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THE NOONER for May 23, 2013

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DISTRICT CHANGES [all candidates in spreadsheet (paid subscribers only)]

  • SD14 (Fresno/Bakersfield): Changed to Toss-up (From Leans Democrat)
  • AD52 special (Chino/Pomona/Ontario): Added Pomona planning commissioner Kenny Coble
  • AD54 special (Culver City): Added Joey Hill, chief of staff to Reggie Jones-Sawyer
  • AD54 special (Culver City): Added Sebastian Ridley-Thomas, consultant to office of Senator Curren Price

 

After the jump - the top 25 Capitol twitter accounts!

 

THE NEXT GAME? WWWD?

Now that the Los Angeles mayoral election is over, the big question is "What Will Wendy Do?" If you read Wendy Greuel's concession speech, it's clear she's still looking at local government and ready to "move on to the next game."

"So I am determined to continue fighting everyday for the values that were the hallmark of my campaign - to make Local Government work for all of Los Angeles, to cut waste and increase efficiency, and above all, to keep our streets and neighborhoods safe . . . But as Magic knows, sometimes those last second shots don't go in. But you don't cry about it. You pick yourself up and move on to the next game, determined to do your best for what you believe in - because that's the true measure of success."

The post-mortem speculation immediately focuses on Zev Yaroslavsky's third supervisorial district, which is up next year. As I wrote in January about why Hilda Solis would be interested in moving from cabinet secretary to supe, it's one of the better elected offices throughout California. Higher compensation than statewides, longer term limits, less public scrutiny, and a big budget (which, incidentally, is much healthier than Los Angeles's muni budget). 

But, Sheila Kuehl, a liberal champion running, is already running, right? 

True, Sheila is running, but it may also be true that labor, which spent big for Wendy Greuel, would like to parlay that investment in someone more solidly in its camp than Sheila, and Wendy is that candidate.

From many in labor's perspective, they are on the short end of a 3-2 majority with the current board. Only Zev Yaroslovsky and Mark Ridley-Thomas are regular, reliable votes on budget issues that labor considers most important. Gloria Molina, Don Knabe, and Michael Antonovich vote more conservatively, particularly on fiscal issues. 

With Molina likely to be replaced by solid labor vote Hilda Solis next year (picking up one vote), labor might want to fight hard to replace Zev's reliable vote with one equally consistent to be on the winning end of a 3-2 majority. While Kuehl is a champion on environmental and other social justice issues, she was never a top labor candidate, partially because of continued longstanding tensions between the environmental and labor movements. 

If it comes to fruition, it would be a huge battle, and perhaps even more divisive in Democratic circles than Garcetti-Greuel.

THE READERS ALWAYS WRITE: A reader from inside the building yesterday asked what the odds are for Democrats to have two-thirds in both houses during the critical final weeks of session. The answer is that it's possible, but unlikely.

Democrats currently have 53 votes, which will climb to 54 next week when Lorena Gonzalez is sworn in to AD80. They will have the 54 votes until July 1, when Bob Blumenfield will resign AD45 to take his Los Angeles city council seat. This will last until July 23, when the AD52 (Norma Torres) vacancy election occurs. Of course most of this time will be during the summer recess, which is July 4-August 4 in the Assembly, and July 13-August 11 in the Senate. (Side note: has anyone figured out why the media and third house gets screwed by not having the summer breaks in sync?)

So, the question of whether Assembly Democrats will have two-thirds of the Assembly will be decided in AD52 on July 23, and it's unlikely. There are already four Democrats in the race--Pomona Councilmember Freddie Rodriguez, Pomona USD trustee Jason Rothman, former Torres district director Manuel Saucedo, and former Pomona councilmember Danielle Soto (whose grandmother is the late Nell Soto)--it is hard to see a path to break 50% in special primary. Republican Kenny Coble, who ran for AD52 last year and in the SD32 special primary, is also in the race.

Ontario mayor Paul Leon, who lost to Norma Torres in the SD32 race, also is eyeing the race. While this is a safe Democratic seat, he is being encouraged to run to make sure that the race goes to runoff, thus depriving Democrats of having that 54th Assembly vote for the end of session, which is September 13. The runoff is scheduled for September 24.

BEHIND THE PAYWALL: While I'm now paying for five paywalls, Bakersfield Californian is not one of them. However, the headline on a story about Michael Rubio--"Mark Martinez: Kern's 'Manchurian Candidate' cost Democrats 3 seats"--makes it tempting.

SANDY EGGO: I missed Tuesday's Council District 6 runoff election, in which Myrtle Cole outpolled Dwayne Crenshaw 53.46%-46.64%.

DEPARTMENT OF CORRECTIONS: I was a bit rushed early morning yesterday, with a 7:30 meeting.

  • SD08 is Leland Yee's, not Fiona Ma's. I jokingly refer to it as Fiona's, as it was yanked out from under her and given to the foothills in redistricting. In the end, all things worked out, as she has a pretty clear path to Board of Equalization.
  • Ron Galperin replaces Wendy Greuel as Los Angeles controller.
  • Yes, my Assembly count was off yesterday by one. Math, the justification for law school.

 

**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • Sublease or small office sought. The Community College League of California, which recently consolidated to its midtown headquarters, is seeking a small shared or solo office space near the Capitol. Contact Scott Lay at scott@scottlay.com or, well, reply to this message!

  • Deering's California Codes, with 2012 supplements, for sale. 21 of 29 sections available. Excludes Corporations, Family, Public Contract, Public Utilities, Streets & Highways, Evidence, Harbors & Navigation, and Military & Veterans Code. Asking $400 OBO for the set (Lexis sells them for $4300). Contact Len with the Friends of the Sacramento Public Library at FSPL@att.net or 916-731-8493.
  • Learn to lobby more effectively. Veteran lobbyist Ray LeBov offers his introductory "Legislative Process / Lobbying 101" and advanced "Lobbying 201" seminars June 6-7. $250 each. Valuable for principals and support staff at lobbying firms, organizations that employ lobbyists, public agencies, membership associations. Info / registration: www.capitolseminars.net or 916-442-5009.
  • Civil Litigation Manuals and Civil Procedure Classes for San Diego, Orange, and Los Angeles counties. For more information, visit www.alexanderslegal.com.

 

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A reader compiled this awesome list of the top Twitter accounts associated with electeds, consultants, media, and other folks actively tweeting California politics and policy. We'll update this on occasion.

The full list of all handles with more than 1,000 followers can be found here. My account @scottlay is at 53 with 1,789 followers, and sandwiched between @richardcostigan and @noreenevans. Why don't you give me some love and follow me!

 

The Top Capitol Twitter Accounts by Followers
RankNameTwitter HandleGenderPartyCategoryOrganization# of Followers
1 Jerry Brown @JerryBrownGov M D Elected Official Governor 1,051,386
2 Jeremy White (nod to Torey van Oot) @CapitolAlert M   Media Sacramento Bee 12,511
3 John Myers @John Myers M   Media News 10 11,041
4 LA Times CA Politics @LATpoliticsCA N/A   Media LA Times 9,408
5 Carla Marinucci @Cmarinucci F   Media SF Chronicle 9,091
6 Anthony York @AnthonyYorkLAT M   Media LA Times 8,617
7 Kevin Yamamura @Kyamamura M   Media Sacramento Bee 6,664
8 Jon Fleischman @FlashReport M R Consultant/Lobbyist/Other Non-Gov Flash Report 5,906
9 Sutter Brown @SutterBrown M D Elected Official* First Dog 5,218
10 Juliet Williams @JulietWilliamsAP F   Media AP 4,440
11 Thomas DelBeccaro @TomDelBeccaro M R Consultant/Lobbyist/Other Non-Gov Self 4,265
12 John Perez @SpeakerPerez M D Elected Official Assembly 4,248
13 Leland Yee @LelandYee M D Elected Official Senate 4,127
14 Mark Barabak @MarkZBarabak M   Media LA Times 4,003
15 Ted Lieu @TedLieu M D Elected Official Senate 3,849
16 Jon Ortiz @TheStateWorker M   Media Sacramento Bee 3,629
17 David Siders @DavidSiders M   Media Sacramento Bee 3,606
18 Steve Maviglio @StevenMaviglio M D Consultant/Lobbyist/Other Non-Gov Forza Communications 3,558
19 Debra Bowen @CASOSVote F D Elected Official Secretary of State 3,473
20 Mark Leno @MarkLeno M D Elected Official Senate 3,470
21 Dan Walters @WaltersBee M   Media Sacramento Bee 3,427
22 Dan Morain @DanielMorain M   Media Sacramento Bee 3,417
23 Jennifer Fearing @JenniferFearing F   Consultant/Lobbyist/Other Non-Gov Humane Society of the US 3,377
24 Doug Sovern @SovernNation M   Media KCBS 3,247

 

 

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
California Teachers Union Backs Governor's Budget Plan
Jeremy B. White @
blogs.sacbee.com
The California Teachers Association has chosen sides in the incipient conflict over Gov. Jerry Brown's school funding proposal, backing the governor's call to earmark additional money for disadvantaged and English language-learning students.

Democrats Win California Assembly Seat As GOP Gains In Senate
Patrick McGreevy @
latimes.com
Lorena Gonzalez wins a special election for the 80th Assembly District in the San Diego area, while GOP farmer Andy Vidak wins a Central Valley Senate seat.

Republican Win Shaves Democratic Supermajority In Senate
Dan Walters @
blogs.sacbee.com
The Democratic supermajority in the state Senate thinned a bit Tuesday when Republican farmer Andy Vidak captured more than 50 percent of a special election vote to win in a heavily Democratic San Joaquin Valley district.

Two Veteran Sacramento Lawmakers Win L.A. City Council Seats
Laura J. Nelson @
latimes.com
State Sen. Curren Price and ex-Assemblyman Gil Cedillo both defeated foes with more local experience as council aides. A third council race is up in the air.

Jerry Brown Says Latin 'makes You Smarter Than Everybody'
David Siders @
blogs.sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown, whose public remarks occasionally include a phrase or two in Latin, explained Wednesday two reasons he liked learning it.

Jerry Brown Talks About His Past, Drops Hints About His Future
Anthony York @
latimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown , who is known to break out the occasional Latin phrase during stump speeches and news conferences, said he liked the language because “it’s obscure and makes you smarter than everybody.”

In His Own Words: California Gov. Jerry Brown Has Business People Rolling In Laughter
Steven Harmon @
mercurynews.com
California Gov. Jerry Brown, who once had a frosty relationship with the business folks who ran the traditional Sacramento Host breakfast, had them rolling in laughter Wednesday with one quip after another in a 30-minute address.

Southern California Weighs In On Jerry Brown's Water Plan
Jeremy B. White @
blogs.sacbee.com
Weather, terrain, culture, beach sandal-to-hiking boot ratio -- there are plenty of things to distinguish the north state from Southern California. Add to that list where congressional delegations stand on Gov. Jerry Brown's divisive plan to construct a massive new water delivery system.

California Community Colleges Add Summer Classes
Loretta Kalb @
sacbee.com
Getting needed classes could be getting easier than in recent years at community colleges, such as Sierra College, where students waited in line to register, as some schools expands class offerings, especially in high-demand subjects such as math, English and science.

New L.A. Law On Medical Marijuana Shops Faces Hazy Future
Kate Linthicum @
latimes.com
Voters approved a measure that would keep only 135 dispensaries — those operating before a failed moratorium in 2007 — open. But challenges await the law.

Leticia Perez Concedes To Andy Vidak In State Senate Race - Breaking News - Fresnobee.com
John Ellis @
fresnobee.com
You're in the Newsletters - Breaking news section

Eric Garcetti's Mayoral Victory Attributed Largely To Wendy Greuel's Result In San Fernando Valley - La Daily News
dailynews.com
City Controller Wendy Greuel's lackluster performance in the San Fernando Valley and with women voters in Tuesday's Los Angeles mayoral election, along with Councilman Eric Garcetti's strong backing from whites and Republicans in the city were key factors in Garcetti's victory over the once prohibitive favorite, analysts said Wednesday.

Telling Details From LMU's Election Exit Poll
Oscar Garza with Chris Keller @
scpr.org
On Wednesday afternoon, the LMU center issued the details of the exit poll, and the results display just how much Garcetti dominated the race.

Los Angeles Voters Approve Limiting Medical Marijuana Shops | Reuters
Alex Dobuzinskis @
reuters.com
Aerial images from the tornado aftermath.   Slideshow 

The Bottom Line: It's Time To Restore Dental Care For The Poor
George Skelton @
latimes.com
Whoever's budget projection is right, state politicians should bring back the coverage cut from Medi-Cal in 2009. It would be unconscionable not to.

CSU names five new campus presidents
sacbee.com
California State University trustees named new leaders for five of the system's 23 campuses Wednesday, setting off a game of musical chairs in California's higher education landscape.

Calif. Gov. Jerry Brown Talks Regulatory Reform, Budget At Host Breakfast
Mark Anderson @
bizjournals.com
California Gov. Jerry Brown and the California Chamber of Commerce shared some of the same views during their addresses to the 88th annual Sacramento Host Breakfast Wednesday.

West Sacramento Homeowner Uses New State Law To Stop Foreclosure
Hudson Sangree @
sacbee.com
A West Sacramento man is among the first in the state to use California's new Homeowner Bill of Rights to stop a bank from foreclosing on his home, and experts say the case marks a shift in a legal system that has traditionally favored lenders.

Immigration vote search moves to full Senate
Carrie Budoff Brown and Manu Raju @
politico.com
Even if the Senate approves a bill, the route through the House is a puzzle for reform proponents.

L.A. Mayor-Elect Garcetti To Put Laser Focus On Economy
Kate Linthicum @
latimes.com
In his first public appearance post-victory, Los Angeles mayor-elect Eric Garcetti thanked voters for believing "that an independent mayor was worth voting for."

Dan Walters Daily
Jeremy B. White @
blogs.sacbee.com
Kern County Democrat Leticia Perez has lost her bid to capture former senator Michael Rubio's Senate seat, but the real loser, Dan says, is the "Democratic left."

The perils of government transparency
sacbee.com
A $14.6 million piece of Gov. Jerry Brown's budget highlights a classic government tension: the benefits of transparency vs. the consequences of being transparent.