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THE NOONER for August 12, 2011

[jump to the headlines]

TODAY'S DISTRICT UPDATES:

  • CD03 (Yolano/Yuba/Lake) - added Colusa Supe Kim Vann and Woodland farmer/veteran Charlie Schaupp

Another busy morning...college convocation season.

Remember that last night of summer vacation before school started up again?  That's how Capitol staffers feel today, as the Legislature comes back Monday for its four-week sprint to the end of session.  Actually, plenty of legislators feel that way to, particularly with junket jetlag.

Don't expect much of a focus on the budget during the session, even though the plan adopted in June seems to be crumbling.  The LAO released its analysis of the spending plan yesterday, using language that is not super optimistic about the $4 billion in last minute unallocated revenues. Meanwhile, the state Supreme Court took up the case of the $1.8b redevelopment grab/ransom, and set up a briefing schedule to decide the case by January.  Finally, the administration is having to rework the wildfire fee after it was revealed that it could cut local fire budgets.  That, however, is only $50m in this year's budget, or as we refer to it, "budget dust."

Aside from threats by both the Republican party and some Latino organizations to sue/refer over the State Senate plan, there is little specific criticism for the redistricting plans expected to be adopted Monday.  The greatest perhaps is in San Bernardino, where the Democratic Central Committee has been trying to split the county east/west, as it currently is, instead of north/south, as proposed by the commission.  This would give Joe Baca and Jerry Lewis safe seats, but the commission is unlikely to make changes now:

TWEET DU JOUR:  KQED_CapNotes: Just interviewd CARedistricting commish Forbes 4 radio story (airs Mon). He doubts even tech chgs can be made 2 maps now

Today's data geekery looks at the differential in votes among congressional districts won by Barack Obama in 2008 and the percent of vote won by Jerry Brown in 2010.  In 2008, 79.4% (13.7 million) of California's registered voters turned out, while only 59.6% (10.3 million) turned out in 2010.

Of these ten, only the first one, the Santa Barbara seat is particularly notable.  That's the Lois Capps vs. Abel Maldonado race--expected to be the hottest congressional race in the state (or perhaps nation).  In 2008, Santa Barbara had 42,132 fewer voters than it did in 2010.  Those college students and other disaffected voters that turned out for Obama in 2008 shunned the polls in 2010. Given the nation's political climate, this would be very troubling for me if I was running the Lois Capps campaign.

Top Obama-Brown Differential
CD24 - Santa Barbara 9.7%
CD18 - Silicon Valley 9.5%
CD53 - La Mesa 8.8%
CD20 - Monterey 8.3%
CD16 - Merced 8.1%
CD46 - Santa Ana 8.1%
CD17 - Milpitas 7.9%
CD05 - Napa-Santa Rosa 7.9%
CD11 - Contra Costa 7.6%
CD15 - Hawyard-Pleas-Liv 7.6%

 

As an interesting aside, Jerry Brown actually outpolled Barack Obama in six of the heaviest Democratic districts--CD37 (Culver City), CD43 (Inglewood), CD27 (Pasadena), CD38 (Whittier), CD29 (E. San Fernando Valley), CD34 (Downtown LA).

Have a great weekend!

Jerry Brown Seeks To Scuttle High-paid Job For Ex-GOP Leader - Shane Goldmacher @ latimesblogs.latimes.com
Gov. Jerry Brown is trying to torpedo the nomination by his predecessor of a former top Republican lawmaker to a lucrative government post. One of Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's final acts in office was to appoint Sen. Dennis Hollingsworth (R-Murrieta), a former GOP leader, to a $128,000-a-year seat on the state panel that considers unemployment benefit claims.

California Dems Aim For Bigger Clout In 2012 - Carla Marinucci @ sfgate.com
California Democrats, determined to reinforce their dominant party influence in the state, have launched ambitious voter registration drives in a move to win more legislative seats and fend off costly initiative...

Texas Billionaire Funds California Pension Overhaul Group - californiawatch.org
A young Texas couple with a multibillion-dollar hedge fund fortune is bankrolling a series of reports by one of California's most influential pension overhaul groups.

Jerry Brown To Appoint Brent Barnhart Head Of Hmo Watchdog - David Siders @ blogs.sacbee.com
Gov. Jerry Brown is expected to appoint a retired Kaiser Permanente lawyer and former lobbyist for the American Civil Liberties Union to serve as director of the state Department of Managed Health Care.

Romney In Iowa: 'corporations Are People' Too - James Oliphant @ latimes.com
Campaigning in Iowa on Thursday, Mitt Romney told a heckler, “Corporations are people, my friend”—words immediately seized upon by Democrats in what they termed as a possible defining statement by the presidential candidate.

Battle Over Online Class Fees Moves To Capitol - Nanette Asimov @ sfgate.com
Efforts to quickly legalize student access fees for community college cyber-classes - fees that are banned by state law but which may be rampant across California campuses - have hit a snag in the state Capitol. Darrell...

Assembly's Washington Lobbyist Worrying Some Gambling Tribes - Laurel Rosenhall @ blogs.sacbee.com
That's because the same firm the Assembly hired also represents the

Dan Walters: California Needs To Connect Dropouts To The Economy - sacbee.com
California has the nation's second-highest unemployment rate, with more than 2 million jobless workers, yet many employers still can't fill job openings that require technical or mechanical skills.

Brown to seek changes to fire fee - DON THOMPSON @ pe.com
Gov. Jerry Brown's administration plans to seek changes to fix problems with a contentious wildfire fee on rural residents because it could end up draining money from the state's firefighting budget, a spokesman said Thursday.

No Conflict For Patricia Rucker - toped.svefoundation.org
The California Fair Political Practices Commission has dismissed a complaint filed by a parent activist group against Patricia Rucker, a State Board of Education member who works as a paid lobbyist for the California Teachers Association. In doing so, the FPPC clarified what it considers to be a conflict of interest.

Study Predicts California Pension Savings With Hybrid Plan - Marc Lifsher @ latimesblogs.latimes.com
Switching California state government pensions to a hybrid system that provides a modest monthly check plus a 401(k)-type savings plan could save taxpayers about $250 million right away and generate billions of dollars in savings in future years, according to a new study by a pension reform organization.

High School Dropout Rates Fall In Sacramento, California - Phillip Reese and Melody Gutierrez @ sacbee.com
The high school dropout rate fell sharply in Sacramento and across California during the 2010 school year, as roughly two-thirds of the state's school districts showed improvement, according to state data released Thursday.

A Sign Of The Times - UC Student Holds Bake Sale To Raise Tuition Money - Diana Arbas @ baycitizen.org
A new shop of sorts opened up on Solano Avenue yesterday. Amalia Mourad, 18, brightly greeted passersby from behind a table displaying her own homemade chocolate chip and oatmeal cookies, Rice Krispies squares, extra-large cupcakes and brownies above a large sign that read, “Help Me Go To College.”

Football Deal For La Could Hit Other Ca Cities - Joel Fox @ foxandhoundsdaily.com
The Memorandum of Understanding approved by the Los Angeles City Council with the Anschutz Entertainment Group moves professional football a step closer to Los Angeles after a 16-year absence. But it might mean another California city could lose their NFL franchise.

Romney Rises As Fox Stirs The GOP Presidential Pot « Calbuzz - calbuzz.com
You gotta hand it to Fox News: these guys know how to put on a show.

State's Exports Return To Pre-recession Levels - sacbee.com
California exports jumped 13 percent in June, the 20th straight month of growth, economists said today.

Lawmaker Breaks With Policy, Releases Meeting Calendar - Pasadena Star-news - Juliet Williams @ pasadenastarnews.com
A California lawmaker who is at odds with the Assembly's Democratic leadership has released his daily calendar for the first six months of 2011 to the Associated Press, breaking with the Legislature's policy of forbidding members from publicly releasing that information.

Proposal To Ease Calif. Court Camera Rules Dropped - Bob Egelko @ sfgate.com
Opposition from trial judges has apparently derailed a proposal to make it easier to get cameras into California courtrooms. The recommendation from the state Judicial Council's Bench-Bar-Media Committee would have...

California Supreme Court To Consider Redevelopment Case - Kevin Yamamura @ blogs.sacbee.com
The California Supreme Court agreed Thursday to review the state's redevelopment overhaul and delayed most provisions until it can decide the matter.

Stocks Bounce Back On Unemployment Data - latimesblogs.latimes.com
Stock markets bounce back: The Dow Jones industrial average was up over 200 points Thursday morning after the Labor Department said that only 395,000 people applied for jobless benefits, down from 402,000 last month.

San Bernardino County: Dropout Numbers Too High, Officials Say - Canan Tasci Staff Writer @ sbsun.com
Nearly 70 percent of San Bernardino County students who entered high school in 2006 wore a cap and gown in the spring of 2010, according to data released Thursday by the state's Board of Education.

San Mateo County Graduation And Dropout Rates Lower Than State Average - Local @ mercurynews.com
The county showed an 81 percent graduation rate compared to the states 74 percent, according to a report released Thursday by the state Department of Education. Also, 13 percent of the countys high-school students dropped out versus the states 18 percent.

Millions Of Dollars Unclaimed By California Taxpayers, Irs Says - sacbee.com
The IRS may have "missing money" waiting for you.

Obama Tries To Get In On Anti-washington Anger - Jamie Klatell @ thehill.com
Looking to both inspire disaffected supporters and tap into the momentum that has propelled the Tea Party, President Obama has turned sharply from hoping to change Washington to blaming the city for the nation's stalled economic recovery.

Rep. Gary Miller's Abducted Grandchildren Found In Mexico - latimesblogs.latimes.com
Kidnapped grandchildren found: The three grandchildren of Congressman Gary Miller, missing for nearly four years, are now in protective custody after their mother was arrested in Mexico on kidnapping charges, authorities said.