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THE NOONER for April 26, 2013

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We've got a quickie Nooner today, as I'm pinch-hitting to moderate a panel at a conference and need time to prepare to pretend to know what I'm talking about. 

THE CASH REPORT:

  • LAO (April 25): Month-to-Date Collections and Refunds: $12.675 billion. (95.3% of budgeted projection for the month)
  • Controller (April 24): $11.827 billion  

With yesterday's take of over $500 million again, the LAO hikes its forecast again

As of now, our best estimate is that the state will end April with PIT collections for the fiscal year to date, as of that time, somewhere around $4.5 billion ahead of the administration’s estimates. As day-to-day collection trends have been quite unusual this month, this figure certainly is subject to change and could go down slightly if, for example, refund activity accelerates.

LAO economic guru Jason Sisney and I were e-mailing yesterday (before the afternoon numbers came in, and he wrote:

[Keep in mind that this may not be the typical "one-time vs. ongoing" issue, in that some taxable income accelerated to 2012 may essentially take that money directly out of the pocket of 2013 (and perhaps some later years too). So, to some extent, we may be seeing not only one-time bumps in revenue, but one time dips too in the subsequent year.

The reality, of course, is that what we are seeing is not just one phenomenon, but perhaps a combination thereof:
* More taxable income in 2012 due to accelerations of gains, offset by revenues that are lower than otherwise thereafter
* Potentially more taxable income in 2012 due to the economy and/or stock market being stronger.
* Potentially more taxable income in 2013 due to the same.
* Facebook perhaps producing more one-time revenue than expected.
* Other factors.

Bottom line: this is going to be a very difficult year to project budget revenues, with the governor likely to push for minimal recognition of new ongoing funding, while the Legislature pushes back under pressure from the spending lobby.

LA-LA LAND: Sheila Kuehl formally notifies supporters that she's running for LA supe to succeed Zev Yaroslavsky

Will Sheila Kuehl Become First Openly Gay L.A. County Supervisor? [Patrick Range McDonald @ OC Weekly

 

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**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • California League of Bond Oversight Committees: Second Annual CaLBOC Statewide Conference - May 10, 2013 in Sacramento - Keynote speakers Bill Lockyer and Assemblymember Joan Buchanan - More info and registration
  • Common Cause FREE Screening & Panel Discussion - Bill Moyer's "The United States of ALEC" Crest Theatre May 1st RSVP
  • Join Mayor Christopher Cabaldon, Councilman Steve Hansen, Supervisor Phil Serna, the Rev. Faith Whitmore and Dr. Claire Pomeroy as they are honored as recipients of Four Freedoms Awards at the Sacramento Stonewall Democrats' 9th Annual Gala, Wednesday, May 15 at the Red Lion Hotel Woodlake Conference Center, Sacramento. Purchase tickets @ www.sacstonewall.org/events/4freedoms2013.

 

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Democrats' Education Fight Reveals Rifts Amid One-party Rule
Anthony York @
latimes.com
SACRAMENTO -- One day after a combative Gov. Jerry Brown promised Senate Democrats “the battle of their lives” if they opposed his education plan, lawmakers from Brown’s own party held their ground on Thursday and took jabs of their own at the governor.

Senate Democrats Defend Education Plan As 'civil Rights' Issue, Too
David Siders @
blogs.sacbee.com
One day after Gov. Jerry Brown called his education financing plan a civil rights issue and promised opponents "the battle of their lives," Senate Democrats today said their counter-proposal is better for low-income students.

Governor Urges Fast Review Of Delta Tunnel
Matt Weiser @
sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown wants federal officials to expedite review of the controversial Bay Delta Conservation Plan, his proposal to build two giant water diversion tunnels in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta.

Senators Predict Another Vote On Gun-control Legislation
Lisa Mascaro @
latimes.com
Two top senators predicted Thursday that gun violence legislation will be back for a Senate vote -- possibly before the end of the year.

Bowen Rebuffs Call For Direct Web Access To Campaign Database
Jeremy B. White @
blogs.sacbee.com
Secretary of State Debra Bowen has rebuffed a request from advocacy and news organizations to allow direct, daily Internet access to her office's campaign finance database, citing legal hurdles that would make it prohibitively expensive.

Oil Severance Tax Measure To Start Circulating
Josh Richman @
ibabuzz.com
A proposed ballot measure to enact an oil severance tax, with most of the revenue spent on education, has received its official title and summary and is about to start circulating for petition signatures.

Democrats Push Back On Governor's School Funding Plan
John Myers @
news10.net
Democrats in California's state Senate are pushing back, ever so politely, on the specifics in Gov. Jerry Brown's plan to redirect billions of dollars to school districts serving the poor and English learners.

Medical Marijuana: Bill Would Regulate Pot Stores Statewide
JIM MILLER @
pe.com
The California Supreme Court is expected to rule within days in a Riverside case that centers on whether local governments can use zoning and land-use authority to block marijuana dispensaries.

'Temporary' California Fees Live On
Jim Sanders @
sacbee.com
Californians have paid tens of millions of dollars the past three years in state fees that had been scheduled to die - but never did. The Legislature routinely has adopted fees as temporary but quietly extended them as expiration dates neared.

Democratic Senators Tell White House of Concerns About Health Care Law Rollout
nytimes.com
Some lawmakers worry that they could pay a political price if the introduction of the law was messy or if premiums went up significantly.

Congressional Democrats Demand Resignation Of Brown Appointee
Anthony York @
latimes.com
Five Congressional Democrats have demanded the resignation of a top official in Gov. Jerry Brown 's administration for comments the official allegedly made about the future of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta.

How Do The Education Funding Plans Differ?
Theresa Harrington @
contracostatimes.com
How DO the two plans DIFFER? Q What is Gov. Jerry Browns plan? A Each school district would get a per-pupil base grant. Districts would also receive supplemental grants equal to 35 percent of base grants for each student who is either poor, an English-language learner or foster youth.

Gov. Jerry Brown presses feds for quick review of Delta water tunnel project
sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown is asking federal officials to expedite review of the controversial Bay Delta Conservation Plan, his proposal to build giant water diversion tunnels in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta.

Federal Election Commission rules against married same-sex donors
Matea Gold @
latimes.com
WASHINGTON — Married same-sex couples cannot make joint contributions to federal candidates as opposite-sex couples are permitted to do, the Federal Election Commission said Thursday, a decision that gay-rights advocates said reinforced their case for overturning the Defense of Marriage Act.

Lawmaker Tries To Revive Redevelopment Agencies
Christopher Arns @
bizjournals.com
Lawmakers are considering a bill that could resurrect the state of California’s defunct redevelopment agencies.

Democrats say they have better school plan than Jerry Brown
sacbee.com
One day after Gov. Jerry Brown called his education financing plan a civil rights issue and promised opponents "the battle of their lives," Senate Democrats said Thursday that their counterproposal is better for low-income students.

Medical Board Of California Could Lose Investigative Powers
Scott Glover and Lisa Girion @
latimes.com
Legislators propose turning over investigations of doctors to the attorney general's office, leaving the board to deal with licensing.

Editorial: Spend Sacramento sales tax windfall where most needed
sacbee.com
Sacramento voters placed a lot of trust in the City Council by giving it $27 million more a year to spend from a half-cent hike in the sales tax.

State Bill Would Allow Non-citizens To Serve As Jurors
pressdemocrat.com
SACRAMENTO — The state Assembly on Thursday passed a bill that would allow non-citizens who are in the country legally to serve on jury duty.

Nba's Stern Says A Decision On The Kings' Fate Will Come On Or About May 13 - Kings/nba - The Sacramento Bee
sacbee.com
NBA Commissioner David Stern addresses reporters following the NBA Board of Governors' annual meeting in New York's St. Regis Hotel, Friday, April 19, 2013.

Senate Democrats offer own school funding plan
Steven Harmon @
mercurynews.com
A day after California Gov. Jerry Brown warned that legislators would get the 'battle of their lives' if they challenged his proposal, which he called a civil rights issue intended to beef up funding for poor, disadvantaged students, legislators put forward their own reform that they said was more equitable to all schools.

The Buzz: Bill Would Require California State Workers To Brush Up On Civics - Capitol And California - The Sacramento Bee
sacbee.com
Sen. Leland Yee wants to require state agencies to certify their employees have completed a basic civics orientation. Too many workers can't answer the public's questions, Yee's aide says.