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THE NOONER for May 23, 2014
Happy Friday! Actually, many of you are working more today than a normal week close-out, either because Election Day is 11 days out, or because it's a per diem day brought to us by Memorial Day. Today I'll be giving the commencement speech at Irvine Valley College, which is in the hotly contested Republican AD74, which I wrote about on May 1.
UPSIDE DOWN: Tim Donnelly may be ahead in the polls (for second place), but he's behind in his bills. At the close of the May 17 pre-election period, his campaign had $70,015 on hand and $155,667 in outstanding bills. Now, while lots of campaigns show debt because of candidate loans (which is why I don't even usually show on charts), all of Donnelly's debts are actual bills. These include rent for April and May ($3,000 each), pay to several staff members, and $29,500 to American Express.
Jerry Brown has $20,740,896 on hand and no debt, while Neel Kashkari has $1,443,796 with $39,986 in outstanding payments.
All of the March 18-May 17 numbers should be on this page and on the individual district pages. I have also uploaded the federal data (which appear on the same page), although some committee reports that came in last night are still be processed by the FEC.
GRAY AREA: The California Senior Advocates League independent expenditure committee is back in a big way. You would surmise that they are well-meaning seniors fighting for Social Security, Meals on Wheels, and lifelong learning. The committee is used by different pro-business interests each cycle, but the focus this time around seems to be education reform in particular.
Well, here is where the committee's recent money is coming from:
And here are the committee's expenditures thus far:
As I wrote in 2012, the California Senior Advocates League's address--1500 West El Camino Avenue Suite 254, Sacramento--is a UPS mailbox. Consultant Deborah Howard is the executive director of the organization, and is one of the best in the business.
There will be more, but don't think grandma is sitting at the kitchen table deciding who to support.
END THE SUSPENSE! Today is the deadline for the Appropriations committees to act on most bills, and both houses will have long dockets following floor session.
More after the jump!
AD09 (South Sacramento): Sacramento Unified School District trustee Diana Rodriguez is dropping out of the race to succeed Richard Pan today, and is endorsing Elk Grove councilmember Jim Cooper. Cooper is locked in a tight race against Sacramento councilmember Darrell Fong for top-two. With two unfunded Republicans in the race, Rodriguez's departure paves a way for Cooper and Fong to continue on to November.
AD16 (Tri-Valley): In an e-mail today, California Republican Party chairman Jim Brulte lashed out against AD16 candidate Steve Glazer (D), who has a mailer touting his Republican support. Brulte writes "A Republican will win the 16th Assembly District, and that Republican is Catharine Baker."
So, here's what's going on. Republican Catharine Baker will come in first, and is a legit candidate in a leaning Democratic seat. The fight between Glazer and Tim Sbranti is for second place. The CRP wisely thinks Baker has a better chance against Sbranti. Criticizing Glazer is to help Sbranti get on the November ballot.
The irony is that business interests have spent nearly $1.7 million in support of Glazer's candidacy. It makes sense for the CRP, which needs two pick up two seats in the Assembly to block Democrats from a supermajority, and the playing field is small.
DEAR PRUDENCE: The ratings company S&P cautioned lawmakers yesterday about spending more revenues than identified in the governor's May Revision for ongoing spending. Dan Walters writes "Using the Legislative Analyst's Office revenue projections that are several billion dollars higher than Brown's "for the purposes of increasing ongoing spending", S&P said in a report, "could endanger our current and positive rating outlook."
The caution came out shortly after the Education Finance subcommittee augmented school funding by $2.5 billion over the two-years, based on the LAO's higher revenue and Proposition 98 numbers. However, it's unlikely that the Legislature is going to jam the governor with school spending, after learning a lesson in 2011. However, the governor may not get complete say over revenues, as did last year.
Finally, here is a candidate for whom we can all vote.
FUNNY BUSINESS: More mischief in 'top-two' primary system [Steve Maviglio op-ed @ SacBee]
#CAKEDAY: Light them candles for Jack Hall, Mike Young, and Rock Zierman. Saturday #CAKEDAY wishes to Sarah Angel, Eric Guerra, Jodi Hicks, and Mike Monasmith!
The June 2014 NOONER Contest is now open!
Once again, The NOONER is providing an opportunity for you to prove your chops as a forecaster of California elections or, like I do with March Madness, show how little most of us really know.
Your personalized NOONER contest link is:
Once again, it is designed so you can either be anonymous or have your name in lights. Last year, we had about 500 participants and I will once again only show the top 25 scores, but you'll be able to see your score and rank. You will be able to make your picks and change your answers (via same link) through Sunday, June 1 at 5pm PDT.
TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Tim Donnelly Holds About $70,000 For Campaign's Final Stretch
David Siders @ blogs.sacbee.com
Tim Donnelly, laboring to stay ahead of a surging Neel Kashkari in the Republican race for governor, is struggling to maintain even his shoe-string budget, reporting Thursday he had cash on hand of just more than $70,000 as of last week.
Lopsided Ca Gov Money Race: Jerry Brown’s $20 Mil V Neel Kashkari’s $1.7 Mil - Politics Blog
GOP gubernatorial candidate Neel Kashkari, embroiled in a contested primary race with Assemblyman Tim Donnelly, has $1.4 million on hand in his campaign -- including $1 million of his own money don...
S&p Warns California Legislature On Increasing Budget Spending
Dan Walters @ blogs.sacbee.com
Standard & Poor's, a major credit rating organization, praised Gov. Jerry Brown's revised 2014-15 budget Thursday, but warned the Legislature not to go beyond the budget and spend higher revenue estimates from its budget analyst.
Kashkari: $4 Million Raised For Campaign, Half From Himself
Republican Neel Kashkari of Laguna Beach has collected just over $4 million for his gubernatorial campaign, nearly half of it from his own pocket, according to a finance report that he filed with the state Thursday.
Steinberg Scales Back California Preschool Proposal
Laurel Rosenhall @ blogs.sacbee.com
Senate leader Darrell Steinberg unveiled a modified version of his plan to offer free preschool to California 4-year-olds on Thursday, slashing the cost of the program to the state by more than two-thirds by focusing on children from the poorest families.
Lawmakers Open To Brief Reprieve From Big Payments For Teacher Pensions | Edsource Today
urging legislators to meet them halfway @ edsource.org
Brown has proposed increasing spending for districts by $4.5 billion; $350 million more in CalSTRS payments would consume 8 percent of the total.
Suspense bills get final shot in fiscal committees
Alexei Koseff @ blogs.sacbee.com
Today is the last day for fiscal committees to meet and report to the floor bills introduced in their house, so both the Senate and Assembly appropriations committees will be running through their suspense files - lists of legislation the committees have held off on considering until a clearer picture of available revenue emerged.
No Action On Unemployment Extension As Senate Leaves Town
None of the long-shot scenarios for additional Senate action on an unemployment extension materialized before the Senate skipped town for another recess Thursday.
David Siders @ blogs.sacbee.com
FRESNO - Republican Neel Kashkari has gained ground on rival Tim Donnelly in the race for governor in recent days, aided by $2 million of his own money and support from establishment Republicans.
Indicted Lawmaker Leaves Fate Of A Half Million Dollars Unclear
A small part of more than $800,000 that was parked in campaign accounts controlled by indicted or convicted California lawmakers is making its way back to contributors, but more than half a million dollars remains missing.
Sacramentos Mather Airport In Long-shot Bid For Teslas Big Factory
Dale Kasler @ sacbee.com
The Tesla Model X
House Passes Curbs On Nsa Surveillance
KEN DILANIAN @ mercurynews.com
Although the compromise measure was significantly "watered down," in the words of Democrat Jan Schakowsky of Illinois, it passed by a vote of 303 to 120, with 9 members not voting.
Wendy Greuel Fundraising Tops $1 Million In Congressional Race
A report the Greuel campaign filed with the Federal Election Commission listed her total contributions as $1,049,833. Of that, $377,668 was raised during the last campaign finance reporting period, from April 1 through May 14.
Harvey Milk stamp's debut celebrated in S.F., D.C.
The occasion was the U.S. Postal Service's first day of issue Thursday for a stamp honoring the slain San Francisco supervisor and gay rights leader. All 50 states have had an out lesbian, gay, bisexual or transgender politician serve in an official capacity, and 41 states have elected an openly gay politician to their state legislatures. Samantha Power, the U.S. permanent representative to the United Nations, led Thursday's dedication ceremony for the "forever" stamp, featuring a black-and-white image of Milk and a slice of the rainbow flag. House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-San Francisco, recalled standing on the steps of City Hall at Milk's funeral, asking her colleagues, "Is this how it ends?" In 11 months in office, Milk had succeeded in passing the first strict gay rights ordinance in a city where police had only recently stopped raiding gay bars. Helms tried to slash the budget of the National Endowment for the Arts for supporting the homoerotic work of photographer Robert Mapplethorpe and blocked Senate confirmation of San Franciscan Roberta Achtenberg as assistant secretary of Housing and Urban Development "because she's a damn lesbian." San Francisco writer James Patterson, who attended the stamp ceremony and worked at the Department of Agriculture when Helms tried to get him fired for being gay, recalled that Milk used to laugh at such talk.
Capitol Alert video: Neel Kashkari pressed on social views, vote for Obama
David Siders @ blogs.sacbee.com
Republican Neel Kashkari has gained ground on rival Tim Donnelly in the race for governor in recent days, aided by $2 million of his own money and support from establishment Republicans.
ADWATCH: Pan is a doctor – and a politician
Laurel Rosenhall @ sacbee.com
Assemblyman Richard Pan is highlighting his career as a doctor in his race against fellow Democratic Assemblyman Roger Dickinson to represent the Sacramento region in the state Senate. A similar message is emerging in the independent advertising campaigns outside interest groups are mounting to benefit Pan. They have already spent more than $507,000 to support Pan and slam Dickinson.
Lawmakers have bigger tax woes than IRS workers
CHESTER E. FINN JR. @ politico.com
It turns out IRS employees have a much better record paying their taxes than lawmakers.
‘cap-and-trade’ Fee Spending Looms As Major Conflict
Dan Walters @ sacbee.com
Dan Walters column si
The coast is clear: Water good at most Bay Area beaches
Bay Area beaches are cleaner and healthier than ever, because so little rain has washed dangerous bacteria and other pathogens into San Francisco Bay and the Pacific coastline, according to a report released Thursday by Heal the Bay. The group looked at the amounts of harmful bacteria from sewage leaks, pollution runoff and industry - pathogens that are flushed into creeks and storm drains and ultimately onto the beaches. When people or wildlife come into contact with the bacteria, they're likely to suffer from gastrointestinal problems like diarrhea, skin rashes, or eye, ear or lung infections. [...] it ranked as the second-worst beach in the state, largely because it's enclosed and shallow and the water tends to stagnate. Sometimes, especially at high tide, the pollution meets great kelp forests, creating a bacteria-rich stew of raw sewage and rotting kelp along a shoreline crowded with surfers, kayakers and splashing kids. Raw sewage, pharmaceuticals, drain cleaners and other toxic substances can leach into the groundwater and creeks, causing myriad problems for wildlife, people and the environment generally, she said.
Metro Fares Will Increase Despite Protests Of Low-income Riders
Amid concerns over a projected budget deficit in Los Angeles County's growing bus and rail system, officials Thursday voted to raise Metro fares in September, but opted to postpone a decision on further increases in 2017 and 2020.
Harvey Milk's legacy honored at White House ceremony
Sen. Tammy Baldwin looked out at the crowd of politicians, federal officials and gay activists who had been invited to the White House on what would have been Harvey Milk's 84th birthday. The occasion was the U.S. Postal Service's first day of issue Thursday for a stamp honoring the slain San Francisco supervisor and gay rights leader. All 50 states now have had an out lesbian, gay, bisexual or transgender politician serve in an official capacity, and 41 states have elected an openly gay politician to their state legislatures. Samantha Power, the U.S. permanent representative to the United Nations, led Thursday's dedication ceremony for the "forever" stamp, featuring a black-and-white image of Milk and a slice of the gay rainbow flag. Dark dayHouse Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-San Francisco, recalled standing on the steps of City Hall at Milk's funeral, asking her colleagues, "Is this how it ends?" In 11 months in office, he had succeeded in passing the first strict gay rights ordinance in a city where police had only in recent years stopped raiding gay bars. Helms tried to slash the budget of the National Endowment for the Arts for supporting the homoerotic work of photographer Robert Mapplethorpe and blocked Senate confirmation of San Franciscan Roberta Achtenberg as assistant secretary of Housing and Urban Development "because she's a damn lesbian." San Francisco writer James Patterson, who attended the stamp ceremony and worked at the Department of Agriculture when Helms tried to get him fired for being gay, recalled that Milk used to laugh at such talk.