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THE NOONER for October 24, 2012

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E-13

I'll be a bit short today, as I'm at a conference and it was a short night!

FIRST PITCH: 5:07pm PDT

VBM REPORT: 1,233,230 have voted (43% Dem, 37% Rep, 20% Other).

DEM GOOD NEWS: CD21 (Hernandez v. Valadao): 52% Dem, 35% Rep, 17% DTS

REP GOOD NEWS: CD52 (Bilbray v. Peters): 34% Dem, 42% Rep, 9% DTS

REGISTRATION: 1,023,775 people registered to vote online. We'll know on November 2 how many of these were new and what the composition looks like. This could be a game changer in ballot measures and some races--if they turn out. On that note, for all these young people that are registering and choosing vote by mail, do they have stamps? I know it's a big ordeal for me to find one when I need it.

Some folks have asked about differences between voter registration numbers that I use in my analysis and are posted on ATC versus those they see on Paul Mitchell's reports or they get from counties. I update my VR numbers when the Secretary of State releases period reports, and I'm currently operating on the 60-day prior to registration report. The final numbers should be available next week.

POLIGEEK FANTASY: There is a possibility of a Romney-Biden ticket.

HOLY COW: Union contributions push No on Prop. 32 money past $60 million [Jon Ortiz @ SacBee]

PROP30: Powerful new No on 30 ad.

SD05: Who the heck is the "Barbarians at the Gate Political Action Committee" spending against Cathleen Galgiani? No source of funds has been disclosed.

AD08: Democratic Party continues huge spending for Ken Cooley.

DEPT OF CORRECTIONS: John Tavaglione is a Riverside County Supervisor, not a mayor. That's why he was president of the California State Association of Counties. 

 

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Ballot Measure Endorsements
PaperP30P31P32P33P34P35P36P37P38P39P40
Bakersfield Californian N Y Y N Y Y Y N Y Y Y
LA Daily News Y Y Y N Y Y Y N N N Y
LATimes Y N N N Y N  Y N N Y Y
MercNews/BANG Y Y N N Y Y Y N N Y Y
OCRegister N N Y Y N Y Y N N N Y
Press-Enterprise N N Y N N N Y N N Y Y
SacBee Y N N N Y  N Y N N Y Y
SFChron Y Y N N Y Y Y N N N Y
UTSanDiego N Y Y N   Y Y N N N Y

 

Federal Independent Expenditure Reports
Independent SpenderCandidatePurposeAmountDate
Stand With America Gregg Imus (Oppose) Phone Calls $21,604.01 10/22/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Tony Strickland (Support) Staff Time $6.08 10/22/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Tony Strickland (Support) Printing $45,593.00 10/22/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Tony Strickland (Support) Staff Time $24.16 10/22/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Tony Strickland (Support) Staff Time $17.18 10/22/12
American Society of Anesthesiologists PAC Pete Stark (Support) Radio Production and Placement $75,000.00 10/22/12
American Society of Anesthesiologists PAC Ami Bera (Support) Radio Production and Placement $75,000.00 10/22/12

 

State Independent Expenditure Reports
Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
A Committee In Support Of The Safe California Act, Sponsored By Aclu Of Northern California Death Penalty. Iniative Statute (Support) $6,865 09/14/2012 10/23/2012
A Committee In Support Of The Safe California Act, Sponsored By Aclu Of Northern California Death Penalty. Iniative Statute (Support) $3,000 10/17/2012 10/23/2012
A Committee In Support Of The Safe California Act, Sponsored By Aclu Of Northern California Death Penalty. Initiative Statue (Support) $8,000 09/12/2012 10/23/2012
A Committee In Support Of The Safe California Act, Sponsored By Aclu Of Northern California Death Penalty. Iniative Statute (Support) $3,000 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
A Committee In Support Of The Safe California Act, Sponsored By Aclu Of Northern California Death Penalty. Iniative Statute (Support) $75 09/21/2012 10/23/2012
Alarcon For Assembly 2012, Spnsrd & Major Funding By Cnsmr Attys Of Ca Ind. Cmpgn Cmte And L.a. Cnty Federation Of Labor Afl-cio Council On Political Education Cmte, Californians For Accountability Richard Alarcon (Support) $15,951 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Barbarians At The Gate Political Action Committee Cathleen Galgiani (Oppose) $11,987 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Bosetti For Assembly 2012; Northstate Farm And Business Pac, Supporting Rick Brian Dahle (Oppose) $33,332 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Richard Alarcon (Oppose) $39,987 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
California Calls Action Fund: A Coalition Of Social Justice Organizations For Prop. 30 And Against Prop. 32 Prop. 39 - Tax Treatment For Multistate Businesses (Support) $4,212 10/20/2012 10/23/2012
California Calls Action Fund: A Coalition Of Social Justice Organizations For Prop. 30 And Against Prop. 32 Prop. 34 - Death Penalty Repeal (Support) $4,212 10/20/2012 10/23/2012
California Calls Action Fund: A Coalition Of Social Justice Organizations For Prop. 30 And Against Prop. 32 Prop. 40 - Redistricting. State Senate Districts. (Support) $4,212 10/20/2012 10/23/2012
California Calls Action Fund: A Coalition Of Social Justice Organizations For Prop. 30 And Against Prop. 32 Prop. 36 - Three Strikes Law. Sentencing For Repea (Support) $4,212 10/20/2012 10/23/2012
California Calls Action Fund: A Coalition Of Social Justice Organizations For Prop. 30 And Against Prop. 32 Prop. 37 - Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory (Support) $4,212 10/20/2012 10/23/2012
California Calls Action Fund: A Coalition Of Social Justice Organizations For Prop. 30 And Against Prop. 32 Prop. 33 - Changes To Law To Allow Auto Insurance (Oppose) $4,212 10/20/2012 10/23/2012
California Charter Schools Association Advocates Independent Expenditure Committee Rosie Torres (Support) $4,743 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Al Muratsuchi (i) (Support) $38,992 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
California Tribal Business Alliance Ie Pac Joe Baca (Oppose) $26,785 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Californians Allied For Patient Protection Independent Expenditure Account Candidate Bill Quirk (Oppose) $49,130 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Californians Allied For Patient Protection Independent Expenditure Account Candidate Richard Alarcon (Oppose) $25,251 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Californians For Good Schools & Good Jobs Jimmy Gomez (Support) $41,160 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Chau For Assembly 2012, Independent Doctors For A Better Future To Support Ed Ed Chau (Support) $2,915 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Cooperative Of American Physicians Independent Expenditure Committee Rudy Salas (Support) $2,878 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Cooperative Of American Physicians Independent Expenditure Committee Roger Hernandez (Support) $23,266 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Cooperative Of American Physicians Independent Expenditure Committee Adam Gray (Support) $1,902 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Dart Container Corporation Jeff Miller (Support) $12,635 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Fuentes Reform California Ballot Measure Committee, Felipe Paycheck Protection (Oppose) $1,667 10/12/2012 10/23/2012
Fuentes Reform California Ballot Measure Committee, Felipe The Schools And Local Public Safety Protection Act (Support) $1,667 10/12/2012 10/23/2012
Gay And Lesbian Victory Fund Luis Lopez (Support) $12,247 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Ken Cooley (Oppose) $35,113 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Edwin Chau (Oppose) $42,371 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Peter Tateishi (Support) $35,113 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Los Angeles County Federation Of Labor Afl-cio Council On Political Education Richard Alaracon (Support) $877 10/21/2012 10/23/2012
Los Angeles County Federation Of Labor Afl-cio Council On Political Education Richard Alaracon (Support) $20,250 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Los Angeles County Federation Of Labor, Afl-cio Issues And Initiatives Committee Pol Contribs By Payroll Ded. Contribs To Candidate (Oppose) $3,037 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Los Angeles County Federation Of Labor, Afl-cio Issues And Initiatives Committee Temp Taxes To Fund Ed. (Support) $2,500 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Marine Clerks Ilwu Local 63- Pac Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction. Con (Oppose) $1,332 10/17/2012 10/23/2012
Octaxpac, Sponsored By The Orange County Taxpayers Association Sam Allevato (Support) $2,382 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Octaxpac, Sponsored By The Orange County Taxpayers Association Ginny Kerr (Support) $2,382 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Richard Bloom (i) (Oppose) $57,092 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Bill Berryhill (i) (Oppose) $75,547 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Orange County Coalition Of Police & Sheriffs Independent Expenditure Committee (aka Oc Cops Iec) Chris Norby (Oppose) $58,761 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Parents And Teachers For Putting Studentsfirst Cheryl Brown (Support) $40,752 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Peace Officers Research Association Of California (porac) Statewide Independent Expenditure Committee Brian Dahle (Support) $16,000 10/18/2012 10/23/2012
Peace Officers Research Association Of California (porac) Statewide Independent Expenditure Committee Brian Dahle (Support) $15,670 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Perea For Assembly 2012 Human Trafficking. Penalties. Initiative Statute. (Support) $10,000 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Southern California Pipe Trades District Council 16 Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction. Con (Oppose) $3,500 09/26/2012 10/23/2012
Spirit Of Democracy California Rocky Chavez (Support) $41,987 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
United Educators Of San Francisco Candidate Pac Sam Rodriguez (Support) $19,380 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
United Educators Of San Francisco Candidate Pac Shamann Walton (Support) $19,380 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
United Educators Of San Francisco Candidate Pac Matt Haney (Support) $19,380 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
United Educators Of San Francisco Candidate Pac Beverly Ho-a-yun Popek (Support) $19,380 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
United Food And Commercial Workers 8 Golden State Political Action Committee Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction (Oppose) $1,436 10/22/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop 33-changes Law To Allow Auto Insurance Compan (Support) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop 37-genetically Engineered Foods. Ma (Oppose) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Proposition 30 -temporary Taxes To Fund Education. (Oppose) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Proposition 034 - Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative (Oppose) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop38-tax For Early Education And Earl (Oppose) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop 31-state Budget. State And Local Government. (Support) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop 35-human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender (Support) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop 39-tax Treatment For Multistate Bus (Oppose) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop 32 - Prohibits Political Contributions By Pay (Support) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop 36-three Strikes Law. Sentencing Fo (Oppose) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012
Ventura County Republican Party Prop 40-redistricting. State Sentate Dis (Support) $1,231 10/23/2012 10/23/2012

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Prop 30 Tests Budget Future, Brown Legacy
John Myers @
news10.net
When California voters head to the polls on November 6, they will be faced with a fiscal gut check at the very top of the statewide ballot: a multi-billion dollar tax increase, already assumed as part of the state's budget. Its fate may say a lot about the future of schools, the state's finances, and the political legacy of California's iconoclast governor.

Prop. 39 Would Recoup $1 Billion California Lost In Tax Breaks
Evan Halper @
latimes.com
Proposition 39 would alter how income tax on businesses is calculated, with firms outside California paying more.

Ad Watch: No on 30 campaign misleads on gasoline tax, school funding, donors
sacbee.com
The No on 30 campaign launched a new ad this week attacking Gov. Jerry Brown's initiative raising taxes for education and the state budget. Following is the text of the ad and an analysis by Kevin Yamamura of The Bee Capitol Bureau:

Jerry Brown Pitches To The Fresno Cameras
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown wrapped up a four-stop campaign swing for his tax plan in Fresno on Tuesday, promising to continue traveling the state between now and election day to rally support for Proposition 30.

California Gov. Jerry Brown Accuses Proposition 30 Foes Of 'orwellian Propaganda'
Local @
mercurynews.com
SACRAMENTO -- With less than two weeks to go before Election Day, Gov. Jerry Brown said today he is doing everything he can to overcome what he called the "Orwellian propaganda" of big-monied opponents to his tax-hike measure.

Sen. Feinstein Starts Statewide Tv Campaign Ad
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Dianne Feinstein has begun airing a TV ad, the first of her re-election campaign. Feinstein challenger Elizabeth Emken is widely viewed as the underdog.

Californians Had Fourth Highest State-local Tax Burden In 2010
Dan Walters @
blogs.sacbee.com
Californians paid the nation's fourth highest state and local taxes in 2010, as a percentage of personal income, and 13th highest on a per-capita basis, according to an annual compilation by the Washington-based Tax Foundation.

California lawmakers altered 5,000 votes
HANNAH DREIER and JULIET WILLIAMS, Associated Press @
mercurynews.com
SACRAMENTO -- In a closely contested state Senate campaign, Assemblywoman Cathleen Galgiani has been urging voters to judge her on her legislative achievements, saying on her website that she is "proud to have a record of standing up for the people of my district.

Jerry Brown pivots to link Proposition 30 to voters' top issue -- jobs
David Siders @
sacbee.com
His tax initiative in trouble just two weeks before Election Day, Gov. Jerry Brown is re-tuning his campaign message, casting his initiative as a jobs measure in a bid to broaden its appeal.

Jerry Brown Discouraged By 'the Non-tv Voter'
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Before a campaign stop at a San Diego school, Gov. Jerry Brown stopped by a coffee shop for a cappuccino -- and an impromptu focus group.

Andy Pugno Releases Radio Attack And Asks Donors To Keep It On The Air
Jim Sanders @
blogs.sacbee.com
Assembly candidate Andy Pugno, whose strapped coffers have forced him to run a low-profile campaign, launched a radio offensive this week attacking opponent Beth Gaines as an "insider politician" who is "hiding from voters."

Amid Attacks, Gov. Brown Urges Supporters To Sign Prop. 30 Pledge
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Facing an onslaught of negative ads, Gov. Jerry Brown is turning to the Internet to drive voter turnout for his tax initiative, Proposition 30. On Tuesday, the Democratic governor sent his supporters an email asking them to sign a pledge...

Mercury Rising, Again
Darwin BondGraham @
eastbayexpress.com
Insurance giant Mercury General is back with another statewide measure -- Prop 33 -- that would allow insurers to jack up rates for low-income drivers.

Slate Mailers Sully California Mailboxes
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
Political mailers are filling mailboxes all over California, thanks to a bumper crop of contentious ballot measures and the most competitive array of legislative and congressional seats in decades.

Gov. Brown: A Lot Of Californians Haven’t Heard About Prop. 30
Wyatt Buchanan, Michael Collier, Richard Dunham, Bob Egelko, Joe Garofoli, Marisa Lagos, Carolyn Lochhead, Carla Marinucci, @
blog.sfgate.com
Gov. Brown: A lot of Californians haven’t heard about Prop. 30

Ed Lee In Rift With Mirkarimi Backers
Heather Knight and John Cote @
sfgate.com
Mayor Ed Lee, the usually genial consensus mayor who helms what he's dubbed "the city family," has iced out several family members over their support of the reinstatement of Sheriff Ross Mirkarimi.

AP Exclusive: Calif. lawmakers altered 5,000 votes
HANNAH DREIER and JULIET WILLIAMS, Associated Press @
utsandiego.com
In a closely contested state Senate campaign, Assemblywoman Cathleen Galgiani has been urging voters to judge her on her legislative achievements, saying on her website that she is "proud to have a record of standing up for the people of my district."

AP Interview: Brown Says Schools' Future At Stake
JULIET WILLIAMS @
sanluisobispo.com
As he makes a last-minute push for his November tax initiative, Gov. Jerry Brown said Tuesday that he wants to make sure voters "know the stakes" for California's K-12 schools and colleges before they cast their ballots.

What Would Proposition 34 Do?
Willy Nolan @
neontommy.com
The Proposition raises several issues about executing criminals, such as the cost of sending convicts to death row, the possibility that those convicted could be innocent and whether the death penalty deters crime and provides closure to victims' families.

California Poised To Set Voter Registration Record
ibabuzz.com
By Josh Richman Tuesday, October 23rd, 2012 at 3:47 pm in Debra Bowen, voter registration.

Clinton leads rally for 5 congressional candidates at UC Irvine
Phil Willon @
latimes.com
The former president tells a young, friendly crowd that their votes for Democrats can help stem 'the reactionary tide.'

DeMaio, Filner oppose broad education powers for mayor
utsandiego.com
While mayors of other major cities are assuming a more active role in schools, the two men running for San Diego mayor said Tuesday they have no desire to take control of city schools but plan to use their bully pulpit to lobby for education initiatives.

Analyst: Sacramento Home Prices Will Outpace National Average Next Year - Business - The Sacramento Bee
sacbee.com
In this Sept. 12, 2012, photo, new homes are under construction in Edmond, Okla. Nearly all regions of the United States are reporting that stronger housing markets have helped boost economic growth since the middle of August, according to a survey relased Wed. Oct. 10, 2012, by the Federal Reserve. The Fed says growth improved in 10 of its 12 regional banking districts, while leveling off in one region and slowing in another. Rising home sales helped lift home prices.