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THE NOONER for May 30, 2014

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Good morning. In what should be the final poll before Tuesday's primary election, the USC Dornsife/LAT survey finds a dead heat among likely voters for second place between Tim Donnelly and Neel Kashkari:

  • Jerry Brown (D): 50%
  • Tim Donnelly (R): 13%
  • Neel Kashkari (R): 18%
  • Someone else: 5%
  • Undecided: 10%
  • Refused: 4%

Kashkari leads Donnelly among both likely voters who have already voted (3%), as well as those who have not (5%). While the Democratic Party has consolidated around Brown with the incumbent earning 73%, the GOP is split 17%, for Brown, 21% for Donnelly, and 32% for Kashkari. 23% of GOP voters are undecided, compared to 13% of Dems and 21% of NPPs.

The poll uses a weighting of 44% Democratic, 29% Republican, and 28% NPP/Other.

Here is the article about the poll by the LAT's Seema Mehta and Michael Finnegan.

Now, the question is what the heck to do with the Nooner election poll. I currently have Donnelly as #2, but the Big Mo' is certainly with Kashkari. Will it be enough?

Have a great day,
- Scott