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THE NOONER for October 4, 2013

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  • CD31 (San Bernardino): moved from Toss-up to Leans Democratic
  • AD04 (Lake/Napa/Yolo): removed Lake supervisor Anthony Farrington (D)

NOONER SUBSCRIBERS can download a spreadsheet of all candidates,
with district geography, analysis, and outlook.


GOV: CA GOPer Abel Maldonado reboots 2014 governor’s campaign, announces new team [Carla Marinucci @ SFChron]

Jon Fleischman's response: "It's like watching your friends board the Titanic in slow motion."

$$$: Shutdown Squeezes American Economy [Julian Pecquet @ The Hill] - "Keeping 800,000 federal workers at home is costing some $300 million a day in lost productivity, according to the consulting firm IHS Global Insight."

IMPACT: The Politics of the Shutdown [Kyle Kondik @ Sabato's Crystal Ball]

As we've shown recently — and as Prof. Arrington’s piece indicates — Democrats are going to have to really dominate the House generic ballot, and Election Day national House vote margin, to have a real chance at taking back the House.

However, if Republicans do open the door to the Democrats in the House, it's not going to be the "Ted Cruz Republicans" who will pay the price. Rather, it's the House Republicans in marginal districts who could see their ranks decimated, just like the House Democratic moderates whose anti-Obamacare votes couldn’t save them in 2010.

So let's keep tabs on how members vote in the pivotal roll calls ahead, but let's also remember that if the field tips one way or the other, those votes might not mean all that much.

CASUALTY: With no monthly jobs report because of the shutdown, Twitter was eerily quiet at 5:30 this morning.

KUDOS: Californians giving up their pay like the employees they have forced to stay home (according to WaPo):

  • Barbara Boxer
  • Dianne Feinstein
  • Ami Bera
  • Julia Brownley
  • Ken Calvert
  • Jim Costa
  • Darrell Issa (already donates entire salary to charity)
  • Scott Peters (donating to charity)
  • Ed Royce
  • Eric Swalwell

I am not listing those saying they are putting their salary in "escrow" (Kevin McCarthy) unless they pass legislation that pays rank-and-file federal employees for the period of the shutdown.

Now, I've never been a fan of tying votes to salaries and don't believe we should tip the scales even further toward the wealthy in who can serve in office.

The difference, however, from the debate about doing that in California and the Washington shutdown is that rank-and-file state employees weren't sent home during the state budget impasses. They didn't have to worry about their next mortgage payment and those affected (Capitol employees) were provided interest free loans by the Golden 1 credit union.

For members of Congress to accept salaries while the single mom who works as a secretary in a government agency is left high-and-dry is simply wrong. Either don't accept salaries, or support a bill that pays back these furloughed employees.

For six couples, dreams of a Yosemite wedding vanish in government shutdown [Carmen George @ Fresno Bee]

"Delaware North normally employs about 1,450 [Yosemite] park employees, but the majority of the work force was left without work to do as a result of the shutdown." Remember, all of these are on top of the 800,000 furloughed employees.

RIZZO: Ex-Bell official: No contest in corruption case [Linda Deutsch @ AP]

TWTR: Remember when Twitter first was unveiled and everyone said "What the heck would you use this for?" Yup, that TWTR.

DIVIDED: The Athletics Party and the Dodgers Party [Joe Mathews @ Fox and Hounds]

#CAKEDAY: Light those candles for Assemblymember Joan Buchanan!




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  • AB 214 by Assemblymember Nancy Skinner (D-Berkeley) – Voting: state of emergency.
  • AB 513 by Assemblymember Jim L. Frazier (D-Oakley) – Tire recycling program: rubberized asphalt.
  • AB 529 by Assemblymember Bonnie Lowenthal (D-Long Beach) – Vehicles: motor carriers: inspections and fees.
  • AB 530 by Assemblymember Sharon Quirk-Silva (D-Fullerton) – Vote by mail ballots: telephone applications.
  • AB 593 by Assemblymember Bill Quirk (D-Hayward) – Alcoholic beverages: Department of Alcoholic Beverage Control.
  • AB 664 by Assemblymember Das G. Williams (D-Santa Barbara) – Gold Coast Transit District.
  • AB 721 by Assemblymember Steven Bradford (D-Gardena) – Controlled substances: transporting with intent to sell.
  • AB 826 by Assemblymember Reginald Jones-Sawyer (D-South Los Angeles) – State property: surplus.
  • AB 1186 by Assemblymember Susan Bonilla (D-Concord) – State Athletic Commission.
  • AB 1299 by Assemblymember Steven Bradford (D-Gardena) – Telecommunications: universal service programs: California Advanced Services Fund.
  • AB 1398 by the Committee on Natural Resources – Solid waste: recycling: enforcement agencies.
  • AB 1403 by the Committee on Judiciary – Family law.
  • AB 1419 by the Committee on Elections and Redistricting - Presidential general elections: party qualifications.
  • SB 155 by Senator Alex Padilla (D-Pacoima) – Vehicles: motor vehicle manufacturers and distributors.
  • SB 211 by Senator Ed Hernandez (D-West Covina) – Tax administration: disclosure of information: Franchise Tax Board and cities.
  • SB 279 by Senator Loni Hancock (D-Berkeley) – San Francisco Bay Restoration Authority.
  • SB 304 by Senator Ted W. Lieu (D-Torrance) – Healing arts: boards.
  • SB 305 by Senator Ted W. Lieu (D-Torrance) – Healing arts: boards.
  • SB 328 by Senator Stephen T. Knight (R-Palmdale) – Counties: public works contracts.
  • SB 463 by Senator Fran Pavley (D-Agoura Hills) – Sentencing.
  • SB 485 by Senator Ronald S. Calderon (D-Montebello) – Weighmasters: junk dealers and recyclers.
  • SB 558 by Senator Ted W. Lieu (D-Torrance) – Reporters' shield law.
  • SB 591 by Senator Anthony J. Cannella (R-Ceres) – Renewable energy resources: local publicly owned electric utility: hydroelectric generation facility.
  • SB 609 by Senator Lois Wolk (D-Davis) – Office of the State Long-Term Care Ombudsman.
  • SB 740 by Senator Alex Padilla (D-Pacoima) – Telecommunications: universal service programs: California Advanced Services Fund.
  • SB 788 by the Committee on Transportation and Housing – Transportation.


  • AB 841 by Assemblymember Norma J. Torres (D-Pomona) – Junk dealers and recyclers: nonferrous materials: payment. [VETO MESSAGE]
  • AB 909 by Assemblymember Adam Gray (D-Merced) – Metal theft and related recycling crimes. [VETO MESSAGE]


What Happens When The Prop 30 Taxes End? :: Fox&hounds
Proposition 30 passed by voters last November increased sales and income taxes temporarily. The quarter-cent sales tax portion is scheduled to expire in 2016, the income tax piece runs through 2018.

Capitol Hill Shooting Takes Place Only Feet From Boxer's Office
Curtis Tate @
Sen. Barbara Boxer's Washington office in the Hart Senate Office Building is only feet from the intersection of Constitution Avenue and Second Street Northeast on Capitol Hill, a quiet corner this week with the federal government partly shut down.

New Law Requires Notice Before Seizing Media Phone Records
Bob Egelko @
A new California law should prevent police from seizing journalists’ phone records without warning, as the Obama administration’s Justice Department did to the Associated Press last year.

Two California School Bills Show Teacher Union Power
Dan Walters @
[Susan Bonilla and Joan Buchanan] appear to be already vying for support from the education establishment, especially the California Teachers Association, which may explain, at least partially, why both moved highly controversial, CTA-backed bills through the Legislature this year and onto Gov. Jerry Brown’s desk.

Jerry Brown Signs Bill Giving Driver's Licenses To Undocumented Immigrants
David Siders @
Gov. Jerry Brown signed legislation Thursday granting driver's licenses to undocumented immigrants, reversing his position on an issue legislative Democrats have pressed for years.

New Multi-state Group Pushes Campaign Disclosure
Chris Megerian @
SACRAMENTO -- California's top campaign finance watchdog announced Thursday a collaboration among multiple states to share information on enforcing disclosure rules.

Mailer: 'Thank you, Assembly Speaker.' But for what?
Christopher Cadelago @
A contemplative Assembly Speaker John A. Pérez gazes into the distance as an excerpt on the same page declares his legislation to expand coverage for the poor the best path to health care reform in California.

Shots Fired At Capitol After Chase From White House
A car chase that began when a driver struck a White House security barrier ended across downtown Washington, when police shot and killed the driver on a street near the U.S. Capitol, police said.

Gov. Jerry Brown Signs Law Allowing Illegal Immigrants To Drive Legally
Jessica Calefati @
Brown initially opposed making driver's licenses available to people in the country illegally but later reversed his position when comprehensive immigration reform legislation stalled over the summer in the U.S. House of Representatives after passing the Senate.

Amid shift in public opinion and political will, undocumented immigrants win access to driver’s licenses in California
David Siders @
Gov. Jerry Brown signed legislation Thursday granting driver’s licenses to undocumented immigrants, marking a dramatic shift in public opinion – and Brown’s own view – of a measure that chafed the state’s last Democratic governor and remained impassable for another decade.

Advocates Urge Gov. Jerry Brown To Veto Gun Bills
Christopher Cadelago @
With Gov. Jerry Brown days away from deciding the fate of a stack of gun bills, Second Amendment advocates today delivered to the governor's office about 67,000 signed letters imploring him to veto the 14 prospective laws.

Groups That Pressured GOP On Defund Effort Shift Focus Onto Democrats
Matea Gold, @
Advocacy groups that have pressured congressional Republicans to demand that a new budget measure defunds Obamacare are now turning their sights to Democrats, seeking to pin the blame on them for the government shutdown.

Wild Car Chase Ends With Suspect Shot To Death Near U.S. Capitol -

Handicapping the Texas governor race with Wendy Davis in it
Mark Z. Barabak @
Robert Draper has written some of the best long-form political journalism of recent years. And he knows his Texas, having gone to high school in Houston and college in Austin, at the state’s flagship university. He’s also written for a number of Texas publications, including Texas Monthly magazine, where he offers a smart take on Wendy Davis’ just-announced campaign for governor.

California Says All Delayed Unemployment Payments Processed
Ricardo Lopez @
The California Employment Development Department said late Wednesday all backlogged unemployment benefits had been processed.

Bart Strike Looming Next Week, Slight Progress Finally Reported
Mike Rosenberg @
The unions late Wednesday submitted their second proposal of the week -- and their third offer of the ongoing 60-day cooling-off period -- while BART management on Thursday afternoon was preparing its first counter-offer in months.

Government Shutdown Puts Squeeze On Republican Moderates
Joseph Tanfani @
Moderate GOP lawmakers from Pennsylvania and New Jersey say it's time to stop fighting President Obama's healthcare law.

Robert C. Stebbins, UC Berkeley biologist, dies
Throughout his life Dr. Stebbins expressed a unique passion for the natural world through his reports on the evolution of the animals he studied, through his popular nature books and wildlife paintings, and through his persistent advocacy for preserving the natural environment. A longtime professor of zoology at UC Berkeley and curator at its Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, he was the author of "Connecting With Nature: A Naturalist's Perspective" and of the best-selling Field Guide to Western Reptiles and Amphibians. During one university expedition to the Galapagos Islands in 1964, for example, he spent many nights tracking tropidurus lava lizards to study their curious "third eye," the light-sensitive pineal gland atop their heads. [...] when the groups met again, Stebbins discovered that the populations were no longer able to mate with each other. Made filmsIn his later years, Dr. Stebbins made two educational films about conservation and nature study with the Sierra Club and wrote several science books for elementary school students.

Gun advocates deliver veto letters to governor
Christopher Cadelago @
With Gov. Jerry Brown days away from deciding the fate of a stack of gun bills, Second Amendment advocates delivered to the Governor’s Office about 67,000 signed letters Thursday imploring him to veto the 14 prospective laws.

Some Senate offices escape furloughs
Reid J. Epstein @
Some Senate offices escape shutdown furloughs

Treasury Warns Default Could Cause Worse Financial Crisis Than 2008
Jim Puzzanghera @
A federal government default caused by a failure to raise the debt limit could trigger a worse financial crisis than in 2008, the Treasury Department says.

Undocumented immigrants win access to driver's licenses in California
David Siders @
Gov. Jerry Brown signed legislation Thursday granting driver's licenses to undocumented immigrants, marking a dramatic shift in public opinion -- and Brown's own view -- of a measure that chafed the state's last Democratic governor and remained impassable for another decade.