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THE NOONER for October 16, 2013

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  • CD10 (Stanislaus): changed from Toss-Up to Leans Republican
  • AD54 (Culver City): removed Damien Goodman (D)
  • AD54 (Culver City): removed Erick Morales (D)

NOONER SUPPORTERS can download a spreadsheet of all candidates,
with district geography, analysis, and outlook.


DODGERS FAN TALKING POINT: @MLBStatoftheDay - "The @Cardinals have lost the #NLCS previous 2 times they’ve held 3-1 lead - 1996, 2012."

Speaking of the Twitterverse, the NYT Magazine excerpt from Nick Bilton's upcoming book on the behind the scenes drama leading to the 140-character platform is fascinating.

Meanwhile, we have federal campaign reports! Reports from each of the closly watched races follow the jump, but here are some initial thoughts:

  • CD09: Ami Bera turns in an impressive number of $456k, and ends with nearly $900k. Doug Ose antes in $250,000 of personal funds, listing as a contribution rather than a loan as most candidates do with self funds. He ends the quarter with $256k, below Elizabeth Emken's cash on hand of $337k. Emken turned in a quarterly number of only $63,395, and finds her cash on hand buoyed by $280k of loans. Igor Birman shows he's a serious conservative alternative with $162,521 in fundraising.
  • CD10: With $1.1 million on hand, Jeff Denham is well positioned for his re-election campaign who turned in an $80k number for cash on hand of $147k. This warrants moving the district back to Leans Republican.
  • CD15: At $279k, Eric Swalwell raised 7 times as much as Ellen Corbett, and, at $614k on hand, has 4 times the cash as Corbett.
  • CD17: Mike Honda picked up his fundraising by raising $393.5k, but still couldn't keep pace with Ro Khanna, who turned in a whopping $504,450. More importantly, Honda's total includes $110k in political action committee money, but Khanna's is all individual. That's huge, even with Honda's continues institutional and party advantage. Honda ends with $560k on hand to Khanna's $1.9m.
  • CD31: Pete Aguilar ($200k) and Eloise Reyes Gomez ($112k) outshine Joe Baca ($33k), while Gary Miller adds $297k to his cash on hand for a total of $840k.
  • CD36: Raul Ruiz raises $322k for cash on hand of $876k. Brian Nestande chose to announce his candidacy yesterday and will be able to claim that his $76k in fundraising in the quarter was "before I announced."
  • CD52: I can't find Scott Peters's report. Anyone

AD54: We have an official field in the December 3 race to succeed Holly Mitchell, who was recently elevated to the State Senate.

FILED: A coalition led by San Jose Mayor Chuck Reed filed an initiative with the AG yesterday to reform public pensions.  The Merc News's John Woolfolk writes "The proposed Pension Reform Act of 2014 would amend the California Constitution to give government agencies clear authority to negotiate changes to existing employees' pension or retiree healthcare benefits. The changes would apply "going-forward," allowing employees to keep the benefits they have earned to date but letting employers reduce what they'd earn for the remainder of their careers."

RATED: CalTax has released its ratings of legislators based on voting records in the 2013 legislative year.

CHARGED: Kristin Olsen's Husband Faces Misdemeanor Charge in Soccer Practice Incident [Erin Tracy @ ModBee] - "The husband of state Assemblywoman Kristin Olsen faces a misdemeanor charge related to the claimed mistreatment of a 4-year-old boy at a youth soccer practice during the summer, the District Attorney’s Office confirmed Monday. The child's mother said Rod Olsen grabbed her child so violently by the arm that he left bruises and caused the child to urinate in his pants. The incident is said to have occurred Aug. 12 during a Modesto Youth Soccer Association practice at Standiford Park on Tokay Avenue. The Bee is not identifying the mother to protect the identity of the little boy."

Kristin and Rod joined their common last names "Olsen" together in 1998 after meeting as legislative fellows.

#CAKEDAY: Light the candles for former Assemblymember Warren Furutani!

After the jump: a glimpse at the FEC filings for the most watched congressional races.



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  • CapitolTrack is hiring a full-time employee to work in our West Sacramento office. This position will provide technical support to current subscribers, conduct product demonstrations to potential clients, and manage data accuracy. Candidates must have strong presentation skills, be highly adaptable to working with new technology, and be very comfortable working in databases. More information at
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  • American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network. Federal Legislative Director. Sacramento. Manage relationships with CA congressional offices. Volunteer recruitment & training. Media work. Some fundraising. 5-7 years policy & political experience. Min. Salary: $83K. Info & application online:, Job ID: 14923.
  • Advocacy & Political Advertising with The LA Times: Veteran political advertising consultant with the LA Times specializes in running district-focused campaigns with flyers on top of the paper, stickers on top of the paper, and direct mail. According to voter files, 80% of LAT readers are "likely-to-vote" in local elections. Call or email Darius Derakshan at (213) 237-7499,
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First, the FEC filings are somewhat jacked up because of the government shutdown. Below is the cash raised and ending cash on hand for candidates in the most watched races. Cash on hand is not adjusted down for outstanding debt, as most debt at this stage is candidate debt, which is not required to be repaid.


CD09 (East Sacto)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
Ami Bera (i) $456,396 $898,748
Igor Birman $162,521 $138,720
Elizabeth Emken $63,395 $336,895
Doug Ose $488,150 $256,243


CD10 (Stanislaus)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
Jeff Denham (i) $269,125 $1,132,849
Michael Eggman $79,816 $147,146


CD15 (Hayward/Tri-Valley)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
Ellen Corbett $36,502 $143,417
Eric Swalwell (i) $279,428 $614,262


CD17 (Fremont-Milpitas)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
Mike Honda (i) $392,505 $559,746
Ro Khanna $504,450 $1,904,779


CD21 (Kings)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
David Valadao (i) $243,608 $584,841


CD26 (Ventura)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
Julia Brownley (i) $321,697 $678,792
Tony Strickland $101,475 $401,050
note: I still predict that Strickland will switch to CD25 upon a to-be-announced Buck McKeon retirement


CD31 (San Bernardino)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
Pete Aguilar $200,017 $437,726
Joe Baca $33,315 $38,482
Gary Miller (i) $297,749 $840,485
Eloise Reyes Gomez $111,815 $274,492


CD36 (Palm Desert)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
Brian Nestande $76,409 $150,585
Raul Ruiz (i) $322,082 $875,933


CD52 (San Diego)
CandidateRaised 7/1-9/30Cash on Hand
Carl DeMaio $328,373 $719,999
Scott Peters (i) $346,294 $805,767




Charles Munger Jr. Speaks On The Art Of Political Reform :: Fox&hounds
After being involved in a number of state proposition campaigns, Munger has concluded that any reform needs support from an army of people or someone who has a bully pulpit. He said Governor Schwarzenegger used the bully pulpit effectively in helping pass both redistricting and the top two primary.

New Law Increases Transfer Degrees Between Community College, CSU | Edsource Today
Louis Freedberg @
Community college students will have more opportunities to transfer into California State University with a degree that’s guaranteed to help them graduate faster under a controversial bill signed by Gov. Jerry Brown days before the deadline to take action on this session’s legislation.

Gov. Jerry Brown Moves Ahead With Second Private-prison Deal
Paige St. John @
SACRAMENTO -- Gov. Jerry Brown has signed another private prison deal to take inmates out of California's crowded prisons.

Statewide Pension Ballot Issue Pushed By San Jose Mayor, Others
John Woolfolk @
San Jose Mayor Chuck Reed and leaders of four other California cities struggling with soaring retirement costs announced Tuesday they will seek to get a pension reform initiative on the November 2014 state ballot.

Can California GOP Win By Losing?
Timm Herdt @
California’s political class has settled on the conventional wisdom about conservative Assemblyman Tim Donnelly’s campaign for the GOP nomination for governor.

Assemblyman Brian Nestande Launches House Campaign Challenge
Jean Merl @
“I have seen firsthand how overreaching government policies are hurting California families,” said Nestande during a news conference at his Palm Desert campaign headquarters. “This government shutdown is the perfect example of why Washington needs fresh voices and perspective to move our country forward.”

House may vote first on Senate government shutdown, debt-limit plan
Lisa Mascaro and Michael A. Memoli @
WASHINGTON -- Congressional leaders, seeking to speed a budget agreement to President Obama's desk, may adopt an unusual procedure in which the House will vote first on a compromise written in the Senate, officials said Wednesday.

High court thwarts Gov. Brown on prison crowding
The U.S. Supreme Court on Tuesday rejected Gov. Jerry Brown's challenge of an order forcing California to cut its prison population by nearly 10,000 inmates by the end of January to improve medical and mental health care. The high court's one-line dismissal - which said only that the court lacked jurisdiction to step in - leaves intact a three-judge federal panel's directive to the state to slash its population of 120,000 inmates in 33 prisons. The special three-judge panel has ordered the state to lower the prison population to 110,000 - or 137.5 percent of designed capacity - to ease overcrowding that caused inmate health care to violate the constitutional ban on cruel and unusual punishment. If the court refuses, newly signed legislation allows the state to cut the population by transferring prisoners to leased county jail cells and private prisons - most of them outside California - at a first-year cost of $315 million. The state argued in its Supreme Court filing that the three-judge panel had no legal authority to block out-of-state transfers or interfere with the state's implementation of its laws.

Reed Files Public Pension Ballot Proposal With California Ag
Jon Ortiz @
San Jose Mayor Chuck Reed filed papers Tuesday in the first step toward qualifying a public pension measure for a statewide vote in California, a move that drew instant criticism from public employee unions.

L.A. County Supervisors Express Concerns Over State Prison Ruling
Seema Mehta @
Los Angeles County officials were alarmed by Tuesday's decision by the U.S. Supreme Court not to hear Gov. Jerry Brown ’s appeal of court-ordered prison crowding caps, fearing that if the state is forced to release prisoners early, the county’s ability to monitor them would be strained and public safety would be jeopardized.

San Jose, Calif. Mayor Launches Pension Reform Initiative | Reuters
Jim Christie @

San Jose mayor files public pension initiative
Jon Ortiz @
In a move that portends a labor firestorm, San Jose Mayor Chuck Reed and four other city leaders filed papers on Tuesday aiming to put a public pension measure on the November 2014 statewide ballot.

Ac Transit Strike Likely Averted As Gov. Jerry Brown Asked To Step In
Mike Rosenberg and Matthias Gafni @
The East Bay bus line asked the governor for a 60-day cooling-off period that would begin with a week-long strike delay while Brown appoints a panel to investigate the talks, and then a judge would bar strikes for another two months. That process is considered routine.

Senate leaders put budget talks on hold as Boehner struggles in House
Michael A. Memoli and Brian Bennett @
WASHINGTON – Senate leaders abruptly put talks over a bipartisan budget plan on hold Tuesday to give embattled Speaker John A. Boehner an opportunity to put together a proposal that could pass the Republican-led House.

Christopher Cadelago @
A Sacramento area cancer survivor whose potential treatment has been delayed by the partial federal government shutdown joined other activists Tuesday afternoon to deliver more than 140,000 signatures urging a compromise to GOP Rep. Tom McClintock's district office in Granite Bay.

Government Shutdown: Boehner's Effort Collapses In House
Michael A. Memoli, Lisa Mascaro and Brian Bennett @
WASHINGTON — A frantic day of legislative maneuvering ended in futility Tuesday for Speaker John A. Boehner , as the most conservative members of the House refused to back his proposed compromise to end the standoff over the federal budget.

San Diego’s Weird Politics On Display Again
Dan Walters @
Dan Walters

BART, unions still talking - no strike Wednesday
Federal mediator George Cohen emerged from the Caltrans headquarters in Oakland at 10:20 p.m. to say "bargaining continues taking place," and that because of that, on behalf of both sides "and in support of public interests and all the riders of this area, there will be train service all day tomorrow." Union leaders and BART managers also refused to elaborate on details of the negotiations past promises of no strike on Wednesday. The scenario was similar to the one that played out early Tuesday morning when bargaining ground on past a midnight strike deadline that had been set by the unions. Both sides then kept at the table, exchanging proposals and being pressed by mediators, until 5:30 a.m. After a break, they were back at it early Tuesday afternoon to discuss work rules, safety issues and a compensation and benefits package. Union officials declined to say whether they were still contemplating a walkout in the future and, despite some reports to the contrary, have not set a strike deadline. 'Final offer' still in playBART spokeswoman Alicia Trost said the parties are negotiating over a deal that fits within the $57 million, four-year "last, best and final offer" that BART issued to its unions Sunday. BART officials have said the offer included a 12 percent raise over four years and provisions that would have employees paying a 4 percent pension contribution and a 9.5 percent increase in their health insurance contribution. An earlier 4 1/2-day strike in July turned the normally slow summer commute into a frustrating crawl, and if BART employees walk out during the current non-vacation season, the effect will be worse.

New Immigration Law In California Gives Aspiring Attorneys Hope
Cindy Chang @
Legal trainees who are in the U.S. illegally are heartened by a new California law that allows people like them to become lawyers.

Ap California State News Wire | Union Democrat | Sonora News, Sports, & Weather, Angels Camp, Twain Harte, Jamestown - Ap Nation / World
>Union Democrat | Sonora News, Sports, & Weather, Angels Camp, Twain Harte, Jamestown

California Poised To Adopt First-in-nation Energy Storage Mandate
Dana Hull @
On Thursday, the California Public Utilities Commission is expected to vote on a groundbreaking proposal that would require PG&E, Southern California Edison and San Diego Gas & Electric to collectively buy more than 1.3 gigawatts of energy storage by 2020 -- roughly enough electricity to supply nearly 994,000 homes.

Activists urge Tom McClintock to vote to open U.S. government
Christopher Cadelago @
A Sacramento area cancer survivor whose potential treatment was delayed by the partial federal government shutdown joined other activists Tuesday to deliver more than 140,000 petition signatures urging a compromise to Rep. Tom McClintock’s district office in Granite Bay.

Willie Brown Representing New Cardroom Group
Laurel Rosenhall @
Former Assembly Speaker Willie Brown has a new gig. He recently signed a one-year contract to represent an association of cardrooms, said the group's executive director Jarhett Blonien.