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THE NOONER for January 31, 2013

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TURN THAT FROWN UPSIDE DOWN

. . . and not just because the piggy bank has an unexpected $5 billion in it . . .

The Public Policy Institute of California is out with its Statewide Survey today, and there is a noticeable increase in the optimism of California residents. 

California - Right direction/wrong direction: +21% since May 2012

  • January 2013: 51% right direction, 40% wrong direction
  • December 2012: 44% right direction, 50% wrong direction
  • May 2012: 30% right direction, 63% wrong direction
  • High (since 99): 66% in January 2000, but below 55% since January 2007
  • Low (since 99): 15% in July 2010

California economic conditions over next 12 months: +18% since May 2012

  • January 2013: 49% good times, 40% bad times
  • December 2012: 41% good times, 50% bad times
  • May 2012: 31% good times, 61% bad times
  • High (since 99): 78% in February 2000, but 50% or below since January 2001
  • Low (since 99): 15% in July 2008 

Job approvals (approve-disapprove-don't know) (all adults)

Governor +12% since May 2012

  • January 2013: 51%-28%-21%
  • December 2012: 48%-35%-17%
  • May 2012: 39%-36%-24%

Legislature +16% since May 2012

  • January 2013: 41%-42%-17%
  • December 2012: 34%-51%-15%
  • May 2012: 25%-57%-18%

Obama +9% since May 2012

  • January 2013: 65%-29%-6%
  • October 2012: 63%-35%-2%
  • May 2012: 56%-39%-5%

Feinstein +7% since January 2012

  • January 2013: 54%-25%-21%
  • September 2012: 51%-34%-16%
  • January 2012: 47%-35%-18%

Boxer +6% since January 2012

  • January 2013: 52%-27%-21%
  • September 2012: 48%-37%-15%
  • January 2012: 46%-38%-17%

Illegal immigrants - chance to keep jobs v. deport

76% believe illegal immigrants who have been present for more than 2 years should have a chance to keep their jobs, while 21% beleive they should be deported.

[n=1,704; January 15-22; multilingual live calls; MOE +/- 3.5%]

 

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WHITE VOTERS MATTER

After being a leading voice for more attention by the Republican Party to Latino votes, Mike Madrid writes in Fox and Hounds that the tide has turned and that white voter behavior may now be a decisive variable. Okay, hold the hate mail and read this graf:

You see, despite all the chatter among political professionals and ethnic leaders that the "Latino," "Asian" and "African-American" votes are not monolithic, the truth is that, as voters, they are. Each ethnic group in California votes as a bloc — with one exception: white voters.

This explains why Texas is so red and California is so blue and why both states are very likely to stay that way for a long time. Despite having very similar demographics, the states couldn’t be more different politically. And while much has been made about Latino voters in Texas and their greater willingness to vote Republican, that idea changed in 2012 when Texas Latinos voted in an eerily similar fashion as their Latino counterparts in California and other states (75-25) — effectively creating a national Latino voting bloc.

So why isn't Texas bluer? The answer is simple – whites in Texas are overwhelmingly conservative, if not Republican, voters. In California white voters are not…well, monolithic.

CD04: Tom McClintock attacks Bee columnist Dan Morain in a fundraising email.

CD17: Nancy Pelosi joins Barack Obama in endorsing Mike Honda to head off a primary challenge.

AD07: Positioning Supervisor Phil Serna well for a possible 2014 Assembly bid, Governor Brown appoints the son of to the California Air Resources Board.

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Jerry Brown, Lawmakers 'Breaking Bread' In Series Of Dinners
David Siders @
blogs.sacbee.com
A week after delivering his State of the State address to a joint session of the Legislature, Gov. Jerry Brown will hold the first of a series of dinners with lawmakers in Sacramento tonight.

SF Archbishop: Same-sex Marriage Is Like Men Breastfeeding
Ellen Huet @
blog.sfgate.com
San Francisco archbishop Salvatore Cordileone, an outspoken critic of gay marriage, told a Catholic newspaper in England Monday that same-sex marriage is so unnatural it is a natural impossibility. “Legislating for the right for people of the same sex to marry is like legalising male breastfeeding,” he told the Catholic Herald.

Legislators Push Short Sale Tax Relief | Kpbs.org
kpbs.org
A bi-partisan group of California lawmakers is backing legislation that would offer tax relief for struggling homeowners pushed into short sales.

Sacramento's Phil Serna To Serve On CA Air Resources Board
Torey Van Oot @
blogs.sacbee.com
Sacramento County Supervisor Phil Serna has been named a member of the California Air Resources Board by Gov. Jerry Brown.

Californians Upbeat On Ed Budget, Poll Finds
Kathryn Baron @
edsource.org
Californians are expressing a long-lost sentiment: optimism. A new survey by the Public Policy Institute of California found growing support for Gov. Brown, for his education finance proposal and for making it easier for local communities to pass parcel taxes to help fund their schools. Even support for the Legislature has climbed out of the dregs.

Proposal Would Give Children Of Deportees Lower Tuition Rates
latimesblogs.latimes.com
As President Obama laid out his plans for immigration changes on Tuesday, one Democrat in Sacramento announced legislation to tweak the laws in California, which already has some of the most progressive rules in the country. The proposal from State...

California Tax Revenue Surges $5 Billion Above Estimates
Michael B. Marois @
bloomberg.com
While revenue this month has already topped estimates by $5 billion, reconciliation after the end of the month may change the final tally, the office said in the report. Personal income-tax withholdings are 12 percent higher than projected, while estimated payments already received are more than double the amount anticipated for the month, according to the report.

Former Sen. Dutton Issued Warning Over Political Fund Violation
Patrick McGreevy @
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Former State Sen. Bob Dutton (R-Rancho Cucamonga) violated the Political Reform Act when he used funds from his political officeholder account to buy his old state car, according to the state ethics agency, but he is only getting a warning letter, not fines.

Union City, San Leandro file lawsuits against state over redevelopment funds
Chris De Benedetti and Ashly McGlone, @
mercurynews.com
Union City's lawsuit -- filed Tuesday against the California Department of Finance, the State Controller and the Alameda County Auditor-Controller -- argues that losing more than $54 million in redevelopment funds will halt some of the city's crucial transit-oriented projects and end key social programs. San Leandro filed suit Jan. 17 to stop the state from taking $6.59 million in so-called leftover redevelopment funds.

School Safety: Donnelly Wants To Arm Some Teachers
JIM MILLER @
pe.com
California teachers and other willing school employees would be trained to carry guns under legislation by Inland Assemblyman Tim Donnelly to allow districts to participate in a new School Marshals Program.

Tim Donnelly Bill Would Arm California School Employees
Jeremy B. White @
blogs.sacbee.com
Assemblyman Tim Donnelly, R-Twin Peaks, introduced a bill on Wednesday morning that would let schools guard against shootings by arming staff.

How Much Do Big Pensions Widen Funding Gap? « Calpensions
calpensions.com
As local governments scrambled to meet a Jan. 1 reform deadline for giving lower pensions to some new hires, a top target was a big increase bargained by police and firefighters during the last decade.

Obama Offers Rough Timetable For Immigration Overhaul
washingtonpost.com
President Obama said Wednesday that he wants Congress to pass an overhaul of immigration law in the first half of the year, suggesting that if lawmakers cannot produce a detailed plan within a few months, he would probably intervene with his own legislation.

Lawmakers To Hold Hearing On Fracking
Michael J. Mishak @
latimesblogs.latimes.com
State lawmakers will hold a hearing next month to examine the regulation of hydraulic fracturing, or "fracking," in California.

House members negotiate a proposal on immigration
utsandiego.com
A group of a half-dozen House members, equally divided between Democrats and Republicans, is nearing completion of wide-ranging immigration legislation similar to proposals by Senate negotiators and President Barack Obama, including a pathway to legal immigration status for 11 million illegal immigrants already in the U.S.

In Surprise Move, Vietnam Releases And Deports Elk Grove Activist
Stephen Magagnini @
sacbee.com
In a stunning reversal of course Wednesday, the Vietnamese government freed Elk Grove pro-democracy activist Nguyen Quoc Quan after nine months in prison and deported him to California.

How The Nra Spent $32 Million On Politics In 2012
Chris Cillizza @
washingtonpost.com
It’s easy to forget amid the emotional testimony of former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords in front of a Senate panel on gun violence Wednesday that the likelihood of any sort of sweeping measure to limit gun rights passing Congress is small.

Senators Complain About Guns Not Being Allowed At Hearing
Richard Simon @
latimes.com
Republican senators launched a complaint Wednesday against barriers to showing unloading firearms at a Capitol Hill hearing on gun control.

Represent! : Video: La Mayoral Candidate Kevin James And His Billionaire Benefactor | 89.3 Kpcc
Frank Stoltze @
scpr.org
A screenshot from the "Hen House" political video from Better Way L.A.

PPIC Poll: Public Would Make Schools Taxes Easier
calbuzz.com
The latest survey from the Public Policy Institute of California contains some interesting data on gun control and immigration, but the most important finding in the survey – one that could impact public policy in a meaningful way is the report that 57% of Californians support lowering to 55% the vote needed to pass local parcel taxes for public schools.

Students call for end to UC health insurance cap
utsandiego.com
Students are calling on the University of California to end caps on health care coverage that can leave them to foot the bill for their medical treatment.

Bill Would End California State Employees' Moonlighting
Jon Ortiz @
blogs.sacbee.com
Republican Assemblyman Jeff Gorell of Camarillo, as promised, has introduced legislation to virtually eliminate state "additional appointments," an obscure and controversial personnel practice that allows employees to take a second state job.