THE NOONER for September 29, 2012

Given the number of things moving this weekend, here's a special Saturday edition of The Nooner.

E-38

BILLS: The governor signed bills in 4 batches yesterday. He has 36 hours to complete action on bills approved in the 2011-12 legislative session.

PRESIDENTIAL TRACKERS: Gallup: 50-44%, Reuters/Ipsos: 47%-42%, Rasmussen: 48-46%

AIR WAR: The U.S. Chamber of Commerce launched an air war in California yesterday, moving $2.96 million to support Republicans in eight competitive congressional races.

LAT/USC/DORNSIFE: Registered voters

Proposition 32: Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 41%
No: 43%
Und/Ref: 15%

Proposition 34: Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 43%
No: 45%
Undecided: 12%

AROUND THE CAPITOL POLLING AVERAGES

Today includes USC/Dornsife on Props. 32 and 34. There's also a minor change on Props. 30 and 38, as I used the LAT's article number in yesterday's averages, which were the results before fiscal impact language was tested. A split sample was created with a fiscal impact test and a combined number was provided in the complete results, which I am using for each of the measures tested by USC/Dornsife now. The tracking of the Around The Capitol polling averages is available at www.aroundthecapitol.com/ballot/.

Proposition 30: Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.

Yes: 53.5% (-0.3%)
No: 37.2%
Undecided: 9.0%

Proposition 31: State Budget. State and Local Government. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.
Yes: 30.4% (+4.7%)
No: 37.9%%
Undecided: 31.5%

Proposition 32: Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 43.2% (-0.8%)
No: 43.0%
Undecided: 13.6%

Proposition 33: Changes Law to Allow Auto Insurance Companies to Set Prices Based on a Driver's History of Insurance Coverage. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 55.8% (+0.4%)
No: 32.8%
Undecided: 11.4%

Proposition 34: Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 44.9% (-1.0%)
No: 43.5%
Undecided: 11.6%

Proposition 35: Human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender Registration. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 82.2% (-2%)
No: 10.5%
Undecided: 7.3%

Proposition 36: Three Strikes Law. Sentencing for Repeat Felony Offenders. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 76.8% (-4.3%)
No: 15.2%
Undecided: 8.2%

Proposition 37: Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory Labeling. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 61.4% (+2.7%)%
No: 27.8%
Undecided: 10.8%

Proposition 38: Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 42.4% (-0.9%)
No: 45.4%
Undecided: 12.4%

Proposition 39: Tax Treatment for Multistate Businesses. Clean Energy and Energy Efficiency Funding. Initiative Statute.
Yes: 54.7% (+3.6%)
No: 30.2%
Undecided: 15.2%

Proposition 40: Redistricting. State Senate Districts. Referendum.
Yes: 44.2% (+0.3%)
No: 25.4%
Undecided: 30.5%

 

Federal Independent Expenditure Reports
Independent SpenderCandidatePurposeAmountDate
The American Congress of OB-GYNs PAC Ami Bera (Support) Mailing $20,000 09/26/12
Californians for Integrity in Government Brad Sherman (Oppose) Mailer $7,452.38 09/26/12
Californians for Integrity in Government Howard Berman (Support) Mailer $7,452.37 09/26/12
House Majority PAC Dan Lungren (Oppose) Media Production Costs $7,488.18 09/26/12
House Majority PAC Dan Lungren (Oppose) Television Advertising $185,504.16 09/27/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Jeff Denham (Oppose) Media Production $7,544.53 09/28/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Abel Maldonado (Oppose) Media Production $11,027.31 09/28/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Tony Strickland (Oppose) Media Buy $9,450.00 09/28/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Julia Brownley (Support) Media Production $1,625.00 09/28/12
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Tony Strickland (Oppose) Media Buy $1,625.00 09/28/12
Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman Howard Berman (Support) Direct Mail $82,941.89 09/28/12
National Republican Congressional Committee Scott Peters (Oppose) Media $31,712.00 09/28/12
National Republican Congressional Committee Lois Capps (Oppose) Media $19,060.00 09/28/12
National Republican Congressional Committee Ami Bera (Oppose) Media $60,000.00 09/28/12
National Republican Congressional Committee Lois Capps (Oppose) Media $91.072.27.00 09/28/12
National Republican Congressional Committee Scott Peters (Oppose) Media $304,090.89 09/28/12
National Republican Congressional Committee Ami Bera (Oppose) Media $250,705.56 09/28/12
National Republican Congressional Committee Jerry McNerney (Oppose) Media $231,480.93 09/28/12
National Republican Congressional Committee Jose Hernandez (Oppose) Media $255,898.65 09/28/12
US Chamber of Commerce Brian Bilbray (Support) Television production and media buy $320,000 09/28/12
US Chamber of Commerce Alan Lowenthal (Oppose) Television production and media buy $320,000 09/28/12
US Chamber of Commerce Mark Takano (Oppose) Television production and media buy $220,000 09/28/12
US Chamber of Commerce Julia Brownley (Oppose) Television production and media buy $400,000 09/28/12
US Chamber of Commerce Jose Hernandez (Oppose) Television production and media buy $600,000 09/28/12
US Chamber of Commerce Lois Capps (Oppose) Television production and media buy $120,000 09/28/12
US Chamber of Commerce Jerry McNerney (Oppose) Television production and media buy $490,000 09/28/12
US Chamber of Commerce Ami Bera (Oppose) Television production and media buy $490,000 09/28/12
Sierra Club Independent Action Dan Lungren (Oppose) Consults - Direct mail $24,959.71 09/28/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Gary Miller (Support) Website Design Costs $700.00 09/28/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Gary Miller (Support) Online Video Production Costs $2,800.00 09/28/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Gary Miller (Support) Consulting Services $100.00 09/28/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Brad Sherman (Support) Consulting Services $600.00 09/28/12
National Association of Realtors Congressional Fund Brad Sherman (Support) Direct Mail Costs $555,567.00 09/28/12

 

State Independent Expenditure Reports
Committee Candidate (Support/Oppose) Amount Received Date Report Date
California Apartment Association Independent Expenditure Committee Richard Alarcon (Oppose) $39,987 09/28/2012 09/28/2012
California Credit Union League Political Action Committee Raul Bocanegra (Support) $39,987 09/27/2012 09/28/2012
California Real Estate Independent Expenditure Committee Jeff Miller (Support) $29,825 09/28/2012 09/28/2012
California Taxpayer Protection Committee Dan Logue (Support) $16,572 05/27/2012 09/28/2012
California Taxpayer Protection Committee Leslie Daigle (Oppose) $14,999 05/28/2012 09/28/2012
California Taxpayer Protection Committee Carl Demaio (Support) $13,792 06/01/2012 09/28/2012
California Taxpayer Protection Committee Robert Bob Rush (Support) $14,949 05/28/2012 09/28/2012
Californians Allied For Patient Protection Independent Expenditure Account Candidate Raul Bocanegra (Support) $24,416 09/28/2012 09/28/2012
Los Angeles County Federation Of Labor, Afl-cio Issues And Initiatives Committee To Support Prop. 28 Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction. Cont (Oppose) $6,809 09/27/2012 09/28/2012
Los Angeles County Lincoln Clubs Pac (state) Alan Jackson (Support) $2,780 09/28/2012 09/28/2012
Sheet Metal Workers International Association Local Union No. 104 Issues Committee Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction. Cont (Oppose) $11,455 09/20/2012 09/28/2012
Small Business Action Committee Pac Political Contributions By Payroll Deduction; Cont (Support) $2,000,000 09/28/2012 09/28/2012