advertise on aroundthecapitol
California Elections: Congressional District 04

Congressional District 04

All Districts > CD04: Roseville-Foothills
[incumbent: Tom McClintock Directory Page]

Probable Candidates: 2020

District Projection: Likely Republican
  • Julianne Benzel (Republican) - Teacher  
  • Brynne Kennedy (Democratic) - Entrepreneur
    brynneforcongress.com  
  • (i) Tom McClintock (Republican) - Member of Congress
    www.tommcclintock.com  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    Analysis

    CA04, which stretches from the Sacramento suburbs of Roseville and foothill towns from Placerville and Yosemite, was the target that got away from Democrats in 2018. National leaders had a great local candidate in Jessica Morse, who raised and spent $3.7 million only to lose to incumbent Tom McClintock by 8.2%.

    Despite animus from Democrats toward McClintock who . . .

    Subscriber Log-in | Learn about subscriptions.

     

    District Geography

    Counties: Alpine (0.2%), Amador (4.9%), Calaveras (6.5%), El Dorado (26.4%), Fresno (2.1%), Madera (3.7%), Mariposa (2.4%), Nevada (2.2%), Placer (44.8%), Tuolumne (7.0%) of 458,250 registered voters.
     

    2016 Presidential Race

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39.2%
    • Donald Trump (R) 54.0%

    2014 Gubernatorial Race

    • Edmund G. ("Jerry") Brown, Jr. (D) 44.9%
    • Neel Kashkari (R) 55.1%

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 39.5%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 57.9%

    Demographics

    2010 Census Demographics for CD04
     AsianBlackLatino
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 3.2% 1.4% 7.4%
    Total Population 4.1% 1.3% 12.4%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)