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THE NOONER for April 22, 2013

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Good morning from San Francisco, which will be my office this week during a series of conferences. There aren't any elections around here, so I guess we have to look south.

LA-LA LAND: Garcetti opens 10-point lead over Greuel in L.A. mayoral race [Michael Finnegan @ LAT] - "A month before the May 21 runoff, likely voters favored the councilman over the city controller by 50% to 40%. Perhaps most worrisome for Greuel: her failure so far to establish a base in the Valley."

NOBODY VOTES IN LA: Clinton, stumping for Greuel, calls voter turnout 'ridiculous' [Seema Mehta @ LAT] - "We can't tolerate … the kind of low turnout you all have in these mayors' races," [Bill] Clinton said of the 20.8% of registered voters who cast ballots in the March primary. "It's ridiculous. There are too many people in Los Angeles, of all ages, that have a big stake in the future."

The March election that Big Dog cites occured four months after 67% of registered voters cast ballots in the presidential election.

Paul Mitchell just posted a blog post for Political Data that I haven't had a chance to read, but I saw a preview over the weekend. Among his initial findings "The exciting new Online Registrants apparently weren't super-energized. In the 2012 General they turned out in the 80% range, but in the LA city races they only turned out at 11%, comprising just 3% of the total voters."

Several of you have asked why Los Angeles holds the elections at such a strange time and so soon after a high-turnout election. The election dates are provided for in section 401 of the city charter, affecting both the city and L.A. Unified elections.

Proponents of off-year municipal elections argue that it avoids the elections from being also-rans to big national or state contests. Interest groups and some candidates like it because it significantly reduces voter outreach costs, as you have a much smaller likely voter universe.

However, at a certain point, you have to ask "How low is too low?".

Race for Tony Cardenas' Los Angeles 6th District Council seat draws six candidates [Rick Orlov @ LADN] - "Two of the most experienced candidates with the most fundraising progress are Nury Martinez, a board member for the Los Angeles Unified School District, and former Assemblywoman Cindy Montanez."

CD03: Dan Logue floats the idea of running against John Garamendi, and a candidate emerges to run to fill Logue's shoes. [Jenny Espino @ Record Searchlight]

The article also says that Ted Gaines is considering a bid for CD06, which is the Doris Matsui seat. That's a head-scratcher, as the seat has a 2:1 Dem advantage and Matsui captured 71.4% of the vote last November. And, when Matsui decides to hang it up, there's a long line of Democrats that will be happy to carry the party's flag (Steinberg, Jones, Dickinson, Pan, Ortiz . . .) Gaines's problem is that he lives in Tom McClintock's CD04. Neither McClintock nor freshman congressman Doug LaMalfa to the north are likely to to depart in the 2010s.

CD17: CA Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom endorses Silicon Vallley House candidate Ro Khanna [Carla Marinucci @ SFChron] - "The move by Newsom — who cited Khanna’s roots and experience in technology and innovation economy issues — provides the former Obama trade representative with his first endorsement from a major statewide elected official."

SACTOWN: Darrell Steinberg said he might consider running for Sacramento district attorney next year. The field to succeed Jan Scully currently includes Scully-backed deputy DA Anne Marie Schubert and AG prosecutor Maggie Krell.

Paul's analysis of LA turnout - Bill Clinton comment (Seema Mehta tweet)

The AD45 (West San Fernando Valley) field for the special election continues to expand, making a likely November runoff almost certain. Of course, we still don't officially have a special election declared yet.

  • Damian Carroll (D), field director for councilmember Paul Krekorian
  • Matt Dababneh (D), advisor, Congressman Brad Sherman
  • Dennis DeYoung (D), Stockbroker
  • Jeff Ebenstein (D), deputy for councilmember Paul Koretz
  • Andra Hoffman (D), director of governmental relations and faculty member, Glendale City College
  • Susan Shelley (R), businesswoman and author

THE BEST DEFENSE: CD26 (Ventura): Julia Brownley raises $234,721 in first-quarter contributions [Timm Herdt at VCStar]

THE CASH REPORT:

  • LAO (April 19): Month-to-Date Collections and Refunds: $10.334 billion. (77.7% of budgeted projection for the month)
  • Controller (April 18): $10.0 billion  

LAO writes: 

With month-to-date PIT collections, net of refunds, now well over $10 billion, California has surpassed the $8.5 billion total for the month that was necessary to remain on track with the administration's most recent revenue estimates. It is difficult to predict what will occur between now and April 30, but collection of $1.5 billion to $2 billion more in PIT revenue during the rest of the month seems possible.

 

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Los Angeles County is more than a $25 billion budget and 101,000 employees serving 10 million residents. It's the place where the longest-serving employee just celebrated her 61st year on the job, an underwater robot helps patrol the nation's busiest port complex, and traffic jams are a cause for celebration when a 340-ton boulder comes to town.

Get an inside look at the nation's largest municipal government in the Los Angeles County Annual Report:

www.lacountyannualreport.com


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**CLASSIFIEDS**

  • Common Cause FREE Screening & Panel Discussion - Bill Moyer's "The United States of ALEC" Crest Theatre May 1st RSVP
  • Join Mayor Christopher Cabaldon, Councilman Steve Hansen, Supervisor Phil Serna, the Rev. Faith Whitmore and Dr. Claire Pomeroy as they are honored as recipients of Four Freedoms Awards at the Sacramento Stonewall Democrats' 9th Annual Gala, Wednesday, May 15 at the Red Lion Hotel Woodlake Conference Center, Sacramento. Purchase tickets @ www.sacstonewall.org/events/4freedoms2013.

 

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
How Much Can Pensions Squeeze Other Programs?
Ed Mendel @
calpensions.com
The question of whether pensions are “sustainable” may get an answer as a CalPERS board action last week ratchets up annual state and local pension costs during the next seven years.

Bill Seeks Standards For Drop-in Day Care Centers
JUDY LIN @
sanluisobispo.com
A state lawmaker wants to establish basic standards for the short-term day care centers that are growing in popularity at fitness centers, shopping malls, grocery stores and other businesses.

Air Traffic Controllers Furloughed As Government Cuts Kick In; Some Flight Delays Show Up
washingtonpost.com
Commercial airline flights started backing up and delayed some travelers Monday, a day after air traffic controllers started going on furlough because of government spending cuts.

Shouted protests punctuate Senate immigration hearing
Lisa Mascaro @
latimes.com
WASHINGTON -- A Republican senator shouted in protest Monday as a top Democrat complained at a Senate hearing that opponents of immigration reform were improperly using the Boston bombing as a reason to delay changes to immigration law.

Ca Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom Endorses Silicon Vallley House Candidate Ro Khanna
Wyatt Buchanan, Michael Collier, Richard Dunham, Bob Egelko, Joe Garofoli, Marisa Lagos, Carolyn Lochhead, Carla Marinucci, @
blog.sfgate.com
CA Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom endorses Silicon Vallley House candidate Ro Khanna

State, Cities In Next Round Of Redevelopment Fight
JUDY LIN, Associated Press @
sfgate.com
A second round of bureaucratic bickering has begun over the dismantling of California's community redevelopment agencies.

Chasm Divides Gun Control And Gun Rights Advocates
George Skelton @
latimes.com
The gun lobby is so hard-line that it's ignored by Sacramento Democrats.

Drop-Out Rate Contributes To Jobs-Education Mismatch
Daniel Weintraub @
healthycal.org
As California heads into a future dominated by technology, a skilled workforce is going to be more important than ever. But despite recent gains, the state is still not producing enough educated workers to fill all the jobs that are open — a cruel paradox in a time of persistently high unemployment.

Senate Poised To Back Internet Sales Tax
Brendan Sasso @
thehill.com
The Senate is expected to pass legislation this week that would empower states to tax online purchases.

Sens. Feinstein And Boxer Keep Racking Up Seniority
Richard Simon @
latimes.com
Sens. Dianne Feinstein and Barbara Boxer could gain still more clout to wield on California's behalf. But this is a time of austerity, and results are not guaranteed.

Feinstein: Boston Bombing 'Should Likely Be A Death Penalty Case'
Donovan Slack @
politico.com
Sen. Dianne Feinstein says she agrees with the Obama administration's decision to use a public safety exception to interrogate Dzhokhar Tsarnaev before reading him his Miranda rights and trying him as a criminal.

EBay recruits users in push against sales tax legislation
Alistair Barr @
mercurynews.com
EBay CEO began emailing millions of users of the company's online marketplace on Sunday in an unprecedented lobbying effort to change looming federal sales tax legislation.

The Buzz: District Attorney Darrell Steinberg? Senator 'may look at it'
sacbee.com
Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg has less than 20 months left in his final term in the California Legislature, and political circles are already speculating about what he will do next.

Outside water agencies to have role in delta plan
utsandiego.com
Outside water agencies would have a key role in the design and construction of the $14 billion twin-tunnel plan for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, under a pact quietly being negotiated by state water officials.

Rick Orlov's Tipoff: Let The Los Angeles Mayoral Campaigns Begin
Rick Orlov Staff Writer @
dailynews.com
With absentee ballots for the May 21 runoff going out today, the television and radio commercials have started and the mail is soon to come to remind voters of the election.

State Toughens Regs For Interns Teaching English Learners
Kathryn Baron @
edsource.org
The California Commission on Teacher Credentialing will now require non-credentialed Teach For America teachers and other intern teachers to receive more training in how to teach English learners and to get weekly on-the-job mentoring and supervision.

Grim Rise In Suicides By Baby Boomers
Anita Creamer @
sacbee.com
Although experts have long thought of midlife as a time of stability and emotional contentment, baby boomers are proving to be an unfortunate exception. Reversing a longtime demographic trend, midlife suicides are on the rise for the generation born between 1946 and 1964.

FAA furloughs kick in, some flight delays appear
utsandiego.com
Commercial airline flights moved smoothly throughout most of the country on Sunday, the first day air traffic controllers were subject to furloughs resulting from government spending cuts, though some delays appeared in the late evening in and around New York. And even though the nightmarish flight delays and cancellations that the airline industry predicted would result from the furloughs did not materialize yet, the real test will come Monday, when traffic ramps up.

Showdown Looms Over State Secrets Privilege In 'No-fly List' Case
Josh Gerstein @
politico.com
The Obama Administration and a federal judge in San Francisco appear to be headed for a showdown over the controversial state secrets privilege in a case about the U.S. government's 'no-fly' list for air travel.

Advocates Of Immigration Reform Fight Back Against Push For Delay
washingtonpost.com
The Senate’s leading supporters of overhauling the nation’s immigration system sought Sunday to blunt a conservative effort to slow the pace of debate over their bill, saying the Boston Marathon bombings are a reason to move quickly to make changes.

Delta pipeline pact could 'get project done, then go away'
Matt Weiser @
sacbee.com
Southern California water agencies have been quietly negotiating with state officials to take a major role in designing and building the giant Sacramento River diversion tunnels at the core of Gov. Jerry Brown's water policy for the state, according to documents obtained by The Bee.

Kolbe: Rights for same-sex partners
Steve Friess @
politico.com
The former congressman will urge the Senate Judiciary Committee to amend the immigration bill.