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THE NOONER for May 21, 2014

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Good morning from just north of AD10, where it is likely that first-term Assemblymember Marc Levine will face off against fellow Democrat and Marin Community College District trustee Diana Conti in November. The question is whether public employees unions want to spend money to try to take him out. Levine beat redistricted Assemblymember Michael Allen in 2012. Here in AD02, Healdsburg mayor Jim Wood is the favorite to succeed Wes Chesbro in this long district that extends along the coast to the Oregon border.

Yesterday, I wrote Ted Lieu was a favorite in CA33, which of course contradicts what I have written previously. It is very likely that Republican Elan Carr will place first on June 3. Then it is a question of who from the top tier of candidates--Lieu, Wendy Greuel, Matt Miller, or Marianne Williamson--will join Carr in November. Another example of the hazard of trying to cover 161 races and writing at 5am.

Some readers asked why AD04 wasn't on there. I've written enough about this race, which has gotten pretty nasty with independent expenditures. Napa Supervisor Bill Dodd is the favorite to place in top two, because of geography and cross-over support from Republicans. However, there is a question whether the two Republicans split enough of the votes to leave the door open for Dan Wolk to get a ticket to November, or whether fellow Davis councilmember Joe Krovoza will pull enough votes allowing Dodd be on the ballot with a Republican and thus have a walk in November. And, Krovoza is hoping he can earn a ticket by being the candidate who doesn't have a negative campaign target on his back. (I have contributed to both Wolk and Krovoza.)

The East Bay Express' Steven Tavares writes up the AD16 race: "The BART Strike Contest," while Matier and Ross report on how the Mary Hayashi shoplifting video got out.

The Prop. 34 laundry machine is in full operation with the California Teachers Association doling out $30,000-$32,000 checks to three more Democratic county central committees. In the last week, contributions of that size have been reported to the Del Norte, Fresno, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, Santa Clara and Stanislaus committees. These funds can then be redistributed to candidates in excess of the $8,200 (combined primary/general) contribution limits. At $7.64 per registered voter in Del Norte County that lies in safe Dem seats, the contribution is unlikely to be targeted for party building or local state candidates.

The LA Times comes out with an endorsement for Gavin Newsom, writing "He was a cocky mayor of San Francisco, but he was dynamic and smart. He's ready to step in, unlike his opponents." Cocky, but well, sort of right.

Our updated endorsements chart is after the jump. It was also a big day for independent expenditures, with Bill Bloomfield spending $345k on behalf of Marshall Tuck for Superintendent of Public Instruction. Find the full list of yesterday's IEs below.

VBM RETURNS: Paul Mitchell gives us the first return numbers of ballots, by district and with enough demographics to consume the rest of your day.

#APOLOGIES: I listed Ben van der Meer's name yesterday as Brian.

 

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Editorial Board Endorsements
 GovernorLtGovSOSAGCONTREICSPI
Bakersfield Californian Jerry Brown, Neel Kashkari*   Dan Schnur  Kamala Harris Ashley Swearengin, Betty Yee     Marshall Tuck 
LA Daily News Jerry Brown, Neel Kashkari   Pete Peterson     Ashley Swearengin      
LA Times   Gavin Newsom  Pete Peterson   Ashley Swearengin John Chiang  Dave Jones Marshall Tuck
OC Register                
Sac Bee Jerry Brown, Neel Kashkari*   Dan Schnur, Alex Padilla   Betty Yee, Ashley Swearengin     Marshall Tuck
San Jose Mercury News                
SFChron     Dan Schnur   Betty Yee     Marshall Tuck
UT San Diego Not Tim Donnelly              Marshall Tuck 
* mostly endorsements of Brown re-election, with suggestion that Kashkari is best for the GOP/campaign.

 

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The June 2014 NOONER Contest is now open!

Once again, The NOONER is providing an opportunity for you to prove your chops as a forecaster of California elections or, like I do with March Madness, show how little most of us really know.

  • First prize: $100 Amazon Gift Card or donation to your charity
  • Second prize: $50 Amazon Gift Card or donation to your charity
  • Third prize: $25 Amazon Gift Card or donation to your charity

Your personalized NOONER contest link is:

  • ##CONTESTLINK##

Once again, it is designed so you can either be anonymous or have your name in lights. Last year, we had about 500 participants and I will once again only show the top 25 scores, but you'll be able to see your score and rank. You will be able to make your picks and change your answers (via same link) through Sunday, June 1 at 5pm PDT.


  

 

**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • Join the Sacramento Chapter of New Leaders Council at the 5th Annual “Party for Progress” on May 27, 2014 from 5 to 8pm at The Park Ultra Lounge. Enjoy drinks and hors d’oeuvres while our 2014 Fellows honor Senator Kevin de Leófor his progressive leadership, as well as unveil the two winners of the Up-and-Coming Progressive Leader Award. Purchase a place on the guest list or become a sponsor at: bit.ly/1e9km3W. NLC is a 501(c)(3) dedicated to training and supporting the next generation of progressive political entrepreneurs. For more information, contact: Paco Torres, paco.xavier.torres@gmail.com.

  • The Michelson 20 Million Minds Foundation (20MM) is pleased to invite policy makers, staff, and members of the Capitol Community to a free screening of the Ivory Tower on June 16 at 6:00 PM at the beautiful Crest Theater in downtown Sacramento. This groundbreaking documentary focuses on the issues surrounding higher education affordability in light of rapidly rising tuition and national student debt, which has now surpassed $1.2 trillion. The screening will be followed by an informative discussion with director Andrew Rossi and leading higher education advocates. RSVP @ eventbrite.com/e/screening-of-ivory-tower-with-director-andrew-rossi-tickets-11560215917. Please contact Sergio Rosas Sergio@20mm.org, 626.396.7071, or Reid Milburn at, Reid.Milburn@gmail.com, 916.969.6171, for more information.
  • The biggest and best LGBT political party of the year happens Wednesday, May 21, as the Sacramento Stonewall Democratic Club hosts its annual Four Freedoms Gala & Awards dinner at the Red Lion Woodlake Hotel starting at 5:30pm with a fabulous social hour! In addition to mingling with Sacramento’s leading lights in the LGBT wing (and allies) of the local Democratic party, you can also choose to bid on a stupendous assortment of Silent Auction items. You’ll also enjoy a scrumptious dinner, see awards presented to leading members of the community who embody the values of Freedom of Speech, Freedom of Worship, Freedom from Fear and Freedom from Want. A special President's Award will be presented to Sen. Mark Leno. All this for only $125/ticket. Such a deal! Purchase your tickets today at secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/4f">secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/4f
  • SAVE THE DATE: Capitol Network is hosting its 26th annual charitable golf tournament and wine and olive oil tasting Thursday, October 16, 2014 at Yocha Dehe Golf Club. For more information visit capitol-network.org.
  • California Medical Association seeks experienced Executive Assistant/Scheduler to support the Chief Operating Officer. Strong organizational, communication and technical skills required. Competitive salary/full benefits. More info here: www.cmanet.org/about/careers-with-cma/
  • THE BEST WAY FOR YOU TO LEARN THE LEGISLATIVE PROCESS AND HOW TO LOBBY MORE EFFECTIVELY. Veteran lobbyist Ray LeBov presents his "Lobbying 101" and "Lobbying 201" seminars June 5-6, covering the complete spectrum of governmental advocacy. $250 each. Essential for lobbying firm principals / support staff, organizations that employ lobbyists, public agencies. Complete info / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009.
  • FedEx Government Affairs Seeks Administrative Assistant to support the staff and office for the Western Region.
    Candidates with experience in government, public affairs, and or lobbying are preferred. Strong office administration skills, ability to multi-task and interface with executive level management required. For more information and to apply, go to: jobs-fedexservices.icims.com/jobs/21436/administrative-assistant-legal/job.
  • Zan Media (415-897-8393) provides one stop shopping for campaigns, issues, measures. Media pros with 34 year track record - TV/radio ads, PSA’s and persuasive web videos, video news releases.
    "Working with Zan Media always helps me get the message across. Chris and Don Scioli have fun, creative concepts that they make even better when translated to video. Zan Media’s work really works for me!”"
    — CYNTHIA MURRAY, FORMER MARIN COUNTY SUPERVISOR, PRES.&CEO NORTH BAY LEADERSHIP COUNCI
  • 7th Annual Assembly Veteran of the Year Luncheon is scheduled for Wednesday, June 25th (Sacramento Convention Center). Corporate & individual sponsorships are available. The event is co-sponsored by Assemblymembers Pérez, Quirk-Silva & Chávez. All Assemblymembers select a veteran to honor from their district. For more information contact: Pete Conaty, 916 492-0550, pconaty@sbcglobal.net.

 

 

Independent Expenditure Reports

Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
Alliance For California's Tomorrow, A California Business Coalition Amy Howorth (Support) $50,133 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
Bloomfield Jr., William E. Ben Allen (Support) $37,219 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Bloomfield Jr., William E. Marshall Tuck (Support) $344,633 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Build Jobs Pac, Sponsored By The Building Industry Association Of The Bay Area Jim Spering (Support) $14,430 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Patrick Odonnell (Support) $24,904 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Simona Farrise (Oppose) $25,554 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Tim Sbranti (Oppose) $18,683 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $16,525 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Doug Perkins (Support) $21,840 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
California Farm Bureau Fund To Protect The Family Farm (farm Pac) Jim Wood (Support) $16,187 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
California Professional Firefighters Ie Pac Rick Roelle (Support) $39,461 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
California Professional Firefighters Ie Pac Rick Roelle (Support) $14,231 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
California Senior Advocates League Pac Tom Lackey (Support) $12,822 05/16/2014 05/20/2014
California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Patrick Odonnell (Support) $32,188 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Californians For Fiscal Accountability And Responsibility, Sponsored By Dentists, Physicians, Health Care Providers, Realtors, School Employees And Construction Trades Organizations Jim Wood (Support) $19,540 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Californians For Fiscal Accountability And Responsibility, Sponsored By Dentists, Physicians, Health Care Providers, Realtors, School Employees And Construction Trades Organizations Dr. Richard Pan (i) (Support) $39,509 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Californians For Jobs And A Strong Economy Jim Cooper (Support) $2,949 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Campos For Assembly 2014; San Franciscans To Hold Campos Accountable, Vote No On David Campos (Oppose) $34,000 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Cdf Firefighters Small Contributor Pac Caren Ray (Support) $8,062 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
Committee For Working Families, Sponsored By The California Labor Federation, Afl-cio Connie Leyva (Support) $30,189 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Dart Container Corporation Autumn Burke (Support) $7,492 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Edvoice Independent Expenditure Committee Anna Bryson (Support) $28,629 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Fairpac Independent Expenditure Committee, Sponsored By The Civil Justice Association Of California Autumn Burke (Support) $33,679 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Gipson For Assembly 2014, Jobs Creation Council Pac To Support Mike Mike Gipson (Support) $8,478 05/14/2014 05/20/2014
Gipson For Assembly 2014, Jobs Creation Council Pac To Support Mike Mike Gipson (Support) $4,190 05/10/2014 05/20/2014
Independent Expenditure Committee For Jobs And Prosperity, Sponsored By Sacramento Metropolitan Chamber Of Commerce Political Action Committee Kevin Mccarty (Oppose) $10,434 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Independent Expenditure Committee For Jobs And Prosperity, Sponsored By Sacramento Metropolitan Chamber Of Commerce Political Action Committee Steve Cohn (Support) $34,326 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Alfonso Sanchez (Support) $58,703 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Armando Gomez (Support) $21,966 05/15/2014 05/20/2014
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Tim Sbranti (Oppose) $20,024 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Keeping Californians Working, A Coalition Of Dentists, Realtors, Housing Providers, Energy, Insurance Agents And Employees To Protect Working Californians Mario De La Piedra (Support) $17,830 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Keeping Californians Working, A Coalition Of Dentists, Realtors, Housing Providers, Energy, Insurance Agents And Employees To Protect Working Californians Vito Imbasciani (Support) $40,054 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Keeping Californians Working, A Coalition Of Dentists, Realtors, Housing Providers, Energy, Insurance Agents And Employees To Protect Working Californians John Goya (Support) $13,383 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Octaxpac, Sponsored By The Orange County Taxpayers Association Frank Ury (Support) $21,157 05/17/2014 05/20/2014
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members, School Employees, And Public And Private Employee Associations Armando Gomez (Oppose) $23,085 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members, School Employees, And Public And Private Employee Associations Bill Dodd (Oppose) $32,952 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Parents And Teachers For Putting Students First Armando Gomez (Support) $13,195 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Sacramento Metropolitan Chamber Political Action Committee Jay Schenirer (Support) $4,998 05/16/2014 05/20/2014
Sbranti For Assembly 2014, Sponsored By The California Teachers Association And California State Council Of Service Employees; Californians For Economic Prosperity To Support Tim Tim Sbranti (Support) $78,631 05/02/2014 05/20/2014
Sbranti For Assembly 2014, Sponsored By The California Teachers Association And California State Council Of Service Employees; Californians For Economic Prosperity To Support Tim Steve Glazer (Oppose) $73,114 05/02/2014 05/20/2014
Southern California Coalition Of Businesses And Taxpayers (sccbt) Curt Hagman (Support) $12,415 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
Spirit Of Democracy California Jay Obernolte (Support) $26,779 05/20/2014 05/20/2014
Torlakson For Superintendent Of Public Instruction 2014 With Major Funding By The California Teachers Association Tom Torlakson (Support) $15,450 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Torlakson For Superintendent Of Public Instruction 2014 With Major Funding By The California Teachers Association Marshall Tuck (Oppose) $15,450 05/19/2014 05/20/2014
Wieckowski For Senate 2014, Sponsored By Nurses, Firefighters, Law Enforcement, Construction Trades, And Labor Organizations; Californians For Better Jobs And A Stronger Economy To Elect Bob; Bob Wieckowski (Support) $37,430 05/19/2014 05/20/2014

 

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Jerry Brown, Legislative Analysts Differ On Healthcare Costs
latimes.com
If the governor's estimates were too high, Steinberg said, that could free up more money for other government services. The goal is to "add up $50 or $100 million at a time" until there's enough cash for other programs he wants to fund, like preschool for poor children.

Secretary Of State Campaign Takes On A Higher Profile
mercurynews.com
Candidates vying to become secretary of state are offering competing plans to inject transparency and restore public faith in government.

Brown's Budget Proves He's A Centrist | East Bay Express
eastbayexpress.com
Only far-right conservatives and people who don't know Governor Jerry Brown think he's a liberal. The rest of us, especially longtime Oakland residents, know that the former mayor is very much a centrist. And he proved it once again last week, unveiling yet another austere budget proposal that prioritizes paying off debt and stockpiling cash in reserve rather than restoring funds to California's social safety net, which was shredded by cutbacks during the Great Recession.

Fresno GOP Gives Backing To Donnelly For Governor, Swearengin For Controller
fresnobee.com
Learn about the candidates in the June 3 primary and where they stand on issues.

California Senate Votes To Ban 'material Support' To Nsa - Us News
Steven Nelson @
usnews.com
Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., should be glad state legislatures no longer elect U.S. senators.

Calif. Democrat John Burton Endorses Reagan, Tongue Firmly In Cheek
latimes.com
For nearly a decade starting in the mid-1960s, Ronald Reagan was California governor and Assemblyman John Burton was his liberal nemesis in Sacramento. The two battled over school funding, mental healthcare and other social welfare programs.

Campaigns On Malpractice Measure Will Avoid The Issue
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
Jerry Brown signed the Medical Injury Compensation Reform Act during the first year of his first governorship 39 years ago, and except for a brief truce, the contending factions have waged perpetual war over its provisions in the Capitol ever since.

State Assembly 73: Charles Munger PAC outspends all candidates- combined
calnewsroom.com
The Spirit of Democracy California PAC, which is sponsored by Charles Munger, Jr., has outspent all of the candidates in the race for the 73rd Assembly District. Munger's backing a "pro-family" NRA member.

House GOP Won’t Allow Vote On Legal Status For Military Service - Time
time.com
House Republicans are prepared to spike a proposal that would allow children brought into the country illegally to gain legal status through military service, in the latest sign that immigration reform is a no-go ahead of the midterm elections.

Joe Krovoza Laments Spending, Ads In Yolo-napa Assembly District
Christopher Cadelago @
blogs.sacbee.com
In the 1992 vice presidential debate, Admiral James Stockdale famously said he felt like he was watching a ping pong match between "expert professional politicians" Al Gore and Dan Quayle.

Richmond Moves A Step Closer To Sales Tax Hike To Fix Streets
Robert Rogers @
contracostatimes.com
The council, by a 5-1-1 vote, paved the way for the November sales-tax measure along with an informational campaign to explain the measure to voters.

Leland Yee Case: Judge Orders Evidence Kept Secret
Howard Mintz @
mercurynews.com
U.S. District Judge Charles Breyer imposed the restrictions Monday on every lawyer and defendant in the case, finding the material should be kept under wraps while both sides prepare for trial. Breyer rejected the free speech arguments of Chow's lawyer, J. Tony Serra, who insisted he should be able to reveal evidence to combat the government's public charges.

Independent Campaign Mega-Cash Cuts Both Ways
John Wildermuth @
blog.sfgate.com
In politics, money is nice, but it can come with a cost. Especially if it’s arriving in chunks way bigger than California’s campaign finance laws typically allow.

Festive Crowd Lines Up For Sacramento City Council Vote On New Kings Arena
Ryan Lillis, Dale Kasler and Tony Bizjak @
sacbee.com
Amid a festive atmosphere at City Hall, the Sacramento City Council voted Tuesday night to approve the construction of a new downtown arena for the Kings, ending years of effort and angst.

Grover Norquist calls John Burton's Reagan support 'childish'
Christopher Cadelago @
blogs.sacbee.com
Anti-tax activist Grover Norquist's plan to name 3,000 items after former President Ronald Reagan - including a mountain overlooking Las Vegas - drew a tongue-in-cheek endorsement from California Democratic Party Chairman John Burton.

Washington: House GOP Leaders Block Calif. Republican’s Immigration Measure | Immigration | Mcclatchy Dc
Michael Doyle @
mcclatchydc.com
WASHINGTON — California Republican Rep. Jeff Denham’s pro-immigrant amendment to a big defense bill Tuesday exposed, once again, deep fault lines in his party.

Federal Funds Earmarked To Offset Affordable Care Act Insurer Losses
latimes.com
The Obama administration has quietly adjusted key provisions of its signature healthcare law to potentially make billions of additional taxpayer dollars available to the insurance industry if companies providing coverage through the Affordable Care Act lose money.

Cal State Holds Off On Budget Decisions, Lobbies For More State Money
latimes.com
California State University is delaying some budget decisions for next year in hopes that an improved economic outlook may spur California legislators free up more funding for the vast system, which annually educates nearly half a million students.

The BART Strike Contest
Steven Tavares @
eastbayexpress.com
This year's race for the East Bay's 16th state Assembly District is all about a proposal to ban BART workers from striking and the resulting pushback from organized labor. Not surprisingly, the battle over BART strikes has attracted truckloads of special interest money to the race. Since March, the fight over the right of transit workers to go on strike has drawn at least $2.7 million in contributions to so-called independent expenditure committees that are attempting to influence the race. Indeed, the total amount of money in the contest is extraordinary for a state Assembly race.

L.A. Unified hires Rory Pullens as new head of arts education
latimes.com
The leader of one of the nation's top arts high schools has accepted the job of leading arts education for the Los Angeles Unified School District. Rory Pullens, 56, has served as head of school and chief executive at the Duke Ellington School of the Arts in Washington, D.C. Pullens had...

Moody's: Drought Unlikely To Hurt State Economy
bizjournals.com
This report arrives a day after another study from the University of California Davis found that the drought could cost Central Valley farmers and farm communities$1.7 billion this year and may cause more than 14,500 workers to lose their jobs.

Bailout For Teachers' Pensions To Cost California School Districts
latimes.com
California's public school districts could face difficult cutbacks if state officials move forward with a plan to bail out the retirement fund for teachers, officials and educators say, but even those painful steps may fall short of curing the pension deficit if investments don't meet expectations.

Cabbies Protest Proposal By City To Require English Test
Tony Bizjak @
sacbee.com
Tougher regulations of taxi cabs in Sacramento, such as some of these lined up in front of a downtown hotel in 2012, have caused strong reaction from many drivers, who oppose the rules that are up for a final vote on May 27, 2014.

Stanley Fischer Confirmed By Senate For Federal Reserve Board Seat
latimes.com
Stanley Fischer, the former Bank of Israel head picked by President Obama for the No. 2 job at the Federal Reserve , won Senate confirmation Wednesday to become a member of the Fed's board of governors.

The Buzz: Grover Norquist calls John Burton’s comments on Reagan ‘childish’
sacbee.com
Anti-tax activist Grover Norquist’s plan to name 3,000 items after former President Ronald Reagan – including a mountain overlooking Las Vegas – drew a tongue-in-cheek endorsement from California Democratic Party Chairman John Burton.