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THE NOONER for June 6, 2014

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Good morning from Los Angeles. Last night, over a hundred supporters of public higher education gathered here for a panel discussion with UC President Janet Napolitano, CSU Chancellor Tim White, and CCC Chancellor Brice Harris. We have quite a trio in these three, who are working together in both articulation and advocacy better than any segment leaders I have seen in my 20 years working in higher education. It was also great to see several old friends, as well as put the faces behind the names of some of the Nooner readers.

Forget elections, Orange is the New Black season 2 is out today on Netflix. 

I know many of you are waiting for the first scoring of The Nooner election contest. I hope to get the code tackled this weekend and hope to have the first scoring done for you by Monday. Of course, things could still change. Heck, things may change in some of the races I'm going to talk about by the time you read this. Live results continue to flow in here, on the district pages, and on our trend page. The trend page has been updated to include last night's tabulations, so later today you should be able to tell any changes in today's reports (most expected in mid-to-late afternoon), which should be the last until after the weekend.

Speaking of change, Republican David Evans moved into second place in the Controller's race yesterday and currently has a 1,405 vote lead over 3rd place, John A. Pérez (D). Betty Yee is in fourth place, 5,919 votes behind Pérez. A reader unaffiliated with the campaigns ran the numbers with the unprocessed ballots last night, finding Swearengin ending up in first and Yee in second, but only by a few hundred votes. This one could be extraordinarily close.

And, you have to check out the sexy chart of projected results in large counties in the Controller's race. Yes, the geeks have been working overtime.

Before you try to run these numbers for a race you're watching, remember this only really works with statewide races, as there is no way to tell where ballots are within a county, and legislative districts cross county boundaries.

There are 1,011,398 unprocessed ballots, with two very small counties (Alpine and Sierra) yet to report. Depending on validity of the 129,545 provisional ballots, we will likely end up with final turnout between 23-24%, a record low that none of us expected. Yes, evan Dan Walters was optimistic, estimating 25%.

In CA31, Pete Aguilar declared victory as Eloise Gomez Reyes conceded and endorsed him. There are a relatively few 5,107 ballots remaining in San Bernardino county, with a majority of them being provisionals. While he should hold on based on trending, Aguilar is only 183 votes above Republican Lesli Gooch, and Democrats are precariously close to a repeat of the 2012 disaster, which resulted in the Bob Dutton-Gary Miller face-off.

BUDGET: The Conference Committee will not meet today, but to the delight of staffers and advocates, will be on call all weekend. The budget has to be approved by midnight next Sunday night for lawmakers to continue being paid.

After the jump, Tim Donnelly's supporters campaign for a write-in in November, and we'll look at the numbers of the races we're watching closest... 

 

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DONNELLY'S DREAMERS: Supporters of Tim Donnelly are not jumping on the Neel Kashkari bandwagon and have begun a campaign to write the Assemblymember in for governor. Of course, under top two, there is no such thing as a write-in in November. If you didn't place in the top two on Tuesday, you receive votes in November.

I tweeted this morning, "Is @JimBrulte sending a thank you card to @abelmaldonado for the 08-09 budget deal to raise taxes & change primary? graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2009/02/19/us/20california2_600.JPG"

If you don't remember how we got Proposition 25, it was part of the mid-year cuts and proposed temporary taxes package negotiated in early 2009 as the state's 2008-09 budget quickly fell apart as the economy collapsed.

#THATGIRLISONFIRE: I had a discussion with an Orange County reader of The Nooner yesterday about why the Newport Beach fire rings issue is so, uh, hot. Well, it turns out that it was the locus of the loss of virginity of many behind the Orange Curtain. It's like tearing down a seedy motel or having your parents sell your childhood home. No comment on my teenage years in the OC.

 

Controller 

CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
Ashley Swearengin (R) 761,108 24.6% 22353 of 22353
David Evans (R) 668,877 21.6% 22353 of 22353
John A. Perez (D) 667,472 21.6% 22353 of 22353
Betty T. Yee (D) 661,553 21.4% 22353 of 22353
Laura Wells (G) 173,927 5.6% 22353 of 22353
Tammy D. Blair (D) 160,437 5.2% 22353 of 22353
Source: California Secretary of State

 

CA31 (Redlands)
CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
Paul Chabot (R) 13,787 26.7% 477 of 477
Pete Aguilar (D) 8,959 17.4% 477 of 477
Lesli Gooch (R) 8,776 17.0% 477 of 477
Eloise Gomez Reyes (D) 8,201 15.9% 477 of 477
Joe Baca (D) 5,752 11.1% 477 of 477
Danny Tillman (D) 4,463 8.6% 477 of 477
Ryan Downing (R) 1,685 3.3% 477 of 477
Source: California Secretary of State

 

SD28 (Coachella)
CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
Jeff Stone (R) 18,737 21.8% 422 of 422
Bonnie Garcia (R) 16,894 19.6% 422 of 422
Glenn A. Miller (R) 16,792 19.5% 422 of 422
Philip Drucker (D) 16,177 18.8% 422 of 422
Anna Nevenic (D) 13,084 15.2% 422 of 422
William "Bill" Carns (R) 4,379 5.1% 422 of 422
Source: California Secretary of State

 

AD04 (Yolo/Napa)
CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
Charlie Schaupp (R) 15,752 26.1% 443 of 443
Bill Dodd (D) 15,348 25.4% 443 of 443
Dan Wolk (D) 14,826 24.6% 443 of 443
Joe Krovoza (D) 10,831 18.0% 443 of 443
Dustin Call (R) 3,575 5.9% 443 of 443
Source: California Secretary of State

 

AD33 (San Berdoo High Desert)
CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
John Coffey (D) 9,553 23.1% 596 of 596
Jay Obernolte (R) 7,819 18.9% 596 of 596
Michelle Ambrozic (R) 7,264 17.5% 596 of 596
Rick Roelle (R) 6,399 15.5% 596 of 596
Art Bishop (R) 5,796 14.0% 596 of 596
Brett Savage (R) 1,768 4.3% 596 of 596
Scott Markovich (R) 944 2.3% 596 of 596
Jerry J. Laws (R) 791 1.9% 596 of 596
Robert J. (Bob) Buhrle (R) 779 1.9% 596 of 596
Robert Larivee (R) 286 0.7% 596 of 596
Source: California Secretary of State

 

AD40 (Redlands)
CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
Marc Steinorth (R) 19,808 54.1% 377 of 377
Kathleen Henry (D) 6,217 17.0% 377 of 377
Melissa ODonnell (D) 5,682 15.5% 377 of 377
Arthur Bustamonte (D) 4,933 13.5% 377 of 377
Source: California Secretary of State

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to LeAnn Fong-Batkin (Sunday), and Dave Lesher (Sunday).

 

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**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • GrassrootsLab seeks an intern to assist with administrative duties and complete research in its Sacramento office. The internship is paid and allows for a flexible schedule, not to exceed 24 hours per week. Candidates should be detail-oriented and familiar with basic Microsoft Office programs. This position is an excellent opportunity for driven individuals to become familiar with the intricacies of California politics. All interested candidates are encouraged to apply immediately. Please submit cover letter and resume to Ashley Underlee at Ashley@GrassrootsLab.com.
  • Tribute Dinner Honoring Congressman George Miller
    June 27th, 5:30-7:30, Crowne Plaza Hotel, Concord
    Information: 925 435-5428
  • California Craft Brewers Association seeks candidates for Events Coordinator position. The Events Coordinator will be responsible for the creation, planning and follow through of all CCBA meetings and events. Candidate must also have extensive knowledge of traditional and social media channels to administer social media, and email marketing related to events. Business Administration, Event Coordination and Media experience required. This is a full-time, in-office position located in Sacramento, CA. Please contact Scott Marks for a full description of this position. scott@californiacraftbeer.com

  • SPECIAL BUY ONE, GET ONE FREE OFFER FROM CAPITOL SEMINARS. Register for "Lobbying 101" seminar at $250 and attend "Lobbying 201" free. June 5-6 only. Veteran lobbyist Ray LeBov takes you through the legislative process and the complete spectrum of governmental advocacy in two days. Offer limited to first 10 registrants. Call 916-442-5009 or click raylebov.com/alternate-registration-form/ and enter BOGO SPECIAL in "Comments" field.
  • American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network. Government Relations Director, Los Angeles Region. Direct ACS CAN government relations program in Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara & San Luis Obispo Counties. Based in Los Angeles. Manage relationships with local, state & federal elected officials. Build coalitions. Serve as spokesperson. Some fundraising. 5-7 years policy & political experience. Spanish speaker preferred. Min. Salary: $77K. Info & application online: www.acscan.org/careers, Job ID: 17114.
  • Attorney or near-attorney interested in lobbying, developing public policies to protect the First Amendment, the public’s right to know and a fair and equitable California business environment.  More fun than a truck o’ monkeys.  Benefits.  EOE. Cover letter and Resume to jim@cnpa.com.
  • Executive Director - The Sacramento LGBT Community Center is in its 28 year serving the community located in the heart of Sacramento’s Lavender Heights neighborhood. As the chief executive officer, the ED leads the organization and is responsible for the overall administration and management of the Sacramento LGBT Community Center and fulfillment of its mission.  Center’s fiscal, operations, fundraising, marketing, human resource, technology, and programmatic strategies are effectively implemented across all segments of the organization.
  • The Michelson 20 Million Minds Foundation (20MM) is pleased to invite policy makers, staff, and members of the Capitol Community to a free screening of the Ivory Tower on June 16 at 6:00 PM at the beautiful Crest Theater in downtown Sacramento. This groundbreaking documentary focuses on the issues surrounding higher education affordability in light of rapidly rising tuition and national student debt, which has now surpassed $1.2 trillion. The screening will be followed by an informative discussion with director Andrew Rossi and leading higher education advocates. RSVP @ eventbrite.com/e/screening-of-ivory-tower-with-director-andrew-rossi-tickets-11560215917. Please contact Sergio Rosas Sergio@20mm.org, 626.396.7071, or Reid Milburn at, Reid.Milburn@gmail.com, 916.969.6171, for more information.

  • California Medical Association seeks experienced Executive Assistant/Scheduler to support the Chief Operating Officer. Strong organizational, communication and technical skills required. Competitive salary/full benefits. More info here: www.cmanet.org/about/careers-with-cma/

 

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Controller 2014: GOP Evans overtakes Perez for 2nd spot -- but 1 million ballots left to count
calnewsroom.com
Republican David Evans has overtaken Assemblyman John A. Perez for the second spot in the race for state controller -–as of Friday morning.

Leland Yee's Startling Finish In California Election Race Explained
latimes.com
In a largely sleepy California election, there was one startling result: nearly 300,000 ballots cast for Leland Yee for secretary of state, good enough for third place even though he dropped out after being accused of gun running and political corruption.

Billionaire sets up fund for victims of climate change
sfgate.com
Billionaire Tom Steyer, the leading financial underwriter of campaigns to combat climate change, says he is putting up $2 million to start a fund for victims of wildfires and other "extreme weather events." According to the National Climate Assessment released last month by the government-sponsored U.S. Global Change Research Program, he said, climate change could cause a doubling of burned areas in the Rockies and a 74 percent increase in California. Steyer, who made his fortune in hedge funds, recently pledged to spend up to $100 million in political campaigns this year against Republican candidates for governor and U.S. Senate who deny that climate change is occurring or oppose reductions in carbon emissions.

Kamala Harris' GOP challenger favors pot legalization
blogs.sacbee.com
Republican Ron Gold, the presumptive challenger to Democratic Attorney General Kamala Harris, wants California to legalize and tax marijuana and use the proceeds for substance abuse and mental health treatment.

Arizona Prison Litigation Echoes California Cases
latimes.com
A federal appeals court has given the green light for a prisoner class-action lawsuit over alleged civil rights violations in the use of solitary confinement and delivery of healthcare to go forward — in Arizona.

Kings County Challenges Rail's Environmental Study
JULIET WILLIAMS @
sacbee.com
FILE - This image provided by the California High Speed Rail Authority shows an artist's rendering of a high-speed train station. In the latest challenge to California's $68 billion high-speed-rail project, Kings County and a group of its residents filed another lawsuit against the bullet train Thursday, June 5, 2014, alleging continued violations of California's Environmental Quality Act and several other state laws.

In Low-turnout Primary, Candidates With The Most Money Couldn't Buy Voters' Love » Ventura County Star
Timm Herdt @
vcstar.com
Election results collectively told one of the most significant stories to unfold on Tuesday night in Ventura County: In politics, especially in an ultra-low turnout election, money can't buy you love.

Boxer, Feinstein, Capps Introduce Gun Bill
Curtis Tate @
blogs.sacbee.com
Nearly two weeks after a mass shooting left seven people dead in Isla Vista, Calif., a trio of the state's Democratic lawmakers introduced federal legislation intended to keep guns out of the hands of people who poses a risk of committing violence.

Home Care Workers, Disabled People Swarm Capitol To Protest 40-hour Cap
Jessica Calefati @
mercurynews.com
New federal rules require America's in-home workers to get overtime pay starting next year, but Gov. Jerry Brown says it will be too costly for California and instead wants to limit aides to a 40-hour workweek.

Jerry Brown, lawmakers mull incentives to land Tesla factory
David Siders @
blogs.sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown and Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg are floating the possibility of regulatory changes or financial incentives to persuade Tesla Motors Inc. to build a massive battery factory in California, one of several states competing to host the facility.

Feinstein, Boxer Advance Gun-separation Idea For Unstable - The Orange County Register
DAVID MONTERO @
ocregister.com
BY DAVID MONTERO / STAFF WRITER

Holding even-year L.A. city elections to boost turnout gets second nod
latimes.com
A citizens commission charged with finding ways to boost Los Angeles' low voter turnout called Thursday for city elections to move from odd-numbered years to even ones, when higher profile contests like governor or president are on the ballot.

Press Clips: Six Takeaways From No-doze Election
calbuzz.com
Crystal Balls: As we wrote on election night, the USC/LA Times pre-election poll was spot-on in forecasting the Kashkari-Donnelly race; as we wrote the day before, however, they were totally weasley gun shy about saying so at the time, and led our, um, colleagues at the LAT down the wrong path in getting squirrely about their own results.

In Sacramento, L.A. Mayor Eric Garcetti Talks Water, Film Tax Credit
latimes.com
Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti met with Gov. Jerry Brown and legislative leaders Thursday in his first visit to the Capitol since taking office.

School Bonds, Parcel Taxes Win Big | Edsource Today
edsource.org
Voters in 44 California school districts passed 35 school construction measures, worth about $2 billion, a pass rate of about 80 percent. All five of the proposals for school parcel taxes on the ballot also were approved. A bond measure in Mojave Unified is too close to call. School construction bonds require a 55 percent majority to pass, while parcel taxes need two-thirds approval.

Election Indicates GOP May Be Coming Back
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
It’s risky – perhaps even foolhardy – to read much into the results of an abysmally low turnout primary election.

Oil Money Flowed To Calif. Senators Who Blocked Fracking Moratorium
latimes.com
A week after the California Senate rejected a moratorium on fracking in the state, a watchdog group said those who opposed the bill or abstained from voting on it received significantly more campaign money from the oil and gas industry than supporters of the measure.

The Buzz: Jerry Brown, lawmakers mull incentives to land Tesla factory
the numbers @
sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown and Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg are floating the possibility of regulatory changes or financial incentives to persuade Tesla Motors Inc. to build a massive battery factory in California, one of several states competing to host the facility.

Aguilar Claims Second Place On Fall Ballot For Rep. Miller Seat
latimes.com
 Most observers concluded there are not enough ballots left to deny Aguilar, a Democrat, the opportunity to compete Nov. 4 with Republican military veteran Paul Chabot.

California’s New Primary System Gets First Statewide Test
Christopher Cadelago @
sacbee.com
Charles Rich, 61, votes in Tuesday’s primary election at fire station No. 45 in West Sacramento. Statewide voter turnout was low – it might reach 25 percent after mail-in and provisional ballots are counted.

Fewer Southland Mortgages Are Underwater, Thanks To Rising Prices
latimes.com
Rising home prices pulled more Southland homeowners back above water on their mortgages at the start of the year, according to new data out Thursday.

Afghan Presidential Candidate Abdullah Abdullah Escapes Bomb Attack
latimes.com
Afghanistan’s presidential front-runner, Abdullah Abdullah, escaped an assassination attempt Friday when twin bombs exploded as his motorcade was traveling through Kabul. At least six people were killed, including one of Abdullah’s bodyguards, and 17 others injured, officials said.

Commission Recommends Los Angeles Move Its City Elections | Represent! | 89.3 Kpcc
Alice Walton @
scpr.org
Join Alex Cohen and A Martínez for a conversational and witty look at the issues people are buzzing about.