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THE NOONER for December 5, 2013

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DISTRICT UPDATES

  • GOV: added former Treasury Department official Neel Kashkari (R)

NOONER PAID SUBSCRIBERS can download a spreadsheet of all candidates, with district geography, analysis, and outlook.

 

POLL POSITION: 

PPIC is out with its statewide survey.

  • Most important issue: jobs, economy (44%); health care, health reform (11%), education, schools (7%); state budget, deficit, taxes (6%); immigration, illegal immigration (5%)
  • Jerry Brown job approval: 47% approve, 28% disapprove (+1% from January)
  • Legislature job approval: 38% approve, 43% disapprove (+2% from January)
  • Caliifornia generally: 45% right direction, 46% wrong direction (+8% from January)
  • CA economic conditions over next 6 months: 43% good times, 48% bad times (+8% from January)
  • Favorable/unfavorable:
    • Jerry Brown: 46%-40%
    • Tim Donnelly: 7%-8%
    • Abel Maldonado: 10%-19%
  • Top-two for Governor:
    • Jerry Brown: 46%
    • Tim Donnelly: 16%
    • Abel Maldonado: 7%
    • Someone else: 1%

Field is also out with polling results today, and finds Jerry Brown's approval rating at 58% with a disapproval of 33%, a 7% improvement since July and the highest of his Governorship 2.0.

  • Favorable/unfavorable:
    • Jerry Brown: 56%-37%
    • Tim Donnelly: 12%-8%
    • Abel Maldonado: 18%-20%
  • Top-two for Governor:
    • Jerry Brown: 52%
    • Abel Maldonado: 11%
    • Tim Donnelly: 9%
    • Neel Kashkari: 3%
    • Undecided: 25%

GOV: Neel Kashkari puts personal wealth at less than $5 million [David Siders @ SacBee] and Former bailout boss weighs run for Calif. governor [AP]

Although I've been following Neel Kashkari for months, the increased activity by him and his PR shop the last week leads me to add him as a probably candidate. There has been some discussion of the former Treasury Repartment official running as an independent, but I'm listing him as a Republican per his current party registration.

CON: Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom endorsed John Perez for State Controller.

ECONOMY: California's economy continues uneven recovery, UCLA says [Shan Li and Andrew Khouri] - "UCLA economists said in their quarterly forecast that coastal counties stretching from Marin to San Diego have enjoyed employment gains that outpaced the U.S. In contrast, inland areas such as the San Joaquin Valley and the East Bay are showing little or even negative growth."

UNEVEN: New report says poverty on the rise throughout Southern California [Kevin Smith @ SBSun] - "Poverty is ramping up in Southern California and has risen significantly over the last two decades, according to a report from the Southern California Association of Governments."

MICRA: Bob Pack, the father who lost two children, and who is the leading proponent initiative for physician substance testing and increases in the MICRA caps is calling on legislators to sign the petition.

HAPPY HOLIDAYS: The political action committee for the California Association of Realtors this week put $500,000 in the California Democratic Party's stocking. 

TRIVIA: No, 26-year-old Sebastian Mark Ridley-Thomas is neither the youngest person to be elected to the Assembly nor has the longest name, although close. William F. Knowland was the youngest at age 24 in 1932, and Reginald Byron Jones-Sawyer, Jr. continues with the longest name. [h/t Alex Vassar]

PITCHING A SMALL TENT: GOP rep.: Deny money to gay candidates [Austin Wright and Jake Sherman @ Politico] - "Virginia Rep. Randy Forbes, a senior House Republican eyeing a powerful committee chairmanship, is causing friction with some of his colleagues by pushing the House GOP campaign arm to deny support for some of the party's gay congressional candidates. . . The issue is particularly acute because House Republicans have two promising openly gay candidates in 2014 vying for seats held by Democrats. Richard Tisei, who narrowly lost to Democratic Rep. John Tierney in 2012, is running again in northeastern Massachusetts. And in San Diego, Carl DeMaio, a former city councilman, is trying to knock off Democratic Rep. Scott Peters.

MY TWITTERS: @scottlay - "The second week of February has both the return of The Walking Dead and the release of the next 13 episodes of House of Cards."

. . . Netflix's War on Mass Culture: Binge-viewing was just the beginning. Netflix has a plan to rewire our entire culture [Tim Wu at TNR]

HEAT: Sriracha hot sauce factory in Irwindale raises banner: 'No Tear Gas Made Here'

AB 1266 REFERENDUM UPDATE:

  • Number of counties reporting random sample: 29
  • Percent of sampled reported valid: 76.52% (110,602)
  • Percent of signatures collected needed to be valid to qualify and avoid full count: 90.39%
  • Percent of signatures collected needed to be valid to to avoid failure without full count: 78.06%
  • Random sample deadline: January 8, 2014

#CAKEDAY: Happy birthday to Marc Aprea!

 

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**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • The California Psychological Association seeks a Grassroots/PAC Manager. This Sacramento-based position will work with the Director of Government Affairs to devise and implement grassroots program for member association, plan legislative events, and oversee day-to-day activity of the political action committee. Strong organizational, verbal/written, and interpersonal skills needed. Competitive salary and benefits. Please send resume to Amanda Levy, CPA's Director of Government Affairs, at alevy@cpapsych.org
  • California Association of Councils of Governments. "CALCOG," a nonprofit member benefit organization for regional public agencies (COGs, RTPAs, and MPOs), seeks full-time analyst with the right blend of subject matter expertise, communication savvy, political sensitivity, and administrative skill. The successful applicant will be self-directed and willing to work (at times) independently. We have a very small staff. We also welcome independent contractors or other contract proposals that can fill our need competitively. Salary (or contract) will depend on experience, but we are a small nonprofit; plan accordingly. Excellent writing skills are a must--and a sense of humor are appreciated. EOE. Please send a resume, acceptable salary (or contract) range, and an email transmittal that briefly introduces yourself to info@calcog.org.
  • California State University, Los Angeles is seeking an Associate Vice President for Communications and Public Affairs. This position will oversee strategic communications, media relations, marketing, branding, and coordinate events and publications that benefit the entire university. Competitive salary and benefits are available for a seasoned communications professional. Please visit our website at www.calstatela.edu/univ/hrm/openings.php under "Management Positions" to learn more about the position.
  • Political Collectibles Show & Sale in Sacramento
    Saturday, December 7, 2013 10 AM - 2 PM, Sierra 2 Center, 2791 24th Street, Sacramento
    Buy, sell, and trade campaign buttons, political posters, advertising pinbacks, and interesting types of pop culture memorabilia at Northern California's annual APIC gathering. Please bring patriotic and vintage WWII items for an exhibit honoring America's armed forces.  Dealer tables are available for $20; additional tables $10. Admission: $3 Contact Adam Gottlieb at gottlieb007@hotmail.com or (916) 956-2030.
  • Pacific McGeorge's Mike Belote Annual Endowed Capital Center Lecture Series presents "Protecting Individual Privacy in the Internet Age" Thursday Dec. 5 at 5 p.m. Sutter Club, 1220 9th Street. Free, Register at: go.mcgeorge.edu/privacy
  • Tulchin Research, a leading Democratic polling and strategic consulting firm based in downtown San Francisco, seeks an Analyst for a full-time exempt position. Tulchin Research provides consulting services to candidates for elected office, ballot measure campaigns, labor unions, non-profits, corporations, and foundations. More information on the Tulchin Research website, and interested candidates should send a cover letter and resume to isaac@tulchinresearch.com.

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Critics Blast Republicans' Tax-funded Mailers On Health-Care Law
Timm Herdt @
vcstar.com
GOP mailer directs recipients to a website established by the Assembly Republican Caucus, rather than to the CoveredCA.com website that facilitates the health insurance law in California.

California Lawmaker Seeks Investigation Of Republican Health Care Website
Jeremy B. White @
blogs.sacbee.com
Adding his voice to a rising chorus of criticism, a Democratic assemblyman called on Wednesday for a legislative investigation of a health care website created by California Republicans.

Christie Leads Other Possible GOP Presidential Candidates In California
Josh Richman @
insidebayarea.com
For now, the colorful New Jersey governor is leaving the others in the dust: 47 percent of California voters view him favorably, while 19 percent view him unfavorably and 34 percent have no opinion.

California Democrats Are Facing Risk Of Voter Turnoff
George Skelton @
latimes.com
Obama's falling approval ratings bode poorly for his party, whose voters may be so fed up they may not cast ballots next November.

Californians Divided On Health Care Reform
Jeremy B. White @
blogs.sacbee.com
Californians fracture along partisan lines when asked about federal health care reform, a new Public Policy Institute of California poll finds.

Assembly Speaker Shuffles Committee Assignments, Names New Chairs
Melanie Mason @
latimes.com
The budget subcommittee on health and human services also has a new chairwoman: Assemblywoman Shirley Weber, a Democrat from San Diego.

Live chat Q&A: What new pension ruling means for California
Jon Ortiz @
sacbee.com
The Sacramento Bee’s Dale Kasler and your humble blogger will co-host a live online chat to answer your questions about how recent court rulings on pensions may affect Californians and San Jose Mayor Chuck Reed’s proposed pension measure for the November 2014 ballot. Join us at 11:30 a.m. Friday, Dec. 6, on the Sacbee Live website to share your questions, comments and participate in live polling sping government retirement.

Kentucky governor sees promise for Democrats in healthcare law
Michael A. Memoli @
latimes.com
WASHINGTON -- For congressional Democrats worried about the toll Obamacare might take on their reelection chances next fall, Kentucky Gov. Steve Beshear delivered a surprising message.

Editorial: Assembly GOP sows health care confusion
the Editorial Board @
sacbee.com
Assembly Republicans should take down a website that serves only to confuse Californians about their options under the official Covered California online health exchange.

Michelle Rhee: More Mediocrity For American Education
Michelle Rhee @
ideas.time.com
Ms. Rhee was chancellor of the public school system in Washington, D.C., from 2007-2010, and founder of StudentsFirst, an education reform advocacy organization.

Jerry Brown holds huge lead in re-election poll
David Siders @
sacbee.com
California Gov. Jerry Brown’s public approval rating has surged to a new high, and he is the overwhelming early favorite to win re-election next year, according to a new Field Poll.

Feds Slow To Roll Out Spanish-language Health Care Website
kpbs.org
The federal government plans to quietly roll out the Spanish-language version of HealthCare.gov any day now.

The Buzz: Kashkari said he can’t afford to self-fund a 2014 campaign for governor
sacbee.com
Any Republicans hoping for someone with a Meg Whitman-sized checkbook to take on Gov. Jerry Brown next year won’t find their savior in Neel Kashkari, a former U.S. Treasury Department official who is laying the groundwork for a 2014 campaign.

Obamacare happy hour? Obama urges creativity in touting health law
Maeve Reston @
latimes.com
With the federal health insurance exchange now operating more smoothly for most users, President Obama assembled 160 youth leaders at the White House on Wednesday, enlisting them to help sign up their peers for health insurance — a crucial factor in whether his signature law will succeed.

Obama Urges On Young Activists As Healthcare.gov Enrollment Surges
washingtonpost.com
President Obama urged a group of young activists Wednesday not to give up on promoting his signature health-care law, as enrollment picked up on HealthCare.gov.

Pelosi Stresses The Importance Of Electing Women, Love Of Children At Politico Summit - Politics Blog
blog.sfgate.com
There are currently 20 women serving in the U.S. Senate and 78 in the House. Pelosi was the first female Speaker of the House.

Poll: Californians split on federal health reforms
utsandiego.com
Californians twice voted overwhelmingly for President Barack Obama, but they are split on his most important domestic policy achievement — health care reform.

A sign of the times
Jon Ortiz @
sacbee.com
Most beefs between law enforcement employers, unions and the rank-and-file fall into three areas: workplace safety, money and respect.

15-cent Increase In Federal Gas Tax Proposed
washingtonpost.com
With Congress facing a major shortfall in transportation funding next year, a House bill introduced Wednesday would raise the federal gasoline tax by 15 cents per gallon to close the gap.

Poll: 66% Of Uninsured Plan To Get Health Coverage
Victoria Colliver @
sfgate.com
Most Californians have at least heard about the state's new health insurance marketplace, and the majority of the uninsured who participated in a survey released Wednesday said they plan to get covered next year as required by the federal health law.

Union Declares Impasse In Contract Talks With L.A. County
Seema Mehta @
latimes.com
Contract negotiations between Los Angeles County and its largest public-employee union hit new lows, with the union declaring an impasse and county leaders preparing for a possible strike by social workers on Thursday. Hundreds of administrators in the county's Department of Children and Family Services are preparing to fill in for social workers in the event that as many as 4,000 strike on Thursday, said county spokesman David Sommers. Chief Executive Officer William T Fujioaka also sent a memo to all department heads reminding them about pay and discipline policies for employee strikes or sick outs.

Pelosi nixes budget deal without jobless benefits
utsandiego.com
The leader of House Democrats says her rank and file won't support any year-end budget deal unless it includes plans to extend expiring unemployment benefits for long-term victims of the recession.

California Gov. Jerry Brown leads in a landslide, Field Poll finds
Jessica Calefati @
mercurynews.com
If Jerry Brown runs for an unprecedented fourth term as governor of the Golden State, he would trounce all three likely Republican challengers in June's open primary, according to a new Field Poll.