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THE NOONER for April 9, 2014

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POLL POSITION: Field Poll

If the election were held today (likely voters)...

  • Jerry Brown (D): 57%
  • Tim Donnelly (R): 17%
  • Andrew Blount (R): 3%
  • Neel Kashkari (R): 2%
  • Others: 1%
  • Undecided: 20%

Jerry Brown's approval rating has hit a high at 59% approval, 32% disapproval, and 9% no opinion. Interesing that there is no gender gap, with Brown receiving 57% in the primary match-up from both men and women.

If strategically minded Republicans want to stop Tim Donnelly from making the November ballot, as many claim in my inbox, they are running out of time. The election is 55 days away, and mail-in balloting begins in 26 days. They need money fast, and it would involve tearing down Donnelly, as a positive message for Neel Kashkari isn't going to do it.

Will Brown best George Deukmejian's 60.54% in 1986? Earl Warren received 64.86% of the vote in 1950 and 91.64% in 1946 against a Prohibition Party candidate after winning the nomination of both the Republican and Democrat parties.

THE 562: Robert Garcia wins, Damon Dunn second as Long Beach mayor race goes to runoff [Eric Bradley @ LBPT] - "Vice Mayor Robert Garcia came out on top in the race for mayor Tuesday night and will face real estate investor and former NFL player Damon Dunn in a runoff election on June 3. In third was Assemblywoman Bonnie Lowenthal, who received 19.6 percent of the vote. The result is the first election loss for a Lowenthal since Rep. Alan Lowenthal won election to City Council in 1992."

With a whopping 14.2% turnout, here are the preliminary results in the mayoral:

  • Robert Garcia: 9,670 (25.4%)
  • Damon Dunn: 8,478 (22.3%)
  • Bonnie Lowenthal: 7,453 (19.6%)
  • Gerrie Schipske: 5,889 (15.5%)
  • Doug Otto: 5,186 (13.6%)
  • Jana Shields: 840 (2.2%)
  • Steven Mozena: 182 (0.5%)
  • Mineo Gonzalez: 150 (0.4%)
  • Eric Rock: 149 (0.4%)
  • Richard Camp: 90 (0.2%)

Here are all the results on the most annoying results page ever.

NUTS: Former Assemblymember Robert Pacheco and Mary Su were returned to the Walnut City Council.

CA33 (Coastal Los Angeles): Asian-American lawmakers face fallout from affirmative action debate [Josie Huang at SCPR] - Angry that [Ted] Lieu had pushed the Assembly speaker to stop the bill from advancing, six members of the Black and Latino caucuses wrote him in late March, rescinding their endorsements as they stated their commitment to diversity and inclusion. "He seemed to have changed one of his views," one of the legislators, Assembly member Anthony Rendon, D-Lakewood, told KPCC. "I felt it was my purview to pull my endorsement."

AD16 (Tri-Valley): Another $100,000 came into the independent expenditure committee for Tim Sbranti (D).

$$$: The LAO writes on its April daily revenue tracker page: "Total PIT (All Funds): $1.597 billion. Through the same time period of April 2013, the state had collected a net amount of $1.584 billion. Therefore, through this afternoon, April 2014 collections are 0.8 percent above April 2013 levels. As noted above, the administration’s forecast is for April 2014 collections to end 15.5 percent below those of April 2013. It is far too early to discern a trend for the month’s PIT collections. We will likely be able to do so around April 20."

The big days will be next week, when electronic filers that owe will have automatic withdrawals yanked from their bank accounts at the last possible moment and as a trail of checks arrive in the mail.

BEACHED: Yesterday, the Assembly Water, Parks, and Wildlife Committee considered Richard Bloom's bill to ban future breeding of orcas in the state. The packed hearing room had passionate testimony on both sides and the measure was shelved for "interim study." 

SeaWorld wisely brought lobbyist Scott Wetch onto its side last month as a subcontract from Montgomery Consulting, also hired in March in response to the legislation. 

Wetch, a former staffer for then-Senator Jack Scott, succeeded Art Carter in a lobbying firm that has both labor (primarily skilled trades) and big business. Wetch represents both electrical workers and Diageo, the global leader in booze. Wetch has deep Democratic connections, and the SeaWorld case came down to environmental values on one side and economics on the other. Despite the proclamation of committee chair Anthony Rendon's personal support for the bill, it was clear that an order came from somewhere to park the bill. 

Wetch came into committee with guns a-blazing. Moving beyond the pro-cons about the treatment of the animals, Wetch threatened many legal challenges to the bill and the movement of the whales to other states.

My bet is that Jerry Brown doesn't want the bill. He has plenty of animal friendly chits on his political resume, and there is no reason to sign a bill that is seen to be harmful to San Diego--California's swing metro and second largest city--this election year. And, in the Assembly Democratic Caucus, there are few members that are passionate about the issue. Democrats always have a problem of a liberal environmentally sound coalition (and big donors) and members who are representing people that just want a job. That's the challenge for Speaker Perez. 

In December, SeaWorld (and its president) gave $3,000 each to Jerry Brown's reelect and Speaker John A. Pérez's campaign for controller.

The bill will be back, and proponents remind us that most bills of this magnitude are rarely adopted on their first pass. But, they have Sea World's attention.

Speaking of hearings, yes, Senator Marty Block did reference The Nooner when presenting a motor voter bill in Senate Transportation and Housing yesterday.

#UNFRIEND: Irvine councilman Larry Agran's attempt to create a friendly city program with three cities was shelved over opposition to the inclusion of Vietnamese city Nha Trang.

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Gregory Flap Cole and Andy Katz!

 

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**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • Corporate & individual sponsorships are available for the 7th Annual Assembly Veteran of the Year Luncheon, scheduled for Wednesday, June 25th (Sacramento Convention Center). The event is co-sponsored by Assemblymembers Pérez, Quirk-Silva & Chávez. All Assemblymembers select a veteran to honor from their district. For more information contact: Pete Conaty, 916 492-0550, pconaty@sbcglobal.net.
  • April 22: Rock 'n Restaurants returns to the Crest Theatre on K Street. 5 PM hosted reception and 7 PM concert featuring Ivy Levan. This event closes out the California Restaurant Association's annual Lobby Day and benefits the CRA Issues PAC. RSVP required at jgoddard@calrest.org.
  • American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network. Associate Director of Media Advocacy Western Region. Sacramento. Oversee media advocacy efforts for American Cancer Society’s advocacy affiliate in 13-state region with primary responsibility for executing comprehensive media strategy in California. Minimum 7 years political journalism/communications experience. Min. salary: $73K. Info & application online: www.acscan.org/careers, Job ID: 15911.
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  • The fastest, most cost-effective way to learn the legislative process and effective advocacy. Veteran lobbyist Ray LeBov presents his introductory "Lobbying 101" and advanced "Lobbying 201" seminars April 15-16. $250 each. Essential for principals / support staff at lobbying firms, organizations that employ lobbyists, public agencies. Complete info / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009.
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TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
GOP Lawmakers, Neel Kashkari Slam Donnelly Immigration Remarks
Seema Mehta @
latimes.com
Republican legislative leaders and a rival GOP gubernatorial candidate Tuesday slammed newly discovered remarks by Assemblyman Tim Donnelly comparing illegal immigration to war and urging citizens to rise up and join him in patrolling the border.

Tim Donnelly Wants To Abolish CPS, Start Over From 'Ground Up'
David Siders @
blogs.sacbee.com
Republican gubernatorial candidate Tim Donnelly said Tuesday that he would abolish the state's Child Protective Services system and start over "from the ground up," saying social workers often remove children from their homes without sufficient reason.

Donnelly Doesn't Fear Fallout From 2006 Speech
Chris Megerian @
latimes.com
SACRAMENTO — Republican candidate for governor Tim Donnelly on Tuesday brushed off concerns that his 2006 speech comparing illegal immigration to war would hurt his chances of winning over Latino voters.

CalPERS Responds To Long-term Care Lawsuit
Jon Ortiz @
sacbee.com
CalPERS has asked a judge to throw out a lawsuit alleging that the fund and individual board members, among other things, failed to watch out for members’ best interests when the fund increased rates on long-term care insurance plans.

Hillary Clinton Ponders "Hard Questions" In Deciding On 2016
Carla Marinucci @
sfgate.com
Former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, even while joking that she was doing her best to "dance around" the question of a presidential bid, delivered unusually expansive comments Tuesday about the doubts that come into play as she decides whether to run in 2016.

Campaign Cash Run Amok? It's Worse In California
John Wildermuth @
blog.sfgate.com
Think last week’s McCutcheon v. Federal Election Commission decision, where the Supreme Court said rich guys could give to as many congressional campaigns as they like, is, to quote San Francisco’s own Nancy Pelosi, “a very existential threat” to our system of government? Cheer up. Things could be worse. It could be California.

Assembly Subcommittee Pledges To Fight For Career Technical Education
Michelle Maitre @
edsource.org
Raising alarm about the future of programs that help prepare students for jobs after high school, a key Assembly budget subcommittee signaled Tuesday it intends to fight to restore dedicated funding for career technical education programs that give students work experience.

Assembly District 74: Taxes, fire pits central to establishment vs. grassroots GOP fight
calnewsroom.com
In the 74th Assembly district, three Republicans and two long-shot Democrats are running to replace conservative GOP Assemblyman Allan Mansoor. OC Political dubbed AD-74 the "Land of Small Warchests"

Gov. Jerry Brown Says 'stimulating' Realignment Program Is Working
Melanie Mason @
latimes.com
SACRAMENTO -- Gov. Jerry Brown , citing his meetings with law enforcement officials across the state, said Tuesday that "realignment is working."

Leland Yee Pleads Not Guilty To Gun Trafficking, Corruption Charges
Howard Mintz @
contracostatimes.com
During a brief appearance in federal court here, the 65-year-old Yee, through his lawyer, entered the plea to an indictment that accuses him of accepting bribes in exchange for political favors and trying to arrange an international arms deal with an undercover FBI agent.

Jerry Brown’s public approval rating reaches new high, while Tim Donnelly tops GOP
David Siders @
sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown’s public approval rating has risen to a new high, as he pummels a crop of little-known Republicans in his bid for re-election, according to a new Field Poll.

Senate Republicans block Democrats' paycheck fairness bill
Lisa Mascaro @
latimes.com
WASHINGTON — With sought-after women voters at stake, Senate Republicans blocked election-year legislation Wednesday aimed at ensuring that female workers receive equal pay for doing the same work as men.

California Legislature Hears Package Of Anti-Poverty Bills
Max Pringle @
capradio.org
Democratic State Senator Holly Mitchell has authored a bill that would repeal the 20-year-old rule capping a mother’s state welfare grant even when she has another child. Mitchell says recent budget policies have given California a dubious distinction.

Jerry Brown’s Public Approval Rating Reaches New High, While Tim Donnelly Tops Gop
David Siders @
sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown’s approval rating stands at 57%, according to the latest Field Poll.

Gentrification transforming face of Oakland
Carolyn Jones @
sfgate.com
The movement of middle-class people into low-income neighborhoods is profoundly and rapidly reshaping the urban core of the Bay Area, from San Francisco's Mission District to the farthest reaches of East Oakland, according to a sweeping report released Tuesday.

Proposal For Fracking Moratorium Advances In State Senate
Patrick McGreevy @
latimes.com
A bill that would place a moratorium on the use of hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, in oil drilling in California was approved by a state Senate panel on Tuesday.

Senate Republicans Block Bill on Equal Pay
rss.nytimes.com
A Democratic-sponsored bill meant to close the pay gap between men and women failed in the Senate, as both parties seek to woo female voters in the coming mid-term elections.

Long Beach Medical Marijuana Tax Likely To Pass
JOSHUA STEWART @
ocregister.com
Early returns gave Measure A 76 percent in favor of levy.

Potential Evidence Against Lawmaker Remains Sealed - Abc News
ABC News @
abcnews.go.com