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THE NOONER for January 10, 2012

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DISTRICT UPDATES

  • CD01 - removed Congressman Wally Herger (R)
  • CD01 - added State Senator Doug LaMalfa (R) 
  • CD26 - added Ventura supervisor Linda Parks (R)
  • CD31 - removed Congressman Jerry Lewis (R)

DOWN TO DREIER: With Herger and Lewis out, the last incumbent with a big retirement question mark next their name is David Dreier. His retirement would lead to 11 congressional retirements, needlessly inflating the heads of Paul Mitchell and Matt Rexroad, who last year predicted 10-12 retirements. 

WANTED: The GOP is looking for a sacrificial lamb to run against Dianne FeinsteinDavid Dreier, since you don't have a district, why don't you take a stab?

HERTZBERG? Although the idea was recently poo-pooed by Senate Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg, the shuffling of candidacies in Ventura County is giving new life to a Bob Hertzberg candidacy against Fran Pavley in SD27. Rick Orlov reports that Hertzberg is again considering a candidacy. I have been getting the same chatter, now that Senator Tony Strickland is likely running for CD26 and more moderate Assemblymember Cameron Smyth is exected to run for SD27.

Hertzberg: "When I looked at the district, I saw that it is one perfectly suited to me," Hertzberg said. "I saw some polls and didn't see where Pavley could win. I think I can."

Pavley consultant Parke Skelton gets out his cutlery:

"I can't imagine he is in this without thinking it's a stepping stone to something else," Skelton said. "We hear he is being encouraged to run by business interests. No one in the (Democratic) caucus will support him. He will become toxic in Sacramento if he is elected."

My bet at this point is that he does run if Smyth gets in the race, and that toxicity Skelton warns of is blended with a fair amount of encouragement from the 95814.

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REDISTRICTING REFER: It's official, the State Senate redistricting referendum has sufficient signatures to avoid immediate failure, but not enough to avoid a full check. County election officials are just delighted at the prospect of manuallty verifying 711,301 signatures.

HIGH HOPES: "Less than a week after Gov. Jerry Brown built his new budget on a $6.9 billion tax hike initiative, the state's top fiscal analyst said his measure would fall $2.1 billion short." [Kevin Yamamura @ SacBee]

WHILE YOU WERE BROWN-BAGGING: CMR's John Fairbanks writes up Republican Whip Kevin McCarthy's PPIC luncheon appearance yesterday at the Sheraton.

$$$: Molly Munger kicks in $500,000 to qualify her scool funding initiative.

MIC-CHECK: Yes, those were community college students "Occupying" Room 4203 in the State Capitol yesterday, and I had nothing to do with it.

TOP HEADLINES ON AROUNDTHECAPITOL.COM AS OF 12:00PM
Legislative Analyst says Jerry Brown tax raises only $4.8 billion
Kevin Yamamura @
blogs.sacbee.com
The state's top fiscal analyst says Gov. Jerry Browns tax hike would raise $2.1 billion less than he is banking on to balance his new budget, requiring deeper cuts than the governor proposed or more revenues if lawmakers use that estimate.

Protests Of Gov. Jerry Brown's Proposed Services Cuts Planned
latimesblogs.latimes.com
Activists are rallying in four cities Tuesday to protest billions of dollars in Gov. Jerry Brown's proposed cuts to health and social services. Faced with a $9.2-billion budget gap, Brown has proposed slashing about $2 billion from health and human...

Legislative Analyst
Kevin Yamamura @
blogs.sacbee.com
The state's top fiscal analyst says Gov. Jerry Brown's tax hike would raise $2.1 billion less than he is banking on to balance his new budget, requiring deeper cuts than the governor proposed or more revenues if lawmakers use that estimate.

Assemblywoman Mary Hayashi's Shoplifting Incident Raises Medical Questions
Torey Van Oot and Jim Sanders @
sacbee.com
Assemblywoman Mary Hayashi voted on hundreds of bills last September. She returned to the Capitol last week as leader of a powerful committee. In between, her lawyer says, a benign brain tumor affected her judgment and contributed to a shoplifting arrest.

Golden State's Graying Politicians
Local @
contracostatimes.com
Californias youthful image is not reflected in Congress, where the Bay Area delegations average age is pushing 70. House candidate mightve set fundraising record Politics & government

Legislative analyst offers lower estimate for Brown's tax-hike initiative
Kevin Yamamura @
sacbee.com
Less than a week after Gov. Jerry Brown built his new budget on a $6.9 billion tax hike initiative, the state's top fiscal analyst said his measure would fall $2.1 billion short.

Hayashi Calls Clothes Theft 'Absent-Minded Error'
Local @
contracostatimes.com
In her first public statement since being nabbed shoplifting $2,450 worth of clothes from a San Francisco Neiman Marcus, Assemblywoman Mary Hayashi on Monday offered "apologies not excuses'' for a theft she labeled an "absent-minded error.''

Tax Plan Would Generate Billions Less Than Thought, Analyst Says
latimesblogs.latimes.com
On politics in the Golden State

Pension measure backers say Kamala Harris wrote false statements
Jon Ortiz @
blogs.sacbee.com
The group behind two ballot proposals that would significantly alter public employee pensions has blasted the summaries assigned to them on Monday by Attorney General Kamala Harris.

Bob Hertzberg Thinks 27th Senate District Is Made For Him
Rick Orlov, Staff Writer @
dailynews.com
"Huggy Bob" Hertzberg could be planning a political comeback. Bob Hertzberg, the former Assembly speaker who left politics after losing his bid for Los Angeles mayor, said Monday he is considering a run for the state Senate.

Gov. Jerry Brown Proposes Discount For Avoiding Dmv Offices
Kevin Yamamura @
blogs.sacbee.com
Banks have tried to discourage customers from using tellers in person; now Gov. Jerry Brown wants to do the same for renewals at the Department of Motor Vehicles.

John Garamendi Backs Janice Hahn Over Laura Richardson In California : Roll Call Politics
rollcall.com
California Rep. Janice Hahn collected her second Congressional endorsement in the race for a new Los Angeles district against a fellow Democratic Member.

Suit seeks to block SD pension vote
utsandiego.com
A recently filed lawsuit, if successful, could prevent a proposed San Diego pension initiative from going before city voters.

Mitt Romney Main Focus Of New Hampshire Primary
Carla Marinucci,Richard S. Dunham @
sfgate.com
After months of frenzied competition and appeals from a crowd of Republican presidential candidates, voters will cast the first ballots of the 2012 presidential election today in New Hampshire, where former...

The Whip Snaps At High Speed Rail... And More
John Myers @
blogs.kqed.org
For the man whose Central Valley hometown is supposed to be an anchor point in the first construction phase of high speed rail, Rep. Kevin McCarthy seems intent on doing everything he can do block the project.

Brown tax hike plan may bring in less than estimated
Anthony York @
latimes.com
The governor says a sales and income tax hike could bring in $6.9 billion a year. The Legislative Analyst's Office says it's likely to generate just $4.8 billion in 2012-13.

California's 'Wall Of Debt' Is Really A Mountain
Dan Walters @
sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown's new budget says that the state's shaky finances are "exacerbated by an unprecedented level of debts, deferrals and budgetary obligations," which he describes as "a wall of debt."

California's Great Political Migration | Nbc Los Angeles
Uncategorized @
nbclosangeles.com
Movers & Shakers: Top CA Politicians

AM Alert: California Supreme Court takes up redistricting fight
Amy Chance @
blogs.sacbee.com
If Republican political consultant Dave Gilliard has his way today, the California Supreme Court will conclude he's on the verge of qualifying a referendum on the new state Senate district lines for the ballot in November.

Congressman: GOP Faces Tough Year In California
Brian Joseph @
totalbuzz.ocregister.com
Bakersfield Republican Kevin McCarthy, who holds the No. 3 leadership spot in the U.S. House of Representatives, conceded to reporters in Sacramento on Monday that California Republicans could lose Congressional seats this fall.