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THE NOONER for October 15, 2014
FIXED: For those who were trying to renew or start a new annual subscription to The Nooner, the PayPal issue has been fixed.
I've also launched a series of memos available to subscribers. Today I look at the landscape as Democrats try to hold the supermajority in the State Assembly. Here are two paragraphs from the memo:
If Democrats lose the supermajority, don't make to much out of it. First, the Senate supermajority is going to be even harder to keep (more on that soon), and even with bare supermajorities, there are few controversial issues for which you can be assured of a unified Democratic caucus in both houses.
Further, this isn't a political shift. Democrats hit a high-water mark in the 2012 presidential election, picking up Assembly and Congressional seats that will be difficult through the decade. This is the first off-year election of the new districts, and we're seeing the consequences of lower turnout, amplified by perhaps the least engaged electorate of our lifetimes.
Anyway, on The Nooner subscription page, you can subscribe on that page for a full year ($39.99, ongoing at $3.99/month, or a pre-determined period for $3.99/month. Thus if you want access to additional insights between now and November 15, you can get it for only $3.99! Of course, the cool kids subscribe for a whole year.
More after the jump...
DEADLINES: Today is the report filing deadline for federal candidates for the period of July 1-September 30. Also, today marks the close of the October 1-October 15 filing period, with reports due October 23. Yes, that means that the #FundraiseLikeATwelveYearOld emails filled with emojis, mistruths, and flat out annoyances should come to an end by midnight. Just kidding, these embarassing campaigns are sure to continue. See below.
GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT:
HOFF: Campaign 2014: Weekly Update, What's Hot! [Allen Hoffenbloom @ Fox and Hounds]
HAND OF POWER: Fiona Ma and Jason Hodge put out this video to encourage API turnout in the November election. #CareLikeCrazy
PROSECUTORIAL DISCRETION: Court sends a message in sentencing ex-L.A. Councilman Richard Alarcon [Soumya Karlamangla @ LAT] - "Superior Court judge sentenced former Los Angeles City Councilman Richard Alarcon to 120 days in County Jail on Tuesday, sending a signal to politicians that the court does not take residency laws lightly."
FATTY LIVERS: SCOTUS takes a pass on reviewing the Ninth Circuit's decision upholding California's ban on foie gras.
#AGREE: Jon Stewart takes on campaign fundraising emails. Honestly, can it get any worse? And, these campaigns are collecting and emailing to addresses that are not positive sign-ups. My office e-mail, which I never use for political activity, is now getting fundraising requests from a congressional candidate in Chicago. If a corporation was acting the way federal candidates are this cycle, Congress would be in a tizzy.
DECISION FATIGUE: A reader sends this interesting article from Slate following my suggestion yesterday that the number of primary choices under top-two may actually be dissuading turnout.
GIANTS: Cards @ Giants, 5:07pm PDT on Fox Sports 1.
#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Teferi Gebre, Denyne Micheletti, and Darrell Steinberg!
Airbnb backers invest big on Chiuâ
Phillip Matier and Andrew Ross @ sfgate.com
A pair of tech investors who stand to gain from the Airbnb bill heading toward passage at the San Francisco Board of Supervisors have pumped nearly $550,000 into a committee helping the lawâÂÂs author, board President David Chiu, in his state Assembly race by attacking opponent David Campos. Hoffman contributed $500,000 to an independent expenditure committee called San Franciscans to Hold Campos Accountable âÂÂ Vote No for Campos for State Assembly 2014, campaign spending reports show. San Franciscans to Hold Campos Accountable sent out thousands of mailers before the June primary slamming Supervisor Campos for his vote to reinstate Ross Mirkarimi after the sheriff was convicted of misdemeanor false imprisonment of his wife for an incident on New YearâÂÂs Eve 2011. ChiuâÂÂs legislation, which passed the board on first reading last week by a 7-4 vote âÂÂ with Campos in the minority âÂÂ calls on Airbnb to pay taxes going forward, but not any back taxes. DonâÂÂt feel too bad for Campos, by the way: A coalition of nurses, teachers and public employee unions has contributed $239,000 to wage an independent campaign against Chiu and to help Campos, who often carries their water at the board. Clinton was charged with stealing from the housing fund at Allen Temple Baptist Church in Oakland, where he was a board member, and spending the money on such things as private school tuition for his children and a golf club membership.
California Assembly candidate Jim Cooper on realignment, taxes and why he’s running
Jeremy B. White @ sacbee.com
Having already served as an undercover narcotics officer, Sacramento County jail commander and first mayor of the newborn Elk Grove, City Councilman Jim Cooper has set his sights on an open seat in the state Assembly, facing fellow Democrat Darrell Fong in the 9th District. Cooper discussed his policy goals and campaign on a visit Tuesday to the Bee Capitol Bureau.
Ted Gullicksen, executive director of S.F. Tenants Union, dies
Ted Gullicksen, the executive director of the San Francisco Tenants Union and for decades one of the city's biggest advocates for renters, was found dead Tuesday in his bed, friends said. Whether it was running a program to help tenants stave off evictions, defending the city's rent-control protections or amending legislation to protect low-income residents from being priced out during renovations, Mr. Gullicksen was at the center of the action. In a city where almost two-thirds of the residents are renters, housing âÂÂwas TedâÂÂs passion,âÂÂ said his longtime friend and former partner, Sheila Sexton. In Massachusetts, Mr. Gullicksen also worked on tenant rights and lead poisoning prevention programs. Mr. Gullicksen recently had been working vigorously for Proposition G, a ballot measure designed to deter real estate speculators from evicting tenants and flipping the property by putting a steep tax on the quick resale of multi-unit buildings.
Texas' Voter Id Law Is Reinstated As November Election Nears
Texas’ voter identification law was back in force Tuesday in time for the November election as a federal appeals court lifted a lower court's injunction.
Kashkari hits Jerry Brown for union ties, but motive unproven
David Siders @ sacbee.com
Neel Kashkari, the Republican candidate for governor, is running a TV ad that depicts him saving a drowning child and claims Gov. Jerry Brown “betrayed our kids to protect his donors.”
As Senate Head, Kevin De León Hopes To Wed Agenda With Leadership
As a young activist, Kevin de León helped lead a 1994 rally that flooded downtown Los Angeles streets with protesters opposing a ballot measure to cut off government services to immigrants in the country illegally.
Am Alert: The Kevin De León Era Begins
In case the campaign fliers inundating your mailbox or this photo didn’t cue you in to a time of transition, this evening’s festivities should: after six years of the Senate running under the auspices of Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg, D-Sacramento, Senate Democrats will officially acquire a new leader.
San Francisco Bay Guardian shuts down
John Wildermuth and Vivian Ho @ sfgate.com
âÂÂIt is the hardest decision IâÂÂve had to make in my 20-year newspaper career,âÂÂ said Publisher Glenn Zuehls of the San Francisco Media Co., which has operated the alternative paper since 2012 and also runs the San Francisco Examiner and the SF Weekly. Even before the public announcement was made, the newspaperâÂÂs website and Facebook page were shut down. The closure is a blow to the progressive side of San Francisco politics, where the Bay Guardian has been a leading player for decades. The Bay GuardianâÂÂs endorsement of Campos over fellow Supervisor David Chiu for AmmianoâÂÂs Assembly seat in November shows where the paper put its priorities. While allowing that Chiu âÂÂwouldnâÂÂt be a bad legislator,âÂÂ the paper argued that Campos has proved himself as an âÂÂeffective and trustworthy advocate for renters, workers, consumers and those who need support against powerful economic and political players.âÂÂ From its early years, the paper had a focus on local politics that other media outlets in the city werenâÂÂt willing to match, combined with an unabashed dedication to a progressive point-of-view that mainstream media wouldnâÂÂt allow. âÂÂBecause of their willingness to advocate most strongly for their causes, at their apex they were probably the most influential newspaper in San Francisco,âÂÂ said Jaye, whose campaigns often found themselves targets of the Bay GuardianâÂÂs ire. Like readers of many other newspapers, much of the Bay GuardianâÂÂs audience has migrated to online sites and social media for much of its news, including the rundowns of the cityâÂÂs art, cultural, music and food scenes that joined politics as the paperâÂÂs purview. The Bay Guardian leaves a legacy as a forceful advocate for social change that will always be a source of pride for everyone who was part of it or who valued its voice in our community.
Court Sends A Message In Sentencing Ex-L.A. Councilman Richard Alarcon
A Superior Court judge sentenced former Los Angeles City Councilman Richard Alarcon to 120 days in County Jail on Tuesday, sending a signal to politicians that the court does not take residency laws lightly.
Second Texas Healthcare Worker Tests Positive For Ebola
A second female healthcare worker at a Dallas hospital has tested positive for the Ebola virus, prompting the federal Centers for Disease Control and Protection to send in a team in a bid to halt further spread of the deadly disease.
Women Suffer Disproportionately Under Harsh California Laws
A proposed California law making some felonies misdemeanors would be a boon to women, disproportionately punished for petty crimes
Obama Postpones Campaign Trip To Hold Meeting On Ebola
President Obama postponed a campaign trip Wednesday to New Jersey and Connecticut to hold a meeting with top officials on the government’s response to the Ebola outbreak.
Kathleen Parker: How unpopular is President Obama?
Kathleen Parker @ sacbee.com
A mountain made out of a molehill when Democratic Senate candidate in Kentucky declines to say whether she voted for Obama.
Democrats hold slight edge in ad wars as election nears, report says
As the midterm election nears, Democrats are hanging on to a slim edge in the expensive television ad war for control of the U.S. Senate, according to a new study that says overall ad spending in the races is approaching the $1-billion mark.
CalPERS board member stripped of leadership posts for campaign finance infractions
CalPERS board member Priya Mathur was removed from board leadership positions today because of her latest campaign-finance disclosure infractions.
AbbVie reconsiders Shire deal after U.S. move to curb tax inversions
Illinois drugmaker AbbVie Inc. said it would reconsider the planned purchase of European rival Shire after the Obama administration recently changed U.S. tax laws to make it less financially appealing for companies to restructure abroad.
Rep. Tom Mcclintock, Art Moore Get Personal In Lone Debate
Christopher Cadelago @ sacbee.com
Rep. Tom McClintock, left, and Art Moore, right, both Republicans, debate in the 4th Congressional District race at Auburn City Hall on Tuesday, Oct. 14, 2014 in Auburn, Calif. The one hour debate was sponsored by Auburn Chamber of Commerce.
California Leader Preps For Expensive Swearing-in - Sfgate
DON THOMPSON, Associated Press @ sfgate.com
Previous ceremonies took place at the state Capitol and have been relatively low-key, according to the California State Library's research bureau. The California Latino Legislative Caucus Foundation, which receives donations from special interests seeking influence in the Legislature, is picking up the estimated $50,000 tab. The party comes during a year when two Democratic state senators were suspended after being charged in separate federal corruption cases, a third resigned after being sentenced to jail for perjury, and a fourth is facing DUI charges after a night of drinking that included late-night revelry with Latino caucus members inside the Capitol. The state attorney general, insurance commissioner and state superintendent of public instruction all plan to watch as de Leon is sworn in by California Chief Justice Tani Cantil-Sakauye.
Cd 17: Khanna Says Race Tied; ‘no Way’ Says Honda
Even stranger is this: If the Honda survey is correct, not only would Khanna have made no progress since the primary, when he got 28% of the vote, but Honda would have lost 6 percentage points, or 12.5% of the 48% he got in the primary. And this is supposed to show strength by the incumbent? Hmmm.
Covered California Clears Most Of The Consumers Asked To Prove Legal Status
Covered California has cleared most of the individuals asked to prove they are lawful residents in order to participate in the state health benefit exchange.