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THE NOONER for December 18, 2012

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Last Friday, the field was set in the Los Angeles mayor, city attorney, controller, and 8 city council races (see below or here). And, out of 57 candidates for the 11 offices, there are only 10 female candidates. 

The elections, which occur on March 5 with May 7 runoffs in races in which a candidate does not exceed 50%, may indeed be historic. City Controller Wendy Greuel is in a strong position to become the first woman mayor of the City of Angels, although the threats of a large independent expenditure on behalf of Kevin James, combined with low turnout, could allow the conservative a serious shot at the office. Men are expected to win the city attorney and city controller positions.

While advocates of women for office might be celebrating the top spot, however, there is a much dimmer outlook for women on the city council. There has been at least one woman continuously on the Los Angeles City Council since Pat Russell's election in 1969. Russell was the fourth woman elected to the council and the first to be elected president. In the late 1990s, there was a high of five female councilmembers.

Currently, there is one female--Jan Perry, who is leaving because of term limits and running for mayor. Of the eight council races, four have zero women, two have two women, and two have one woman.

Only in one district--CD9--is a female candidate considered well funded and competitive with the other top candidates in the race. Ana Cubas is running for the district that stretches from L.A. Live (Staples) down to South Los Angeles and includes USC. It is historically an area that has sent African-Americans to the council, and Jan Perry currently represents the area. Cubas, chief of staff to Councilmember Jose Huizar and a former staff member at the Legislative Analyst's Office, faces six other candidates, including Assemblymember Mike Davis and State Senator Curren Price, Jr.

The district has seen a significant demographic shift with a rapidly growing Latino population and now is about 70% Latino. Correspondingly, the black Citizen Voting Age Population has shrunk, representing 18%. However, particularly in the low-turnout Los Angeles odd-year elections (only 14% turnout in 2011's March primary), African-American political and religious groups still wield tremendous organizational strength. Given this and Davis's slower start, Price is currently seen as the favorite.

Gender is unlikely to be an issue in the CD9 race, and this is an area of highly racially polarized voting. At the end of the day, this district will likely see a May runoff, and who makes it in and who prevails will largely be a function of grassroots organization and turnout.

[Disclosure: I donated money to Cubas, a friend from days in the LAO's office.]




  • If you are flying from NorCal to Washington, DC, I highly recommend the Virgin America flight from SFO to Reagan National. My flight back last night only had 55 people on it, so I fear the route won't last. Oh, and did I mention that a friend who was flying the Dulles->Sacramento "nonstop" UAL flight at the same time last night is for some reason sitting in Denver right now?



For the next 12 days (including Saturday and Sunday), and Political Data Inc. will be asking a question each day, which will be answered on the site. The closest (and first in the event of a tie) answer each day by 9pm PST will win a free map from and a $5 Starbucks gift card--a $50.00 value.

FRIDAY'S QUESTION:  Which two Assembly Districts have the highest and lowest of registered voters?

FRIDAY'S ANSWER:  Highest: AD74 with 312,167 registered voters.  Lowest: AD32, with 130,608 registered voters.

WINNER:  Sean Donahoe [first of many to correctly answer]

TODAY'S QUESTION: How many voters have the first name of "Buddy"? [SUBMIT AN ANSWER]



There are 30+ new members this session – will you recognize them in the hall or around town?

CA Political Maps announces our 2013-2014 Legislative Class posters. Posters include headshots of the newly elected 2013-14 class, organized alphabetically and numerically for easy reference. Our double-sided posters display full color Senate and Assembly district maps, and include district numbers, county, city, geographic data, and blowups of LA, Bay Area, SD, and Sacramento regions.

Use coupon code "Nooner" for a 15% discount on your order!

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FINAL 12/17/12: Los Angeles candidate filings for March 5, 2013 municipal election


  • Carlton Dole (failed signature validation)
  • Yehuda "YJ" Draiman
  • Eric Garcetti
  • Wendy Greuel
  • Jenney Horst (failed signature validation)
  • Kevin James
  • Addie Miller
  • Jan Perry
  • Emanuel Alberto Pleitez
  • Norton Sandler

City Attorney

  • Mike Feuer
  • Carmen "Nuch" Trutanich
  • Greg Smith
  • Noel Weiss


  • Jeff Bornstein
  • Cary Brazeman
  • Ron Galperin
  • Analilia Joya
  • Ankur Patel
  • Dennis P. Zine

City Council, District 1

  • Gilbert Cedillo
  • Jose A. Gardea
  • William "Rodriguez" Morrison (failed signature validation)
  • Jesse Rosas

City Council, District 3

  • Elizabeth Badger
  • Bob Blumenfield
  • Cary T. Iaccino
  • Matt Jackson (failed signature validation)
  • Joyce J. Pearson
  • Steven E. Presberg
  • Scott Silverstein

City Council, District 5

  • Paul Koretz
  • Mark Matthew Herd

City Council, District 7

  • Jesse David Barron
  • Nicole Chase
  • Krystee Clark
  • Felipe Fuentes

City Council, District 9

  • Manuel "Manny" Aldana
  • Gerald Allan Busch (failed signature validation)
  • Justin Allen Clayton (failed signature validation)
  • Ana Cubas
  • Mike Davis 
  • Ron Gochez
  • Terry Hara
  • Sherita J. Herring (failed signature validation)
  • Curren D. Price, Jr.
  • David Roberts

City Council, District 11

  • Odysseus Bostick
  • Mike Bonin
  • Mark Darius Frank (failed signature validation)
  • Tina Hess
  • Frederick Sutton

City Council, District 13

  • G. Christopher Ashe (failed signature validation)
  • John Choi
  • Scott Crawford (failed signature validation)
  • Alexander Cruz De Ocampo
  • Ana Grande (withdrawn)
  • Roberto Haraldson
  • Sam Kbushyan
  • Emile Mack
  • Rueben A. Martinez (failed signature validation)
  • Robert Negrete
  • Mitch O'Farrell
  • Josh Post
  • Michael Schaefer
  • Jose Sigala
  • Matt Szabo

City Council, District 15

  • Joe Buscaino
  • Mark Anthony Contreras (failed signature validation)
  • James T. Law


LAUSD Board Seeks Control Over Grant Applications
Barbara Jones @
In a move that could stem the flow of tens of millions of dollars to cash-strapped Los Angeles Unified, the school board has empowered itself to endorse -- or veto -- applications for grants topping $1 million.

Old Liquor Law Faces A New Test In California Legislature
Dan Walters @
When Prohibition ended 79 years ago, California replaced the bootleg liquor trade with a legal monopoly – a series of laws that locked in industry marketing practices and enforced industry-established retail prices.

Bob Dutton: Former Inland Lawmaker Looks Ahead
The Rancho Cucamonga Republican served in the Assembly from 2002 to 2004 and represented a sprawling state Senate district extending from Riverside to Yucca Valley for the past eight years.

Lockyer: Pension Funds Should Dump Gunmakers
Josh Richman @
California Treasurer Bill Lockyer wants the state’s gigantic public pension funds to divest themselves of investments in any firearm manufacturer that makes guns banned in California.

California Teachers Pension Fund Tied To Gun Maker By Investment
An investment made by the California teachers pension fund is coming under scrutiny because of its link to the manufacturer of the assault rifle used in the Connecticut elementary school massacre. The fund pledged to invest $500 million in the...

California Would Fall Into Recession In A Drop Off The Fiscal Cliff | Fiscal, California, State
Despite voter support for new taxes to balance the budget, and despite modest economic growth following the housing collapse, California dreaming of a sunnier tomorrow is in serious jeopardy if Congress and the president can't agree on what to do about several automatic tax increases and spending cuts scheduled to kick in on Jan. 1.

Rep. Tim Scott Becomes South Carolina's First Black Senator
Melanie Mason and Michael A. Memoli @
Rep. Tim Scott, a freshman tea party Republican, will become South Carolina's first black senator, the state's governor, Nikki Haley, announced.

Good Samaritan Drug Law Takes Effect Jan. 1
Josh Richman @
Among California’s new laws taking effect Jan. 1 will be a "Good Samaritan" law, encouraging witnesses of suspected drug or alcohol overdoses to seek emergency aid without fear of arrest.

California Oil Regulators Release Draft Of Fracking Rules
Under pressure from state lawmakers and environmentalists, Gov. Jerry Brown's administration on Tuesday released draft regulations for hydraulic fracturing, or "fracking," the controversial drilling process driving a national oil and gas boom. The rules come after oil regulators hosted a...

Newtown Massacre Renews Assault Gun Fight
Carla Marinucci @
U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, who led the charge for a federal assault weapons ban after a San Francisco massacre left nine people dead two decades ago, is again at the forefront of the battle over guns with her call for new legislation in the wake of the mass shooting that killed 20 schoolchildren in Connecticut.

How Difi’s Past Shapes The Ban On Assault Weapons « Calbuzz
Dianne Feinstein, who says she will introduce a renewal of the federal ban on assault weapons when the U.S. Senate reconvenes in 2013, has a long, personal and painful relationship with guns.

Newtown Shooting Prompts Revival Of Campus Safety Proposal
On politics in the Golden State

New Battle Coming Over California's Minimum Wage
Dan Walters @
California's minimum wage of $8 per hour has been frozen for five years and a battle is likely in the 2013 legislative session over whether it should be increased and whether it should be automatically indexed to inflation.

Gun Backers Want To Arm Schoolteachers
Kevin Fagan @
Gun-rights advocate Jeff Dunhill has a simple plan for preventing another bloodbath like the one that left 20 children and six adults murdered at a Connecticut elementary school on Friday - arm the teachers.

Norquist holds fire on Boehner tax offer
Steven Sloan @
The politics of tax policy have shifted rapidly following President Barack Obama's reelection last month.

State Treasurer Lockyer wants pension funds to purge some gun investments
Treasurer Bill Lockyer has asked the state's two largest public pension funds to purge their portfolios of gun manufacturers that make firearms that are illegal in California.

Crist to testify against voter ID laws
Ginger Gibson @
Crist and other Democrats call the laws an attempt to disenfranchise poor and minority voters.

Senate Democrats defend $60.4-billion Sandy aid package
Morgan Little @
WASHINGTON -- Senate Democrats took to the floor Monday to defend a $60.4-billion aid package for victims of Hurricane Sandy against critiques from Republicans and conservative organizations.

Districts Face Questions In Spending Long-Term Bonds For Short-Lived Technology
John Fensterwald @
Is it legal to buy personal computers for students using school construction bonds? And if it's legal, is it wise to pay interest long-term on devices with a short shelf life?

Obama Asks Cabinet Members For Proposals To Curb Gun Violence
President Obama on Monday began the first serious push of his administration to attempt to reduce gun violence, directing Cabinet members to formulate a set of proposals that could include reinstating a ban on assault rifles.

Ex-Narcotics Chief Leads Undercover Marijuana Busts In Haight
Shoshana Walter @
The undercover captain said he wanted $20 worth of marijuana, pocketed his purchase and disappeared into the park. Moments later, a team of officers swooped in to arrest the unsuspecting seller.

California casts Electoral College votes for Barack Obama
David Siders @
Assembly Speaker John A. Pérez called to order this afternoon California's members of the Electoral College, declaring 2 p.m. to have arrived on the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December.

Feinstein Could Push Gun Control From Atop Judiciary Panel
Niels Lesniewski @
With Sen. Patrick J. Leahy, D-Vt., suddenly in line to become chairman of the Appropriations Committee, California Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein could decide to claim the gavel on the Judiciary panel.

Big U.S. Airlines Get $1.6 Billion In Passenger Fees In 3 Months
Hugo Martin @
Fees to check bags and change reservations generated $1.6 billion for the nation's largest airlines in July through September, according to new federal data.