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THE NOONER for September 19, 2014

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FINAL DAY: END OF SESSION AWARDS: Voting is now open through Friday at 5pm for the End-of-Session awards. In addition to legislators of the year, this year you can vote for nominees for top legislative staff, committee staff, and lobbyists. All candidates were nominated by you, The Nooner readers.

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AD36 (Antelope): Democratic Assemblyman Steve Fox sued by former employee [Melanie Mason @ LAT]

Allegations are allegations, and that's all that we have in the two cases filed. Plenty of very successful politicians have been accused of far worse and have served for decades more.

However, mailers can include allegations such as those in this filing, and the latest lawsuit could have a significant impact on an already tight race. I'll be candid, I first changed the race from Leans Republican to Likely Republican last night, given the facts of the 145-vote win for Fox in 2012, that we are in mid-term elections, and the financial ability for Tom Lackey (R) to communicate the allegations. 

But, then I took a look again at the voter registration trend in this district:

AD36 Voter Registration
Report DateDemocraticRepublicanOtherTotal
10/22/12 77,487 77,989 52,073 207,549
5/10/14 86,823 78,294 55,227 220,344
Change 9,336 305 3,154 12,795
% Change 12.0% 0.4% 6.1% 6.2%

 

Voters casting a ballot for Democrats in AD36 dropped by 399 votes (2.8%) from 2012 to 2014, below the statewide dropoff (5.9%). Yes, 1,706 peeled off to support former Fox staffer Kermit Franklin, but it's unclear how many were repudiating Fox amidst the previous allegation of mixing his law practice and state business. Most of these are likely to vote for Fox in November, although Fox needs to a) not lose many Democrats to Lackey and b) have a strong turnout (duh, isn't that the basic formula for generals?).

Political obits have been written many times about already vulnerable legislators who run into additional trouble. They seem to be magnets.

We'll get new voter registration data next week for this district, and take another look then. But for now, the allegations alone aren't enough to move this race off of "Leans Republican." That said, a Leans Republican district means Democrats have their work cut out for them.

CA25 (Santa Clarita): Steve Knight and Tim Donnelly are blasting the LA Times story about Knight asking Donnelly not to join in precinct walks this weekend. From what I can tell, the story originated as a press statement by former Democratic candidate and former Knight supporter Lee Rogers, picked up by the Times, SantaClarita.com, and then John Hrabe. 

Anyway, at the end of the day, many observers believe it was an easy way for Rogers to get off the hook for a not-so-smart endorsement of Knight. Meanwhile, Donnelly may have ulterior motives in supporting Knight, whose victory in CA25 would open up a neighboring Senate seat, where in the eastern half Donnelly found a lot of support for his gubernatorial bid.

SD40 (Imperial): Prosecutors offer Sen. Ben Hueso a plea deal [Laurel Rosenhall @ SacBee] - "Sacramento County prosecutors offered Thursday to lower the drunk driving charge against state Sen. Ben Hueso to a lesser misdemeanor known as a "wet reckless." . . . His blood alcohol content was 0.08, according to Sacramento prosecutors. "It's an offer we typically make when the blood alcohol level is at the level he's at," Assistant Chief Deputy District Attorney Steve Grippi said after a scheduled court appearance Thursday. “Under these facts and circumstances anybody would get that."

WHOLE LOTTA LOVE: The governor's campaign committee is quickly gathering cash for the effort to pass Propositions 1 (water bond) and Proposition 2 (rainy day fund). All the cool kids are jumping into the pool...

DOING THE LAUNDRY: In our bipartisan game of working the legal laundering lottery, yesterday's winner was SD34 candidate Jose Solorio (D) with a sum of $115,000 from two county committees.

#CAKEDAY BRIAN HAT-TRICK: Happy birthday to Brian Joseph, Brian Dahle (Saturday), and Brian Brokaw (Sunday).

There's no better way to end your week than to watch this video from the 112th Street School in Los Angeles.

 

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September 25, 2014 - 9AM-4PM - Registration: 8AM; CalPERS Auditorium (400 Q Street, Sacramento)
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**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • Fiona Hutton & Associates Inc., a Los Angeles-based, issues-focused public relations/public affairs firm representing corporate, non-profit, government, trade association and political clients involved in complex and often controversial policy issues, is immediately hiring a full-time Executive Assistant.  Click on the link to get more information about how to apply. www.fionahuttonassoc.com/pdf/Exec%20Assist%20Job%20Announcement%202014-09%20FH%20edits.pdf
  • Strong Mayor Happy Hour hosted by Claire Conlon, Robbie Abelon and John Vigna this >Monday, September 22, 5:30 p.m.at Café Bernardo, featuring Mayor Kevin Johnson to discuss Measure L, the proposed ballot measure to modernize and strengthen Sacramento’s City Government. Appetizers provided by Randy Paragary. Questions? Contact John Vigna John@cayoungdems.com.
  • Corporate sponsorships available for the Global War on Terror Traveling Wall at Capitol Park Nov. 7-11. Event sponsored by Assemblyman Cooley. Wall is a memorial to those killed in the Global War on Terror. Contact: Pete Conaty, 916 492-0550, pconaty@sbcglobal.net
  • Join the Los Angeles County Young Democrats for our Annual Laurel Awards honoring Democrat of the Year Speaker Toni Atkins and Rising Star Long Beach Mayor Robert Garcia. More Information and Tickets Available at lacyd.org/upcoming-events/2014-laurel-awards/
  • ACLU of California seeks a Legislative Advocate in its Sacramento office. Salary dependent on experience. To view job announcement and application instructions, visit here.
  • Water District campaign in Santa Clara County seeking hourly paid canvassers to play a critical role in ensuring candidate’s message reaches targeted voters in the District this November. Responsibilities include door to door canvassing and other outreach efforts. Send resume and cover letter indicating availability to GaryForWater@gmail.com. For more information go to:bit.ly/1oSo3uC


  

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Jerry Brown Signs Film Tax Credit Bill
David Siders @
sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown meets with The Sacramento Bee Editorial Board on Thursday May 15, 2014 in Sacramento, Calif.

Pols Want AG To Probe CPUC's Ties With PG&E
Josh Richman @
ibabuzz.com
Peninsula politicians want state Attorney General Kamala Harris to investigate possible crimes involving the California Public Utilities Commission’s shockingly cozy relationship with PG&E during the agency’s probe of the utility after the deadly 2010 gas explosion in San Bruno.

5 Democratic senators join failed effort to block Obama on immigration
latimes.com
Five Democratic senators broke from their party Thursday to side with Republican Sen. Ted Cruz in an effort to derail President Obama's executive actions on immigration.

Sacramento River Cats Agree To Affiliation Deal With San Francisco Giants
Matt Kawahara, Marcos Breton and Dale Kasler @
sacbee.com
The opening day game between the Sacramento River Cats and Salt Lake Bees at Raley Field in West Sacramento on Friday, April 11, 2014.

Regents OK Raises Up To 20% For UC Chancellors
latimes.com
The UC regents Thursday awarded pay increases of as much as 20% to the leaders of the Santa Barbara, Santa Cruz, Merced and Riverside campuses and set the annual salary of the new UC Irvine chancellor, Howard Gillman, at $485,000.

UC Regents approve new chancellor, raises for four others
Alexei Koseff @
sacbee.com
The University of California Board of Regents on Thursday approved average 16 percent raises for four chancellors and hired a fifth at a 24 percent increase, amid discussions about increasing compensation across the board for its 10 campus leaders.

A Dui Arraignment For State Sen. Ben Hueso, D-san Diego, Was Delayed Thursday Until After The November Election. | Utsandiego.com
utsandiego.com
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Kansas supreme court: Taylor can withdraw from ballot
HISHAM MELHEM @
politico.com
The Kansas Supreme Court on Thursday sided with Democrats attempting to remove their candidate from the ballot in Kansas' razor-tight Senate, a blow to incumbent Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts' reelection prospects.

Bill would expand courts’ authority over local government districts
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
Legislation to expand California’s voting rights law would empower judges to draw district lines.

Officials Confirm First 2014 California Cases Of Enterovirus D68
latimes.com
Four cases of a virus that can cause severe respiratory illness in infants and young children — especially those with asthma — have been found in California, state health officials announced Thursday.

CalPERS Gets $88 Million In Citi Settlement
Dale Kasler @
sacbee.com
CalPERS said Thursday it has collected $88 million from a previously-announced settlement with Citigroup Inc. over toxic mortgage securities.

Campaign 2014: Mystery IE campaign tests disclosure requirements
calnewsroom.com
In Orange County, one creative independent expenditure has turned to a mysterious guerrilla marketing campaign to get its message out: It’s attacking a candidate — but won’t say just yet whom it’s criticizing.

Follow the money in California legislative battles
sacbee.com
In the November 2014 election, Democrats are struggling to hold their Sacramento supermajorities, while Republicans see mid-term opportunities to grow their ranks. Intra-party battles, meanwhile, are playing out in several districts. Track the money in the races and learn more about the districts here. For even more detail, including daily updates on individual contributions and independent expenditures, subscribe to the Capitol Alert Insider app in your app store.

Afghan rivals apparently agree on unity government
latimes.com
s presidential rivals reached a deal Friday to form a unity government that includes both candidates after weeks of difficult negotiations, a source close to the talks said.

Ad watch: Ad targeting rate regulation measure overreaches
Christopher Cadelago @
sacbee.com
Opponents of a Nov. 4 ballot initiative that would allow the state’s elected insurance commissioner to regulate health insurance rates have launched their first TV ad, claiming that the proposal would disrupt the health exchange and give too much power to a single politician.

A Simple Fix For L.A.'s Voter Turnout Problem
latimes.com
When fewer than 1 in 4 registered Los Angeles voters bothered to cast a ballot for a new mayor last year, it set off a round of soul-searching among city officials and political experts. Why were voters so disengaged? What would make them show up at the polls? What does it say about the nature of our democracy if the city's leaders are selected by only a small fraction of eligible voters while the rest stay at home?

"obama's Blaster" Gun Part Ad A Joke, The Oceanside Gun Parts Maker Says. | Utsandiego.com
utsandiego.com
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R.i.p. Pete Schaafsma :: Fox&hounds
foxandhoundsdaily.com
Pete Schaafsma and I crossed paths quite a few times over the last 30-odd years. When you work on tax, budget and economic issues you want to learn from someone who knows the ins and outs — the minutia and details. Pete Schaafsma was a go-to guy on that score. The news of his passing caught me by surprise.

President Obama Is Open To Talking With Iran President, Official Says
latimes.com
President Obama would be open to a repeat of last year’s historic conversation with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani at next week’s United Nations General Assembly session, a senior administration official said Thursday.