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THE NOONER for April 11, 2014

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Wow. It's been a long week. Congratulations on making it to Friday. For our Aggie readers, the 100th Picnic Day is tomorrow, and the weather should be beautiful! If you park in front of our house, please pick up the trash that is certain to appear on our lawn. I was pulling weeds last night to try to get the yard in the proper springtime mood.

SECRETARY OF STATE RACE (Field Poll - likely voters)

  • Pete Peterson (R): 30%
  • Alex Padilla (D): 17%
  • David Curtis (G): 5%
  • Dan Schnur (NPP): 4%
  • Derek Cressman (D): 3%
  • Other: < 0.5%
  • Undecided: 41%

In the polling before Leland Yee dropped out, he was receiving 8% support. Pete Peterson picked up 3% without Yee and Padilla's support increased 7%. Curtis and Green each picked up 1%.

The likely voter model Field used is 42% Democratic, 37% Republican, and 21% NPP or other. Last month, I wrote this about turnout:

I forecast voters will be composed of 46% Democrats, 39% Republicans, and 12% no party preference. The NPP (and another 3% of minor parties) will break essentially according to the Dem/Rep split, as well as cast ballots for their nominees (for the minor parties). This is based on the last several incumbent gubernatorial primaries and changes in registration. Again, this is statewide, so be cautious before inferring it to your local race.

Field projects a much higher NPP and minor party turnout than I did, which may be accurate. Mine was based on past mid-term elections, and we haven't had one yet with the top-two primary. Will unaffiliated voters that are not used to voting in June turn out, particularly with no significant ballot measures? 

Anyway, Republicans support their lone candidate in the race, which would be expected. Democrats are still weighing their options, of which there were three during much of the polling. And, Dan Schnur probably would have been a competitor had he kept his Republican registration. If voters aren't willing to support a No Party Preference candidate for Secretary of State, can one win in any other statewide race?

Peterson and Padilla will advance to November, and Padilla will be the strong favorite in that election. I like Pete Peterson and appreciate that he talks about the non-elections role of the Secretary of State, which is critically important. However, the best chance Republicans have is in the Controller's race with Fresno mayor Ashley Swearingin. The question is whether business interests (and Mr. Munger) are willing to jump on that bandwagon as an investment in future Republican leadership, and we won't know that until late summer.

Controller is an ideal election for Republicans to work to capture as a stepladder. No offense to my friend John Chiang, but the office is perceived by voters as ministerial and not policy. Of course, for insiders, we know that the Controller serves on 81 boards and commissions, with the most important being the board of the Public Employees Retirement System and the Teachers' Retirement Board of CalSTRS. But, does the public know or care of the policy implications of those? And, how much are the interests behind those boards willing to spend to advance their names?

I like Betty Yee and John A. Pérez. However, one of them will face off against Swearingin and, if Democrats are looking for a sweep, this is where they need to build their defenses. I am sure Jim Brulte is aware of this and is aligning resources (if they arrive) accordingly.

SD26 (Coastal Los Angeles): Santa Monica-Malibu school trustee Ben Allen picked up the endorsement of former Los Angeles mayor Richard Riordan, a moderate Republican.

RESPONSE: No campaign cash for fighting criminal charges, says Jerry Hill [Laurel Rosenhall @ SacBee] - "Politicians facing criminal charges would not be allowed to use campaign funds to pay their legal bills under an amendment Sen. Jerry Hill said he plans to introduce in the wake of the indictment of his colleague Sen. Leland Yee on charges of corruption and conspiracy to traffic weapons." [SB 831]

"JOB KILLERS": The California Chamber of Commerce has released its list of "job killer" bills.

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Jay Matthew, Chris Reefe, Paula Treat, and Jim Brulte (Sunday)! 

GHOSTS OF #CAKEDAYS PAST: Light some belated candles for Susan McCabe (yesterday).

 

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**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • Corporate & individual sponsorships are available for the 7th Annual Assembly Veteran of the Year Luncheon, scheduled for Wednesday, June 25th (Sacramento Convention Center). The event is co-sponsored by Assemblymembers Pérez, Quirk-Silva & Chávez. All Assemblymembers select a veteran to honor from their district. For more information contact: Pete Conaty, 916 492-0550, pconaty@sbcglobal.net.
  • April 22: Rock 'n Restaurants returns to the Crest Theatre on K Street. 5 PM hosted reception and 7 PM concert featuring Ivy Levan. This event closes out the California Restaurant Association's annual Lobby Day and benefits the CRA Issues PAC. RSVP required at jgoddard@calrest.org.
  • American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network. Associate Director of Media Advocacy Western Region. Sacramento. Oversee media advocacy efforts for American Cancer Society’s advocacy affiliate in 13-state region with primary responsibility for executing comprehensive media strategy in California. Minimum 7 years political journalism/communications experience. Min. salary: $73K. Info & application online: www.acscan.org/careers, Job ID: 15911.
  • BELLA MODA SALON & SPA (916) 640-0900. 10% off on all services for The Nooner readers! Look your absolute best at Bella Moda Salon & Spa. Professional stylists eager to keep you looking great. Conveniently located on Fulton & Marconi. Support a Local Small Business Today! 2937 Fulton Ave, Sacramento, California, 95821. www.bellamoda916.com
  • The fastest, most cost-effective way to learn the legislative process and effective advocacy. Veteran lobbyist Ray LeBov presents his introductory "Lobbying 101" and advanced "Lobbying 201" seminars April 15-16. $250 each. Essential for principals / support staff at lobbying firms, organizations that employ lobbyists, public agencies. Complete info / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009.
  • Confused by all the slate mailers? Tired of having to handle call after call from sales people? Let Navigator Consulting be your guide to slates! Instead of selling slates, we'll help you to buy the right ones! Let us put our 20 years of slate experience to use for YOU! Whether you are a candidate, a representative of a ballot initiative or a consultant, we'd like to represent you. And our prices are more than affordable--they're reasonable! Check us out at www.navigatorconsulting.org or call 858-405-5048.
  • Zan Media (415-897-8393) provides one stop shopping for campaigns, issues, measures. Media pros with 34 year track record - TV/radio ads, PSA’s and persuasive web videos, video news releases.  
    "You guys were great. We'd recommend you to others and we will definitely be working together again."
    — CPM, CAMPAIGN POLITICAL MEDIA

 

 

   

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Journalist Greg Lucas As State Librarian? Yes! :: Fox&hounds
foxandhoundsdaily.com
I asked Greg Lucas for his insights into the job of state librarian. Below are his answers to my questions.

Feinstein Pleads For GOP Votes On California Drought Bill - Politics Blog
blog.sfgate.com
Sen. Dianne Feinstein called on reluctant GOP senators Thursday to support her drought bill, which she altered earlier this month to win support from Central Valley House Republicans. The Californi...

No Campaign Cash For Fighting Criminal Charges, Says Jerry Hill
Laurel Rosenhall @
blogs.sacbee.com
Politicians facing criminal charges would not be allowed to use campaign funds to pay their legal bills under an amendment Sen. Jerry Hill said he plans to introduce in the wake of the indictment of his colleague Sen. Leland Yee on charges of corruption and conspiracy to traffic weapons.

Judge's Decision Could Safeguard Billions For State Budget
Chris Megerian @
latimes.com
SACRAMENTO -- When it comes to the state budget, Gov. Jerry Brown may have one less thing to worry about thanks to a recent court ruling.

Field Poll: Yee’s Departure Aids Padilla In Secretary Of State’s Race
Christopher Cadelago @
sacbee.com
Pete Peterson and Alex Padilla have dashed out to an early lead in the wide-open race for secretary of state, with Padilla gaining considerable ground since fellow Democratic state Sen. Leland Yee withdrew from the contest amid a sweeping federal corruption probe, according to a new Field Poll.

Senators Criticize Media, Go Easy On Utility Execs Over Grid Security
Evan Halper @
latimes.com
Senators accuse media of compromising grid security

Brentwood To Appeal Court Ruling In Redevelopment Lawsuit
Eve Mitchell @
contracostatimes.com
The appeal stems from a court ruling that determined the state Departmentof Finance did not violate Proposition 22, a voter-approved initiative that bars the state from taking local revenues, when it demanded that Brentwood pay back $20 million in redevelopment funds used to make city improvements that included better sidewalks, new utilities, tree planting and a park restoration.

Assembly passes change to campaign disclosure bill
Associated Press @
utsandiego.com
A bill that would force political nonprofits to reveal the names of campaign donors no longer applies retroactively under an amendment pushed by Republican lawmakers and approved by the Assembly.

Scandal And Conflict Sour Legislative Session
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
When the Legislature’s 2014 session began about three months ago, the Capitol’s dominant Democrats and their allies had high hopes that it would bear legislative fruit – with good reason.

Dan Walters Daily: Leland Yee arrest harms Legislature's fragile image
Alexei Koseff @
blogs.sacbee.com
The California Legislature has bounced back from record low approval in recent years, but the March arrest of state Sen. Leland Yee, D-San Francisco, immediately reversed some of those gains, Dan says.

Assembly Backs Permanently Allowing Over-the-counter Sale Of Syringes
Melanie Mason @
latimes.com
SACRAMENTO--The Assembly approved a measure Thursday that would permanently extend a provision allowing pharmacists to sell syringes without a prescription.

Low-income Californians Pay More State And Local Taxes Says Study
Max Pringle @
capradio.org
The California Budget Project says the bottom 20 percent of Californians pay more than 10 percent of their income in state and local taxes, while earning about 13 thousand dollars a year on average. The top one percent pay just under nine percent. They earn an average one-and-a-half million dollars per year.

The Buzz: Assemblyman taking nothing for granted on floor votes for his bills
the numbers @
sacbee.com
Four days after Assemblyman Al Muratsuchi saw a bill go down in an apparent act of political retaliation, the Torrance Democrat was working the Senate floor Thursday to guard against a repeat.

Legislation to strengthen mandated reporting by teachers makes gains
Theresa HarringtonContra @
mercurynews.com
Two bills by Assemblywoman Susan Bonilla approved by the Assembly Education Committee would provide more funding for Common Core implementation and requires teachers to sign statements about their mandated reporting obligation to report suspected child abuse to law enforcement or child protective services.

Video: FBI tried, failed to push Raymond 'Shrimp Boy' Chow to crimes, say lawyers
Jeremy B. White @
blogs.sacbee.com
Previewing their defense of Raymond "Shrimp Boy" Chow, attorneys for the accused on Thursday portrayed their client as an innocent man whom undercover law enforcement officers tried and failed to lure into illegal acts.

Delaware doctor gets 3 years in waterboarding case
Randall Chase @
mercurynews.com
A former Delaware pediatrician has been sentenced to three years in prison for waterboarding the daughter of his longtime companion by holding her head under a faucet.

Ap California State News Wire | Union Democrat | Sonora News, Sports, & Weather, Angels Camp, Twain Harte, Jamestown - Ap Nation / World
customwire.ap.org
>Union Democrat | Sonora News, Sports, & Weather, Angels Camp, Twain Harte, Jamestown

Kathleen Sebelius To Resign From Health And Human Services Post
Noam N. Levey and Christi Parsons @
latimes.com
Kathleen Sebelius resigns as Health and Human Services secretary after presiding over the rocky rollout of Obama's healthcare law.

State Senate postpones committee hearings, schedules ethics training for April 23
calnewsroom.com
The California State Senate will postpone all committee hearings scheduled for April 23 and in its place host an all-day ethics discussion and training session.

GOP-led House approves tough Paul Ryan budget, but debate continues
Lisa Mascaro @
latimes.com
WASHINGTON -- With little drama Thursday, House Republicans easily approved a largely symbolic budget proposal from Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), closing out a floor debate over spending priorities and opening a new front on the midterm campaign trail.

Photog’s Rude Shock: Al Qaeda Lifted His Sfo Tram Pic - Politics Blog
blog.sfgate.com
Ed McGowan, a photographer and director of a Southern California graphic design studio, found out his fabulous photo from San Francisco got worldwide attention this week -- thanks to al Qaeda. Turn...

Obama names Sylvia Burrell to take over healthcare law implementation
Christi Parsons and Michael A. Memoli @
latimes.com
to run the next phase of his signature domestic program.