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THE NOONER for August 7, 2013

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DISTRICT CHANGES
  • AD74 (Newport): added Assemblymember Allan Mansoor

NOONER SUBSCRIBERS can download a spreadsheet of all candidates,
with district geography, analysis, and outlook.

 

GUTSY MOVE

In Monday's Nooner, I noted that Matt Dababneh captured the California Democratic Party's endorsement for the special election to fill Bob Blumenfield's AD45. The endorsement was won in an Assembly district caucus meeting held among party activists on Saturday. The endorsement caught many observers by surprise given the requirement to earn 60% of caucus votes, and the fact that there are seven Democrats running, including four "top tier" that have split endorsements of elected officials.

Damian Carroll had previously captured the endorsement of the Democratic Party of the San Fernando Valley, a chartered club but not part of the structure of the California Democratic Party State Central Committee (DSCC), which has oversight over endorsements.

Those eligible to vote Saturday were members of the DSCC residing in the 45th Assembly District. Members of the DSCC include local county central committee members, state central committee members elected in area caucuses, and state and federal elected officials or their appointees residing in the district. As we have seen in many of the special elections, legislators from around the state temporarily appointed local Democrats loyal to their preferred candidate to boost the votes. In other words, an Assemblymember in San Francisco can appoint a delegate to the state central committee from AD45, even if just for the weekend.

On Friday, it appeared that there was a field of 142 voters for Saturday's caucus. It was also clear that Dababneh had a plurality of votes. However, Carroll and fellow Democrat Andra Hoffman had enough (57 combined) to deny Dababneh the endorsement, dropping his support to 54% of caucus-goers. Most of the voting is done by ballots signed by eligible voters and gathered by the campaigns, so the count was pretty well known.

Late Friday, Hoffman's camp decided to make a gutsy move--it decided to walk precincts on Saturday, skipping the caucus and not turning in the 33 votes for her, thus handing the endorsement to Dababneh.

Speculation was rampant through the weekend that the move indicated that she was dropping out of the race. However, Hoffman's consultant Larry Levine went with a gutsy/crazy/risky move to create confusion, keeping Carroll from claiming that he had the only Democratic Party endorsement.

As someone said, "You walk into a gunfight with a knife. First thing you do? Get a gun and give it to one of the other guys. Now they've both got guns and will shoot each other."

Oh, and the other fun thing about this race is that there is lots of animosity from Berman-Sherman still floating around. Dababneh is the district director for Sherman.

DISCLOSURE: Andra Hoffman is a faculty member at Glendale College and, as I have for similar Democrat and Republican candidates, I have contributed to her campaign.

UP THE ANTE: The California Hospital Association is depositing $2.5 million into Patients and Providers to Protect Access and Contain Health Costs -- the committee to protect MICRA, which is on top of the $5 million last week by the California Medical Association.

CARVILLE-GREENBERG: Why Seniors Are Turning Against The GOP

WHAT WILL ALLAN DO? As you see above, I've returned Allan Mansoor as a probable candidate in AD74. But, I really can't tell what he is going to do. The previous thought was that he would run for the OC supervisor seat being vacated by John Moorlach. However, he only raised $8,400 for that campaign and, while he can transfer money from his Assembly account, he only has $20,993 on hand in that account as of June 30. Meanwhile, supervisor candidate and termed-out BOE member Michelle Park Steel has $552,030 on hand, which may be enough to keep Mansoor out of the race. But, is he planning on returning to the Assembly?

AMERICA'S FINEST MAYOR: Two more women come forward, say San Diego mayor harassed them (with voice mail message...)

Frosh Assemblymember Lorena Gonzalez tweeted "Just when you think it can't get any worse... Please, Mayor Filner resign, then stay in rehab forever. You need it." 

@RachelLaing - "SD media: I'm now your official contact on the Filner recall. I'm sending my info to your outlets now, for those who don't have it."

Finally, NBC anchor Brian Williams Busts a Move, while Steven Colbert dances to Daft Punk.

 

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**NOONER CLASSIFIEDS**

  • The Leadership California Institute presents "Hacks and PACs: 2014 Election Preview" analyzing the hottest legislative races next cycle with Scott Lay, Paul Mitchell, and a panel of experts including Jon Fleischman, Steve Maviglio, Kathy Bowler, and others coming up Thursday, August 15. JUST ADDED: "SD 16 Special Election Post-Mortem: What Went Right And What Went Wrong." Don't miss our political experts reviewing data and results on the special election and what it means for next year’s election cycle. Individual tickets and sponsorship opportunities available leadershipcaliforniainstitute.org/CandidateSeries2014
  • SEIU United Healthcare Workers-West Political Coordinator (Sacramento or Oakland). 150,000 member California healthcare union seeks strategic, progressive, motivated leader, 5-10 yrs. political/union experience. Excellent benefits, career ladder. Salary $76k-$99k. Resume, letter, references: recruiter@seiu-uhw.org
  • Learn to lobby more effectively. Veteran lobbyist Ray LeBov offers his introductory "Legislative Process / Lobbying 101" and advanced “Lobbying 201” seminars August 22-23. $250 each. Valuable for principals and support staff at lobbying firms, organizations that employ lobbyists, public agencies, membership associations. Info / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916 442 5009.
  • The UFCW Western States Council seeks a full-time government relations director. The UFCW represents over 160,000 workers in California, primarily employed in retail and food trades. For more information please visit www.ufcwwest.org/2013/07/government-relations-director/.
  • Capitol Network's 2013 grant application process is now open. Applications from qualified organizations will be considered for grants of up to $5,000. Four to six grants are awarded each year. Over a quarter of a million dollars have been awarded to California charities providing services to women and children in need. Applications and details at www.capitol-network.org. Or contact Keri Bailey, kbailey@cagrocers.com, or Kara Bush, kbush@calrest.org.

 

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