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California Elections: Congressional District 50

Congressional District 50 -- DCCC target

All Districts > CD50: East SD Co.
[incumbent: Duncan D. Hunter Directory Page]

Probable Candidates: 2020

District Projection: Likely Republican
  • Carl DeMaio (Republican) - Former councilmember, San Diego
    www.carldemaio.com  
  • Ammar Campa-Najjar (Democratic) - Businessman  
  • Helen Horvath (No Party Preference) - Psychologist/Businesswoman  
  • Ray Lutz (Democratic) - Businessman/Activist  
  • (i) Duncan Hunter (Republican) - Member of Congress
    hunterforcongress.com  
  • Henry Ota (Republican) - Mortgage Advisor  
  • Brian Jones (Republican) - State Senator  
  • Darrell Issa (Republican) - Former Member of Congress  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    If 2020 were like any other year, five-term congressman Duncan D. Hunter would see an easy re-election to a district that gave Donald Trump a 15-point margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016. However, things in this district stretching along the I-15 corridor east of San Diego from Temecula to El Cajon and east through suburbs and desert lands including the Anza-Borrego State Park, things are far from normal.

    In . . .

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    District Geography

    Counties: Riverside (11.1%), San Diego (88.9%) of 384,893 registered voters.
     

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39.6%
    • Donald Trump (R) 54.6%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 36.0%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 64.0%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 37.6%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 60.4%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD50
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 4.3% 2.6% 15.8%
    Total Population 5.0% 2.6% 29.9%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)