THE NOONER for October 24, 2012

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E-13

I'll be a bit short today, as I'm at a conference and it was a short night!

FIRST PITCH: 5:07pm PDT

VBM REPORT: 1,233,230 have voted (43% Dem, 37% Rep, 20% Other).

DEM GOOD NEWS: CD21 (Hernandez v. Valadao): 52% Dem, 35% Rep, 17% DTS

REP GOOD NEWS: CD52 (Bilbray v. Peters): 34% Dem, 42% Rep, 9% DTS

REGISTRATION: 1,023,775 people registered to vote online. We'll know on November 2 how many of these were new and what the composition looks like. This could be a game changer in ballot measures and some races--if they turn out. On that note, for all these young people that are registering and choosing vote by mail, do they have stamps? I know it's a big ordeal for me to find one when I need it.

Some folks have asked about differences between voter registration numbers that I use in my analysis and are posted on ATC versus those they see on Paul Mitchell's reports or they get from counties. I update my VR numbers when the Secretary of State releases period reports, and I'm currently operating on the 60-day prior to registration report. The final numbers should be available next week.

POLIGEEK FANTASY: There is a possibility of a Romney-Biden ticket.

HOLY COW: Union contributions push No on Prop. 32 money past $60 million [Jon Ortiz @ SacBee]

PROP30: Powerful new No on 30 ad.

SD05: Who the heck is the "Barbarians at the Gate Political Action Committee" spending against Cathleen Galgiani? No source of funds has been disclosed.

AD08: Democratic Party continues huge spending for Ken Cooley.

DEPT OF CORRECTIONS: John Tavaglione is a Riverside County Supervisor, not a mayor. That's why he was president of the California State Association of Counties. 

Prop 30 Tests Budget Future, Brown Legacy
John Myers @ news10.net

When California voters head to the polls on November 6, they will be faced with a fiscal gut check at the very top of the statewide ballot: a multi-billion dollar tax increase, already assumed as part of the state's budget. Its fate may say a lot about the future of schools, the state's finances, and the political legacy of California's iconoclast governor.

Prop. 39 Would Recoup $1 Billion California Lost In Tax Breaks
Evan Halper @ latimes.com

Proposition 39 would alter how income tax on businesses is calculated, with firms outside California paying more.

Ad Watch: No on 30 campaign misleads on gasoline tax, school funding, donors
sacbee.com

The No on 30 campaign launched a new ad this week attacking Gov. Jerry Brown's initiative raising taxes for education and the state budget. Following is the text of the ad and an analysis by Kevin Yamamura of The Bee Capitol Bureau:

Jerry Brown Pitches To The Fresno Cameras
latimesblogs.latimes.com

Gov. Jerry Brown wrapped up a four-stop campaign swing for his tax plan in Fresno on Tuesday, promising to continue traveling the state between now and election day to rally support for Proposition 30.

California Gov. Jerry Brown Accuses Proposition 30 Foes Of 'orwellian Propaganda'
Local @ mercurynews.com

SACRAMENTO -- With less than two weeks to go before Election Day, Gov. Jerry Brown said today he is doing everything he can to overcome what he called the "Orwellian propaganda" of big-monied opponents to his tax-hike measure.

Sen. Feinstein Starts Statewide Tv Campaign Ad
latimesblogs.latimes.com

Dianne Feinstein has begun airing a TV ad, the first of her re-election campaign. Feinstein challenger Elizabeth Emken is widely viewed as the underdog.

Californians Had Fourth Highest State-local Tax Burden In 2010
Dan Walters @ blogs.sacbee.com

Californians paid the nation's fourth highest state and local taxes in 2010, as a percentage of personal income, and 13th highest on a per-capita basis, according to an annual compilation by the Washington-based Tax Foundation.

California lawmakers altered 5,000 votes
HANNAH DREIER and JULIET WILLIAMS, Associated Press @ mercurynews.com

SACRAMENTO -- In a closely contested state Senate campaign, Assemblywoman Cathleen Galgiani has been urging voters to judge her on her legislative achievements, saying on her website that she is "proud to have a record of standing up for the people of my district.

Jerry Brown pivots to link Proposition 30 to voters' top issue -- jobs
David Siders @ sacbee.com

His tax initiative in trouble just two weeks before Election Day, Gov. Jerry Brown is re-tuning his campaign message, casting his initiative as a jobs measure in a bid to broaden its appeal.

Jerry Brown Discouraged By 'the Non-tv Voter'
latimesblogs.latimes.com

Before a campaign stop at a San Diego school, Gov. Jerry Brown stopped by a coffee shop for a cappuccino -- and an impromptu focus group.

Andy Pugno Releases Radio Attack And Asks Donors To Keep It On The Air
Jim Sanders @ blogs.sacbee.com

Assembly candidate Andy Pugno, whose strapped coffers have forced him to run a low-profile campaign, launched a radio offensive this week attacking opponent Beth Gaines as an "insider politician" who is "hiding from voters."

Amid Attacks, Gov. Brown Urges Supporters To Sign Prop. 30 Pledge
latimesblogs.latimes.com

Facing an onslaught of negative ads, Gov. Jerry Brown is turning to the Internet to drive voter turnout for his tax initiative, Proposition 30. On Tuesday, the Democratic governor sent his supporters an email asking them to sign a pledge...

Mercury Rising, Again
Darwin BondGraham @ eastbayexpress.com

Insurance giant Mercury General is back with another statewide measure -- Prop 33 -- that would allow insurers to jack up rates for low-income drivers.

Slate Mailers Sully California Mailboxes
Dan Walters @ sacbee.com

Political mailers are filling mailboxes all over California, thanks to a bumper crop of contentious ballot measures and the most competitive array of legislative and congressional seats in decades.

Gov. Brown: A Lot Of Californians Haven’t Heard About Prop. 30
Wyatt Buchanan, Michael Collier, Richard Dunham, Bob Egelko, Joe Garofoli, Marisa Lagos, Carolyn Lochhead, Carla Marinucci, @ blog.sfgate.com

Gov. Brown: A lot of Californians haven’t heard about Prop. 30

Ed Lee In Rift With Mirkarimi Backers
Heather Knight and John Cote @ sfgate.com

Mayor Ed Lee, the usually genial consensus mayor who helms what he's dubbed "the city family," has iced out several family members over their support of the reinstatement of Sheriff Ross Mirkarimi.

AP Exclusive: Calif. lawmakers altered 5,000 votes
HANNAH DREIER and JULIET WILLIAMS, Associated Press @ utsandiego.com

In a closely contested state Senate campaign, Assemblywoman Cathleen Galgiani has been urging voters to judge her on her legislative achievements, saying on her website that she is "proud to have a record of standing up for the people of my district."

AP Interview: Brown Says Schools' Future At Stake
JULIET WILLIAMS @ sanluisobispo.com

As he makes a last-minute push for his November tax initiative, Gov. Jerry Brown said Tuesday that he wants to make sure voters "know the stakes" for California's K-12 schools and colleges before they cast their ballots.

What Would Proposition 34 Do?
Willy Nolan @ neontommy.com

The Proposition raises several issues about executing criminals, such as the cost of sending convicts to death row, the possibility that those convicted could be innocent and whether the death penalty deters crime and provides closure to victims' families.

California Poised To Set Voter Registration Record
ibabuzz.com

By Josh Richman Tuesday, October 23rd, 2012 at 3:47 pm in Debra Bowen, voter registration.

Clinton leads rally for 5 congressional candidates at UC Irvine
Phil Willon @ latimes.com

The former president tells a young, friendly crowd that their votes for Democrats can help stem 'the reactionary tide.'

DeMaio, Filner oppose broad education powers for mayor
utsandiego.com

While mayors of other major cities are assuming a more active role in schools, the two men running for San Diego mayor said Tuesday they have no desire to take control of city schools but plan to use their bully pulpit to lobby for education initiatives.

Analyst: Sacramento Home Prices Will Outpace National Average Next Year - Business - The Sacramento Bee
sacbee.com

In this Sept. 12, 2012, photo, new homes are under construction in Edmond, Okla. Nearly all regions of the United States are reporting that stronger housing markets have helped boost economic growth since the middle of August, according to a survey relased Wed. Oct. 10, 2012, by the Federal Reserve. The Fed says growth improved in 10 of its 12 regional banking districts, while leveling off in one region and slowing in another. Rising home sales helped lift home prices.