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THE NOONER for January 6, 2014

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DISTRICT UPDATES

  • CD12 (San Francisco): added real estate adviser Curtis Davies (R)
  • CD27 (Pasadena): added businessman Jack Orswell (R)
  • CD53 (San Diego): added retired military Larry Wilske (R)
  • SD14 (Kings): changed from Toss-Up to Leans Republican
  • SD14 (Kings): added Kings supervisor Richard Valle (D)
  • AD26 (Tulare): added Dept of Corrections employee Derek Thomas (D)
  • AD26 (Tulare): added Tulare councilmember Carlton Jones (D)
  • AD44 (Ventura): added Ventura Community College District trustee Bernardo Perez (D)

NOONER PAID SUBSCRIBERS can download a spreadsheet of all candidates, with district geography, analysis, and outlook.

 

Welcome back to the second year of the 2013 Legislative Session. Coming up this year, we have new leader elections in both houses, and 25 Assemblymembers and State Senators will have their seats filled as they are termed out. Sounds like a good time to become a paid subscriber to The Nooner! And, I encourage you to fill out The Nooner survey to tell me what you want me to focus on.

New feature for subscribers:

  • immediate e-mail update when a candidate is added to a district or a race analysis is updated 

WATER COOLER: Chargers easily beat the Cincinnati Bengals (27-10) and head to the Mile High City to face the Denver Broncos at 1:40 p.m. PST Sunday. The 49ers knocked out the Green Bay Packers with two seconds left on the clock with a field goal and now travel to Charlotte to face the Carolina Panthers at 10:05 a.m PST Sunday. If the Niners and Saints (facing Seattle) both win, Candlestick Park will come back to life for one last time on January 19. If you were watching the Niners, you missed #19 San Diego State beating #17 Kansas 61-57 on national television.

AB 1266: Following Sacramento Superior Court Judge Alan Sumner's ruling Thursday that the signatures submitted in favor of overturning AB 1266 in Mono and Tulare counties must be counted, the two counties submitted their validity report on Friday. Mono came in with 94.4% validity (17 signatures) and Tulare reported 3,872 estimated valid signatures (79.2%). 

With three days left to report (including today), the outstanding counties are Los Angeles, Nevada, San Bernardino, San Diego, and Trinity. They collectively have 273,084 raw signatures to sample and report. To proceed to a full count, these counties need to combine for 208,693 (76.4%) to achieve the 479,522 required. In the last two signature efforts, they have combined for a 73% validity rate. Obviously, the big kahuna is Los Angeles with nearly one-half of the outstanding signatures. My full update is below.

FAUCET DRY: California's first snowpack survey of the winter offers 'dismal' outlook for banking water supplies [Molly Peterson @ KPCC]

California Republicans cautiously dream of success this year [Rob Stutzman @ SacBee]

SIX CALIFORNIAS: Some Political and Constitutional Questions Raised by Tim Draper's "Six Californias" Plan to Split Up California [UCD Law Assoc. Dean Vik Amar @ Justia]

GOV: Yes, that was a $1.67 million late contribution report the governor filed on Saturday. [ElectionTrack]

AD04 (Napa-Yolo): Pension activists back Democrat in Yolo County Assembly race [Christopher Cadelago @ SacBee]

AD16 (Tri-Valley): Assembly battle heating up with campaign finance complaint [Lisa Vanderbrueggen @ CCTimes]

AD26 (Tulare): Tulare's Thomas joins race for assembly seat [Luis Hernandez @ Visalia Times-Delta]

LANDSCAPE: Pivotal 2014 election contests brewing in the Valley [John Ellis @ Fresno Bee]

HEY, BIG SPENDER:  Silicon Valley venture capitalist Tom Steyer lands on Politico's "wallets to watch in 2014" list.

AB 1266 REFERENDUM UPDATE: 

  • Number of counties reporting random sample: 53
  • Percent of sampled reported valid: 78.24% (270,824)
  • Signatures remaining to be sampled: 273,084 (Los Angeles, Nevada, San Bernardino, San Diego, Trinity)
  • Percent of remaining signatures needed to be valid to avoid failure: 76.4%
  • Average validity in two previous counts (health care rates and tribal referendum) in remaining counties: 73%
  • Random sample deadline: January 8, 2014  

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Krekorian leg deputy Daniel Lopez, Councilmember Kevin McCarty, and education advocate Dale Shimasaki

 

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TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
CalPERS Plans Rate Hike, Third In Last Two Years
Ed Mendel @
calpensions.com
To cover the cost of retirees living longer, the CalPERS board next month is expected to approve the third rate hike in the last two years, phasing in the increase to soften the blow on state and local governments.

State Lawmakers Return To Work For Election-Year Session
Don Thompson @
dailybulletin.com
California lawmakers are returning to the Capitol this week for a pivotal election-year session. Expect fights over billions of dollars in new tax revenue and leadership changes in both parties. Democrats will work to protect the supermajorities that give them command of state politics, as a federal corruption investigation hangs over one of their own in the Senate.

California Legislative Leaders Aim To Keep State Economy Improving
Marc Lifsher @
latimes.com
Assembly Speaker John A. Pérez and Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg hope to build on last year's legislative achievements.

Dan Walters Daily: Lawmakers also have an eye on internal elections in 2014
Alexei Koseff @
blogs.sacbee.com
With both Senate and Assembly leadership up for grabs, internal politics will play a big role in the Legislature this year, Dan says.

At Opening Gavel, State Has Budget Surplus
LAURA OLSON @
ocregister.com
California lawmakers are returning to session Monday after some positive news during the off-season: State revenues are looking good. Revenue collections, bolstered by Proposition 30’s sales and income tax hikes, are booming and are anticipated to show a surplus of more than $2.4 billion in June. That means this year’s budget battles will be over how to spend instead of where to cut.

Simi Valley Man's Marijuana Initiative Struggling
Rachel McGrath @
vcstar.com
The California Cannabis Hemp Initiative needs more than 500,000 valid signatures of registered voters by Feb. 24 to qualify for the November ballot.

Koch-Backed Political Network, Built To Shield Donors, Raised $400 Million In 2012 Elections
Matea Gold @
washingtonpost.com
The political network spearheaded by conservative billionaires Charles and David Koch has expanded into a far-reaching operation of unrivaled complexity, built around a maze of groups that cloaks its donors, according to an analysis of new tax returns and other documents.

Labor helps Jerry Brown raise $1.7 million in final week of 2013
David Siders @
blogs.sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown spent the final days of December posting one of his most profitable fundraising periods to date, collecting $1.7 million for his re-election campaign in the last week of the year, according to a campaign report filed over the weekend.

Lawmakers Sound Off About Unemployment Benefits
Richard A. Serrano @
latimes.com
As an election year starts, Democrats urge granting emergency unemployment benefits, and Republicans want to explore other options

Judge Allows Access To Emails About Arizona Immigration Law
Cindy Carcamo @
latimes.com
Opponents of Arizona's law against illegal immigration, SB 1070, may have access to legislators' emails about it, a judge rules.

Jerry Brown eyes cap-and-trade money for high-speed rail
David Siders @
sacbee.com
California Gov. Jerry Brown plans to propose spending millions of dollars in fees paid by carbon producers to aid the state’s controversial high-speed rail project.

Napolitano: UC Chief Eyes Tuition, Sports, Transfer Students
contracostatimes.com
Napolitano spoke in her office last month, cautiously answering questions about tuition, labor relations, community college transfers, Sacramento politics, Cal football's low graduation rate, and the protesters who dog her at public appearances to highlight the illegal immigrant deportations that took place during her time as the Homeland Security chief. The questions and answers that follow were edited for brevity and clarity.

The Roundup: Chico unions make concessions; obstacles to Reed’s pension proposal
Jon Ortiz @
sacbee.com
Want more? For stories of interest to state employees, check out the State Worker's constantly updated News & Views feed by clicking here.

Liz Cheney drops U.S. Senate bid, cites family health
Michael A. Memoli @
latimes.com
in her family, is ending her campaign for a U.S. Senate seat in Wyoming.

The Buzz: California Lawmakers Return To Fiscal Windfall, Drought – And The FBI
Jeremy B. White and Jim Miller @
sacbee.com
Pastor Rob McCoy preaches at the 9 a.m. service at the Calvary Chapel in Thousand Oaks on December 30, 2007.

Supreme Court puts Utah same-sex marriage on hold
mercurynews.com
The Supreme Court has put same-sex marriages on hold in Utah, at least while a federal appeals court more fully considers the issue.

Brazil's President Imports Cuban Doctors To Ease Shortage
Vincent Bevins @
latimes.com
There is praise for the Mais Medicos program, but some say Dilma Rousseff's effort to improve healthcare is overtly political.

The Buzz: California lawmakers return to fiscal windfall, drought – and the FBI
Jeremy B. White and Jim Miller @
sacbee.com
The champagne has been uncorked and imbibed, the calendars flipped and the soon-to-be-broken resolutions crafted: 2013 has passed into history. All of which means Sacramento is preparing for the 2014 legislative session. Things officially get started when legislators return to the state Capitol today.

40 Years At A Great Newspaper
George Skelton @
latimes.com
Technology has changed the way news is gathered and delivered, for better and worse, but some issues never change.

Hillary Clinton's Shadow Campaign
JOHN RIZZO @
politico.com
Early last summer in her Georgian-style home near Washington’s Embassy Row, Hillary Clinton met with a handful of aides for a detailed presentation on preparing for a 2016 presidential campaign.

State senator returns to work amid federal probe
utsandiego.com
An embattled state senator says he hopes to work with his fellow lawmakers despite an ongoing federal investigation and a bitter finger-pointing exchange with Senate leaders.

Is Development Finally Headed To Sacramento Railyard?
Tony Bizjak @
sacbee.com
Looking south on ongoing construction of a road leading to the Sixth Street bridge which connects to downtown and goes over railroad tracks at the downtown railyard site in Sacramento.

L.A. County Social Services Facing Lawsuit In Palmdale Child Abuse Case
Garrett Therolf @
latimes.com
The grandparents of alleged child abuse victim Gabriel Fernandez are suing several L.A. County agencies, accusing them of mishandling his case.