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THE NOONER for December 11, 2012

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Good foggy morning to you from the Nooner's Davis headquarters, where I'm delighted to be again quenching my caffeine thirst with Pepper Peddler. For my DC friends and readers, I'll be out there Friday and Saturday evenings if anyone wants to grab a pint to talk California and, well, any other, politics. If all goes well flight-wise, I should be in Dupont Circle by 5:45pm on Friday.

**THE NOONER'S TWELVE DAYS OF CHRISTMAS CONTEST**

For the next 12 days (including Saturday and Sunday), CAPoliticalMaps.com and Political Data Inc. will be asking a question each day, which will be answered on the CAPoliticalMaps.com site. The closest (and first in the event of a tie) answer each day by 9pm PST will win a free map from CAPoliticalMaps.com and a $5 Starbucks gift card--a $50.00 value.

YESTERDAY'S QUESTION:  How many California registered voters have the first name "Santa"?

YESTERDAY'S ANSWER: 388

WINNER: Derek Humphrey at 392. Guesses ranged from 0 to 14,900, and the other two closest were at 365 and 400. And, there are no registered voters currently named "Santa Claus."

And, yes, that's the same Humphrey, a political consultant at Shallman Communications, who tied for first in the June election contest and placed in the top 25 in the November election contest.

TODAY'S QUESTION:  The Grinch Who Stole My Senator: How many CA voters, due to a Redistricting anomaly, will have no State Senator this Christmas (and not until December 2014)?  [SUBMIT YOUR ANSWER]

BONUS: If you are the winner of the question of the day and are one of the 147 paid Nooner subscriber (of at least 6 months) or join by the 9pm of the day of your answer, I will throw in a $50 Amazon gift card! This will apply to all twelve days of the contest.

NOTED: The "true" twelve days of Christmas commence on December 25 for the period also known as Christmastide. That said, I'll probably have a few days of Nooner liberation during that time.

VOTED: As you know, we have been bordering on obsession in this space about exactly what the youth vote was in the November election. In advance of the election, I was arguing that the public polls were understating the youth vote, with most of them weighting their 18-29 year old voters as 12% of the electorate. Following the election, I said it wasn't possible that 18-29 year olds were 27% of the electorate, as the media consortium exit poll found.

We are starting to get actual data that will give us the answer. PDI has complete data from four large counties, which find that 18-29 year olds composed the following shares of the November 2012 electorate:

  • Orange County: 19% of registered, 15% of voted
  • Riverside: 22% of registered, 15% of voted
  • Sacramento: 20% of registered, 14% of voted
  • Santa Clara: 18% of registered, 14% of voted

If other counties hold up to these rates, it will be true that the electorate was younger than forecasted by most pollsters. However, the bigger question will be about how Edison Media Research could have almost double-sampled young people in a methodology that supposedly included both VBM and precinct voters.

LANDED: Former Assemblymember Alyson Huber joins lobbying/law firm Greenberg Traurig, the global law firm that established a Sacramento presence by acquiring Livingston and Mattesich. [h/t CapitolAlert]

LISTENED AND LOVED: "The fiscal cliff for English majors" [Ari Shapiro @ NPR]

DECIDED: In an interview with Anthony York about moving his political money to a 501(c)(3), Jim Brulte says he is indeed running for state GOP chair.

PANNED: The University of California unveiled a new logo last Friday, and lots of folks aren't crazy about setting aside the traditional "Let There Be Light" academic logo with a modern, web-friendly logo. In an editorial today, the Bee refers to it as a "toilet bowl." SearchEngineLand.com founder and tech insider Danny Sullivan calls it a "worm drowning in water."

It may be time for UC to order "Masters of Disaster" by Chris Lehane, Mark Fabiani and Bill Guttentag, which is released today. It's already on my iPad.

COMMANDED: THE 10 COMMANDMENTS OF DAMAGE CONTROL: I. Full disclosure ... II. Speak to your core audience ... III. Don't feed the fire. ... IV. Details matter ... V. Hold your head high ... VI. Be straight about what you know, what you don't know, and what you are going to do to fix the problem ... VII. Respond with overwhelming force .... VIII. First in, first out ... IX. No swiftboating ... X. They dissemble, you destroy." [h/t Politico Playbook]

Hardcover $16.99/Kindle $12.99 - http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/r.html?s=n&l=http://amzn.to/WH4G9E

** CLASSIFIEDS**

 

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UPDATED: Los Angeles candidate filings for March 5, 2013 municipal election

Mayor

  • Carlton Dole (pending signature validation)
  • Yehuda "YJ" Draiman
  • Eric Garcetti
  • Wendy Greuel
  • Jenney Horst (pending signature validation)
  • Kevin James
  • Addie Miller
  • Jan Perry
  • Emanuel Alberto Pleitez
  • Norton Sandler

City Attorney

  • Mike Feuer
  • Carmen "Nuch" Trutanich
  • Greg Smith
  • Noel Weiss

Controller

  • Jeff Bornstein
  • Cary Brazeman
  • Ron Galperin
  • Analilia Joya
  • Ankur Patel
  • Dennis P. Zine

City Council, District 1

  • Gilbert Cedillo
  • Jose A. Gardea
  • William "Rodriguez" Morrison (failed signature validation)
  • Jesse Rosas

City Council, District 3

  • Elizabeth Badger
  • Bob Blumenfield
  • Cary T. Iaccino
  • Matt Jackson (pending signature validation)
  • Joyce J. Pearson (pending signature validation)
  • Steven E. Presberg
  • Scott Silverstein (pending signature validation)

City Council, District 5

  • Paul Koretz
  • Mark Matthew Herd (pending signature validation)

City Council, District 7

  • Jesse David Barron (pending signature validation)
  • Nicole Chase
  • Krystee Clark
  • Felipe Fuentes

City Council, District 9

  • Manuel "Manny" Aldana (pending signature validation)
  • Gerald Allan Busch (pending signature validation)
  • Justin Allen Clayton (failed signature validation)
  • Ana Cubas
  • Mike Davis (pending signature validation)
  • Ron Gochez
  • Terry Hara
  • Sherita J. Herring (pending signature validation)
  • Curren D. Price, Jr.
  • David Roberts

City Council, District 11

  • Odysseus Bostick
  • Mike Bonin
  • Mark Darius Frank (failed signature validation)
  • Tina Hess
  • Frederick Sutton

City Council, District 13

  • G. Christopher Ashe (pending signature validation)
  • John Choi
  • Scott Crawford (pending signature validation)
  • Alexander Cruz De Ocampo
  • Ana Grande (withdrawn)
  • Roberto Haraldson
  • Sam Kbushyan
  • Emile Mack
  • Rueben A. Martinez (pending signature validation)
  • Robert Negrete
  • Mitch O'Farrell
  • Josh Post
  • Michael Schaefer
  • Jose Sigala
  • Matt Szabo

 

 

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Heady Stuff For Washington State Tokers
Justin Berton @
sfgate.com
For all of derision showered upon "San Francisco values," Seattle - the laid-back land of coffee, rain and grunge ethos - and the rest of Washington state have taken a step into uncharted liberal territory, one that California voters shied from when they approved Proposition 8's ban on same-sex marriage in 2008 and voted against legalizing pot two years later.

Will The Kabatecks Find Brotherly Love At The California Capitol? Don't Bet On It
Laurel Rosenhall @
sacbee.com
Their professional rivalry now lands in the state Capitol, where the brothers will be at odds in the upcoming legislative session, each trying to influence lawmakers from opposite ends of the ideological spectrum. John, 44, represents the business lobby as executive director of the California chapter of the National Federation of Independent Business. Brian, 51, represents traditionally liberal interests as the new president of Consumer Attorneys of California.

New, Simpler UC Logo Draws Derision
Carolyn Lochhead @
sfgate.com
Since 1868, the University of California's motto has been "Let there be light." Now the university's new logo is bringing plenty of heat.

LAUSD Workers Union Endorses Both School Board Incumbents
Howard Blume @
latimesblogs.latimes.com
An important labor group has announced its candidate endorsements for the Los Angeles Board of education, days after the powerful teacher union issued its choices for the March election.

Former Lawmaker Poised To Lead State GOP
JIM MILLER @
pe.com
Former Inland lawmaker Jim Brulte seems poised to take the reins of the ailing California Republican Party, which suffered major losses in last month’s election amid falling voter registration and disillusioned donors.

State Dedicating Sacramento Freeway Interchange To Fallen Employees
Jon Ortiz @
blogs.sacbee.com
Early next year, the state will officially name the junction of Interstate 5 and U.S. 50 in Sacramento to honor Caltrans employees killed in the line of duty,

$822,000 Worker Shows California Leads U.S. Pay Giveaway
Mark Niquette, Michael B. Marois & Rodney Yap @
bloomberg.com
Payroll data compiled by Bloomberg on 1.4 million public employees in the 12 most-populous states show that California has set a pattern of lax management, inefficient operations and out-of-control costs. From coast to coast, states are cutting funding for schools, public safety and the poor as they struggle with fallout left by politicians who made pay-and-pension promises that taxpayers couldn’t afford.

Preparing For 'Fiscal Cliff' Investors Move Assets To Avoid Higher Taxes
Michael A. Fletcher and Dina ElBoghdady @
washingtonpost.com
As lawmakers struggle to agree on a plan to avert the series of tax increases looming next year, many investors are taking preemptive action to get out of harm’s way.

Legislative Support Elusive For Adult Ed Funding Plan
Susan Frey @
edsource.org
California's Legislative Analyst’s Office says the state's embattled adult education system needs a dedicated and permanent funding stream that can't be appropriated for other school programs when the state budget goes south.

Oakland Port Audits: Questionable Spending - Sfgate
sfgate.com
An internal audit of 2011 expenses was already under way in October when news emerged that the port's executive director, Omar Benjamin, and maritime director, James Kwon, inappropriately spent $4,537 at a Houston strip club in 2008. While port executives say it's not unusual for workers to wine and dine potential clients - and even hand out promotional items like key chains - the internal audit found that $194,087, or roughly 10 percent of all credit card expenses in 2011, failed to meet proper spending and disclosure guidelines. Additionally, the audits found that port employees spent $67,404 in gifts and giveaways that may have violated federal bribery laws and state gift laws. The gifts included $19,493 in wine and liquor, $11,397 in Tiffany silver key rings and $1,683 for U2 concert tickets for port staff, a port tenant's staff and four personal guests. Flint and the port's Board of Commissioners, which released the audits on Monday, said they initiated the audits as a way to build greater public trust and transparency in the wake of the scandal. -- $90,098 for purchases from an unidentified Southern California vendor that the California secretary of state's office lists as having a suspended business status. Gilda Gonzales, president of the port's Board of Commissioners, said at Monday's board meeting that "the vast majority of port employees have followed the rules and have been doing the right thing." The port scandal erupted in October after The Chronicle revealed that Kwon spent thousands in public money at a Houston strip club. Agency's fundingThe Port of Oakland is an unusual public agency in that it is largely funded through business revenue from leases as well as federal and state grants. Of that money, $10,306 was spent on Christmas gifts, and tickets to Golden State Warriors and Oakland Raiders games. Of $50,000 worth of meal and entertainment expenses that auditors randomly sampled, not one included the detail required by the Internal Revenue Service or even the port's own policies.

Bondholders Object To CalPERS' Plans To Sue San Bernardino - Business - The Sacramento Bee
sacbee.com
A group of powerful bondholders joined the fight against CalPERS today as the pension fund tries to sue the bankrupt city of San Bernardino.

Obama And Boehner Seem To Get Along Fine; Politics Is The Problem
Kathleen Hennessey and Melanie Mason, Washington Bureau @
latimes.com
Despite acrimonious budget fights, President Obama and House Speaker John Boehner seem to get along fine personally, sharing golf dates and birthday greetings.

Viewpoints: Arc of history doesn't favor foes of gay marriage
sacbee.com
However the Supreme Court decides on California's Proposition 8 and the federal Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) next June, gay marriage in the United States is here to stay and eventually will be legally enshrined and socially accepted.

Google avoided $2 billion in 2011 global tax payments with Bermuda shell company
Jesse Drucker @
mercurynews.com
Google avoided about $2 billion in worldwide income taxes in 2011 by shifting $9.8 billion in revenues into a Bermuda shell company, almost double the total from three years before, filings show.

Oakland Pot Club Case Goes To Magistrate
Bob Egelko @
sfgate.com
The city of Oakland, fighting the federal government's attempt to shut down the nation's largest medical marijuana dispensary, is accusing the government of trying to win the case by bullying the building owner into evicting the pot club under the threat of losing her property.

National Briefing | Washington: Delay Sought for Visa Cases That Involve Same-Sex Spouses
nytimes.com
Americans are seeking legal residency visas for their foreign-born spouses of the same sex want their immigration cases delayed until the Supreme Court issues a ruling on same-sex marriage next year.

Republicans less likely to compromise than Democrats, poll says
James Rainey @
latimes.com
Americans routinely express frustration that politicians in Washington can’t rise above partisanship to find compromises. That talk has been especially thick as Congress and President Obama posture and dig in on the tax-and-spending plan they must reach to avoid the onerous New Year’s rebudgeting known as the fiscal cliff.

Program Cuts Health Costs By Housing The Homeless
Marty Graham @
healthycal.org
Sixteen months after a coalition of San Diego nonprofit groups took the county’s most costly homeless people – highest consumers of ambulance rides, emergency room and police resources – and put them into permanent housing, the cost savings are adding up.

Sherman-Berman Race Sets California Spending Record
Richard Simon @
latimes.com
A total of $16.3 million was spent on the contest won by Sherman, making it one of the most costly congressional races in the country.

Prison for ex-Oregon congressman in tax fraud case
The Associated Press @
utsandiego.com
A former Oregon congressman has been sentenced to a year in federal prison for failing to report nearly $500,000 he received from a $10 million investment fraud scheme.

California Lost More People To Other States Than It Gained In 2011
Dan Walters @
blogs.sacbee.com
About 100,000 more Californians moved to another state in 2011 than California gained from other states, a new Census Bureau report reveals.

Senate's 'Dr. No' says 'yes' to taxes
Scott Wong @
politico.com
The Oklahoma senator and obstetrician known as “Dr. No” has taken on the most unlikely of roles: getting Republicans to say “yes” to tax hikes.