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THE NOONER for May 15, 2014

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CA31 (Redlands): For Democrats, It's Déjà Vu in California's 31st District [Emily Cahn @ Roll Call]

The poll was conducted by Tulchin Research for the DCCC and found:

  • Pete Aguilar (D): 15%
  • Eloise Gomez Reyes (D): 13%
  • Danny Tillman (D): 6%
  • Joe Baca (D): 13%
  • Paul Chabot (R): 23%
  • Lesli Gooch (R): 6%
  • Ryan Downing (R): 7%

[May 7-8, 2014; 400 likely voters; English/Spanish live; MOE +/- 4.9%]

The poll suggests going negative on Joe Baca, who has surged 5% in the last month:

Absent one of the leading Democrats experiencing a drop in support resulting from a negative attack, the November shutout scenario will continue to remain a real possibility, particularly as long-time Congressional aide and lobbyist Lesli Gooch begins spending Polling Memo down her campaign war chest and communicating with voters. Research has consistently found that Joe Baca is by far the candidate most vulnerable to negative attack among this primary field.

GOV: Today at 5pm, Tim Donnelly and Neel Kashkari will debate on the John and Ken show. Listen live here or, if you're in Orange County, stop by the Ayres Hotel in Anaheim to watch live.

The big question is whether John and Ken will take more airtime than Tim and Neel. They're no Gwen Ifill.

GOV: Tim Donnelly: I'm a threat to the GOP 'country club' [Carla Marinucci @ SFChron]:

Republican gubernatorial candidate Tim Donnelly defended himself Wednesday from blistering attacks from his own party, saying the criticism is evidence that the GOP elite has "lost touch with people in the neighborhoods" because "they're too busy golfing or drinking together."

"When the GOP is taking about the threat (I pose), they're right," Donnelly, a Tea Party favorite and San Bernardino County assemblyman, said during an hour-long session with The Chronicle editorial board. "I'm a threat to the country-club Republicans. I'm a danger because I might bring a little more country into the club."

Condoleeza Rice became the latest addition to the Neel Kashkari bandwagon yesterday.

$$$: In his call for more spending in the state budget, Darrell Steinberg pulls a Russert. The main focus yesterday was on how much money should be set aside in the "Rainy Day" fund, with Steinberg arguing that the May Revision sets aside $1.3 billion more than would be required under the reserve ballot measure agreement reached last week. Tomorrow, the Legislative Analyst's Office will release its analysis, and the spending lobby is hoping for a rosier revenue forecast from the Legislature's nonpartisan analyst.

Budget observers thought there was agreement over revenues and spending levels when the leadership agreed with the governor on the Rainy Day ballot measure. However, Steinberg's presser yesterday suggests otherwise. But, as The Dean reminds us, with line-item veto authority, the governor is the ultimate arbiter of spending levels.

While lawmakers are unlikely to hold Rainy Day hostage, the governor's proposal to use $250 million in "cap-and-trade" revenues for high speed rail are a likely candidate for the horse-trading. Steinberg and his caucus members are weary not just about the $250 million this year, but that high speed rail will seek a growing share of the revenues in out years. They want a deal for a long-term split of the funds, balanced between transit-oriented affordable housing, public transit, road and highway maintenance, in addition to being open to funding high speed rail. Steinberg appears today in Oakland with Loni Hancock at the MacArthur BART station to push their plan.

 ...more after the jump...

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SD10 (Hayward-Santa Clara): The nastiness between Mary Hayashi and Bob Wieckowski continues with Hayashi launching a "Bob the Bully" campaign, while her critics are sending around Neiman Marcus's security footage.

DON'T WORRY, JUST SFO AND OAK: Governor Brown corrects statement about LAX and sea level rise [Dan Weikel @ LAT]

THE GOOG: Google's Eric Schmidt comes in with the max $54,400 for Jerry Brown's re-coronation campaign. 

INITIATIVES: Today is the deadline for counties to turn in random sample results for the MICRA initiative, and once Los Angeles reports, it's expected to be qualified for the November ballot. Also, sufficient signatures have been turned in to trigger a random sample for the inititiative to change certain theft and drug crimes from felonies to misdemeanors. The initiative is sponsored by San Francisco District Attorney George Gascon and former San Diego Police Chief William Lansdowne.

WITH A LITTLE HELP FROM MY FRIENDS: Campaign spending surges as unions weigh in for Torlakson, Pérez [Jim Miller @ SacBee]

"INDEPENDENT": Candidates shedding party labels [John Wildermuth @ SFChron]

ONLINE GAMING CONFERENCE: UC Sacramento/Capitol Weekly Online Gaming Conference - May 22: Event sponsors have made available a LIMITED number of complimentary tickets for CAPITOL STAFFERS who would like to attend this event at no cost.  Interested parties please call Kathy Brown at Capitol Weekly, 916 444 7665.  Complomentary tickets will be distributed on a first come, first served basis.

REVISIT THY HATRED OF CATS: dog. v. boy. v. cat. [story]

 

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Concerns About Fuel Costs Raise Legitimate Issues

 

 GovernorLtGovSOSAGCONTREICSPI
Bakersfield Californian Jerry Brown, Neel Kashkari   Dan Schnur  Kamala Harris Ashley Swearingin, Betty Yee      
LA Daily News                
LA Times     Pete Peterson   Ashley Swearengin   Dave Jones Marshall Tuck
OC Register                
Sac Bee     Dan Schnur, Alex Padilla   Betty Yee, Ashley Swearengin     Marshall Tuck
San Jose Mercury News                
SFChron     Dan Schnur   Betty Yee     Marshall Tuck
UT San Diego Not Tim Donnelly               

 

 


The June 2014 NOONER Contest is now open!

Once again, The NOONER is providing an opportunity for you to prove your chops as a forecaster of California elections or, like I do with March Madness, show how little most of us really know.

  • First prize: $100 Amazon Gift Card or donation to your charity
  • Second prize: $50 Amazon Gift Card or donation to your charity
  • Third prize: $25 Amazon Gift Card or donation to your charity

Your personalized NOONER contest link is:

  • ##CONTESTLINK##

Once again, it is designed so you can either be anonymous or have your name in lights. Last year, we had about 500 participants and I will once again only show the top 25 scores, but you'll be able to see your score and rank. You will be able to make your picks and change your answers (via same link) through Sunday, June 1 at 5pm PDT.


  

 

**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • THIS SATURDAY! The Stonewall Young Democrats invite you to the Harvey Milk Day Celebration honoring Speaker-ElectToni Atkins in Los Angeles on Saturday, May 17, 2014. Our special guests include LA Mayor Garcetti, Senate President Pro-Tem designee Kevin De Leon, TV Host Lisa Ling and Assemblymembers Bloom, Gomez, Bocanegra and Nazarian. Please RSVP today at secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/hmd14.
  • The biggest and best LGBT political party of the year happens Wednesday, May 21, as the Sacramento Stonewall Democratic Club hosts its annual Four Freedoms Gala & Awards dinner at the Red Lion Woodlake Hotel starting at 5:30pm with a fabulous social hour! In addition to mingling with Sacramento’s leading lights in the LGBT wing (and allies) of the local Democratic party, you can also choose to bid on a stupendous assortment of Silent Auction items. You’ll also enjoy a scrumptious dinner, see awards presented to leading members of the community who embody the values of Freedom of Speech, Freedom of Worship, Freedom from Fear and Freedom from Want. A special President's Award will be presented to Sen. Mark Leno. All this for only $125/ticket. Such a deal! Purchase your tickets today at secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/4f">secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/4f
  • Voters in Congressional District 42: MEET TIM SHERIDAN (the only candidate in CD 42 endorsed by the California Democratic Party) and taste some special wines. Sunday, May 18, 3 - 5 pm – Wine and Cheese Fundraiser at the home of Diana and Barry Hansen in Lake Elsinore. Details
  • SAVE THE DATE: Capitol Network is hosting its 26th annual charitable golf tournament and wine and olive oil tasting Thursday, October 16, 2014 at Yocha Dehe Golf Club. For more information visit capitol-network.org.
  • Join the Sacramento Chapter of New Leaders Council at the 5th Annual “Party for Progress” on May 27, 2014 from 5 to 8pm at The Park Ultra Lounge. Enjoy drinks and hors d’oeuvres while our 2014 Fellows honor Senator Kevin de Leófor his progressive leadership, as well as unveil the winners of the Up-and-Coming Progressive Leader Award. Purchase a place on the guest list or become a sponsor at: bit.ly/1e9km3W.

  • California Medical Association seeks experienced Executive Assistant/Scheduler to support the Chief Operating Officer. Strong organizational, communication and technical skills required. Competitive salary/full benefits. More info here: www.cmanet.org/about/careers-with-cma/
  • Equality California’s Annual Harvey Milk Celebration, LA Metro, May 18, 2014, 11am-1pm: Fundraiser with mimosas and hor’ d'oeuvres at the home of Tom Safran in Brentwood for EQCA's PAC to elect pro-equality candidates.Special guests include: President of the Milk Foundation Stuart Milk; Incoming EQCA ED Rick Zbur; Rep. Mark Takano; Assemblymembers Bloom, Bradford, Gomez, Nazarian and Quirk-Silva; LA City Atty Mike Feuer; LA Controller Ron Galperin; LA Councilmembers Wesson, Bonin and O'Farrell; West Hollywood Mayor John D'Amico, West Hollywood Councilmembers Duran, Heilman and Prang; SF Supervisor and AD 17 Candidate David Campos; and Campbell Councilmember and AD 28 Candidate Evan Low. Tickets & Sponsorships available: www.eqca.org/hmd-la. For more info, contact Tony Hoang, tony@eqca.org,323-848-9801x204
  • Learn the legislative process and best practices of effective advocacy quickly and cost-effectively. Veteran lobbyist Ray LeBov presents his "Lobbying 101" and "Lobbying 201" seminars June 5-6. $250 each. Essential for lobbying firm principals / support staff, organizations that employ lobbyists, public agencies. Complete info / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009.
  • FedEx Government Affairs Seeks Administrative Assistant to support the staff and office for the Western Region.
    Candidates with experience in government, public affairs, and or lobbying are preferred. Strong office administration skills, ability to multi-task and interface with executive level management required. For more information and to apply, go to: jobs-fedexservices.icims.com/jobs/21436/administrative-assistant-legal/job.
  • Zan Media (415-897-8393) provides one stop shopping for campaigns, issues, measures. Media pros with 34 year track record - TV/radio ads, PSA’s and persuasive web videos, video news releases.
    “Working with Zan Media always helps me get the message across. Chris and Don Scioli have fun, creative concepts that they make even better when translated to video. Zan Media’s work really works for me!” 
    — CYNTHIA MURRAY, FORMER MARIN COUNTY SUPERVISOR, PRES.&CEO NORTH BAY LEADERSHIP COUNCI
  • 7th Annual Assembly Veteran of the Year Luncheon is scheduled for Wednesday, June 25th (Sacramento Convention Center). Corporate & individual sponsorships are available. The event is co-sponsored by Assemblymembers Pérez, Quirk-Silva & Chávez. All Assemblymembers select a veteran to honor from their district. For more information contact: Pete Conaty, 916 492-0550, pconaty@sbcglobal.net.

 

 

Independent Expenditure Reports

Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
Anderson, John - Ace Beverage Co.; Mission Beverage Co. Jerry Brown (Support) $15,000 05/14/2014 05/14/2014
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Prophet Walker (Support) $900 05/13/2014 05/14/2014
California Senior Advocates League Pac Julius Cherry (Oppose) $7,513 05/14/2014 05/14/2014
Californians Allied For Patient Protection Independent Expenditure Account Assembly Member Roger Dickinson (Oppose) $43,038 05/14/2014 05/14/2014
Campos For Assembly 2014; San Franciscans To Hold Campos Accountable, Vote No On David Campos (Oppose) $23,000 05/13/2014 05/14/2014
Committee For Working Families, Sponsored By The California Labor Federation, Afl-cio Connie Leyva (Support) $21,566 05/14/2014 05/14/2014
Hayashi For Senate 2014, Sponsored By Peace Officers, Nurses, Consumer Attorneys And Labor Organizations; Californians For Integrity In Government Opposed To Mary Hayashi (Oppose) $36,415 05/13/2014 05/14/2014
Los Angeles County Federation Of Labor Afl-cio Council On Political Education Robert Garcia (Support) $7,553 05/13/2014 05/14/2014
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members, School Employees, And Public And Private Employee Associations Dan Wolk (Support) $33,113 05/13/2014 05/14/2014
Parents And Teachers For Putting Students First Suja Lowenthal (Support) $15,815 05/13/2014 05/14/2014
Sbranti For Assembly 2014, Sponsored By The California Teachers Association And California State Council Of Service Employees; Californians For Economic Prosperity To Support Tim Tim Sbranti (Support) $33,933 05/13/2014 05/14/2014
Sbranti For Assembly 2014, Sponsored By The California Teachers Association And California State Council Of Service Employees; Californians For Economic Prosperity To Support Tim Tim Sbranti (Support) $2,461 05/03/2014 05/14/2014
Sbranti For Assembly 2014, Sponsored By The California Teachers Association And California State Council Of Service Employees; Californians For Economic Prosperity To Support Tim Tim Sbranti (Support) $18,082 05/09/2014 05/14/2014

 

   

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Steinberg May Leverage Bullet Train In Budget Talks - Politics Blog
blog.sfgate.com
A day after Gov. Jerry Brown updated his $107.8 billion general fund budget proposal, Senate Leader Darrell Steinberg made it clear he plans for fight for social services left out of the administra...

Legislature May Give Tax Relief For Underwater Mortgages
Dan Walters @
blogs.sacbee.com
The Legislature may be breaking up a political logjam over tax relief for beleaguered homeowners who receive writeoffs from lenders for their underwater mortgages.

Tim Donnelly: I'm A Threat To The GOP 'country Club' - Sfgate
sfgate.com
Republican gubernatorial candidate Tim Donnelly defended himself Wednesday from blistering attacks from his own party, saying the criticism is evidence that the GOP elite has "lost touch with people in the neighborhoods" because "they're too busy golfing or drinking together." Donnelly made his comments a day after the state's oldest Republican private organization, the Lincoln Club of Orange County, took the unprecedented step of publicly rebuking him as a "divisive and destructive" candidate for the party. The club, a major fundraiser for GOP candidates, gave Donnelly a vote of no confidence - a first in its 52 year history - saying the assemblyman is "not the man to lead Republicans, the party of Abraham Lincoln." Leaders' uneaseAs he has maintained a solid second-place standing in the polls behind Gov. Jerry Brown leading up to the June 3 primary, Donnelly has drawn attention for comments that appeal to his conservative base but make the Republican establishment blanch. In a spirited session with Chronicle editors and reporters, Donnelly cast himself as a populist who is "literally walking the state of California" to talk with voters - even in liberal bastions like San Francisco - about issues such as his opposition to the Common Core curriculum in California schools, his support of gun rights and his plan to stop the defection to other states of companies such as Toyota.

Jerry Brown Seeks Savings In Community College Transfers To UC
Alexei Koseff @
blogs.sacbee.com
With an eye on the state budget and student diversity, Gov. Jerry Brown suggested Wednesday that the University of California consider decreasing freshmen enrollment in favor of more community college transfers.

GOP Throw-down: Donnelly, Kashkari Chopping At Each Other - Politics Blog
blog.sfgate.com
Republican Tim Donnelly, the Tea Party favorite who's running for governor, says it's emblematic that fellow GOP challenger Neel Kashkari isn't really using an ax in his big mail and TV campaign, i...

California’s ‘keystone Kop-ish’ Race For Governor Heating Up, Getting Strange
David Siders @
sacbee.com
Neel Kashkari, a former Treasury Department official, is considered a moderate.

Alameda County says economy is better, poverty getting worse
sfgate.com
Restoring cuts to job training, subsidized child care and other programs for the working poor are critical if California hopes to maintain its economic growth, Alameda County officials said Thursday in response to Gov. Jerry Brown's revised budget proposal. [...] it's getting worse, said Seth Kaplan, head of Alameda County's Human Impact Budget Project, an annual look at how policy in Sacramento affects safety-net programs and residents in Alameda County and beyond. [...] since the economic downturn hit in 2008, the state has cut more than $15 billion in social-service programs like food stamps, Medi-Cal, CalWorks and other programs designed to help residents through periods of unemployment or underemployment, county figures show. With the economy bouncing back, Brown on Tuesday allotted extra funds in his revised budget plan for teacher pensions, schools, courts and drought-related needs. Social service advocates said that seeing these figures continue to climb, while funding for safety-net programs ebbs, is endlessly frustrating.

Senate Leader Seeks Investigation Of Sex Offender Monitoring
latimes.com
The high-profile case of two Orange County sex offenders accused of killing at least four women has spurred Senate leader Darrell Steinberg to seek an investigation into whether California's sex offender registration laws and residency restrictions have created a more dangerous population of homeless felons.

Campos tries again to plug loophole in S.F. health care law
sfgate.com
Under current law, employers may choose between giving that money to the city for care or putting it into a health account that the employee can draw from - and that employers can take back if it's not used within two years. Since 2010, employers have taken back tens of millions of dollars from those accounts and repeatedly fought efforts by the left to make the contributions irrevocable. Create a programUnder the national health care reform law that took effect in January, however, those health accounts can no longer be used to pay for regular medical care or to buy insurance. [...] Campos is proposing to create a program through the Department of Public Health that would allow the city to pool employer contributions and use the money to help subsidize health care for workers through the state's health care exchange. By making the health account contributions irrevocable, Campos said, he will remove employers' incentive to put money in those accounts - funds that under new federal law, can only be used for vision or dental care anyway. [...] Paul Kumar, a health policy consultant with close labor ties who was involved in drafting the original Health Care Security Ordinance, said that if the money isn't available to employees to help subsidize insurance, as many as 40 percent of workers may not be able to afford to buy coverage on the state exchange.

Governor Brown Corrects Statement About LAX And Sea Level Rise
Dan Weikel @
latimes.com
An aide to Jerry Brown confirmed Wednesday that the governor was wrong when he said global warming would eventually cause rising seawater to inundate Los Angeles International Airport.

Candidates Shedding Party Labels - Politics Blog
blog.sfgate.com
Candidates for secretary of state, insurance commissioner and superintendent of public instruction are either running without party labels or doing their best to disguise or downplay their partisan leanings.

Swearengin's Fresno Fundraiser Nets $250k For State Controller Campaign
fresnobee.com
Get up, get out, explore. Your guide to the big outdoors in and around the Valley.

Gov. Brown signs law requiring political nonprofits to identify donors
Laurel Rosenhall @
sacbee.com
Nonprofit organizations that make political contributions in California will have to disclose more information about the source of their money under a law Gov. Jerry Brown signed Wednesday.

Condoleezza Rice Throws Support Behind Neel Kashkari
David Siders @
blogs.sacbee.com
Former U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has endorsed Neel Kashkari in California's gubernatorial race, the Kashkari campaign announced Wednesday.

Gov. Brown Signs Bill To Shed Light On Political 'dark Money'
latimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown on Wednesday signed a bill aimed at shedding light on “dark money” in politics, targeting a practice in which nonprofit organizations and other groups put millions of dollars into state campaigns without disclosing the original source of the cash.

Leland Yee Case: 'Shrimp Boy' Chow's Lawyers Want Evidence Made Public
Howard Mintz @
mercurynews.com
Reputed gang figure Raymond "Shrimp Boy" Chow's lawyers are fighting for the right to reveal the federal government's evidence in its criminal case against him, state Sen. Leland Yee and dozens of others -- calling federal prosecutors' hefty criminal complaint a "press release" that deserves a response.

Mcclintock Mailer Pitches Independent Opponent To Democrats
Christopher Cadelago @
sacbee.com
Democrats in the sweeping 4th Congressional District are crying foul over a campaign mailer by Republican Rep. Tom McClintock, at left, they say deceptively boosts the prospects of one candidate so the three-term incumbent can avoid a tough re-election fight.

Brown signs bill to increase political disclosures
Associated Press @
utsandiego.com
Gov. Jerry Brown has signed legislation that forces political nonprofits to reveal their donors, after out-of-state groups funneled $15 million in anonymous contributions into California initiative campaigns.

Jerry Brown signs law requiring political nonprofits identify donors
Laurel Rosenhall @
blogs.sacbee.com
Nonprofit organizations that make political contributions in California will have to disclose more information about the source of their money under a law Gov. Jerry Brown signed Wednesday.

UC Seeks To Increase Transfer Students From Community Colleges
latimes.com
UC officials on Wednesday proposed new efforts to make it easier for students to transfer to a UC campus from all community colleges -- not just from the small number of two-year schools that dominate transfer statistics.

City Rewriting Billboard Law For Kings
Tony Bizjak @
sacbee.com
For years, the city of Sacramento has maintained tight control on the number of billboards looming over local streets: For every new board built, one or two older ones must be knocked down.