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THE NOONER for November 2, 2012

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E-4

NOVEMBER 2012 ELECTION CONTEST - Vote by Sunday, November 4 at 5 p.m.

Don't forget, you can cast or update your contest ballot anytime before Sunday at 5pm at the below link! Over 300 folks have cast ballots, although many of you need to finish your picks.

##CONTESTLINK##

THE REPORTS FROM POLITICAL DATA INC. (NOT A FINAL REPORT):

The Secretary of State is expected to post the final October 22 registration statistics around the time the elves send out The Nooner. I'll likely have a Nooner Nightcap tomorrow with final registration thoughts. We expect total registration to be higher than the last report above from PDI as a couple of counties had not submitted final data when the report was run.

I hope to have the new data on the AroundTheCapitol district pages by 6pm and my page of changes from the previous report will be automatically updated at the same time.

I'd like to thank Political Data Inc., Paul Mitchell, and his team for this series of reports. Growing up in the election world, I dreamt of having this sort of data flow, which is finally possible. It truly an amazing database, particularly of the new voters that few campaigns are reaching. Here's the latest targeting count sheet from PDI, with both new registrations and total voters.

FIELD POLL [n=1,566, telephone multilingual, 10/17-10/30/12, +/- 2.6%]

Proposition 32: Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 34%
No: 50%
Undecided: 16%

Proposition 34: Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 45%
No: 37%
Undecided: 17%

EFFECT ON BALLOT POLLING AVERAGES:

  • Prop 32 "yes" to 40.2% (-2.0%), "no" to 46.9%, undecided 11.9%
  • Prop 34 "yes" 43.4% (+0.9%), "no" 42.6%, undecided 5.8%

All measures have had changes to polling averages as my algorithm dated older polls.

PROP 32 FACTOID: The biggest supporters of Prop 32 are youing voters aged 18-29, at at 40.7%. All other groups are below 40%, with very low support of 30-39 year olds of only 25%.

PROP 34 FACTOID: Among age groups, 50-64 year olds are the most supportive of ending the death penalty (48%), while 18-29 year olds support Prop 34 at 46%. In other words, if you believe Field is undersampling young voters (as I do), it may not have a significant effect on Prop. 34.

TOWEL, MEET RING: Yes on 38 had $1.2 million on hand as of October 20. Molly Munger's last contribution of $2 million was on October 11, and only about $15,000 has come in down the stretch.

DAN WALTERS: California Democrats hope for surge of young voters [SacBee]

Also, I blew the link on that SurveyUSA poll that finds Prop 30 at 51% yes. Here's the correct link, although crosstabs are still not available.

VBM TURNOUT REPORTED THUS FAR:

  • Dem: 44%
  • Rep: 29%
  • Other: 27% 

POLITICAL GEEK PORN: NBC News's 150-page Election Briefing Book

Sorry, a bit short, as I have an early phone call for the day job and the federal IEs take quite a bit of time!

 

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Ballot Measure Endorsements
PaperP30P31P32P33P34P35P36P37P38P39P40
Bakersfield Californian N Y Y N Y Y Y N Y Y Y
LA Daily News Y Y Y N Y Y Y N N N Y
LATimes Y N N N Y N  Y N N Y Y
MercNews/BANG Y Y N N Y Y Y N N Y Y
OCRegister N N Y Y N Y Y N N N Y
Press-Enterprise N N Y N N N Y N N Y Y
SacBee Y N N N Y  N Y N N Y Y
SFChron Y Y N N Y Y Y N N N Y
UTSanDiego N Y Y N   Y Y N N N Y

 

Federal Independent Expenditure Reports
Independent SpenderCandidatePurposeAmountDate
America Shining Ed Royce (Oppose) Television Ad $4,801.20 10/31/12
America Shining Ed Royce (Oppose) Newspaper Ad $234.81 10/31/12
America Shining Ed Royce (Oppose) Newspaper Ad $600.00 10/31/12
Spirit of Democracy America Paul Cook (Support) Campaign Literature and Mailings $16,064.51 10/31/12
Spirit of Democracy America Abel Maldonado (Support) Campaign Literature and Mailings $24,358.73 10/31/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Ami Bera (Support) Phone Banking $80.12 10/25/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Ami Bera (Support) Phone Banking $24.37 10/26/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Ami Bera (Support) Phone Banking $309.87 10/31/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Ami Bera (Support) Phone Banking $1,222.00 11/4/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Dan Lungren (Oppose) Phone Banking $80.12 10/25/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Dan Lungren (Oppose) Phone Banking $24.37 10/26/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Dan Lungren (Oppose) Phone Banking $309.87 11/31/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Jerry McNerney (Support) Phone Banking $11.50 10/25/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Jerry McNerney (Support) Phone Banking $34.00 10/26/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Jerry McNerney (Support) Phone Banking $545.50 10/31/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Jerry McNerney (Support) Phone Banking $1,203.00 11/4/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Pete Stark (Support) Phone Banking $132.74 10/25/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Pete Stark (Support) Phone Banking $11.87 10/26/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Pete Stark (Support) Phone Banking $132.74 10/26/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Pete Stark (Support) Phone Banking $132.74 10/26/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Pete Stark (Support) Phone Banking $733.50 11/31/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Pete Stark (Support) Phone Banking $1,151.75 11/4/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Pete Stark (Support) Minutes for Phone Banking $315.00 11/4/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Ami Bera (Support) Minutes for Phone Banking $123.75 11/4/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Dan Lungren (Oppose) Minutes for Phone Banking $123.75 11/4/12
Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte Jerry McNerney (Support) Minutes for Phone Banking $187.50 11/4/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman Howard Berman (Support) Slate Mail $3,250.00 10/31/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman Howard Berman (Support) Slate Mail $1,350.00 10/31/12
House Majority PAC Jeff Denham (Oppose) Direct Mail $10,452.50 10/31/12
House Majority PAC Tony Strickland (Oppose) Direct Mail $12,023.77 10/31/12
House Majority PAC Mary Bono Mack (Oppose) Direct Mail $9,230.28 10/31/12
House Majority PAC Jose Hernandez (Support) Online Advertising $8,180.00 10/31/12
Re-elect Congressman Kucinich Committee Raul Ruiz (Support) Emails $22.35 10/31/12
Re-elect Congressman Kucinich Committee Pete Stark (Support) Emails $1,382.40 10/31/12
Women Vote! Gloria Negrete McLeod (Support) Mailhouse $34,324.64 11/1/12
Citizens for Prosperity and Good Government Brad Sherman (Support) Slate card $9,000.00 11/1/12
Independence USA PAC Joe Baca (Oppose) Direct Mail Services $100,196.80 10/31/12
CREDO SuperPAC Dan Lungren (Oppose) Field Organizer $640.02 11/1/12
CREDO SuperPAC Dan Lungren (Oppose) Field Organizer $213.34 11/1/12
CREDO SuperPAC Dan Lungren (Oppose) Field Organizer $426.68 11/1/12
CREDO SuperPAC Dan Lungren (Oppose) Field Organizer $435.00 11/1/12
CREDO SuperPAC Dan Lungren (Oppose) Field Organizer $540.02 11/1/12
CREDO SuperPAC Dan Lungren (Oppose) Field Organizer $640.02 11/1/12
League of Conservation Voters Dan Lungren (Oppose) Staff time $11.42 10/18/12
League of Conservation Voters Dan Lungren (Oppose) Persuasion mail $38,665.00 10/31/12
Cooperative of American Physicians IE Cmte Mary Bono Mack (Support) Telephone Calls $3,430.68 10/18/12
Committee for an Effective and Trusted Congressman Henry Waxman (Support) Staff time $25,000.00 11/1/12
Democratic Foundation of Orange County Alan Lowenthal (Support) Mailer $870.94 10/25/12
Democratic Foundation of Orange County Loretta Sanchez (Support) Mailer $1,077.26 10/25/12

 

State Independent Expenditure Reports
Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
Alliance For California's Tomorrow, A California Business Coalition Richard Alarcon (Oppose) $18,838 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Alliance For California's Tomorrow, A California Business Coalition Raul Bocanegra (Support) $15,000 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
Alliance To Get California Working Political Action Committee Cheryl Brown (Oppose) $29,866 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Bob Filner (Support) $1,629 10/29/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Mark Powell (Oppose) $3,224 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) J. Gregg Robinson (Support) $2,228 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Bob Filner (Support) $191 10/30/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Bernie Rhinerson (Support) $1,075 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Carl Demaio (Oppose) $764 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) John Lee Evans (Support) $1,075 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) J. Gregg Robinson (Support) $113 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Bob Filner (Support) $224 10/27/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Kimberley Beatty (Support) $1,481 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) John Witt (Oppose) $2,228 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Marne Foster (Support) $1,075 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Bob Filner (Support) $113 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
Bonta For Assembly 2012, With Major Funding By The California Professional Firefighters And California School Employees Association, Support Rob Rob Bonta (Support) $13,130 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Jimmy Gomez For Assembly (Support) $22,020 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
California Black Political Action Committee Cheryl Brown (Support) $3,117 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
California Conservative Pac Jim Nielson (Support) $39,061 10/30/2012 11/01/2012
California Medical Association Political Action Committee-calpac Tax For Early Education And Early Childhood Progra (Oppose) $10,000 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
California Professional Firefighters Ie Pac Phil Ting (Support) $6,564 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
California Professional Firefighters Ie Pac Phil Ting (Support) $21,318 10/24/2012 11/01/2012
California Professional Firefighters Ie Pac Rudy Salas (Support) $23,159 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Marty Block (Support) $6,317 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Marty Block (Support) $1,354 10/23/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Marty Block (Support) $16,937 10/30/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Jose Medina (Support) $19,737 10/30/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Marty Block (Support) $1,920 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Jose Medina (Support) $4,314 10/23/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Jose Medina (Support) $9,388 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Jose Medina (Support) $8,471 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (cslea) Independent Expenditure Committee (iec) Marty Block (Support) $850 10/18/2012 11/01/2012
California Taxpayer Protection Committee Roger Hernandez (Oppose) $16,459 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
California Taxpayer Protection Committee Roger Hernandez (Oppose) $16,579 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
California Taxpayers Advocate Tax For Early Education And Early Childhood Progra (Oppose) $1,000 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
California Taxpayers Advocate Prohibits Political Contributions By Payroll Deduc (Support) $1,000 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
California Taxpayers Advocate Temporary Taxes To Fund Education. Guaranteed Loca (Oppose) $1,000 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
California Taxpayers Advocate Tax Treatment For Multistate Businesses. Clean Ene (Oppose) $1,000 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Al Muratsuchi (i) (Support) $37,199 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Jim Beall (i) (Support) $45,789 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Joe Baca Jr. (i) (Support) $26,051 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
California Tribal Business Alliance Ie Pac Cheryl Brown (Support) $34,957 10/24/2012 11/01/2012
California Tribal Business Alliance Ie Pac Cheryl Brown (Support) $37,488 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Californians Allied For Patient Protection Independent Expenditure Account Candidate Jennifer Ong (Support) $19,930 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
Chau For Assembly 2012, Independent Doctors For A Better Future To Support Ed Ed Chau (Support) $3,399 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Citizens Against Wasteful Spending Fran Pavley (Oppose) $12,500 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
Citizens Against Wasteful Spending Fran Pavley (Oppose) $58,258 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Citizens Against Wasteful Spending Joe Coto (Support) $7,500 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Communities For A New California, Fresno Committee Rhodesia Ransom (Support) $1,891 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Consumer Advocates For Safe Food And Wataer, Sponsored By Food & Water Watch Genetically Engineered Foods. Labeling. (Support) $101,250 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Consumer Federation Of California Changes Law To Allow Insurance Companies To Set Pr (Oppose) $1,098 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Consumer Federation Of California Changes Law To Allow Insurance Companies To Set Pr (Oppose) $1,828 10/30/2012 11/01/2012
Cooley For Assembly 2012, Local Businesses And Employees Supporting Ken Ken Cooley (i) (Support) $28,013 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
Cooperative Of American Physicians Independent Expenditure Committee Jennifer Ong (Support) $28,060 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Courage Campaign Issues Committee Prop. 32 - Prohibits Political Contributions By Pa (Oppose) $182 10/30/2012 11/01/2012
Courage Campaign Issues Committee Prop. 30 - Temporary Taxes To Fund Education. Guar (Support) $382 10/30/2012 11/01/2012
Courage Campaign Issues Committee Prop. 32 - Prohibits Political Contributions By Pa (Oppose) $857 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Courage Campaign Issues Committee Prop. 30 - Temporary Taxes To Fund Education. Guar (Support) $857 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Courage Campaign Issues Committee Prop. 30 - Temporary Taxes To Fund Education. Guar (Support) $400 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
Democratic Foundation Of Orange County Sharon Quirk-silva (Support) $1,135 10/29/2012 11/01/2012
Democratic Foundation Of Orange County Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction. Cont (Oppose) $2,748 10/25/2012 11/01/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 38 (Oppose) $16 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 35 (Support) $543 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 33 (Oppose) $13 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 40 (Support) $537 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 31 (f496) (Oppose) $4 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 35 (Support) $649 10/29/2012 11/01/2012
Independent Voter Pac George Plescia (Support) $35,538 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
Inland Empire Taxpayers Association Jeff Miller (Support) $48,734 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Sharon Quirk-silva (Oppose) $18,023 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Ken Cooley (Oppose) $37,329 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Chris Norby (Support) $6,008 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
L.a. County Firefighters Local 1014, Iaff Education Project Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction. Con (Oppose) $2,099 10/22/2012 11/01/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Bill Berryhill (i) (Oppose) $5,750 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Richard D. Roth (i) (Support) $25,140 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Bill Batey (i) (Oppose) $10,000 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Jeff Miller (i) (Oppose) $52,440 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Betsy Butler (i) (Support) $26,418 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Cathleen Galgiani (i) (Support) $12,510 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Richard Bloom (i) (Oppose) $17,381 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Jose J. Medina (i) (Support) $16,760 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Orange County Business Council Dba Biz Pac Jordan Brandman (Support) $11,998 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Parents And Teachers For Putting Students First Cheryl Brown (Support) $18,498 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Peace Officers Research Association Of California (porac) Statewide Independent Expenditure Committee Brian Dahle (Support) $14,647 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Perea Reviving Jobs And The Economy Ballot Measure Committee Human Trafficking. Penalties. Initiative Statute. (Support) $3,000 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Phil Ting (Support) $7,961 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Tax To Fund Education And Early Childhood Programs (Oppose) $5,030 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Temporary Taxes To Fund Education, Guaranteed Loca (Support) $799 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Mark Leno (Support) $627 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Death Penalty Repeal, Initiative Statute (Support) $416 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Phil Ting (Support) $627 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Phil Ting (Support) $6,038 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Tax To Fund Education And Early Childhood Programs (Oppose) $70 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Temporary Taxes To Fund Education, Guaranteed Loca (Support) $7,477 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Tom Ammiano (Support) $2,304 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Genetically Engineered Foods, Mandatory Labeling, (Support) $787 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Prohibits Political Contribuitons By Payroll Deduc (Oppose) $999 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Death Penalty Repeal, Initiative Statute (Support) $2,198 11/01/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Tom Ammiano (Support) $627 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Genetically Engineered Foods, Mandatory Labeling, (Support) $416 10/26/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Prohibits Political Contribuitons By Payroll Deduc (Oppose) $7,877 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Mark Leno (Support) $2,304 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Democratic County Central Committee Death Penalty Repeal, Initiative Statute (Support) $5,183 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
San Francisco Fire Fighters P.a.c. Proposition 32 (Oppose) $1,618 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Seiu - United Long Term Care Workers Local 6434 State Pac Temp Taxes To Fund Educ. Guranteed Local Pub. Sfty (Support) $116,143 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Seiu - United Long Term Care Workers Local 6434 State Pac Prohibits Pol. Contrib. By Payroll Deductions (Oppose) $116,143 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
South Bay Afl-cio Labor Council Issues Account Sponsored By South Bay Afl-cio Labor Council Education/public Safety Funding (Support) $9,564 10/31/2012 11/01/2012
Yes We Can Sharon Quick-silva (Support) $7,649 10/31/2012 11/01/2012

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Two Senators Demand Answers On CSU's Legislative Scorecard
Dan Walters @
blogs.sacbee.com
Two state senators - one Democrat and one Republican - demanded Thursday that the California State University system's trustees tell them who authorized spending for a "legislative report card" that rated lawmakers on how well they supported the system's political goals.

A Small County Party Plays A Big Role In Financing Local Senate Campaign
Timm Herdt @
vcstar.com
There are only about 60,000 Republican voters in San Luis Obispo County, 150 miles up Highway 101 from eastern Ventura County's 27th Senate District. But campaign finance reports show those voters seem to have taken a fairly intense interest in the GOP candidate in that district, as their local Republican Party has given Todd Zink $714,000 to wage his campaign against incumbent Democrat Fran Pavley. The amount works out to about $12 for every Republican in San Luis Obispo County.

Gov. Jerry Brown Touts Prop. 30 -- And California -- In San Francisco Appearance
Local @
contracostatimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown gives impassioned arguments for Proposition 30, his beleaguered tax-hike ballot measure, and for California itself while speaking in San Francisco.

Reversing The Trigger Cuts
Joel Fox @
foxandhoundsdaily.com
With the election only days away and the Proposition 30 tax initiative too close to call, Republican legislators sent a letter to educators saying they want to reverse the trigger cuts aimed at education if Prop 30 loses. Some Democratic legislators have hinted that they, too, would work to reverse the trigger cuts.

Death-penalty Measure's Support Jumps
Bob Egelko @
sfgate.com
A ballot measure to repeal California's death penalty and replace it with life in prison without parole has gained support in the last week and leads by 45 to 38 percent among likely voters in the final Field Poll before Tuesday's election.

Labor Mounts Massive Effort To Get Out Vote And Defeat Prop. 32
Michael J. Mishak @
latimes.com
The intense fight against the measure that would curb unions' fundraising could also give a boost to Gov. Jerry Brown's tax initiative.

California Democrats Hope For Surge Of Young Voters
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
There definitely has been a big surge in California voter registration in recent days – largely young and Democratic – fueled by the party's pre-election drives and a new online registration system.

More Than 500,000 Already Have Voted By Mail, L.A. County Says
latimesblogs.latimes.com
More than half a million voters already have returned their mail ballots to county elections officials. Mail ballots must be received by the time the polls close at 8 p.m. Tuesday, Nov. 6.

Will Betsy Butler's Sex Pervert Vote Kill Her Political Career?
Patrick Range McDonald @
laweekly.com
On June 27, far from Los Angeles in the state capital, Assemblywoman Betsy Butler refused to vote on a major reform of the byzantine California laws that give sex-pervert teachers and violent teachers a strong hand in fighting school districts that try to fire them. Butler, under pressure from the California Teachers Association, which has fought to maintain the intricate protections, never dreamed that her abstention from voting — which helped kill the law — would come back to haunt her.

Ad Watch: Anti-Cooley flier distorts candidate's work for Senate insurance committee
sacbee.com
Campaign fliers opposing Assembly candidate Ken Cooley call him a former insurance lawyer and lobbyist who continues to assist that industry in his Senate job, advising lawmakers how to vote on insurance bills. The Democrat is running against Republican Peter Tateishi in the 8th Assembly District, from Citrus Heights to south of Wilton. The following is an excerpt from a flier by Consumers for Choice, a group funded by Food4Less, and an analysis by The Bee's Jim Sanders of the allegations against Cooley:

Attorneys For Shadowy Arizona Group Pack Powerful Political Connections
Steven Harmon @
mercurynews.com
The Arizona group that recently burst onto the scene to join Californias ballot measure battles with an anonymous $11 million donation to a small-business PAC has packed a Sacramento court with legal heavyweights with powerful political connections.

Gov. Jerry Brown Has No Patience For 'Dystopians And Declinists'
Anthony York @
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown spoke some Latin, quoted former Soviet dissident Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, and compared his attempt to get GOP support for higher taxes to “asking the pope to legalize birth control" during an appearance at the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco on Thursday afternoon.

L.A. Council Moves Forward On Four Proposed Tax Increases
Kate Linthicum @
latimes.com
City lawyers are told to prepare language for ballot measures that would raise property, real estate, parking and sales taxes. Some members favor sales tax hike only.

Outside Spenders Continue To Shell Out Big Money In Inland Empire Races
Andrew Edwards @
dailybulletin.com
The Center for Responsive Politics, a non-partisan group that analyzes campaign spending, predicts total election spending for the presidential race and other 2012 contests will exceed $6 billion.

Assembly District 39's Dilemma
Patrick Range McDonald @
laweekly.com
In the highly charged race between indicted L.A. City Councilman Richard Alarcon and another political insider, Raul Bocanegra, the mostly Latino voters of Assembly District 39 in the northeast San Fernando Valley are not getting the choice some had hoped for: at least one candidate who stands for a different kind of politics.

Brown Debates Economy Long Distance With Manufacturers
Dan Walters @
blogs.sacbee.com
It was just a a semi-coincidence that as Gov. Jerry Brown was touting California on Thursday as an engine of economic growth, the California Manufacturers and Technology Association was declaring the state to be falling behind the rest of the country.

Soda Industry Pours Millions Into Campaign To Defeat Richmond Tax
Matt Drange @
baycitizen.org
The beverage industry has spent nearly $2.5 million to crush a soda tax ballot measure in Richmond, records show, in a costly bid to keep the idea of taxing sugary drinks from spreading nationwide.

Backing For Proposition 30 Slips Below 50 Percent
Mark DiCamillo and Mervin Field @
capitolweekly.net


Darius Anderson, Doug Bosco Purchase Santa Rosa Newspaper
Torey Van Oot @
blogs.sacbee.com
Two California political power brokers are expanding their stake in the North Bay newspaper market.

Yes on Prop. 34: Limit the Power of Government
flashreport.org
Conservatives routinely carp about government. It’s big. It’s bad. It’s incompetent. But, shift the conversation about government to the death penalty and a miracle happens. Suddenly, these same conservatives endorse the greatest application of state power.

Many Death Row Inmates Oppose Bid To Halt Executions
Maura Dolan @
latimes.com
If Proposition 34 passes, such prisoners would be given less legal assistance than they have now. Many would rather gamble on being executed.

Field Poll Shows Measure To End Death Penalty Gaining, But Still Lacking 50%
Sam Stanton @
sacbee.com
With concern over the cost of capital punishment rising, California voters may be poised for a historic vote to abolish the state's death penalty, a new Field Poll indicates.

Lower Income Voters Could Save Gov. Gandalf’s Ass « Calbuzz
calbuzz.com
First the numbers: Field has Prop. 30 ahead 48-38%, compared to PPIC which had it at 48-44% and USC/LA Times at 46-42%. In other words, no public poll found the measure with a majority, but all of them found enough undecideds to pull the measure ahead.

Richardson Denies Depleting Funds
Jonathan Allen @
politico.com
“Congresswoman Laura Richardson has adequate funding to carry out the official duties of her office through the end of the 112th Congress,” Richardson’s chief of staff, Shirley Cooks, said in a statement read during a conference call with Richardson, a POLITICO editor and a POLITICO reporter. “The internal email referenced a single line item budgeted for mass mailings and not the MRA budget as a whole. Any other inferences of my email are false.”