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THE NOONER for October 19, 2012

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E-18

Happy Friday. It's a very happy Friday for me, as I woke up in my own bed for only the second time in twelve days. Hopefully that explains some of the stupid errors I've made, such as writing that the Stockton Record endorsed Galgiani. My first draft, saying that the two major papers split endorsements, was correct. The Stockton Record endorsed Bill Berryhill, and I apologize for the error.

I'm still really pissed at a Republican consultant who was circulating false accusations against Sacramento City College yesterday, alleging that public funds were being used to buy gift cards to encourage students to attend a Prop 30 rally. It was utterly false, and the consultant didn't retract the accusation, instead offering that the reporters he sent it to would "figure it out."

If I screw up, I admit it with an apology.

DATA GEEKERY: 563,467 (7%) of VBM voters have cast their ballots. (7% of Dems, 8% of Reps, 6% other)

REASON-RUPE POLL - likely voters

Proposition 30

  • Yes: 50%
  • No: 46%
  • Don't know: 4%

Proposition 32

  • Yes: 45%
  • No: 48%
  • Don't know: 6%

Proposition 38

  • Yes: 42%
  • No: 52%
  • Don't know: 6%

[Princeton Survey Research Int'l for Reason-Rupe, n=508, +/- 5.1%, 10/11-10/15/2012]

Here is the impact of the poll on the Around The Capitol polling averages:

Proposition 30: Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.

Yes: 50.8% (-0.3%)
No: 39.9%
Undecided: 9.1%

Proposition 32: Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 44.4% (+0.2%)
No: 43.8%
Undecided: 11.5%

Proposition 38: Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 42.1% (-0.0%)
No: 47.0%
Undecided: 10.9%

GOOD NEWS: Unemployment in California dropped 0.4% in August to 10.2%.

The LAT finally weighs in on Prop 31, writing:

But the measure includes no such flexibility because it could only be revised by another vote of the people. Thus, it exemplifies one of California's enduring problems — the ballot proposition that engrafts layers of inflexible detail into the state Constitution. That's unfortunate and ironic, because California Forward's focus had been, and should be, on fixing precisely this kind of ballot-box constitutionalizing. Voters should resist the outward attraction of Proposition 31 and insist instead on workable budget and governmental fixes.

To which, I ask, what happened to the momentum of the Bay Area Council and California Forward last year about a constitutional convention or other major reform effort. Seems like we're back to the starting line . . .

TAKE NOTE, ALANIS:  "An $11 million anonymous out-of-state donation in support of "The Stop Special Interest Money Now Act" — is that the most ironic campaign donation of the 2012 season? Or of all time?" [Redding Record Searchlight]

CD30: Roll Call: "The Berman-Sherman race has officially gone, like, mega-ballistic."

CD36: Campaign analysts now reporting 36th has narrowed to a dead heat [Rebecca Walsh @ Desert Sun]

CD52: Grover Norquist comes in big against Scott Peters (see below in federal IEs).

SD13/SD15: MercNews: "Beall is the safe vote in District 15, and Hill is the smart vote in District 13."

SD21: Rep for Assemblyman Steve Knight arrested following standoff, grenades found [Doug Saunders @ Inland Valley Daily Bulletin]

AD50: Anderson Cooper criticizes Betsy Butler for sitting out the vote on making it easier for schools to fire teachers accused of sexual abuse.

CH-CH-CH-CHANGES: Today is Jodi Hicks's last day at the California Medical Association, and she is joining DiMare, Van Vleck & Brown. Juan Torres assumes her role as head of gov't relations at CMA.

Okay, peruse the endorsements update and IEs, and then STEP AWAY FROM THE COMPUTER. It's going to be a beautiful weekend throughout California before our first fall storm next week. And, cross your fingers for an unlikely comeback by the Giants. First pitch is at 5:07 PDT.

 

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Ballot Measure Endorsements
PaperP30P31P32P33P34P35P36P37P38P39P40
Bakersfield Californian N Y Y N Y Y Y N Y Y Y
LA Daily News Y Y Y N Y Y Y N N N Y
LATimes Y N N N Y N  Y N N Y Y
MercNews/BANG Y Y N N Y Y Y N N Y Y
OCRegister N N Y Y N Y Y N N N Y
Press-Enterprise N N Y N N N Y N N Y Y
SacBee Y N N N Y  N Y N N Y Y
SFChron Y Y N N Y Y Y N N N Y
UTSanDiego N Y Y N   Y Y N N N Y

 

Federal Independent Expenditure Reports
Independent SpenderCandidatePurposeAmountDate
House Majority PAC Brian Bilbray (Oppose) Direct Mail $13,175.00 10/16/12
House Majority PAC Tony Strickland (Oppose) Direct Mail $8,835.40 10/16/12
House Majority PAC Tony Strickland (Oppose) Direct Mail $6,157.47 10/16/12
Stand With America Paul Cook (Support) Printing, Design, Data, Postage, and Consulting $33,390.54 10/17/12
Cooperative of American Physicians IE Cmte Paul Cook (Support) Mailer $15,499.60 10/18/12
Americans for Tax Reform Scott Peters (Oppose) Media Buy, TV & Cable $462,826.00 10/17/12
Americans for Tax Reform Scott Peters (Oppose) Advertisement Production and e-Shipment $8,672.00 10/17/12
Sierra Club Independent Action Dan Lungren (Oppose) Salaries & Benefits $75.32 09/30/12
Sierra Club Independent Action Dan Lungren (Oppose) Salaries & Benefits $53.10 10/15/12
Sierra Club Independent Action Dan Lungren (Oppose) Salaries & Benefits $53.10 09/30/12
Sierra Club Independent Action Dan Lungren (Oppose) Salaries & Benefits $237.48 09/30/12
Sierra Club Independent Action Dan Lungren (Oppose) Salaries & Benefits $218.45 09/30/12
Sierra Club Independent Action Dan Lungren (Oppose) Salaries & Benefits $24.27 10/15/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Abel Maldonado (Oppose) Media Buy $57,191.40 09/30/12
Spirit of Democracy America Lois Capps (Oppose) TV or Cable Airtime and Production Costs $22,500.00 10/15/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Howard Berman (Support) Staff Time $30.40 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Staff Time $30.40 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Howard Berman (Support) Solicitation & Fundraising Exp $2,492.13 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Howard Berman (Support) Solicitation & Fundraising Exp $555.33 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Solicitation & Fundraising Exp $1,024.77 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Solicitation & Fundraising Exp $343.17 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Howard Berman (Support) Staff Time $12.08 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Staff Time $12.08 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Howard Berman (Support) Staff Time $34.35 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Staff Time $17.18 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Howard Berman (Support) Mass Mailings $1,538.00 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Jerry McNerney (Support) Mass Mailings $1,175.03 10/17/12
Humane Society Legislative Fund Howard Berman (Support) Staff Time $34.35 10/17/12
America Shining Ed Royce (Oppose) Television Ad $4,801.20 10/17/12
America Shining Ed Royce (Oppose) Newspaper Ad $220.41 10/17/12
America Shining Ed Royce (Oppose) Newspaper Ad $600.00 10/17/12
Citizens for Prosperity and Good Government Paul Cook (Support) Live and Automated Telephone Calls $9,396.75 10/01/12
Citizens for Prosperity and Good Government Paul Cook (Support) Telephone for Live and Recorded Calls $991.94 10/01/12

 

State Independent Expenditure Reports
Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
Alarcon For Assembly 2012, Spnsrd & Major Funding By Cnsmr Attys Of Ca Ind. Cmpgn Cmte And L.a. Cnty Federation Of Labor Afl-cio Council On Political Education Cmte, Californians For Accountability Richard Alarcon (Support) $17,903 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Yes On Proposition 30 (Support) $422 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) No On Propositon 32 (Oppose) $422 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) Yes On Proposition 30 (Support) $615 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
American Federation Of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego And Grossmont Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee On Political Education (aka: Aft Guild, Local 1931 - C.o.p.e) No On Propositon 32 (Oppose) $615 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Bosetti For Assembly 2012; Northstate Farm And Business Pac, Supporting Rick Brian Dahle (Oppose) $24,897 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
California Alliance, A Coalition Of Consumer Attorneys And Conservationists. Bill Quirk (i) (Support) $25,200 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Rob Bonta (Support) $9,662 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
California Senior Advocates League Pac Beth Gaines (Support) $18,789 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
California Teachers Association Independent Expenditure Committee Jim Beall (i) (Support) $78,730 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
California Tribal Business Alliance Ie Pac Joe Baca (Oppose) $36,854 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
Californians Allied For Patient Protection Independent Expenditure Account Assembly Member Jeff Miller (Support) $25,135 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
Californians For Fiscal Accountability And Responsibility, Sponsored By Dentists, Physicians, Health Care Providers, Realtors, School Employees And Construction Trades Organizations Jimmy Gomez (Support) $25,385 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Californians For Fiscal Accountability And Responsibility, Sponsored By Dentists, Physicians, Health Care Providers, Realtors, School Employees And Construction Trades Organizations Craig Huey (i) (Oppose) $156,938 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
Californians For Fiscal Accountability Sponsored By Dentists, School Employees, Health Care Providers, Correctional Officers And Construction Trades Organizations Frank Bigelow (i) (Support) $425 10/15/2012 10/18/2012
Californians For Fiscal Accountability Sponsored By Dentists, School Employees, Health Care Providers, Correctional Officers And Construction Trades Organizations Rico Oller (i) (Oppose) $9,053 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Californians For Fiscal Accountability Sponsored By Dentists, School Employees, Health Care Providers, Correctional Officers And Construction Trades Organizations Rico Oller (i) (Oppose) $425 10/15/2012 10/18/2012
Californians For Fiscal Accountability Sponsored By Dentists, School Employees, Health Care Providers, Correctional Officers And Construction Trades Organizations Frank Bigelow (i) (Support) $9,053 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Californians For Good Schools & Good Jobs Joe Coto (Oppose) $61,882 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Chau For Assembly 2012, Independent Doctors For A Better Future To Support Ed Ed Chau (Support) $2,210 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Citizens Against Wasteful Spending Jose Medina (Oppose) $107,115 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
Cooperative Of American Physicians Independent Expenditure Committee Phil Ting (Support) $24,842 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 34 (Support) $12,050 10/09/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 31 (Oppose) $12,050 10/09/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 38 (Oppose) $12,050 10/09/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 35 (Support) $16,539 10/10/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 40 (Support) $12,050 10/09/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 35 (Support) $16,539 10/12/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 36 (Support) $12,050 10/09/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 33 (Oppose) $12,050 10/09/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 35 (Support) $12,050 10/09/2012 10/18/2012
Democratic State Central Committee Of California Proposition 37 (Support) $12,050 10/09/2012 10/18/2012
Jobspac, A Bi-partisan Coalition Of California Employers Peter Tateishi (Support) $28,726 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Los Angeles County Federation Of Labor, Afl-cio Issues And Initiatives Committee Pol Contribs By Payroll Ded. Contribs To Candidate (Oppose) $1,982 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Massey, Valeta J. Proposition 34 (Support) $50,000 09/09/2012 10/18/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Bill Batey (i) (Oppose) $23,156 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Peter Tateishi (i) (Oppose) $55,755 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Jose J. Medina (i) (Support) $23,156 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Bill Berryhill (i) (Oppose) $75,547 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Opportunity Pac - A Coalition Of Teachers, Health Care Givers, Faculty Members And Other School And Public Employees Jeff Miller (i) (Oppose) $22,871 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Peace Officers Research Association Of California (porac) Statewide Independent Expenditure Committee Brian Dahle (Support) $16,000 10/18/2012 10/18/2012
Seiu - United Long Term Care Workers Local 6434 State Pac Temp Taxes To Fund Educ. Guranteed Local Pub. Sfty (Support) $34,309 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Small Business Action Committee Independent Expenditure Pac George Plescia (Support) $2,000 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Small Business Action Committee Independent Expenditure Pac Mike Stoker (Support) $4,176 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Small Business Action Committee Independent Expenditure Pac Eric Linder (Support) $1,650 10/17/2012 10/18/2012
Spirit Of Democracy California Peter Tateishi (Support) $250,000 10/17/2012 10/18/2012

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Gov. Jerry Brown Rallies Sacramento Students For Prop. 30
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown on Thursday urged students to back Proposition 30, his November tax initiative, saying the measure would stop years of cuts to community colleges. Speaking to about 200 students at a courtyard rally at Sacramento City College, Brown...

Stark Drops Another Election Bombshell
Carla Marinucci @
sfgate.com
It may be the most bizarre congressional race in California. The twists and turns just keep on coming in the unexpectedly close 15th District contest between San Lorenzo Democratic Rep. Pete Stark, 81 - the dean of the California House delegation - and his 31-year-old challenger, Alameda County prosecutor Eric Swalwell.

Landmark California School Law Wins Key Court Ruling
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
Gloria Romero grew up in Barstow, the daughter of a railroad worker, and like many of the desert community's young, left for the big city – in her case Los Angeles, where she earned advanced degrees, and became a college professor and later a Democratic state legislator. By happenstance, however, Romero's most important legislation – empowering parents to take control of failing public schools – is making its first impact in Adelanto, just a few miles from Barstow.

Tax Group Sues Cal State Monterey Bay Over Prop. 30 Advocacy
Evan Halper @
latimes.com
The Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Assn. suit accuses the head of the humanities department of emailing students to 'work together to pass Prop. 30.'

Taxpayer group sues Calif university over email
JULIET WILLIAMS, Associated Press @
utsandiego.com
An anti-tax group filed a lawsuit Thursday against California State University, Monterey Bay over an email sent by a professor urging students to support Proposition 30, the governor's tax initiative on the November ballot.

Cal State Report Card On Higher-ed Votes Angers Many Lawmakers
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Administrators at the California State University system have poked a stick in a hornet's nest by putting out their first-of-its-kind report card indicating how much support state legislators gave priority bills on higher education.

Jerry Brown stumps for Prop. 30 at Sacramento City College
Laurel Rosenhall @
blogs.sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown rallied hundreds of students at Sacramento City College today as he continued the campaign to get college students excited about his Proposition 30 tax increase.

Viewpoints: Will Prop. 39 achieve tax fairness for businesses? Yes
Kevin Johnson @
sacbee.com
A lot is being asked of California voters in this election, with the ballot crowded with complex measures and the airwaves flooded with ads. But Proposition 39 is an example of why the citizen initiative process is so important, and why voters should take a moment to understand how this measure will help the Sacramento region and our state.

Election 2012: Taxpayer-Funded Mail Lands Heaviest In Campaign Territory
JIM MILLER @
pe.com
California lawmakers in competitive races Nov. 6 spent the summer sending hundreds of thousands of taxpayer-funded mailers to parts of their districts that overlap areas where they are on the ballot, a review of legislative records shows.

Unemployment Falls In Seven Key Election Swing States
contracostatimes.com
Unemployment rates fell or held steady last month in nine key swing states at the center of this years presidential election.

Oakland Files Suit Against Politically Connected Taxi Barons
Wyatt Buchanan, Michael Collier, Richard Dunham, Bob Egelko, Joe Garofoli, Marisa Lagos, Carolyn Lochhead, Carla Marinucci, @
blog.sfgate.com
Oakland files suit against politically connected taxi barons

The Buzz: California Voter Foundation Is Back With A New 'Proposition Song'
Jim Sanders @
sacbee.com
Having trouble sorting through the 11 measures on next month's ballot? The California Voter Foundation has the tune for you.

Maryland voters tilt toward same-sex marriage initiative
Morgan Little @
latimes.com
Maryland could become one of the first states legalize same-sex marriage at the ballot box, a new poll from the Washington Post suggests.

California governor seeks college vote
Steven Harmon @
mercurynews.com
Brown tries to tap into new voters anxious about their future for support of his tax initiative, Proposition 30.

Brown says Prop. 30's tax hikes would be minimal
JULIET WILLIAMS, Associated Press @
utsandiego.com
Gov. Jerry Brown is telling college students that the sales tax component of his November ballot initiative is a small price to pay for a more stable state budget.

Taxpayer Group Sues Cal State For Advocating On Prop. 30
Laurel Rosenhall @
blogs.sacbee.com
The Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association has sued the California State University alleging a professor at the Monterey Bay campus sent students an email advocating in favor of a tax measure on the Nov. 6 ballot.

Voters To Decide On Controversial State Budget Changes
latimesblogs.latimes.com
On politics in the Golden State

Prop. 31 Seeks Government Reform But Could Backfire, Critics Say
Chris Megerian @
latimes.com
The measure features an array of provisions, including two-year state budgets. Backers see an example of California's initiative process working as it should, while foes see the opposite.

Brown says Prop 30's higher taxes would be minimal
JULIET WILLIAMS, Associated Press @
utsandiego.com
Gov. Jerry Brown sought to persuade college students on Thursday to support his November tax measure, telling them a quarter-cent increase in the state sales tax and higher income taxes on the wealthy are a small price to pay for a more stable state budget and secure higher education funding.

Federal Court Ruling Gives California Politics Watchdog More Teeth
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Federal court gives more teeth to campaign watchdog

Communities For Teaching Excellence, Los Angeles-based Education Organization, Closing
Barbara Jones @
dailynews.com
A Los Angeles-based education advocacy organization backed by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation will disband next month as a crowded field of reform groups compete for limited funding, officials said Thursday.

Editorial: Outside bucks seek to swing two ballot props
sacbee.com
Supporters of Proposition 32 claim that their campaign finance initiative "cuts the money tie between special interests and politicians." It's a lie. And an $11 million donation from a shadowy Arizona nonprofit illustrates why.

Election 2012: Anger Rises In National, Inland Valley Campaigns
dailybulletin.com
In a Wednesday forum involving candidates for Montclair's City Council, the audience booed office seeker Sean Brunske after he criticized the former city manager's pension.

AM Alert
Micaela Massimino @
blogs.sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown takes his tax-initiative campaign to Burbank, where he's scheduled at speak at 12:45 p.m. today at the annual business forecast conference of the Valley Industry and Commerce Association, which backs his Proposition 30.