don’t feel too bad for Campos, by the way: A coalition of nurses, teachers and public employee unions has contributed $239,000 to wage an independent campaign against Chiu and to help Campos, who often carries their water at the board. Clinton was charged with stealing from the housing fund at Allen Temple Baptist Church in Oakland, where he was a board member, and spending the money on such things as private school tuition for his children and a golf club membership.

California Legislature Is Looking More Moderate Due To Voting Reforms
Voter-approved reforms are starting to affect California's legislative elections, bringing more moderates into state government.

S.F. board must select interim leader soon
Chiu is heading to Sacramento Dec. 1, after winning a seat in the state Assembly in a hard-fought campaign against fellow Supervisor David Campos. Whomever Mayor Ed Lee appoints to fill the soon-to-be vacant District Three post is likely to face an electoral challenge next November from Jon Golinger, the former president of the Telegraph Hill Dwellers neighborhood group and a key player in the recent campaigns to limit luxury and tall development on the waterfront. In an interview, he took a shot at Planning Commission President Cindy Wu, the favorite to be appointed, over the city’s handling of the current tech-fueled real estate crunch that has sent commercial and residential rents skyrocketing. A citywide poll in September by David Binder and Associates found that 46 percent of respondents disapproved of the job the Planning Department was doing handling the development boom compared with 36 percent who had a positive appraisal of it, although the department’s highest approval rating — 55 percent — came from District Three residents. Golinger was also the campaign manager for Proposition B, which grew out of the 8 Washington fight and requires voter approval for height limits to be raised for any new building on Port of San Francisco property.

New Era For Initiatives? :: Fox&hounds
An early test of SB 1253 will be the marijuana legalization initiative that is on course for the November 2016 ballot. A previous marijuana legalization initiative failed with a 46 percent yes vote in 2010. The October 2014 PPIC Statewide Survey found that 50 percent of likely voters are in favor of legalizing marijuana, so it is far from certain that a 2016 initiative would pass.

Assemblyman Bradford ends campaign for California Senate
Jim Miller @
Assemblyman Steven Bradford, D-Gardena, drops his candidacy to fill the vacancy in Los Angeles County’s 35th Senate District created by the resignation of former state Sen. Rod Wright, D-Baldwin Hills. Bradford's decision makes Assemblyman Isadore Hall, D-Compton, the strong favorite in a December special primary election.

Prop. 47 Leaves Future Of California Inmate Fire Crews Uncertain
William Winegardner strode confidently near the head of the line of the Glen Helen 1 hand crew this summer as his team wrapped up a five-mile hike on a scorching day in San Bernardino. The sun beat on his back and sweat ran down his body like tiny rivers.

Phillip Matier and Andrew Ross @
There’s a lot more to San Francisco’s $500 million Proposition A than fixing roads — it’s really the first step in a master plan to put buses, bikes and pedestrians on the fast track and move cars into the slow lane. A shows the overall plan calls for reducing miles of traffic lanes for cars, removing an unknown number of parking spaces and reducing stops on several Muni lines to enable the buses to cross town faster. Market Street would get $90 million for rehabbing and upgrading Muni boarding islands, bike lanes, sidewalks, traffic signals and bus and streetcar service between Castro Street and the Embarcadero. The plan also calls for the city to look into installing ticket cameras like the ones that now snap red-light runners — only these would be focused on speeders. The San Jose mayor’s race looks as if it will be tight all the way to the end, with two issues that have dominated recent city elections — police pensions and public safety — once again front and center. Cortese has the backing of the city’s police union, which has been predicting a mass exodus of cops if Liccardo — who supports pension cutbacks — prevails at the polls. Liccardo has called the threatened police exits “scare tactics” and has rolled out some big guns of his own: former Mayors Susan Hammer and Tom McEnery.

California secretary of state candidates call for borrowing measure
Jim Miller @
Democrat Alex Padilla and Republican Pete Peterson, candidates for secretary of state, say they support putting a bond measure on a future California ballot to raise money for new voting equipment. But they disagree on whether the state should change its county-based approach to holding elections.

As UC Regents Debate Tuition Hike, Brown May Hold Sway
The UC regents begin deliberations next week on a proposal to raise tuition by as much as 5% over each of the next five years. And although each member ostensibly has an equal vote, one may well have the strongest sway on public opinion and UC finances: Gov. Jerry Brown.

Election 2014: Patty Lopez Leads Raul Bocanegra By 7 Votes In Race For Assembly District 39
Today's high

Prop. 1, Prop. 2 backers oversimplify wildfire costs
David Siders @
The campaign in California for a $7.5 billion water bond and a budget reserve measure is running a TV ad that oversimplifies the impact of a reserve account on future fire suppression.

Racketeering Case Against State Sen. Leland Yee Put On Fast Track To Trial
Howard Mintz @
Doing some pre-Thanksgiving carving of the government's sprawling indictment against Yee and 28 other defendants, U.S. District Judge Charles Breyer on Wednesday set a timetable for a trial early next year that focuses solely on the political corruption charges against the disgraced Democratic legislator and a handful of cohorts linked to his alleged wrongdoing.

Giants Watching Election With Waterfront Development In Mind - Sfgate

Editorial: California politicians would never suppress voting, but they might not count all the ballots
the Editorial Board @
Unlike Texas politicians, California leaders don’t suppress the vote intentionally, but they fail to count tens of thousands of vote-by-mail ballots.

Fuller Legislation Signed By Governor Protects Utility Consumers in Hot Climates
Senate Bill 1090, authored by Senator Jean Fuller (R-Bakersfield), was signed by the Governor.

Soda Makers Try To Take Fizz Out Of Bay Area Tax Campaigns | 89.3 Kpcc
Southern California Public Radio @
Proponents of the taxes say that if the measures pass, the money would be directed, in San Francisco, toward childhood nutrition and recreation, and, in Berkeley, into the city's general fund. Joel Saget /AFP/Getty Images

Sacramento Political Consultant Richie Ross Agrees To Pay Lobbying Fines | The Sacramento Bee
Laurel Rosenhall @
Be sure to include your name, daytime phone number, address, name and phone number of legal next-of-kin, method of payment, and the name of the funeral home/crematory to contact for verification of death.

Governor Signs Huff Measure to Save Taxpayer Money
Legislation that will allow cities to share valuable resources that will save taxpayer money has been signed into law in California.

First Draft: Endorsing Paul and Rubio in 2016 (for Senator, Not President)
The anti-tax group is endorsing six senators for re-election two years from now, all of them Republicans who won their seats as part of the Tea Party wave of 2010.