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California Elections: Senate District 16

Senate District 16

All Districts > SD16: Kern
[incumbent: Shannon Grove (R-Bakersfield) - term limit: 2026 - Directory Page]

Districts will be redistricted in 2021 to take effect with the 2022 election.

Probable Candidates: 2022

District Projection: Safe Republican
  • (i) Shannon Grove (Republican) - State Senator  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    New analysis for this district is being developed. . . .

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    District Geography

    Counties: Kern (64.1%), Los Angeles (106.2%), San Bernardino (13.2%), Tulare (22.8%) of 452,102 registered voters.
     

    2018 Gubernatorial Race

    • Gavin Newsom (D) 37.0%
    • John Cox (R) 63.0%

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 35.2%
    • Donald Trump (R) 59.0%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 35.1%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 64.9%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 35.9%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 61.7%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for SD16
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 5.1% 2.8% 22.4%
    Total Population 5.0% 4.0% 35.7%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)