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THE NOONER for December 18, 2012

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WHERE HAVE ALL THE WOMEN GONE?

Last Friday, the field was set in the Los Angeles mayor, city attorney, controller, and 8 city council races (see below or here). And, out of 57 candidates for the 11 offices, there are only 10 female candidates. 

The elections, which occur on March 5 with May 7 runoffs in races in which a candidate does not exceed 50%, may indeed be historic. City Controller Wendy Greuel is in a strong position to become the first woman mayor of the City of Angels, although the threats of a large independent expenditure on behalf of Kevin James, combined with low turnout, could allow the conservative a serious shot at the office. Men are expected to win the city attorney and city controller positions.

While advocates of women for office might be celebrating the top spot, however, there is a much dimmer outlook for women on the city council. There has been at least one woman continuously on the Los Angeles City Council since Pat Russell's election in 1969. Russell was the fourth woman elected to the council and the first to be elected president. In the late 1990s, there was a high of five female councilmembers.

Currently, there is one female--Jan Perry, who is leaving because of term limits and running for mayor. Of the eight council races, four have zero women, two have two women, and two have one woman.

Only in one district--CD9--is a female candidate considered well funded and competitive with the other top candidates in the race. Ana Cubas is running for the district that stretches from L.A. Live (Staples) down to South Los Angeles and includes USC. It is historically an area that has sent African-Americans to the council, and Jan Perry currently represents the area. Cubas, chief of staff to Councilmember Jose Huizar and a former staff member at the Legislative Analyst's Office, faces six other candidates, including Assemblymember Mike Davis and State Senator Curren Price, Jr.

The district has seen a significant demographic shift with a rapidly growing Latino population and now is about 70% Latino. Correspondingly, the black Citizen Voting Age Population has shrunk, representing 18%. However, particularly in the low-turnout Los Angeles odd-year elections (only 14% turnout in 2011's March primary), African-American political and religious groups still wield tremendous organizational strength. Given this and Davis's slower start, Price is currently seen as the favorite.

Gender is unlikely to be an issue in the CD9 race, and this is an area of highly racially polarized voting. At the end of the day, this district will likely see a May runoff, and who makes it in and who prevails will largely be a function of grassroots organization and turnout.

[Disclosure: I donated money to Cubas, a friend from days in the LAO's office.]

 

THE READ:

THE PLUG:

  • If you are flying from NorCal to Washington, DC, I highly recommend the Virgin America flight from SFO to Reagan National. My flight back last night only had 55 people on it, so I fear the route won't last. Oh, and did I mention that a friend who was flying the Dulles->Sacramento "nonstop" UAL flight at the same time last night is for some reason sitting in Denver right now?

 

**THE NOONER'S TWELVE DAYS OF CHRISTMAS CONTEST**

For the next 12 days (including Saturday and Sunday), CAPoliticalMaps.com and Political Data Inc. will be asking a question each day, which will be answered on the CAPoliticalMaps.com site. The closest (and first in the event of a tie) answer each day by 9pm PST will win a free map from CAPoliticalMaps.com and a $5 Starbucks gift card--a $50.00 value.

FRIDAY'S QUESTION:  Which two Assembly Districts have the highest and lowest of registered voters?

FRIDAY'S ANSWER:  Highest: AD74 with 312,167 registered voters.  Lowest: AD32, with 130,608 registered voters.

WINNER:  Sean Donahoe [first of many to correctly answer]

TODAY'S QUESTION: How many voters have the first name of "Buddy"? [SUBMIT AN ANSWER]

 

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FINAL 12/17/12: Los Angeles candidate filings for March 5, 2013 municipal election

Mayor

  • Carlton Dole (failed signature validation)
  • Yehuda "YJ" Draiman
  • Eric Garcetti
  • Wendy Greuel
  • Jenney Horst (failed signature validation)
  • Kevin James
  • Addie Miller
  • Jan Perry
  • Emanuel Alberto Pleitez
  • Norton Sandler

City Attorney

  • Mike Feuer
  • Carmen "Nuch" Trutanich
  • Greg Smith
  • Noel Weiss

Controller

  • Jeff Bornstein
  • Cary Brazeman
  • Ron Galperin
  • Analilia Joya
  • Ankur Patel
  • Dennis P. Zine

City Council, District 1

  • Gilbert Cedillo
  • Jose A. Gardea
  • William "Rodriguez" Morrison (failed signature validation)
  • Jesse Rosas

City Council, District 3

  • Elizabeth Badger
  • Bob Blumenfield
  • Cary T. Iaccino
  • Matt Jackson (failed signature validation)
  • Joyce J. Pearson
  • Steven E. Presberg
  • Scott Silverstein

City Council, District 5

  • Paul Koretz
  • Mark Matthew Herd

City Council, District 7

  • Jesse David Barron
  • Nicole Chase
  • Krystee Clark
  • Felipe Fuentes

City Council, District 9

  • Manuel "Manny" Aldana
  • Gerald Allan Busch (failed signature validation)
  • Justin Allen Clayton (failed signature validation)
  • Ana Cubas
  • Mike Davis 
  • Ron Gochez
  • Terry Hara
  • Sherita J. Herring (failed signature validation)
  • Curren D. Price, Jr.
  • David Roberts

City Council, District 11

  • Odysseus Bostick
  • Mike Bonin
  • Mark Darius Frank (failed signature validation)
  • Tina Hess
  • Frederick Sutton

City Council, District 13

  • G. Christopher Ashe (failed signature validation)
  • John Choi
  • Scott Crawford (failed signature validation)
  • Alexander Cruz De Ocampo
  • Ana Grande (withdrawn)
  • Roberto Haraldson
  • Sam Kbushyan
  • Emile Mack
  • Rueben A. Martinez (failed signature validation)
  • Robert Negrete
  • Mitch O'Farrell
  • Josh Post
  • Michael Schaefer
  • Jose Sigala
  • Matt Szabo

City Council, District 15

  • Joe Buscaino
  • Mark Anthony Contreras (failed signature validation)
  • James T. Law
  •  

     

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
LAUSD Board Seeks Control Over Grant Applications
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In a move that could stem the flow of tens of millions of dollars to cash-strapped Los Angeles Unified, the school board has empowered itself to endorse -- or veto -- applications for grants topping $1 million.

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Bob Dutton: Former Inland Lawmaker Looks Ahead
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Lockyer: Pension Funds Should Dump Gunmakers
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California Treasurer Bill Lockyer wants the state’s gigantic public pension funds to divest themselves of investments in any firearm manufacturer that makes guns banned in California.

California Teachers Pension Fund Tied To Gun Maker By Investment
latimesblogs.latimes.com
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Rep. Tim Scott Becomes South Carolina's First Black Senator
Melanie Mason and Michael A. Memoli @
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Rep. Tim Scott, a freshman tea party Republican, will become South Carolina's first black senator, the state's governor, Nikki Haley, announced.

Good Samaritan Drug Law Takes Effect Jan. 1
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California Oil Regulators Release Draft Of Fracking Rules
latimesblogs.latimes.com
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Newtown Massacre Renews Assault Gun Fight
Carla Marinucci @
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How Difi’s Past Shapes The Ban On Assault Weapons « Calbuzz
calbuzz.com
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Newtown Shooting Prompts Revival Of Campus Safety Proposal
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On politics in the Golden State

New Battle Coming Over California's Minimum Wage
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Gun Backers Want To Arm Schoolteachers
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Norquist holds fire on Boehner tax offer
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State Treasurer Lockyer wants pension funds to purge some gun investments
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Crist to testify against voter ID laws
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Senate Democrats defend $60.4-billion Sandy aid package
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WASHINGTON -- Senate Democrats took to the floor Monday to defend a $60.4-billion aid package for victims of Hurricane Sandy against critiques from Republicans and conservative organizations.

Districts Face Questions In Spending Long-Term Bonds For Short-Lived Technology
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Is it legal to buy personal computers for students using school construction bonds? And if it's legal, is it wise to pay interest long-term on devices with a short shelf life?

Obama Asks Cabinet Members For Proposals To Curb Gun Violence
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President Obama on Monday began the first serious push of his administration to attempt to reduce gun violence, directing Cabinet members to formulate a set of proposals that could include reinstating a ban on assault rifles.

Ex-Narcotics Chief Leads Undercover Marijuana Busts In Haight
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The undercover captain said he wanted $20 worth of marijuana, pocketed his purchase and disappeared into the park. Moments later, a team of officers swooped in to arrest the unsuspecting seller.

California casts Electoral College votes for Barack Obama
David Siders @
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Assembly Speaker John A. Pérez called to order this afternoon California's members of the Electoral College, declaring 2 p.m. to have arrived on the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December.

Feinstein Could Push Gun Control From Atop Judiciary Panel
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With Sen. Patrick J. Leahy, D-Vt., suddenly in line to become chairman of the Appropriations Committee, California Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein could decide to claim the gavel on the Judiciary panel.

Big U.S. Airlines Get $1.6 Billion In Passenger Fees In 3 Months
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